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ESPN Monday Night NFL Picks: San Diego Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs and Predictions Week 8 – Free NFL Picks 10/31/11

Monday Night NFL Picks: San Diego Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs Monday Night NFL Week 8 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ESPN 10/31/11: Two of the contenders for the AFC West crown will go head to head Monday night when the San Diego Chargers (4-2) visit the Kansas City Chiefs (3-3). The teams are heading in opposite directions entering the meeting, with the Chargers coming odd a second half collapse against the New York Jets and the Chiefs riding a three-game winning streak. As a result, the top spot in the division will be on the line Monday night. Despite playing at home, the Chiefs are three-point underdogs.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Kansas City deserves a lot of credit for even being back in contention for the division title. With a sputtering offense, the Chiefs could have folded when star running back Jamaal Charles went down for the year with a knee injury. Instead, Kansas City has refocused its offensive philosophy, turning to quarterback Matt Cassel to lead the team. He has five touchdowns compared to just two interceptions during the team’s three-game winning streak.

That being said, he could find it tough to continue his recent run of success. The San Diego secondary has been stout all season, giving up less than 180 yards per game during this year. The Chargers rank third in the NFL in that category. The silver lining for Cassel and the Chiefs’ passing attack is that San Diego has allowed 10 touchdown passes through the air. Despite limiting yardage as well as any team in football, the Chargers have been vulnerable on the scoreboard, and that is all that counts in the end. Kansas City receiver Dwayne Bowe could be particularly effective in the red zone because of his size.

Of course, San Diego can put points on the board as well. Quarterback Philip Rivers has been piling up yards all season, although he has been more turnover prone than in past years. He should have plenty of opportunities to make big plays Monday night against a Kansas City secondary that has surrendered the third-most passing touchdowns in the NFL. Not to mention the fact that the Chiefs don’t pressure the QB either, averaging just a single sack per game. Rivers should have plenty of time to pick apart the Kansas City defense, which could mean big games for both receiver Vincent Jackson and tight end Antonio Gates.

The X-factor in the game could be the running backs for either side. Ryan Matthews will be the full-time back for the Chargers because of an injury to Mike Tolbert, and his versatility could give the Chiefs’ problems. Matthews is one of the better backs in the league at catching the ball out of the backfield, which will put even more stress on the Kansas City secondary. Meanwhile, the Chiefs use a running back by committee approach with veteran Thomas Jones and newcomer Jackie Battle carrying the ball between the tackles and the speedy Dexter McCluster serving as the third-down back. The depth at the position has allowed the Chiefs to wear down opponents as the game wears on, which could be a problem for the Chargers considering their poor performance in the second half last weekend.

In the end, momentum could play a huge role. Rivers and the Chargers have both been shaky lately in the second half of games, while the Chiefs have been firing on all cylinders on both sides of the ball. On paper, San Diego has the more talented roster, but Kansas City is the hotter team. Throw in one of the best home field advantages in the NFL, and bettors have to like backing an underdog at home that has won three straight.

Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs (+3) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Kansas City +3

SBG Global Sportsbook

Week 8 NFL Football: San Diego Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs
Date: 10/31/011
Time: 8:35 PM EST on ESPN
Vegas Odds Favorite: San Diego -3Total: Over/Under 44.5

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Posted in NFLComments Off on ESPN Monday Night NFL Picks: San Diego Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs and Predictions Week 8 – Free NFL Picks 10/31/11

Week 8 Sunday NFL Picks: New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 10/30/11

Week 8 Free NFL Picks: New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Week 8 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on CBS 10/30/11: The two dominant franchises in the NFL the last decade have been the New England Patriots and the Pittsburgh Steelers. Not much has changed this year as the Patriots (5-1) travel to Pittsburgh to face the Steelers (5-2) this Sunday. The game could be a potential preview of the AFC Championship Game or at the very least, a playoff matchup. Coming off a bye week, New England is a two-point favorite in this weekend’s meeting.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Overall, the Steelers have been excellent at home, losing just five times in their last 21 games. However, the Patriots have made themselves at home at Heinz Field. With Tom Brady under center, New England has won four of its five games in Pittsburgh. That record includes a 13-point win last season, along with two conference title game victories.

Despite the one-sided results, both Brady and Pittsburgh quarterback Ben Roethlisberger have enjoyed plenty of success in the series. That trend could continue this weekend. After all, Roethlisberger will be facing a Patriots defense that ranks dead last against the pass. In contrast, the Steelers’ defense is actually the best at stopping the pass. However, Brady and the Patriots own the top passing attack in the NFL, and the stout Pittsburgh secondary has proven no match for the defending MVP in past meetings.

For New England, the tight end duo of Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez could be the X-factor. Gronkowski was actually on the receiving end of three Brady touchdown passes in last year’s win against the Steelers, and his role in the offense has only expanded this season. Meanwhile, Hernandez has used his deceptive speed to emerge as a deep threat from the tight end spot. He has been clutch as well, including grabbing the game-winning pass against the Dallas Cowboys two weeks ago. There just aren’t any other teams that have a pair of tight ends that are as talented in terms of running routes and catching the ball, which makes game-planning for the Patriots next to impossible.

The Steelers’ main advantage could come from their receiving core and its ability to stretch the field. Mike Wallace is a household name, but Antonio Brown and Emmanuel Sanders have speed to spare as well. Against a porous New England secondary, Roethlisberger should have plenty of opportunities to connect on big plays and put points on the board in a hurry. Barring horrible weather conditions, Sunday’s game has a chance to be a high-scoring affair.

On paper, the Steelers would seem to have the advantage thanks to their superb defense against the pass. However, stopping Brady and stopping every other QB in the league are two totally different tasks. The Steelers should put up plenty of points against the Patriots, but Brady and his seemingly endless arsenal of weapons should have no problem keeping pace. This game should be close, and come crunch time, there is nobody better than Brady. Roethlisberger has accomplished a lot in his own right, but Brady is still in a class by himself and has absolutely owned the Steelers. With such a small spread, any type of late drive by Brady should result in a cover.

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: New England -2.5

Week 8 NFL Football: New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Date: 10/30/011
Time: 4:15 PM EST on CBS
Vegas Odds Favorite: New England -2.5 | Total: Over/Under 52

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Posted in NFLComments Off on Week 8 Sunday NFL Picks: New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 10/30/11


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