2011 Aaron’s 499 Picks: Betting on Underdogs for Big Payoffs – How to Bet on the 2011 Aaron’s 499: Two tracks on the schedule have produced more upset winners than all the rest put together. One of those tracks is Daytona, and it lived up to its reputation in the season opener with rookie Trevor Bayne getting to victory lane. The other track is Talladega Superspeedway, and the longest track in NASCAR will get its chance to put an underdog in Victory Lane this weekend. Bettors should be smiling because Sunday’s race is a golden opportunity to make a lot of cash fast.
Despite having the best average finish among active drivers at Talladega, Brad Keselowski is a 40/1 longshot at BetUS Sportsbook to win this weekend. Most weeks he deserves such odds, but it is tough to argue with his success at Talladega. In four career starts, he has three top-10 finishes.
More importantly, he is a former winner at the track. In fact, he went to Victory Lane in his Talladega debut. He has gone on to score a win at the track in the Nationwide Series as well. In other words, Keselowski isn’t a one-hit wonder at the track. If he adds to his already impressive Talladega resume this weekend, bettors will definitely want to get a piece of the action.
Another driver that should catch the eye of bettors is Regan Smith. It’s not often that a guy getting 60/1 odds deserves serious consideration, but Smith is an exception. He finished a career-best 12th at Talladega last fall, and he would have won the fall event in 2008 if not for a controversial penalty call by NASCAR. Smith crossed the line first, but he was given the black flag for passing below the yellow lone on the final lap.
Smith also had one of the top cars during Speedweeks to open the year. He was in the mix for a win in the Daytona 500 all afternoon until a late wreck dropped him outside the top-20. Despite the damage, he still recovered to finish in the top-10. NASCAR is bringing the same rules package to Talladega that was used at Daytona, which means Smith could be a legitimate contender once again.
View the updated vegas betting lines and predictions to win the 2011 Aaron’s 499 for this Sunday, April 17, 2011 at Talladega Superspeedway in Talladega, Alabama.
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