2011 Brickyard 400 Breakdown – Beating the Odds: Who to Bet On

2011 Brickyard 400 Betting Odds Breakdown – Who to Bet On and How to Win Money on the Brickyard 400: When discussing Cup Series racing at Indianapolis Motor Speedway, the fact that a very select group of drivers has won at the track can’t be ignored. Only three drivers without a championship to their name have won at the track, and as a result, bettors will have to adjust what they consider a longshot this weekend. In other words, sticking to the big names, or at the very least the household names, is going to be the best strategy this weekend.

While his 9/1 odds certainly make Tony Stewart a favorite this weekend, bettors could still be getting a steal. He is a two-time winner at Indianapolis and has the second-best average finish during the past 10 races at the track. Since joining Stewart-Haas Racing as an owner/driver, he has finished third and fifth in two Brickyard starts. Plain and simple, he is one of the best at Indy.

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He has just one top-five finish in 2011 and is breaking in a new crew chief, but Greg Biffle makes a solid option at his current 16/1 odds. He has been steadily improving at Indianapolis over the past three seasons, finishing eighth or better in all three starts. Last season, Biffle finished a career-best third at the track. If he continues to improve, the next step is a trip to Victory Lane.

Although not known for winning a lot of races, Clint Bowyer could do just that this weekend. He has never finished outside the top 20 at Indianapolis, and last season, he finished a career-best fourth. All three Richard Childress Racing cars finished sixth or better in the 2010 race, and Bowyer may just be the right driver on the right team to cash in despite his 25/1 odds.

Don’t get me wrong. Carl Edwards is an elite driver in the Cup Series and one of the championship favorites in 2011. That being said, his 7/1 odds to win this weekend are little generous, even for a driver of his caliber. After all, he has just one top-five finish six career starts at Indianapolis. Edwards has been very solid at the track, averaging a top-10 finish, but he hasn’t exactly been in the mix for victories on a regular basis either. Based on the odds, he is the overall favorite to win, and he simply doesn’t have the numbers to warrant the status.

It seems like all Kyle Busch does is win races, but he has never kissed the bricks in his career, and he hasn’t had a ton of success at flat tracks. Granted, he has been solid at the Brickyard, finishing in the top 10 in four of his six starts, but he has just a single top-five effort. At his 9/1 odds, Busch being favored ahead of drivers with multiple wins at the track. Bettors would be wise to trust the more proven options that are offering a bigger payoff.

Denny Hamlin has certainly done his fair share of winning the last two seasons, but the Brickyard wasn’t the site of a trip to Victory Lane. In fact, he has just two top 10s in five starts at the track and a rather mediocre 16.8 average finish. Despite his flat track success, Hamlin just hasn’t been a threat to win at Indianapolis in his career. At 12/1 odds, the potential return on investment isn’t worth the risk for bettors.

It has been a rough season for Mark Martin, but at his current 40/1 odds, he just may be the longshot bettors should back this weekend. He has finished 11th or better in his last six starts at Indianapolis, including four finishes of seventh or better. Martin has finished as high as second during the stretch, and the veteran has the experience to handle the big stage deliver a sizeable payoff.

Check out the latest 2011 Brickyard 400 odds and free tips updated daily from NSAwins.com.

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