2013-STP-400-Odds-and-Predictions2013 STP 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions – STP 400 Favorites and Sleepers to Win on April 21, 2013 at Kansas Speedway in Kansas City, Kansas: Like many 1.5-mile tracks, Kansas Speedway has high speeds and multiple grooves. That being said, the track has just a little less banking than most of the other 1.5-mile tracks, dropping the speeds just a bit and making for some scary moments for drivers sliding off the corners. Kansas has also had a knack for producing some strange moments, including a race that was suddenly called under caution because of darkness.

Last April, Martin Truex Jr. appeared to be on his way to his first win in five years. He led a race-high 173 of the 267 laps and was out front heading into the final round of pit stops. Unfortunately, the final set of tires put on Truex’s car threw off the handling just enough to open the door for Denny Hamlin. He snuck by Truex on the restart and was able to hold on to the lead and take the checkered flag.

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2013 STP 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions

The Favorites

He came into the series one year after Kansas was added to the schedule, and Jimmie Johnson has dominated the track since arriving. He leads all drivers with an 8.0 average finish, and in 13 starts, he has 11 top-10 finishes. More importantly, he has five victories, including two victories, in his last eight starts at Kansas. Johnson enters Sunday’s race as the point leader, and he could leave with another win and an even larger lead in the standings.

Although he didn’t get off to a fast start at Kansas, Matt Kenseth has been coming on strong in recent years. He has finished seventh or better in his last five starts at the track, posting a 4.5 average finish during the stretch. Last year, Kenseth finished fourth in the first race at the track and went to Victory Lane in the fall event. He already has one win at a 1.5-mile track in 2013, and he could make it two this weekend by winning back-to-back races at Kansas.

His 9.5 average finish at Kansas is the second best in the series, and Greg Biffle is no stranger to running up front at the track. In 13 career starts at Kansas, he has finished 12th or better 11 times. More importantly, he has finished in the top five seven times and has six finishes of third or better. Biffle has also been to Victory Lane twice at Kansas, and as often as he runs up front, he could add to that total this weekend.

The Dark Horses

It would be nice if Tony Stewart was running a little better heading into Sunday’s race at Kansas, but his record at Kansas still makes him an intriguing pick. In 14 starts at the track, he has finished in top 15 in all but two of his starts. Stewart also has six top-five finishes at Kansas, including a pair of wins. “Smoke” has always been a driver that starts slow and catches fire later in the year, and if he happens to wake up this weekend, he could end up in Victory Lane.

He has been up and down at Kansas the last two years, but Jeff Gordon’s career numbers at the track speak for themselves. He is a two-time winner at the track, and he has finished in the top five in eight of his 14 starts. In fact, his eight top-five finishes are the most all-time at Kansas. Gordon may not be the safest pick, but he has proven on a regular basis that he can compete for wins and seal the deal.

Sleeper Specials

His last and only Cup Series win to date came back in 2007, but Martin Truex Jr. has had several close calls lately. Two of those came at Kansas last year when he finished second in both races at the track. Truex has quietly become one of the top drivers in the series at 1.5-mile tracks, and in the last 10 races tracks with that layout, he has scored the third-most points. He is coming off a second-place finish at a Texas track last weekend that has a 1.5-mile format, and he could be right back in the mix for the win Sunday. His winless drought could be coming to an end.

Bettors looking for a serious wild card may want to take a chance on Aric Almirola at Kansas. While he has never won a race in the Cup Series, he did lead more than 60 laps at the track last fall and was fighting for the lead before wrecking and ending his day. The race was one of the few in his career when he had a car capable of winning, and heading back to the same track on the heels of a top-10 finish at similar-shaped Texas track, there has never been a better time for Almirola to make his first trip to Victory Lane.

Big Name to Avoid

Although he is a former winner at Kansas, Mark Martin just hasn’t been dialed in at the track in recent years. He has finished outside the top 10 in four of his last five starts at Kansas and outside the top 20 in three of his last four. Throw  in the fact that he hasn’t won a race since 2009, and Martin is probably going to be a waste of money for bettors this weekend.

Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2013 STP 400 odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2013 STP 400 Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!

Odds to win the 2013 STP 400
101 Jimmie Johnson +600
102 Kyle Busch +800
103 Brad Keselowski +800
104 Greg Biffle +800
105 Carl Edwards +1000
106 Matt Kenseth +1000
107 Kasey Kahne +1200
108 Dale Earnhardt Jr +1200
109 Jeff Gordon +1200
110 Clint Bowyer +1500
111 Martin Truex Jr +1500
112 Kevin Harvick +1500
113 Tony Stewart +2000
114 Brian Vickers +2500
115 Mark Martin +3000
116 Joey Logano +3000
117 Ryan Newman +5000
118 Field +1200

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