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Week 12 Monday Night NFL Picks: New York Giants @ New Orleans Saints Chiefs Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 11/28/11

Monday Night NFL Picks: New York Giants @ New Orleans Saints Monday Night NFL Week 12 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ESPN 11/28/11: Two of the top quarterbacks in the game will be on display Monday night when the New York Giants (6-4) travel to the Superdome to play the New Orleans Saints (7-3). Both teams are in the thick of the playoff hunt in the NFC and have a shot at their respective division titles. While the two franchises aren’t exactly rivals, this Monday’s meeting has serious long-term implications for both teams. Momentum is on the Saints’ side, having won two straight while the Giants have lost two in a row, and New Orleans is a seven-point favorite in this one.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Both teams are powered by pass-heavy offenses. In fact, the Saints boast the top-rated passing attack in the NFL, while the Giants rank fifth. New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees is having an MVP-caliber season, throwing for more than 3,300 yards and 23 touchdowns, and New York’s Eli Manning isn’t too far behind with more than 2,800 yards and 18 touchdowns. Both QBs have plenty of weapons to work with, including plenty of speed and above average tight ends. Brees has a slight edge in terms of firepower because he also has the luxury of running back Darren Sproles at his disposal, who leads the team in receptions out of the backfield.

While both offenses excel at throwing the ball, the Saints at least have some balance and can run the ball when need be. The same cannot be said for the Giants. They rank 31st in rushing yards per game, managing just over 80 per contest. An injury to running back Ahmad Bradshaw hasn’t helped, but at the end of the day, the New York offensive line just struggles when it comes to run blocking. Last weekend’s embarrassing effort against a terrible Philadelphia Eagles’ run defense was proof that the Giants simply can’t move the ball on the ground.

On the stat sheet, neither side has a strong defense. That being said, the Giants are one of the better teams in the league at rushing the passer. Against a pass-happy team like the Saints, New York’s biggest strength on defense will get a chance to flex its muscles. If the Giants can get consistent pressure on Brees, New Orleans’ rhythm on offense could be disrupted. When Brees struggles, the entire Saints’ offense follows suit.

The X-factor in the game could be the mental focus of the Giants. It sounds a bit cliché, but one look at New York’s schedule makes it clear that the team plays its best against better competition. After all, the Giants lost at home to the Seattle Seahawks and an Eagles’ team missing Michael Vick but somehow went into Foxboro and ended the New England Patriots’ home winning streak. A trip to the Superdome is normally bad news for the road team, but for New York, it could be just what the team needs to end its losing streak.

In the end, the game will likely come down the Giants’ pass rush versus the passing attack of Brees and the Saints. The motivation of playing the top-ranked passing attack should bring out the best in New York’s front four. With Manning likely being able to put up a decent amount of points against a mediocre New Orleans’ defense, this game should be tight. It could go either way, but with the Giants getting seven points, New York is the smart pick.

Prediction: New York Giants (+7.5) Win the Game

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: New York Giants +7.5

SBG Global Sportsbook

Week 12 NFL Football: New York Giants @ New Orleans Saints
Date: 11/28/011
Time: 8:35 PM EST on ESPN
Vegas Odds Favorite: New Orleans -7.5 Total: Over/Under 51.5

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Week 12 Sunday Night NFL Picks: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Kansas City Chiefs Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 11/27/11

Week 12 Free NFL Picks: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Kansas City Chiefs NFL Week 12 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on NBC 11/27/11: When the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-3) travel to Arrowhead Stadium Sunday night, they will be facing a Kansas City team that is reeling. Injuries have ravaged the Chiefs (4-6), and three straight losses have transformed the team from division leader to cellar dweller in the AFC West. With Kansas City struggling and the Steelers looking to contend for a playoff spot, there is a definite possibility of a blowout in this one. Not surprisingly, Pittsburgh is a 10 ½-point favorite.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Despite all the talk about the Steelers’ defense being old and slow, Pittsburgh’s numbers are as impressive as ever on that side of the ball. The unit ranks third against the pass and sixth against the run. For a Chiefs’ offense that has managed just 16 points in the last three games combined, the stingy Steelers’ defense could make points tough to come by. Considering Kansas City managed just three points against a New England Patriots’ defense that ranks last against the pass, it’s tough to expect much more this weekend.

To make matters worse, the Kansas City defense hasn’t helped out the offense. The Chiefs’ defense has given up more than 30 points twice in the last two games, allowing quarterbacks Tom Brady and Matt Moore to have big games. Pittsburgh’s QB Ben Roethlisberger has been having a career year, and he could continue the trend of big games for opposing signal callers against the Chiefs. The Steelers have the sixth-best passing offense in the NFL, and with deep threats like Mike Wallace and Antonio Brown stretching the field, points could pile up in a hurry.

The X-factor for Kansas City could be newly-acquired quarterback Kyle Orton. He isn’t expected to play Sunday night, but if starter Tyler Palko struggles early, Orton could get an early introduction. Orton isn’t exactly an elite QB, but compared to the unproven Palko, he would be an instant upgrade. More importantly, the Steelers haven’t been preparing for Orton, and the element of surprise could be on Kansas City’s side.

Orton aside, the Chiefs are going to need a lot of help from the Steelers in order to pull off an upset. Kansas City doesn’t put much pressure on opposing quarterbacks, which means Roethlisberger will have plenty of time to scan the field. Unless he is off his game, Roethlisberger should shine. For a Chiefs’ defense that has been anything but opportunistic, the Steelers are going to have to hand them turnovers.

In the end, the Steelers should have no trouble winning this one. They have more talent on both sides of the ball, and they have more to play for from a motivation standpoint. Pittsburgh’s defense should suffocate Palko and the injury-riddled Chiefs’ defense, and Roethlisberger should have no trouble putting enough points on the board to cover the spread. This game is a mismatch on paper, and the final score should reflect it.

Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers (-10 ½) Win the Game

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Pittsburgh -10.5

Week 12 NFL Football: Pittsburgh @ Kansas City
Date: 11/27/011
Time: 8:30 PM EST on NBC
Vegas Odds Favorite: Pittsburgh -11 | Total: Over/Under 42

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Thanksgiving Day NFL Picks: Miami Dolphins @ Dallas Cowboys Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 11/24/11

Thanksgiving Day Free NFL Picks: Miami Dolphins @ Dallas Cowboys NFL Week 12 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on FOX 11/24/11: Momentum will be in heavy supply when the Miami Dolphins (3-7) visit the Dallas Cowboys (6-4) Thursday afternoon. Both teams have won three straight games entering Thursday’s matchup, and while the Dolphins have been forced to play spoiler after dropping seven straight games to start the season, the Cowboys are tied for first in the NFC East. The meeting brings back memories of Leon Lett’s blocked field goal debacle that cost Dallas a win against the Dolphins on Thanksgiving in 1993. That being said, Thanksgiving Day games have been kind to the Cowboys over the years , and Dallas is a seven-point favorite this one.

SBG Global Sportsbook

While the Cowboys were expected to contend for a playoff spot this season, Miami was supposed to be in the mix for the Andrew Luck sweepstakes. For the first seven games of the season, the Dolphins appeared to be the frontrunners for the top pick in the draft. However, the last three games have been a different story. Quarterback Matt Moore has stepped in and been brilliant as a starter, and the defense has given up less than 10 points in every game during the winning streak.

The Dolphins defense will need to continue to play at a high level in order to slow down a Cowboys’ offense that has suddenly become well balanced. An injury to starting running back Felix Jones opened the door for rookie DeMarco Murray, and he stepped in and stole the job. He has rushed for more than 700 yards and is averaging 6.0 yards per carry. The rejuvenated ground game has taken pressure of quarterback Tony Romo, and he has responded by cutting down on the turnovers that killed Dallas early in the years.

Stopping the Cowboys’ offense is going to be easier said than done for the Dolphins, and the Miami offense can help the cause by continuing to put points on the board. While the play of Moore has been a pleasant a surprise, the bigger story has been the resurgence of Reggie Bush. It appeared as if his bust label was going to hang around another year after he struggled to make an impact early on, but he has come alive lately. It is no coincidence that the Dolphins have started winning just as Bush began to run the ball effectively. He is never going to have the impact he did in college, but he is helping Miami win games by forcing defenses to account for him.

The X-factor in the game could be the Dallas’ pass rush. Linebacker DeMarcus Ware could end up setting the single-season record for sacks in a year, and defensive coordinator Rob Ryan has the Cowboys’ defense playing much better than it has in several seasons. The banged up secondary has given up some big plays, but when Ware and company are getting to the quarterback, the problems in the secondary are masked.

In the end, Thursday’s game will tell a lot about both teams. The Dolphins are trying to figure out if their current offensive pieces are the future of the franchise, and a victory in Dallas on Thanksgiving would certainly bode well for Moore, Bush and the rest of the team. Meanwhile, Dallas needs to take care of its business at home to continue its march to the playoffs. The Cowboys have more star talent on their roster, but the Dolphins have been crushing teams in recent weeks. Dallas probably won’t lose on such a big stage, but Miami can make things interesting.

Prediction: Miami Dolphins (+7) Win the Game

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Miami +7

Week 12 NFL Football: Miami Dolphins @ Dallas Cowboys
Date: 11/24/011
Time: 4:15 PM EST on CBS
Vegas Odds Favorite: Dallas -7 | Total: Over/Under 45

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Thanksgiving Day NFL Picks: Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 11/24/11

Thanksgiving Day Free NFL Picks: Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions NFL Week 12 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on FOX 11/24/11: The NFC North has turned out to be the toughest division in football this season, and Thursday afternoon, the top two teams will go head to head. The undefeated Green Bay Packers (10-0) face a serious road test against the Detroit Lions (7-3). While the Packers are focused on winning another Super Bowl and a possible perfect season, Detroit is looking to make another major statement during a season that is quickly erasing more than a decade of losing. It’s tough to ask for a better game to open a Thanksgiving Day filled with football. Green Bay is a 6 ½-point favorite in the matchup of division rivals.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Two of the best young quarterbacks in the NFL will be on display in this matchup. Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers is well on his way to a record-breaking season and likely MVP honors, while Detroit’s Matthew Stafford is finally flexing his muscles after dealing with injuries early in his career. Rodgers has been the model of efficiency, tossing 31 touchdowns and completing more than 70 percent of his passes. Stafford has been explosive as well, throwing for more than 2,800 yards and 25 touchdowns. With Rodgers and Stafford throwing the ball all over the field, a high-scoring shootout could be in the works.

The deciding factor in the game could be the play of the respective offensive lines. Both defenses boast a powerful pass rush, and both teams can get pressure using only their defensive lines. Meanwhile, the Packers and Lions have both had trouble protecting the quarterback at times. If either Rodgers or Stafford ends up spending more time on the ground than finding open receivers, the shootout could turn into a blowout.

Both defenses should get plenty of chances to rush the passer. Green Bay is likely going to be without starting running back James Starks, and Detroit is missing starter Jahvid Best. Even though both teams are powered by pass-first offenses, it is always a plus to be able to change the pace and control the game on the ground. In this respect, the edge goes to the Lions, who got a huge game last weekend from backup Kevin Smith. After injuries knocked him out of the NFL, Smith returned with a vengeance, totaling more than 200 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns in just his second game of the year. If he can continue to give the Lions an explosive weapon on the ground, Detroit could pull off the upset.

The X-factor in the game could be Charles Woodson and the Green Bay secondary. While it is true that the Packers have given up a ton of yards through the air this season, the defense is also one of the most opportunistic in the NFL. In fact, Green Bay has tallied a league-leading 19 interceptions this season. For all his success this season, Stafford has been turnover prone at times. The Packers’ defense will likely give up a big play or two to Detroit receiver Calvin Johnson, but the unit also has an excellent chance to make a few big plays of its own.

In the end, this matchup will likely be high-scoring and very physical at the same time. Green Bay’s ability to force turnovers on defense and Rodgers’ poise in the pocket and ability to light up every defense he faces should ultimately be the difference. Winning in Detroit won’t be easy, but the Packers’ offense is potent enough to get the job done.

Prediction: Green Bay Packers (-6 ½) Win the Game

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Green Bay Packers -6

Week 12 NFL Football: Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions
Date: 11/24/011
Time: 12:30 PM EST on FOX
Vegas Odds Favorite: Green bay -6 | Total: Over/Under 55.5

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