2011 Ford 300 Odds, Predictions, Betting Tips and Free Picks – Favorites and Lines to Win the Ford 300: The 2011 Nationwide Series season will come to a close this weekend at Homestead-Miami Speedway. Barring a complete mechanical failure, Ricky Stenhouse Jr. will win his first career championship, and the turnaround is nothing short of remarkable. Last season, Stenhouse Jr. nearly lost his job because he couldn’t even keep a car in one piece. Now, he is on the verge of becoming a champ. Granted, rule changes that have limited Cup drivers from competing for the title have helped the cause, but Stenhouse Jr. has been the best of the Nationwide regulars all season long.
Last November, Kyle Busch delivered a dominating performance to cap a year when he set the record for most wins in a single season. He led 153 of the 200 laps and held of Kevin Harvick and Brad Keselowski for the victory. Busch won the race and clinched the owner’s title for the Joe Gibbs Racing No. 18 team. Meanwhile, Keselowski walked away with the driver’s championship.
The Favorites – 2011 Ford 300 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks
He is trying to win the No. 60 team the owner’s championship this weekend, and Carl Edwards just might get it done. He has five straight finishes of sixth or better at Homestead, including four finishes of fourth or better. Edwards has one win during the hot streak to go along with two runner-up efforts.
Kyle Busch was originally tabbed to drive the No. 18 Joe Gibbs racing Toyota this weekend and attempt a three-peat at Homestead. However, backlash from an incident at Texas has put Denny Hamlin behind the wheel this weekend. It isn’t a terrible swap, considering he has three finishes of seventh or better in his last four starts at the track. Hamlin finished fifth in his last start at Homestead, which came in 2009.
Although he has never won at Homestead, Brad Keselowski is still a frontrunner this weekend. He has a pair of third-place finishes at the track in his last three starts, and he has been dominant at the 1.5-mile tracks in 2011. Keselowski has already won at Kentucky, Chicagoland and Kansas in the second half of the year, and he could easily add Homestead to that list.
The Dark Horses – 2011 Ford 300 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks
He has never reached Victory Lane at Homestead, but Joey Logano has never finished outside the top 10 at the track either. He has a 7.0 average finish, and only Carl Edwards owns a better mark among drivers with more than one start at the track. In his last two starts, Logano has finished fourth and seventh.
His last start at Homestead in the Nationwide Series came in 2008, but Clint Bowyer could make his return a memorable one. He has four straight finishes of 11th or better at the track, including three top-10 runs. Bowyer has just one top-five effort at Homestead, but it came in his most recent start at the track.
Sleepers Specials – 2011 Ford 300 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks
Who says Ricky Stenhouse Jr. can’t win the title and the race in the same afternoon. The title is a foregone conclusion, and considering he finished fourth in his Homestead debut, a trip to Victory Lane could be in the works as well. Stenhouse Jr. has run well at the intermediate ovals all season, and his Roush Fenway Racing equipment certainly helps the cause.
Trevor Bayne knows all about driving for Roush Fenway Racing. In fact, he just went to Victory Lane for the first time in his Nationwide career two weekends ago at Texas. Like Texas, Homestead is a 1.5-mile track, and Bayne finished fifth at the track in his debut last season.
Big Names to Avoid – 2011 Ford 300 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks
He is an up and coming star in the series, but Justin Allgaier has yet to show his talent at Homestead. In three starts at the track, he has never notched a top-10 and has a mediocre 19.7 average finish. Allgaier has finished 20th or worse in two of his three starts, and he hasn’t looked anything like a driver capable of winning.
His title hopes came to an end last weekend, and Elliott Sadler could continue to slide this weekend. He has a dismal 27.0 average finish in his career at Homestead, and he has never finish inside the top 15. Sadler is a much better driver than his numbers suggest, but his history doesn’t suggest a strong run this weekend.
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2011 Ford 300 Odds – Saturday, November 19th at Homestead-Miami Speedway.
Driver Odds to Win the Ford 300
Carl Edwards 9/4
Brad Keselowski 7/2
Denny Hamlin 7/2
Clint Bowyer 7/1
Ricky Stenhouse 7/1
Joey Logano 7/1
Trevor Bayne 10/1
Elliott Sadler 15/1
Aric Almirola 25/1
Field 9/1
Check the latest NASCAR Odds and Betting Lines from BoDog below: