2019 LTi Printing 250 Odds & Predictions – Michigan International Speedway Betting Preview: The NASCAR XFINITY Series heads to Michigan International Speedway this weekend for the only trip of the season to the two-mile, D-shaped oval. Saturday’s LTi Printing 250 is actually a companion event with Cup Series, but outside of Paul Menard, we don’t have any Cup regulars slated to be in the field.
Without any of the stars of the Cup Series to deal with, XFINITY Series regulars Tyler Reddick, Christopher Bell and Cole Custer are once again the favorites to head to victory lane. The trio has combined for eight wins in the first 12 races, and each driver owns multiple wins.
Check out my betting preview for the LTi Printing 250 at Michigan International Speedway for a closer look at the three frontrunners of the XFINITY Series and my favorite alternative bets and sleepers.
2019 LTi Printing 250 Odds & Predictions: Michigan International Speedway Betting Preview
Favorites to Bet
Tyler Reddick (+225)
Reddick is off to one of the best starts in the history of the XFINITY Series, posting 11 top-10s and 10 top-five finishes through the first 12 races while logging a series-best 4.2 average finish. He has seven finishes of third or better in the last nine races heading into Michigan, including four straight, and Reddick led 10 laps and finished fourth at Auto Club back in March. You already know Reddick will be one of the frontrunners.
Christopher Bell (+250)
Bell finished a forgettable 11th in his Michigan debut last year, but he is the only driver who has had a legitimate shot at winning every race in 2019. Incredibly, he has led multiple laps in all 12 races this season, leading more than 30 laps seven times and picking up three wins. Bell finished third at Auto Club back in March, and he’s basically a lock to be in the hunt for the win again this weekend.
Cole Custer (+300)
His win at Pocono last weekend put him in a tie for the series lead with three, and Custer could be right back in victory lane Saturday. He has made two XFINITY starts at Michigan, leading 15 laps and finishing 10th in his debut and finishing third in last year’s race. He also won at Auto Club Speedway back in March, so we already know he can win at a two-mile track.
Value Bets
Paul Menard (+550)
It is easy to dismiss Menard because he is a mid-pack performer at the Cup level, but he has been much more competitive at the XFINITY level, especially at Michigan. He has a 7.8 average finish in 13 starts, notching 11 top-10s, six top-five finishes and a win while leading laps in seven of those starts. In fact, Menard has led laps in four of his last five starts at MIS. On Saturday, he has the added perk of driving a Team Penske entry, and Menard has finished in the top 10 in each of his four previous starts for the team.
Justin Allgaier (+1300)
He has been more inconsistent that in recent years, but Allgaier continues to show the same elite speed that helped him win five races last year. He has finished third or better in three of the last six races, leading laps in five of those starts. Allgair is one of the few series regulars who has been able to keep up with Reddick, Bell and Custer on a weekly basis, and he offers almost five times the profit potential of any of them.
Chase Briscoe (+2500)
Briscoe has been the model of consistency all season, and he only has one finish outside the Top 15 all year. More importantly, he has nine Top 10s through the first 12 races, including six Top 5s in the last eight races. I also love that he finished fifth at Auto Club earlier this year, showing he has a good feel for the two-mile ovals. When you dip outside the overall favorites, Briscoe looks like an absolute steal at these odds.
Sleeper Special
Riley Herbst (+10000)
Unless you watch a lot of ARCA, you probably don’t even know who Herbst is, but he has shown some promise in limited XFINITY action. He has finished in the Top 15 in all three of his starts in the series, logging a pair of Top 10s and finishing high as sixth. Perhaps more importantly, he will be piloting a Joe Gibbs Racing entry this weekend, and JGR has arguably the best equipment around. In fact, Herbst will be driving for the same No. 18 team that Kyle Busch has won three races with this year. Herbst is no Kyle Busch, but at such long odds, I’ll gamble on the elite equipment.
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2019 LTi Printing 250 Odds at Michigan International Speedway
Christopher Bell +240
Tyler Reddick +240
Cole Custer +275
Paul Menard +525
Justin Allgaier +1500
Austin Cindric +2300
Chase Briscoe +2700
Brandon Jones +3500
Jeb Burton +3500
Michael Annett +4400
John Hunter Nemecheck +4500
Justin Haley +5500
Noah Gragson +5500
Riley Herbst +8800
Ryan Sieg +10000
Ross Chastain +12500
Jeremy Clements +15000
Ray Black +15000
David Starr +15000
Garret Smithley +20000
Stephen Leicht +20000
BJ McLeod +20000
Joey Gase +20000
Timmy Hill +25000
Josh Bilicki +25000
Field +4400
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