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Week 11 Monday Night NFL Picks: Kansas City Chiefs @ New England Patriots Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 11/21/11

Monday Night NFL Picks: Kansas City Chiefs @ New England Patriots Monday Night NFL Week 11 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ESPN 11/21/11: After winning the AFC West last season, the Kansas City Chiefs earned the right to face the fellow AFC division winners, including the New England Patriots this Monday night. Unfortunately, injuries have decimated the Chiefs’ roster, leaving them with a 4-5 record and in the basement of the AFC West. Meanwhile, the Patriots roll into the meeting with a 6-3 record, sitting atop the AFC East. The matchup has blowout written all over it, and New England is a hefty 15-point favorite.

SBG Global Sportsbook

It’s tough to find a silver lining for the Chiefs. They lost star running back Jamaal Charles early in the year to a knee injury, and starting quarterback Matt Cassel joined him with a hand injury last weekend. Both players are likely out for the year, leaving the unproven Tyler Palko to take over at QB, while Jackie Battle and Dexter McCluster split time at running back. The makeshift lineup hasn’t been all that successful, considering Kansas City was destroyed by the then-winless Miami Dolphins two weeks ago and lost to the Denver last weekend despite the Broncos completing just two passes.

If the Chiefs couldn’t beat a Denver team that couldn’t even throw the ball, it is going to take a miracle for Kanas City to knock off a New England team leading the NFL in passing yards. Tom Brady and company should have no problem lightning up the Chiefs’ mediocre secondary, and considering the hapless state of the Kansas City offense, the Patriots’ offense should enjoy plenty of time with the ball. The teams that have been able to slow down the New England have done it by pressuring Brady and being physical with the receivers. The Chiefs don’t have the personnel to do either thing well, which should mean a big day for Brady, receiver Wes Welker, tight end Rob Gronkowski and the rest of the Patriots’ offensive weapons.

While stopping the New England offense would have been an issue for Kansas City even at full strength, the Patriots’ defense has been rather porous this season, especially in the secondary. However, losing Cassel will make it hard for the Chiefs to take advantage of New England’s biggest weakness. Receivers Dwayne Bowe, Jonathan Baldwin and Steve Breaston form an effective trio, but unless Palko performs above and beyond expectations, it won’t matter how much firepower Kansas City has on offense.

In the end, it is hard to believe that a team that has been outscored 48-13 the last two weeks by Miami and Denver can stay within striking distance of the high-powered Patriots’ offense. If the Kansas City defense couldn’t stop Tim Tebow when he completed just two passes, the unit has no chance of stopping Brady and company. Meanwhile, the Chiefs don’t have any playmakers on offense, leaving them powerless to take advantage of New England’s biggest trouble spot. Granted, 15 points is a huge spread by NFL standards, but this is one scenario when it is warranted. More importantly, the Patriots are more than capable of turning this game into a lopsided affair.

Prediction: New England Patriots (-16.5) Cover the Spread 

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: New England -16.5

SBG Global Sportsbook

Week 11 NFL Football: Kansas City Chiefs @ New England Patriots
Date: 11/21/011
Time: 8:35 PM EST on ESPN
Vegas Odds Favorite: New England -16.5 Total: Over/Under 46.5

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Week 11 Sunday Night NFL Picks: Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 11/20/11

Week 11 Free NFL Picks: Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants NFL Week 11 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on NBC 11/20/11: At the start of the season, nobody would have been surprised to hear that the NFC East leader would be in action when the Philadelphia Eagles visit the New York Giants Sunday night. However, most people expected the Eagles to be the team leading one of the tougher divisions in the NFL. Well, things don’t always go according to plan, and Philadelphia (3-6) finds its playoff hopes all but over as Andy Reid’s bunch prepares to take on a New York team sitting atop the division with a 6-3 record. Throw in the fact that the Eagles will be without two of their top offensive weapons, and it is easy to understand why the Giants are 5 ½-point favorites in this one.

SBG Global Sportsbook

The big story leading up to the game was the status of Eagles’ quarterback Michael Vick. He seems to be perpetually banged up, and this time, broken ribs will sideline him for Sunday night’s game. Granted, Vick wasn’t having the MVP-type year many expected, but he was still making plays with his arm and his legs. After all, Philadelphia has led in the fourth quarter of five of its six losses, and it wasn’t Vick letting opponents pile up points in the closing minutes of games. Without Vick, the Eagles will turn to Vince Young, who threw an interception on his only pass attempt of the year. Against a Giants’ defense that pressure quarterbacks as well as any group in the NFL, the easily shaken Young could be in for a long night.

To make matters worse, Young will be without the receiver Jeremy Maclin, who is leading the Eagles in receptions and receiving yards this season. Not to mention the fact that fellow receiver DeSean Jackson has been more concerned with getting a new contract than he has with catching the ball and making plays. Chemistry has been an issue for the self-titled “Dream Team” all season, and it is only getting worse, along with the team’s record. At this point, Philadelphia will be lucky to avoid an all-out collapse.

The lone bright spot for the Eagles during a disappointing season has been running back LeSean McCoy. He is averaging 5.5 yards per carry and has 906 yards and 10 touchdowns this season. McCoy has been the one consistent player for the Philadelphia offense, and if the Eagles are going to right the ship and challenge the Giants Sunday, they will have to do it with heavy doses of McCoy. Without Vick in the lineup, McCoy should get his chance to be a workhorse for an offense that leads the NFL in rushing.

That being said, the Eagles still have to find a way to slow down the Giants’ offense. Quarterback Eli Manning is having the best year of his career, and New York owns the fifth-best passing attack in football this season. Star receiver Hakeem Nicks is on his way back from an injury, and slot receiver Victory Cruz and tight end Jake Ballard have emerged as legitimate weapons as potent weapons for Manning. The newfound targets have allowed Manning to complete a career-high 63 percent of his passes this season, and since a Week 1 loss to Washington, the Giants have managed at least 20 points in every game.

The X-factor in the game could be running back Brandon Jacobs. The Eagles smaller defensive front has struggled to stop the run all season, especially against bigger backs. Jacobs is as big and as strong as they come, and he should enjoy a strong outing, wearing down the middle of the Philadelphia defense. Manning should have no problem getting the Giants ahead, and Jacobs should be able to take over in the fourth quarter and finish off an Eagles’ team that will likely struggle to score without their starting QB under center.

Prediction: New York Giants (-5 ½) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: NY Giants -5.5

Week 11 NFL Football: Philadelphia Eagles @ NY Giants
Date: 11/20/011
Time: 8:30 PM EST on NBC
Vegas Odds Favorite: NY Giants -5.5 | Total: Over/Under 45.5

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