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Week 16 Monday Night NFL Picks: Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 12/26/11

Monday Night NFL Picks: Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints Monday Night NFL Week 16 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ESPN 12/26/11: One of the up-and-coming rivalries in the NFL will add another chapter Monday night when the Atlanta Falcons (9-5) visit the Superdome to face the New Orleans Saints (11-3). The two teams finished first and second in the NFC South last season, and they are going to do the same again this year. New Orleans can wrap up the division with a win Monday, but the defending NFC South champion Falcons would love to delay the celebration and keep their hopes of a repeat alive. The game should feature the intense, playoff-like atmosphere that comes when two strong teams go head to head. That being said, the Saints are seven-point favorites on their home turf.

SBG Global Sportsbook

When the two teams got together earlier this year, it took overtime to decide the outcome. New Orleans left Atlanta with a 26-23 victory thanks a finish that nobody saw coming. After rallying late to tie the game, the Falcons faced a fourth-and-one situation in overtime in their own territory. Atlanta coach Mike Smith made the call to go for it, and after running back Michael Turner was stuffed in the backfield, the Saints quickly converted the turnover into a game-winning field goal. It was the third straight game between the two teams decided by three points and the second decided in overtime.

Both teams enter the matchup with plenty of momentum. New Orleans has won its last six games, while Atlanta has won four its last five. Offensively, both sides are balanced as far as the numbers are concerned, despite the Saints being a pass-heavy team and the Falcons being a run-first team. The different approaches have both been effective, and both teams rank in the top 10 in the NFL in points scored. The Saints have the edge in terms of production, scoring more than 32 points a game, which is second only to the Green Bay Packers.

Not surprisingly, the powerful offenses are guided by two of the best quarterbacks in the game today. New Orleans’ Drew Brees is having a career year and is on pace to top 40 touchdowns and to shatter Dan Marino’s single-season record for passing yards. Meanwhile, Atlanta’s Matt Ryan continues on the path to stardom, and he is looking at a 4,000-plus yard, 30-plus touchdown season. Both players have plenty of weapons to work with, including excellent options at receiver and tight end. Considering both defenses struggle to defend the pass, Brees and Ryan could be part of a shootout Monday night.

The X-factor in the matchup could be Atlanta receiver Julio Jones. The speedy rookie is as healthy as he has been in several weeks, and he is starting to make big plays in the passing game. Jones has more than 700 receiving yards on the year and is averaging 18.0 yards per reception. He is the one player on the Atlanta offense capable of turning any play into a score, and facing a New Orleans team known for explosive plays on offense, Jones quick strike ability could come in handy.

Despite all the firepower on offense, meetings between these two teams have had a way of being controlled and close the past two years. It’s worth noting that neither team has cracked the 30-point mark in the last three meetings. Atlanta does a good job of using Turner and the ground game to take the air out of the ball and limit the Saints’ time of possession. Meanwhile, New Orleans has been unable to pull away even after building early leads. As good as the Saints have been at home this season, especially on offense, history says this game is going down to the wire. Seven points is simply too much.

Prediction: Atlanta Falcons (+7) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Atlanta +7

SBG Global Sportsbook

Week 16 NFL Football: Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints
Date: 12/26/011
Time: 8:35 PM EST on ESPN
Vegas Odds Favorite: New Orleans -7 Total: Over/Under 52.5

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Week 16 Sunday Night NFL Picks: Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 12/25/11

Week 16 Free NFL Picks: Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers NFL Week 16 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on NBC 12/25/11: A few months ago, a meeting between NFC North rivals Chicago and Green Bay seemed like a potential playoff preview. However, a rash of injuries has since caused the Bears to drop four straight games and fall to 7-7. Heck, the Packers aren’t even undefeated anymore after last weekend’s loss in Kansas City dropped them to 13-1. In short, the juice has been squeezed out of this matchup, but at least the long-standing hatred between the two franchises could lead to some hard hitting. That being said, there is a real chance this game could be less than competitive, and Green Bay is a 12-point favorite.

SBG Global Sportsbook

The trouble all started for the Bears when starting quarterback Jay Cutler went down with a thumb injury. Chicago was rolling at the time, winning five straight games, but the winning stopped when Cutler went down. Backup Caleb Haine has thrown nine interceptions in four games, and the Bears have scored 14 points or less in three of the outings. To make matters worse, workhorse running back Matt Forte suffered a knee injury two games after Cutler, taking away the strength of the Chicago offense. While the injuries to two key players make the Bears’ struggles understandable, it doesn’t make Chicago anymore attractive from a betting standpoint.

After all, Green Bay has already beaten the Bears with both Cutler and Forte healthy. In fact, the Packers went to Chicago and knocked off the Bears by 10 points. With that in mind, the 12-point spread for this weekend’s meeting doesn’t seem all that intimidating. Without Cutler and Forte and playing on the road, Chicago’s 10-point loss earlier in the season could easily approach blowout status this time around.

Even if the Chicago offense was intact, the problem of stopping the Packers’ offense still remains. Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers is carving up every secondary he has faced, and the Bears rank 27th in the NFL against the pass. Rodgers tossed three touchdowns against Chicago in Green Bay’s Week 3 victory, and a repeat performance is certainly within reach. Throw in the fact that the Packers are coming off their first loss of the year, and Rodgers and company will be even more motivated to bounce back. It is hard to imagine a scenario where the struggling Bears’ secondary can keep Green Bay from putting up plenty of points.

If Chicago does have an edge, it is the fact that the team literally has nothing to lose. The Bears’ two best offensive weapons are out, backup running back Marion Barber is hurt as well, and game-changing kick returner Devin Hester is hobbled and might miss the game. There is no reason the Packers shouldn’t control this game from start to finish, but getting overconfident can get any team beat.

In the end, last weekend’s loss may have been a blessing in disguise for the Packers. A possible trap game against a weakened division rival has suddenly turned into a revenge game. With the pressure of playing for a perfect season out of the way, Green Bay can get back to doing what it does best, scoring points on offense and creating turnovers on defense. The Packers should be able to do both against a bad Chicago secondary and a Bears’ offense that has been in shambles for the last month.

Prediction: Green Bay Packers (-12) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Green Bay -12

Week 16 NFL Football: Chicago @ Green Bay
Date: 12/25/011
Time: 8:30 PM EST on NBC
Vegas Odds Favorite: Green Bay -12 | Total: Over/Under 42/5

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Posted in NFLComments Off on Week 16 Sunday Night NFL Picks: Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 12/25/11

Week 16 NFL Picks: Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 12/24/11

Week 16 Free NFL Picks: Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys NFL Week 16 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on FOX 12/24/11: A month ago, the Philadelphia Eagles were in disarray, Michael Vick was hurt, and many were wondering if Andy Reid was going to be fired as coach. However, two straight wins have the Eagles at 6-8 and still alive in the wild NFC East. Philadelphia can take another step toward a division title this weekend when the head to Dallas to face the Cowboys (8-6). Dallas is still in control of its own destiny regardless of the outcome of this matchup, but a loss to Philadelphia certainly adds a lot of pressure on Jerry Jones’ team. Despite playing at home and leading the division, Dallas is favored by just a single point.

SBG Global Sportsbook

The small spread is likely a direct result of the 34-7 dismantling the Eagles delivered when the two teams went to Philadelphia. In that meeting, Eagles’ running back LeSean McCoy ran for a season-high 185 yards, and Vick completed 21 of his 28 pass attempts. In short, it was probably the best game Philadelphia has played all year on both sides of the ball, which as to scare Dallas.

If the Cowboys are going to reverse the outcome this time around, they have to slow down McCoy. For the year, Dallas ranks seventh against the run, but the unit had no answer for the Eagles’ ground attack in the first meeting. When McCoy is effective, it opens up the play-action passing game for Philadelphia, which allows Vick to take advantage of his speedy receivers. The Dallas secondary has been mediocre at best this year, and unless Vick is forced into obvious passing downs, another gashing could be in the works.

While the defense is an area of concern for the Cowboys, they have to play better on offense than they did in Philadelphia. A seven-point output is unacceptable for a team that ranks in the top 10 in passing yards per game and 11th in rushing yards. Quarterback Tony Romo is having another strong season, and while the Eagles’ secondary is loaded with stars, the Cowboys have the weapons at receiver to still be effective through the air. Dallas has to get the better of the matchup in order to be successful.

The X-factor in the game could end up being players that won’t even be on the field. Dallas is dealing with several key injuries. Running back DeMarco Murray is out for the year, and backup Felix Jones is dealing with a hamstring problem. Dallas doesn’t have to run the ball to score points, but it would certainly help against a solid Philadelphia secondary. Throw in the fact that star pass rusher DeMarcus Ware is bothered by a neck issue, and the Cowboys will be hurting on both sides of the ball.

In the end, the Eagles may not be able to make the playoffs, but they have been given an unexpected second chance. The self-titled “Dream Team” has underachieved thus far, but Vick and company have momentum when it matters most. The Cowboys will be better prepared than they were in the first meeting, but the fact is that they just don’t match up well with the Eagles. All the injuries will add up for Dallas, and Romo won’t be able to do enough to save the day.

Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles (+1) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Eagles +1

Week 16 NFL Football: Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys
Date: 12/24/011
Time: 1:00 PM EST on FOX
Vegas Odds Favorite: Dallas -1 | Total: Over/Under 50.5

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Week 16 NFL Picks: New York Giants @ New York Jets Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 12/24/11

Week 16 Free NFL Picks: New York Giants @ New York Jets NFL Week 16 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on FOX 12/24/11: It’s not often that a team plays a road game at their home stadium, but that is exactly the scenario facing the New York Giants (7-7) this Saturday when the face the New York Jets (8-6). While the odd scenario is worth noting, this matchup is all about playoff aspirations for both teams. The Giants need a win to stay in the hunt in the NFC East, while the Jets need to win to bolster their chances of grabbing a wildcard spot in the AFC. For all intents and purposes, Saturday’s meeting is a must-win game for both sides. The Jets are the slight favorites, giving 2 ½-points as the home team in this one.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Not only are both teams in desperate need of a win, but both enter this weekend’s contest coming off ugly losses as well. The Giants played sloppy on their way to being upset by the Washington Redskins, while the Jets were dismantled by the Eagles. Defense was a major area of concern for both sides in the defeats, and the offenses didn’t look much better. The silver ling is that this time around, one of the New York teams has to win, even if both sides struggle again.

At the heart of the matchup will be the play of Giants’ QB Eli Manning against the Jets’ secondary. Manning is having a career year, having already topped 4,300 yards passing. He and the Giants rank third in the NFL in passing yards per game, but the Jets rank seventh when it comes to stopping the pass. Throw in the fact that the Giants haven’t been able to run the ball effectively all season, and it is crucial for their chances that Manning has a strong outing.

While the Giants have been one dimensional on offense, it can be argued that the Jets have been inept at times. Running back Shonn Greene has shown some signs of life lately, but the normally powerful running attack of the Jets has been inefficient all year. Meanwhile, quarterback Mark Sanchez has continued to have issues with completion percentage and turnovers, and the problems have been amplified when the ground game has faltered. The Giants can still put plenty of pressure on opposing signal callers, and if Sanchez is forced to shoulder the load, the Giants defensive linemen could start piling up sacks.

For the Giants, receivers Hakeem Nicks and Victor Cruz will be the likely X-factors. Both players have at least 70 catches and more than 1,000 yards, and both have the speed to make big plays. However, drops have plagued the dup at times, and with star cornerback Darrelle Revis waiting this weekend, Nicks and Cruz will need to take advantage of every opportunity they get to make a big play. The Giants’ chances depend on it.

Meanwhile, Jets’ receiver Santonio Holmes has to step up and deliver in order for his team to win. He does have eight touchdowns on the year, but nagging injuries and a bad attitude have limited his upside. Holmes is a proven option in the clutch, but he has yet to establish himself as a dominant target. The Giants secondary can be porous at times, and Holmes needs to take advantage to help out Sanchez and the Jets’ offense.

In the end, the Giants ability to rush the passer on defense and Manning’s ability to stretch the field on offense should be the difference. Sanchez lacks poise in the pocket, and the pass rush of the Giants will exploit the weakness and possibly force some big mistakes. Meanwhile, Manning is playing at the highest level of his career, and he should be able to find some holes in a Jets defense that is good but no longer elite.

Prediction: New York Giants (+3) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: NY Giants +3

Week 16 NFL Football: NY Giants @ NY Jets
Date: 12/24/011
Time: 1:00 PM EST on FOX
Vegas Odds Favorite: New York Jets -3 | Total: Over/Under 46.5

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