Week 12 Free NFL Picks: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Kansas City Chiefs NFL Week 12 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on NBC 11/27/11: When the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-3) travel to Arrowhead Stadium Sunday night, they will be facing a Kansas City team that is reeling. Injuries have ravaged the Chiefs (4-6), and three straight losses have transformed the team from division leader to cellar dweller in the AFC West. With Kansas City struggling and the Steelers looking to contend for a playoff spot, there is a definite possibility of a blowout in this one. Not surprisingly, Pittsburgh is a 10 ½-point favorite.
Despite all the talk about the Steelers’ defense being old and slow, Pittsburgh’s numbers are as impressive as ever on that side of the ball. The unit ranks third against the pass and sixth against the run. For a Chiefs’ offense that has managed just 16 points in the last three games combined, the stingy Steelers’ defense could make points tough to come by. Considering Kansas City managed just three points against a New England Patriots’ defense that ranks last against the pass, it’s tough to expect much more this weekend.
To make matters worse, the Kansas City defense hasn’t helped out the offense. The Chiefs’ defense has given up more than 30 points twice in the last two games, allowing quarterbacks Tom Brady and Matt Moore to have big games. Pittsburgh’s QB Ben Roethlisberger has been having a career year, and he could continue the trend of big games for opposing signal callers against the Chiefs. The Steelers have the sixth-best passing offense in the NFL, and with deep threats like Mike Wallace and Antonio Brown stretching the field, points could pile up in a hurry.
The X-factor for Kansas City could be newly-acquired quarterback Kyle Orton. He isn’t expected to play Sunday night, but if starter Tyler Palko struggles early, Orton could get an early introduction. Orton isn’t exactly an elite QB, but compared to the unproven Palko, he would be an instant upgrade. More importantly, the Steelers haven’t been preparing for Orton, and the element of surprise could be on Kansas City’s side.
Orton aside, the Chiefs are going to need a lot of help from the Steelers in order to pull off an upset. Kansas City doesn’t put much pressure on opposing quarterbacks, which means Roethlisberger will have plenty of time to scan the field. Unless he is off his game, Roethlisberger should shine. For a Chiefs’ defense that has been anything but opportunistic, the Steelers are going to have to hand them turnovers.
In the end, the Steelers should have no trouble winning this one. They have more talent on both sides of the ball, and they have more to play for from a motivation standpoint. Pittsburgh’s defense should suffocate Palko and the injury-riddled Chiefs’ defense, and Roethlisberger should have no trouble putting enough points on the board to cover the spread. This game is a mismatch on paper, and the final score should reflect it.
Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers (-10 ½) Win the Game
Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Pittsburgh -10.5
|Week 12 NFL Football: Pittsburgh @ Kansas City
Time: 8:30 PM EST on NBC
Vegas Odds – Favorite: Pittsburgh -11 | Total: Over/Under 42
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