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Week 15 Monday Night NFL Picks: Pittsburgh Steelers @ San Francisco 49ers Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 12/19/11

Monday Night NFL Picks: Pittsburgh Steelers @ San Francisco 49ers Monday Night NFL Week 15 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ESPN 12/19/11: After a couple of lackluster Monday night matchups, two of the top teams in the league will meet this week. The NFC West champion San Francisco 49ers (10-3) will host the Pittsburgh Steelers (10-3), and both teams have a lot on the line. San Francisco needs to win to secure a first-round bye in the playoffs, while Pittsburgh needs to win to keep its AFC North title hopes alive. There should be a playoff-type atmosphere for this one, and the 49ers are three-point favorites playing at home.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Offensively, the two teams are polar opposites. San Francisco is a power running team, ranking seventh in the NFL. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh likes to stretch the field with a spread passing attack that ranks ninth in the league. While each side clearly prefers one style of offense, the edge in balance goes to the Steelers. Although Pittsburgh is a mediocre running team at best, the 49ers rank 29th when it comes to passing the ball. If either side can force the other to become one dimensional, Pittsburgh has a slight edge.

While both teams differ in their offensive philosophy, they share a common ground on defense. The Steelers’ unit ranks first against the pass and sixth against the run, and the 49ers rank first against the run. In fact, the 49ers have yet to surrender a rushing touchdown this season. The difference is that San Francisco is just mediocre against the pass, which could haunt them against Pittsburgh and quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. Even though he is dealing with an ankle injury, Roethlisberger is still a threat throwing the ball. San Francisco will likely blitz to try to exploit Roethlisberger’s lack of mobility, but that strategy could provide the Steelers with some big play opportunities.

For San Francisco, establishing running back Frank Gore will be crucial. The 49ers’ quarterback Alex Smith has been solid managing games, but he hasn’t been asked to go out and throw for 300-plus yards per game. The Steelers have an excellent all-around defense, and that includes shutting down the run. If San Francisco is forced to abandon the run and rely heavily on Smith and the passing game, Pittsburgh’s defense could turn a tight game into a blowout thanks to sacks and turnovers.

The X-factor in the game will likely be the Steelers’ speedy receivers Antonio Brown and Mike Wallace. With San Francisco likely to render running back Rashard Mendenhall irrelevant and Roethlisberger hobbled by his ankle, Pittsburgh will have to score in the passing game. Wallace and Brown have both made a habit of scoring long touchdowns, and the 49ers secondary can be vulnerable. Either player is capable of making a game-changing play on offense in a game that could be low scoring and hard hitting.

Momentum can’t be overlooked in this matchup. The Steelers have won four straight and eight of their last nine entering Monday’s contest. On the flip side, San Francisco has lost two of its last three games. Opponents have been able to take away Gore and the 49ers’ ground game, which has led to the team struggling on offense. Pittsburgh will almost certainly adopt the same strategy, and the Steelers have more than enough weapons on defense to hold Gore and company in check. Granted, San Francisco’s stout defense should keep the 49ers in the game, but Roethlisberger and company should be able to score enough points to pick up a big road win.

Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers (+3) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Pittsburgh +3

SBG Global Sportsbook

Week 15 NFL Football: Pittsburgh Steelers @ San Francisco 49ers
Date: 12/19/011
Time: 8:35 PM EST on ESPN
Vegas Odds Favorite: San Francisco -3 Total: Over/Under 38

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Week 15 Sunday Night NFL Picks: Baltimore Ravens @ San Diego Chargers Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 12/18/11

Week 15 Free NFL Picks: Baltimore Ravens @ San Diego Chargers NFL Week 15 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on NBC 12/18/11: Just when it looks like the San Diego Chargers’ playoff hopes are dead, December rolls around and Norv Turner’s bunch remembers how to play football. A pair of blowout wins the last two weeks has San Diego at 6-7 and clinging to life in the AFC West. Meanwhile, the Baltimore Ravens have won four in a row and sit atop the AFC North with a 10-3 record. Baltimore needs to win to keep their hopes of a division title alive, and San Diego needs to win or the postseason is out of the question. In a game that both teams need to win, the Ravens are 2 ½-point favorites.

SBG Global Sportsbook

For the Chargers, the turnaround can be linked directly to the play of quarterback Philip Rivers. He has been plagued by turnovers all season, and during the first 11 games of the season, he threw 17 interceptions and lost seven fumbles. However, he has been a different player the last two games, throwing a combined six touchdowns and no interceptions. If he continues to limit the turnovers, the Chargers should be able to compete against any team, and that includes the Ravens Sunday night.

Of course, avoiding turnovers is easier said than done against the Baltimore defense. The unit ranks fourth against the pass and second against the run, and they have been putting up the outstanding numbers without the help of star linebacker Ray Lewis. The Ravens have been relentless when it comes to rushing the passer, piling up 45 sacks. Linebacker Terrell Suggs has done a bulk of the damage with 13 sacks, and defensive tackle Haloti Ngata has chipped in with five. If Baltimore can put pressure on Philips, the turnovers could start piling up again.

Offensively, Baltimore has a balanced attack. Quarterback Joe Flacco has thrown for more than 3,000 yards, and running back Ray Rice has already topped 1,000 yards. The offense has been at its best when Rice has been the center of the attack, but unlike in past years, Flacco has been able to keep opposing defenses honest when they stack the box. That being said, Rice has a good chance to excel this weekend against a San Diego defense that ranks outside the top 20 against the rush.

For the Chargers, the X-factor could be tight end Antonio Gates. He has been hampered by injuries all season, but he has been rounding into form recently. Gates is always a red zone threat, but he could also be the outlet option Rivers needs to avoid the fierce Baltimore pass rush. Meanwhile, the Ravens’ game changer could be wide receiver Torrey Smith. The rookie has six touchdowns this season and has been the big-play threat Baltimore has lacked in recent years. Smith is averaging more than 18 yards per catch, and if Rice can control the game on the ground, Flacco could find Smith for some big gains on play action.

At the end of the day, Baltimore’s balance on both sides of the ball should allow the Ravens to control the game. Granted, the Chargers have been playing better the last two weeks, but they have been beating up on a lesser competition. San Diego will find scoring much more difficult against the Ravens defense, and the Chargers’ defense will find stopping the Baltimore offense a challenge as well. San Diego is still the team that lost six straight games in the middle of the season, and the Ravens will expose their weaknesses and get it done on the road.

Prediction: Baltimore Ravens (-2 ½) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Baltimore -2.5

Week 15 NFL Football: Baltimore @ San Diego
Date: 12/18/011
Time: 8:30 PM EST on NBC
Vegas Odds Favorite: Baltimore -2.5 | Total: Over/Under 44

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Week 15 NFL Picks: Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 12/18/11

Week 15 Free NFL Picks: New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos NFL Week 15 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on CBS 12/18/11: There are unforgettable hot streaks, and then there is magical ride that Tim Tebow and the Denver Broncos have been on the last two months. Since taking over as starter, Tebow and the Broncos have gone 7-1, vaulting to the top of the AFC West standings with an 8-5 record. Tebow has engineered six fourth-quarter comebacks along the way, but Denver will face a serious challenge this Sunday when the Broncos travel to Foxboro to play the 10-3 New England Patriots. Despite Tebow’s late-game heroics, the Broncos are 7 ½-point underdogs in this matchup.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Of course, the Patriots have been on a nice streak of their own, winning five straight. New England hasn’t needed any last minute comebacks to get the job done either, scoring at least 31 points in all five victories. Not surprisingly, quarterback Tom Brady has been leading the way, and the defending NFL MVP is on pace to break Dan Marino’s single-season record for passing yards. The Patriots are second in the league in terms of pass yards per game this season, and while the Denver defense has been much improved of late, the unit still ranks in the middle of the pack when it comes to defending the pass. If Brady has another big game, the Broncos could be in for a long afternoon.

While the Patriots will look to throw the ball early and often and build a lead, Denver will try to do the exact opposite. The Broncos lead the NFL with more than 150 rushing yards per game, and if they control the clock Sunday, it means Brady and the Patriots’ offense will be on the sideline. Tebow has been a big part of the rushing success, but starting running back Willis McGahee deserves credit as well. The resurgent veteran is closing on 1,000 yards and is averaging a respectable 4.6 yards per carry. Tebow may be getting the headlines, but New England will need to control McGahee as well in order to keep the Denver offense from eating up the clock.

Considering the play of the New England offense lately, there is a good chance Brady and company will be putting plenty of points on the board. However, being forced to abandon its power running game in order to catch up may not be a bad thing for Denver. After all, New England has the worst defense in the league when it comes to defending the pass, and while Tebow is not a polished passer, he does have a knack for connecting on some big plays. With receivers Eric Decker and Demaryius Thomas stretching the field, a shootout doesn’t necessarily mean game over for Denver.

The X-factor in the game could be New England tight end Rob Gronkowski. He has already topped 1,000 yards this year, and his 15 touchdowns are an NFL record for a tight end. Denver corner Champ Bailey will have to go up against New England’s Wes Welker in order to try to contain the league’s leading receiver, which should mean some favorable matchups for Gronkowski. If he continues to make big grabs in the red zone and big plays down the field, the Patriots will likely continue to pile up plenty of points.

In the end, New England has enough firepower to jump out to an early lead, even against a Denver defense that has been excellent. With Tebow and company likely being forced to take to the air quicker than normal, there is a good chance Denver could turn the ball over more than normal as well. That being said, the porous Patriots’ secondary should continue to struggle, allowing the Broncos to put some points on the board. The hole will likely be too deep even for Tebow to dig out of, but Denver can still cover the spread with some fourth quarter scoring.

Prediction: Denver Broncos (+7 ½) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Denver +7.5

Week 15 NFL Football: New England @ Denver
Date: 12/18/011
Time: 4:15 PM EST on CBS
Vegas Odds Favorite: New England -7.5 | Total: Over/Under 47

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