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Categorized | NFL

Super Bowl LII Betting Lines and Trends You Need to Know

Super Bowl LII Betting Lines and Trends You Need to Know

The Super Bowl is not only the NFL’s biggest game of the year, it is also the most over-analyzed matchup with two weeks between the conference championships and this Sunday’s kickoff to delve into every possible stat, fact and betting trend imaginable for these two teams.

This year’s Super Bowl features an upstart underdog from the NFC taking on the reining champions from the AFC, who will be making their fourth appearance in this game over the past seven seasons. Very few so-called football experts gave the Philadelphia Eagles a chance to get past the Divisional Round of the playoffs, yet they still found a way to win two home games as underdogs to get to their third Super Bowl in franchise history.

The New England Patriots were expected to get to their ninth Super Bowl according the NFL futures odds that were posted right after their miraculous 34-28 overtime victory against Atlanta in Super Bowl LI after trailing in that game 28-3 in the third quarter. The Patriots are listed as 4.5-point favorites to add a sixth world title in the Bill Belichick/Tom Brady era in New England that began back in 2000.

The early betting on this game has favored the Eagles after the pointspread originally opened at six points, but a couple of big six-figure bets right after Philadelphia’s 38-7 pasting of Minnesota in the NFC title game may have fueled these early moves. The line has settled in at 4.5 points almost across the board among the top offshore sportsbooks taking online action on this game.

When it comes to betting the moneyline for this game, you can get the Eagles at +170 with the betting odds on New England sitting at -200. The total line for the game opened at 47 points and it has moved to 48 points.

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There are any number of ways to bet this game from alternative lines to live in-game betting to the hundreds of props surrounding just about every single aspect of the action both on and off the field. You can bet on how many touchdown passes Brady will throw on Sunday or you can bet on what kind of shoes Justin Timberlake will be wearing in the halftime show. There is a reason why the Super Bowl is the biggest single-day betting event of the year with an estimated four billion dollars wagered on just this one game.

When it comes down to some of the most pertinent betting trends for Super Bowl LII, Philadelphia does have a big head-to-head edge in this matchup since the underdog has covered against the spread in five of the last six meetings. The trends also favor the OVER on the total line with four of the last five meetings going OVER the closing betting line.

The last time these two teams met was in the 2015 regular season with the Eagles stunning the Patriots 35-28 as heavy nine-point underdogs on the road. The road team has won four of the last five meetings SU and it just so happens that Philadelphia has been designated as the road team for Sunday’s game. The Eagles were the home team against New England in Super Bowl XXXIX back in February of 2005 and they managed to cover as seven-point underdogs in a 24-21 loss.

Recent betting trends for each team have Philly going 12-6 ATS overall this season and it managed to cover in four of six games as an underdog. The total went OVER in four of those contests. The Patriots were also 12-6 ATS through 18 games with an identical 15-3 SU record as their opponents. New England closed as a favorite in all 18 matchups and the total stayed UNDER in 10 of the games.

The only two Super Bowls that the Patriots lost with Belichick as head coach were against the NFC East with the New York Giants closing as underdogs in both games.

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