2013 FedEx 400 Free Picks – Betting on Underdogs for Big Payoffs: It may not have the bumping and banging of a short track or the high speeds of a superspeedway, but Dover International Speedway is a tough track in its own right. With very little space between the track surface and the inside barriers, the 1.0-mile concrete oval is very unforgiving for any driver that makes even the slightest mistake. At most tracks, single-car spins result in little to no damage. At Dover, any spin usually results in at least one car bouncing off at least one of the barriers if not worse. As a result, making it to the finish in one piece and in contention is easier said than done at Dover, and it is often the driver with the most patients and best approach that ends up in victory lane rather than the driver with the fastest car. With that in mind, here is a closer look at a few dark horse contenders for Sunday’s race at Dover that could outlast “The Monster Mile” and give bettors a reason to smile.
I know he hasn’t won a race since 2009, but Mark Martin is criminally underrated at his current 33/1 odds. After all, we are talking about a four-time Dover winner, and he has actually been getting better at the track with age. His 9.3 average finish since 2003 is the second best of any driver, and three times in the last seven races he has finished third or better, including last fall. Dover is known as a rhythm racetrack, and Martin’s smooth, consistent style is a perfect fit. There is a reason that Martin has been finishing near the front at the track for more than two decades, and he could definitely deliver for bettors this weekend.
Normally, Marcos Ambrose is only a name bettors need to care about at road course events, but he has been making a little noise at Dover recently. He has averaged a top-10 finish at the track over the past two seasons, and in the last two June races at Dover, he has finished third and 10th. Granted, he has never won at “The Monster Mile” or at any oval track for that matter, but Ambrose is trending in the right direction at the Dover heading into Sunday’s race. At his current 50/1 odds, it won’t take a big wager for bettors to see a sizeable return. Anyone looking to hit it big this weekend may want to take a chance on Ambrose.
He has been coming on strong all year, and Aric Almirola has all the makings of a young driver ready to win his first Cup Series race. Despite the fact that he is a 66/1 longshot to win this weekend at Dover, there is reason to believe that “The Monster Mile” could end up being the site of Almirola’s first victory. After all, he finished solid sixth in his first-ever start at the track last June. Now, he gets to return to Dover in the middle of the best year of his young career. If Almirola can improve even a little on his 2012 effort, he will be right in the mix for a win on Sunday. Considering his long odds, bettors will be celebrating just as much as Almirola if he does indeed get to victory lane.
While I’ll agree that Jeff Burton’s best years are behind him, I was still shocked to see him listed as a 100/1 longshot this weekend at Dover. I mean, those are the odds usually reserved for the start-and-park drivers for smaller teams, and Burton is a former winner at the track. In fact, he went to victory lane in 2006, and in 2010, he finished second in both races. Not to mention the fact that his 11.7 average finish in the last 20 races at Dover is actually the fifth best in the series. Yes, he is a longshot to win this weekend as a lot of drivers are, but he shouldn’t be a 100/1 longshot. With such a big payout possible, bettors should strongly consider taking a chance on a veteran with a proven record of consistency at Dover.
Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2013 FedEx 400 odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2013 FedEx 400 Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!
Odds to win the 2013 FedEx 400
101 Jimmie Johnson +500
102 Kyle Busch +600
103 Matt Kenseth +600
104 Kasey Kahne +800
105 Denny Hamlin +1000
106 Carl Edwards +1000
107 Greg Biffle +1200
108 Brad Keselowski +1200
109 Clint Bowyer +1200
110 Martin Truex Jr +1500
111 Jeff Gordon +1500
112 Kevin Harvick +1500
113 Kurt Busch +2000
114 Dale Earnhardt Jr +2000
115 Tony Stewart +3000
116 Joey Logano +3000
117 Mark Martin +4000
118 Ryan Newman +5000
119 Field +2000
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