2012 AAA Texas 500 Picks: Betting on Underdogs for Big Payoffs

2012 AAA Texas 500 Betting on Underdogs for Big Payoffs: The fast, banked corners of Texas Motor Speedway offer a variety of challenges for drivers. One false move by any driver can trigger a multi-car wreck, and with speeds routinely topping 200 mph, there is no such thing as minor damage if a car hits the wall at this track. Throw in the fact that 1.5-mile tracks like Texas have been known to be decided by fuel mileage in recent years, giving drivers and crew chiefs one more thing to think about. Plenty of different drivers have won at the track over the years, and here are a few of the underdogs that could be the next to join the list.

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With the way his luck has been going lately, it is understandable that defending series champ Tony Stewart would see his odds dip a bit in the final weeks of the season. However, he is still more than capable of winning races, and he is particularly dangerous this weekend at Texas. Stewart is a two-time winner at the track, and more importantly, he is the defending winner of this weekend’s race. In fact, Stewart clobbered the competition at Texas last fall, leading more than half the laps on his way to the victory. Granted, he isn’t a huge underdog at his current 16/1 odds, but bettors aren’t going to find a more proven driver with a history of success at Texas as extensive as Stewart’s getting those long of odds.

The Michael Waltrip Racing No. 55 team has used a three-driver rotation all year, and the lack of consistency behind the wheel has led the team being constantly underrated. This weekend is no exception as veteran Mark Martin is only getting 22/1 odds to win. In his last seven starts at Texas, Martin has finished sixth or better five times. Earlier this year, he finished a strong third at the track. He is also a former winner at the track, and at the rate he is going, he could add another win as early as this weekend. Martin is as smooth as they come on the fast surface of Texas Motors Speedway, and even though he is only a part-time driver, it doesn’t mean he can’t deliver a big payoff for bettors.

There have been plenty of drivers getting really long odds all year, but at 150/1, Aric Almirola might just be the most intriguing longshot of 2012. The young driver is in his first year of full-time racing at the Cup level, and the last few weeks, things have been clicking. He finished 12th at Charlotte a few weeks ago, and the next week at Kansas, he ran up front most of the day before ultimately wrecking while battling for the lead. For the record, Charlotte and Kansas both have the same 1.5-mile layout as Texas. Not to mention the fact that Almirola is coming off a fourth-place finish last weekend at Martinsville. Add it all up, and you have a confident driver that has been unloading fast racecars for three weekends in a row. Almirola could be poised to an unexpected win, and bettors will want to be ready to cash in if does.

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