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ESPN Monday Night NFL Picks: Chicago Bears @ Philadelphia Eagles Odds and Predictions Week 9 – Free NFL Picks 11/7/11

Monday Night NFL Picks: Chicago Bears @ Philadelphia Eagles Monday Night NFL Week 9 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ESPN 11/7/11: Last year, the Chicago Bears and Philadelphia Eagles were champions of their respective divisions. This season, both franchises are fighting for their playoffs live as Chicago (4-3) goes on the road to face Philadelphia (3-4) Monday night. Neither team can afford a loss, with the Bears trailing both the undefeated Green Bay Packers and the surprising Detroit Lions in the NFC North and the Eagles looking up at the New York Giants. Coming off an impressive 34-7 win against the Dallas Cowboys, Philadelphia is a 7 ½-point favorite for Monday’s meeting.

SBG Global Sportsbook

In past years, a meeting between these two teams has been a battle between the explosive Philadelphia and the fierce Chicago defense. However, the Bears defense has been looking a little long in the tooth this season. Chicago’s secondary has been exposed repeatedly, ranking among the five worst in the NFL and giving up more than 270 yards a game through the air. The normally stout run defense has remained solid, but at 12th in the league, it is by no means elite. Not to mention the fact that the Bears have surrendered 24 points or more in four of their seven games this year.

Meanwhile, the Eagles offense has remained as explosive as ever. While turnovers in the red zone have led to some late game collapses, the Philadelphia offense is still dangerous. The Eagles own the top rushing attack in the NFL, piling up 180 yards per game on the ground. They also rank in the top 10 in terms of passing yards per game at just under 270 a contest. Michael Vick has been a big part of the success, doing plenty of damage with both his arm and his legs, but running back LeSean McCoy has been the workhorse. He has 754 yards and eight touchdowns, averaging more 5.6 yards a carry. Last weekend, McCoy ran wild on the top-ranked Dallas run defense, and that could spell serious trouble for the declining Chicago defense.

The X-factor for Chicago will likely be running back Matt Forte. He is the team’s leading rusher and receiver, piling up more than 1,000 yards from scrimmage already. The Eagles have had serious problems stopping the run this season, and if Forte can control the game on the ground for Chicago, the high-powered Philadelphia offense will be sitting on the sidelines. A slower pace and a lower score favor Chicago.

For the Eagles, their blitz-happy defensive system could pay huge dividends. After all, the Bears have had serious issues protecting quarterback Jay Cutler, and Cutler’s tendency to hold the ball a long time doesn’t help matters. If the sacks start to pile up, Forte becomes less effective and the chances of Cutler turning the ball over skyrocket. Giving Vick and company additional chances to score is a recipe for disaster.

In the end, the Eagles likely have too many offensive weapons for the Bears to keep pace. The Chicago defense is no longer a unit that completely shuts down opposing offenses, and the balanced, explosive attack of Philadelphia should be able to put up some points. While Forte should have a strong game, the Bears’ offensive line issues will take a toll in the long run.  The Eagles have hit their stride after a slow start, and it will show on the scoreboard Monday night.

Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles (-7 ½) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Philadelphia Eagles -7.5

SBG Global Sportsbook

Week 9 NFL Football: Chicago Bears @ Philadelphia Eagles
Date: 11/7/011
Time: 8:35 PM EST on ESPN
Vegas Odds Favorite: Philadelphia -8 Total: Over/Under 47

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Week 9 Sunday Night NFL Picks: Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 11/6/11

Week 9 Free NFL Picks: Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers Sunday Night NFL Week 9 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on NBC 11/6/11: Way back in Week 1, the Baltimore Ravens (5-2) annihilated their AFC North rivals the Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2) by a score of 35-7. A lot has changed since that game, and while the Steelers enter Sunday’s rematch in Pittsburgh with a four-game winning streak, the Ravens are coming off a narrow victory against the Arizona Cardinals last weekend and a loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars two weeks ago. The top spot in the division is up for grabs, and with momentum is on Pittsburgh’s side, the Steelers are 3 ½-point favorites.

Defense has been the calling card for both teams this season. The Ravens and Steelers rank first and second in terms of yards allowed per game, and they rank second and third in terms of points allowed. Pittsburgh boasts the top passing defense in the NFL, along with the eighth-best rushing defense. Meanwhile, Baltimore ranks third against both the run and pass. While the units are more or less even, the Ravens do hold a significant edge when it comes to forcing turnovers. Baltimore has seven interceptions and 14 forced fumbles on the year compared to just two interceptions and three forced fumbles for the Steelers.

The biggest difference between this weekend’s game and the season opener is the play of Pittsburgh quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. After struggling early in the year, Roethlisberger has found his rhythm in recent weeks as the Steelers have transitioned from a power running team to a pass-first team.  He has thrown 11 touchdowns and just two interceptions during the four-game winning streak, topping 350 yards in his last two starts. Baltimore feasted on turnovers in the Week 1 win, but with the way Roethlisberger is playing, the chances of a repeat are slim.

While Roethlisberger is riding a hot streak, Baltimore QB Joe Flacco has been regressing. In his last four games, he has just a single touchdown pass compared to four interceptions. He has thrown one interception in every game during the stretch. Flacco’s life isn’t like to get any easier this weekend against a Steelers’ defense that just shut down Tom Brady and the New England Patriots’ second-ranked passing attack.

With Flacco likely having little impact, the Ravens’ chances will hinge on the play of running back Ray Rice. However, Rice hasn’t exactly been living up to his reputation either. His best game of the season came in the opener against the Steelers, and he has just two 100-yard games all year. He does have five rushing scores, but three came last weekend against a porous Arizona defense. Unless he can match his performance from the Week 1 win, the Ravens could have trouble scoring points Sunday.

Despite the one-sided result the first time these teams met, Sunday’s game should be much more of an even-matched, defensive battle. In the end, the Roethlisberger and his trio of big play receivers give the Steelers a scoring punch that the Ravens simply don’t have, especially when Flacco is struggling. Not to mention the fact that the Steelers will be out to exact some revenge on a heated rival that embarrassed them earlier in the year. Pittsburgh may not be able to return the favor in such a dominating fashion, but they should be able to come away with the victory and cover the small spread.

Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers (-3 ½) Cover the Spread

Week 9 NFL Football: Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Date: 11/6/011
Time: 8:30 PM EST on NBC
Vegas Odds Favorite: Pittsburgh -3.5 Total: Over/Under 42

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Week 9 NFL Picks: Green Bay Packers @ San Diego Chargers Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 11/6/11

Week 9 Free NFL Picks: Green Bay Packers @ San Diego Chargers NFL Week 9 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on FOX 11/6/11: The defending Super Bowl champion Green Bay Packers (7-0) will try to keep their perfect season intact Sunday when the go on the road to face the San Diego Chargers (4-3). The Chargers have dropped two straight after a hot start and will need to pull off an upset of the Packers or risk falling further behind in the AFC West race. Despite playing at home, San Diego is a 5 ½-point underdog in this weekend’s matchup.

SBG Global Sportsbook

At the center of this game will be the high-powered Green Bay passing attack and the stingy San Diego pass defense. The Packers are third in the NFL in terms of passing yards per game, while the Chargers are giving up the fourth-fewest passing yards per game. Needless to say, the team that can better assert their strength will have the inside track to a victory.

Given the way Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers is playing, the Packers certainly have a good chance of getting the job done. If the season ended today, Rodgers would likely be a runaway choice for MVP. He has more than 2,300 yards already and has 20 touchdowns compared to just three interceptions. The fact that he completes 71.5 percent of his passes is just icing on the cake. Rodgers is on a record-breaking pace, and there is no guarantee that the stout San Diego secondary is going to be able to slow him down.

That being said, Chargers’ QB Phillip Rivers should have a chance to put up some points of his own against a Packers’ secondary that ranks second last in the NFL in terms of yards allowed. Granted, the poor numbers are somewhat of a product of teams always playing from behind and being forced to throw. However, this is not a unit that has been able to stop the better passing attacks in the league this season.

Of course, it is up for debate whether or not the Chargers’ offense should be considered one of the better passing attacks. San Diego does rank sixth in terms of passing yards per game, but Rivers has been plagued by turnovers all season. Aside from his devastating fumble at the end of last weekend’s loss to Kansas City, he has also thrown 11 interceptions compared to just seven touchdowns. The yardage is nice, but it means nothing if he can’t finish off drives. Not to mention the fact that turning the ball over against the Packers is a recipe for a blowout.

Rivers’ issues could be exacerbated by an injury to running back Ryan Matthews. With their run game weakened, the Chargers will have to lean on Rivers. This will allow a potent Green Bay pass rush to unleash its numerous blitz packages. Rivers has been having trouble throwing the ball to the right team when he has time to set his feet and scan the field. Things could get ugly if he has to operate with a pocket that is collapsing on him.

This game really couldn’t come at a worse time for San Diego. The Chargers have lost two in a row, Matthews is banged up, and Rivers is playing with zero confidence. Meanwhile, the Packers have had a bye week to rest up and prepare. Rodgers simply has too many weapons at his disposal to be held in check, and Charles Woodson, Clay Matthews and the rest of the Green Bay defense will be chomping at the bit to take advantage of the turnover prone San Diego offense. If Rivers had his act together, this would be a potentially great game. As it stands, it will likely be a one-sided affair.

Prediction: Green Bay Packers (-5 ½) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Green Bay -5.5

Week 9 NFL Football: Green Bay Packers @ San Diego Chargers
Date: 11/6/011
Time: 4:15 PM EST on FOX
Vegas Odds Favorite: Green bay -5.5 | Total: Over/Under 51

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Week 9 Sunday NFL Picks: New York Giants @ New England Patriots Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 11/6/11

Week 9 Free NFL Picks: New York Giants @ New England Patriots NFL Week 9 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on FOX 11/6/11: For the first time since XLII, the New York Giants and New England Patriots will meet in a game that counts for something. In many ways, little has changed since the Giants’ stunning upset of the then-undefeated Patriots. Both franchises continue to be contenders in their respective divisions on a regular basis, and both teams currently sit atop their divisions with identical 5-2 records. Despite being equal in the win-loss column, New England is a nine-point favorite in Foxboro.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Two of the best passing attacks in the NFL will face off in this one. The Patriots rank second in passing yards per game, averaging almost 325 yards. The Giants rank fourth, putting up nearly 290 yards per game through the air. While it is no surprise that defending MVP Tom Brady has been putting up incredible numbers, the consistent play of Giants’ QB Eli Manning has been a stark contrast from his usual rollercoaster play. The last time Manning played at a high level on a weekly basis, New York won the Super Bowl, and his play is the main reason the Giants currently lead the NFC East. Brady is still the more proven option, but Manning can keep pace with just about anybody when he is dialed in.

He should have plenty of opportunities to stay hot this weekend. New England’s secondary has been gashed all year, and the Patriots rank dead last in terms of passing yards allowed. Even with his top target Hakeem Nicks expected miss a game with an injury, Manning could still have a big day. Receivers Victor Cruz and Mario Manningham have been deep threat options all season, and big plays have burned the Patriots all year. Last weekend, Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers’ receivers torched New England’s corners. It could be déjà vu this weekend.

Of course, Brady and the New England offense have more than enough firepower to keep pace. The Giants have been good but not great against the pass, and the Patriots will be the defense’s toughest test to date. With star receiver Wes Welker doing damage out of the slot and tight ends Aaron Hernandez and Rob Gronkowski creating mismatches, Brady has been able to pick apart opposing defenses all year. The Giants’ secondary is a little banged up, and Brady and company should be in for a bounceback game after struggling in Pittsburgh.

The X-factor will likely be the play of the Giants’ defensive line. New York is one of the few teams in the NFL that can put pressure on opposing quarterbacks by rushing just four defenders. New York used this ability to their advantage in its Super Bowl victory and will likely try to do the same Sunday. If the Giants can pressure Brady with just four pass rushers, the secondary has a much better chance of containing the Patriots’ passing attack.

New York is banged up entering the game, with running back Ahmad Bradshaw joining Nicks on the list of players not likely to suit up. Brandon Jacobs will replace Bradshaw in the backfield just a few weeks removed from a knee injury that had sidelined him. He won’t be asked to do a lot, but Jacobs has to at least keep the New England defense honest in order to keep the heat of Manning.

In the end, Brady and Manning could end up leading a back-and-forth affair. Both offenses on the field are far superior than the defenses they will be facing. While New York’s pass rush could give Brady some trouble, the Giants’ defense as a whole isn’t stout enough to contain the New England offense. Not to mention the fact that the injuries on New York’s offense will have some impact. Brady is approaching 40 straight regular season home wins, and that streak probably won’t end Sunday. That being said, New England’s pass defense is just too porous to cover such a large spread.

Prediction: New York Giants (+9) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: New York Giants +9

Week 9 NFL Football: New York Giants @ New England Patriots
Date: 11/6/011
Time: 4:15 PM EST on FOX
Vegas Odds Favorite: New England -9 | Total: Over/Under 51

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Week 9 Sunday NFL Picks: NY Jets @ Buffalo Bills Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 11/6/11

Week 9 Free NFL Picks: New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills NFL Week 9 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on CBS 11/6/11: Two serious contenders in the AFC East meet this Sunday when the New York Jets (4-3) visit the Buffalo Bills (5-2). The fact that the Bills are one of the top teams in the AFC is just as surprising as the fact that the Jets aren’t. After reach the AFC Championship Game in consecutive years, New York was supposed to be a Super Bowl threat. Meanwhile, the Bills were expected to finish near the bottom of the league as they have for the better part of the decade. That has been far from the case, and while the Bills will try to stay hot, the Jets enter Sunday’s matchup in need of a win as they try to claw back from a slow start. Playing at home, Buffalo is a 2 ½-point favorite against their division rivals.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Although the Jets have a modest two-game winning streak, it is tough to ignore the fact that they are 0-3 on the road this season. For whatever reason, the New York defense has been gashed away from home, giving up 30 or more points in all three losses. Rex Ryan and his staff will have to find a way to remedy the problem this weekend if the Jets have any chance of knocking off a Buffalo team with an explosive offense.

The sudden of emergence of running back Fred Jackson and quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick has transformed the Bills’ offense. Jackson is on pace for more than 1,500 yards on the ground and more than 2,000 yards from scrimmage. Meanwhile, Fitzpatrick has quietly emerged as a franchise-type QB, and he is completing nearly 68 percent of his passes and is on pace for more than 30 touchdowns.

While Fitzpatrick and the passing game could struggle against the Darrelle Revis and the Jets’ seventh-ranked pass defense, Jackson could be in line for a big day. New York currently ranks 25th in the NFL against the run, allowing more than 125 rushing yards per game. The Bills have the fifth-best rushing attack in football, averaging more than 140 yards per contest. It is a mismatch on paper, and it could be a defining factor in Sunday’s game.

Of course, the Buffalo defense hasn’t exactly been stifling opponents. The Bills rank 20th or worse against both the pass and the run, which means the Jets’ offense could have some scoring opportunities. In particular, New York needs to continue to establish the ground game. After struggling early in the year, Shonn Greene is finally showing the form that made him a playoff star. Coming off his best game of the year last weekend, Greene could continue to roll against the porous Bills’ defense.

The X-factor will likely be New York QB Mark Sanchez. He has struggled in terms of completion percentage and on deeper throws, but he has become more efficient as the ground game has improved. If Sanchez keeps his turnovers to a minimum and manages the game, New York can win the game. If Sanchez ends up throwing every down, the Jets could struggle.

In the end, the balanced offensive attack of Buffalo should be the difference. Revis will likely take receiver Stevie Johnson out of the game, but Fitzpatrick has other viable options, including Jackson out of the backfield. Even though the Jets’ offensive attack has been improving lately, it has shown no signs of being able to win a high-scoring game. Throw in New York’s issues on the road stopping the run, and Jackson and the Bill’s ground game should keep Buffalo atop the AFC East.

Prediction: Buffalo Bills (-2 ½) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Buffalo -2.5

Week 9 NFL Football: New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills
Date: 11/6/011
Time: 1 PM EST on CBS
Vegas Odds Favorite: Buffalo -2.5 | Total: Over/Under 45

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