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Tag Archive | "Sunday NFL Predictions"

2012 NFL Playoffs Picks: New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/15/12

Free NFL Divisional Playoffs Picks: New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers NFL Playoffs Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on CBS 1/15/12: In the 2007 NFC Championship Game, the New York Giants went into Lambeau Field and knocked off the Green Bay Packers on their way to upsetting the then-undefeated New England Patriots in the Super Bowl. This Sunday, New York will try to slay a giant once again when they return to Lambeau Field to face Green Bay, who finished the regular season with an NFL-best 15-1 record. Meanwhile, the Packers will look to beat the Giants for the second time this year as they try to win back-to-back Super Bowls. Despite the regular season meeting going down to the wire, the Packers are eight-point favorites in Sunday Divisional Round matchup.

SBG Global Sportsbook

The teams are mirror images of each other on offense. Both sides utilize pass-heavy systems powered by two of the top quarterbacks in the NFL. Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers threw for 45 touchdowns and led the league in quarterback rating, while New York’s Eli Manning finished just shy of 5,000 yards passing. In the first meeting between the two teams, both QBs threw for well over 300 yards. Rodgers had four touchdowns compared to three for Manning, but both players were able to shred the opposing secondary in a 38-35 shootout won by the Packers.

In terms of firepower, both Manning and Rodgers have plenty to work with. The Giants have a trio of excellent receivers in Victor Cruz, Hakeem Nicks and Mario Manningham. The Packers counter with Greg Jennings, Jordy Nelson and Donald Driver. Green Bay also has tight end Jermichael Finley, who has speed that few players at his position can match. With all the talent they have to work with, it is easy to understand why Rodgers and Manning had such strong seasons. There could definitely be another high-scoring affair this weekend.

Although neither defense did much in the way of slowing anyone down in the regular season meeting, each unit does have its strengths. The Packers’ secondary gave up tons of yardage this season, but it was also opportunistic, record an NFL-high 31 interceptions. That total was eight more than the next closest team. Meanwhile, the Giants ranked third in the league with 48.0 sacks. Both defenses failed miserably in asserting themselves last time around, with Green Bay managing just one interception and New York getting just two sacks. More so than the Packers, the Giants have reason to be optimistic about turning things around in the rematch. New York’s defense line is finally healthy, and it looked the part in last weekend’s victory against the Atlanta Falcons. If Jason Pierre-Paul, Osi Umenyiora and the rest of the New York pass rushers can put some heat on Rodgers, there is a chance they could disrupt the Green Bay passing attack.

The X-factor in the game could be the Giants’ running game. New York actually ranked dead last in the NFL in rushing yards during the regular season, but Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw combined for more than 150 yards on the ground last weekend. A rededication to the power running game could go a long way to helping the Giants pull the upset. Not only does a strong running help control the clock, it also opens up the play-action passing game for Manning and his speedy receivers. If the Giants can establish the run, Green Bay could have trouble adjusting.

In the first meeting, Manning and company tried to outscore the Packers. While the strategy almost worked, winning a shootout against the offense that led the NFL in scoring isn’t exactly a recipe for success. Fortunately for the Giants, they are healthier for Sunday’s meeting and are better equipped to pressure Rodgers on defense and to run the ball on offense. Points will still be scored, but New York should be able to control the tempo by pounding the ball. There is no reason this game shouldn’t come right down to the final minutes like the first meeting did, and the eight-point spread is simply too high.

 Prediction: New York Giants (+7.5) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: NY giants +7.5

NFL Playoff Football: New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers
Date: 1/15/2012
Time: 4:30 PM EST on FOX
Vegas Odds Favorite: Green Bay -7.5 | Total: Over/Under 53

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2012 NFL Playoffs Picks: Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/15/12

Free NFL Divisional Playoffs Picks: Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens NFL Playoffs Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on CBS 1/15/12: It has been a season of firsts for the Houston Texans. They won the AFC South for the first time, securing the franchise’s first-ever playoff appearance. Houston kept the memorable moments coming with a victory over the Cincinnati Bengals to set up a matchup with the Baltimore Ravens in the Divisional Round of the playoffs. The Ravens have been a staple of the postseason the last several years, but getting over the hump and making a Super Bowl run has proved difficult. With Baltimore’s Achilles heel the Pittsburgh Steelers already eliminated, the path to a championship may never be better for the AFC North champs. However, they will have to first get past a resilient Texans’ group that has overcome injuries all season. Armed with home-field advantage and more playoff experience, the Ravens are 7 ½-point favorites in this game.

SBG Global Sportsbook

When breaking down the matchup, starting with the regular season meeting between the two teams only makes sense. Houston visited Baltimore in October, and the Ravens used a strong fourth quarter to come away with a 29-14 victory. In that game, Baltimore quarterback Joe Flacco threw for more than 300 yards, and running back Ray Rice went for more than 100. The good news for the Texans is that star running back Arian Foster is healthier than he was in the first meeting and receiver Andre Johnson will be on the field. The bad news is that third-string QB T.J. Yates is now running the offense.

While the game in October is a good starting point, a playoff matchup in January is a completely different animal. The intensity and the strategy will be different for both sides, and with two of the top defenses in the NFL going toe to toe, the rematch could easily come down to the wire. After all, both Houston and Baltimore rank in the top four against the run and the pass. The impressive numbers continue, and both units rank in the top four in terms of points allowed and in the top six in terms of sacks. Overall, the Ravens have a slight edge in the battle of stingy defenses. Baltimore’s defense has been a little more opportunistic this year, forcing an NFL-best 21 fumbles and scoring four defensive touchdowns. With playmakers like Ray Lewis, Terrell Suggs and Ed Reed roaming the field, Baltimore’s defense could easily put points on the board.

There is a very good chance that Sunday’s game could take on a physical, nasty tone. Even though the defenses could dictate the tempo, the offenses are going to have to contribute if either side hopes to move on to the AFC Championship Game. Both sides are going to lean heavily on their running game, and why not? Rice and Foster finished first and second in the AFC in rushing this season. Rice had the better individual numbers this year and had the far better game in the regular season meeting, but the Houston running game has a secret weapon. Backup Ben Tate ran for nearly 1,000 yards as well, and in a game that will likely be hard hitting, keeping Foster fresh for the fourth quarter could help reverse the collapse the Texans suffered in the earlier matchup.

Although the running backs are the stars of their respective offenses, Flacco and Yates could end up deciding the outcome. In what should be a defensive battle, both quarterbacks are going to have to make some clutch throws. Yates has the added advantage of having Johnson to throw to, who is by far the best receiver on either side. However, he is a rookie that wasn’t expected to see the field this season, while Flacco has won three road playoff games in his career. Granted, he also has a reputation for struggling in the big spots, but Flacco’s experience has to count for something.

Playing at home should help the Ravens. Baltimore has won 10 straight at M&T Bank Stadium and 18 of its last 19 games. That being said, the Texans’ defense is good enough to hold the Ravens’ offense in check and prevent a blowout. In the end, Baltimore’s defense should be able to rattle Yates and force the rookie into a few mistakes that will ultimately seal the deal for the Ravens. Still, a calculated, conservative game dominated by the defenses should keep things nice and close.

 Prediction: Houston Texans (+7 ½) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Houston Texans +7.5

NFL Playoff Football: Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens
Date: 1/15/2012
Time: 1 PM EST on CBS
Vegas Odds Favorite: Baltimore -7.5 | Total: Over/Under 36.5

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2012 NFL Wild Card Weekend Picks: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/8/12

Free NFL Wildcard Picks: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos NFL Playoff Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on FOX 1/8/12: Perhaps no Wild Card matchup has more storylines than Sunday’s meeting between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Denver Broncos. For starters, the 12-4 Steelers have to go on the road to play an 8-8 Denver team by virtue if the Broncos winning the AFC West. Not to mention that health concerns abound for Pittsburgh, who has several big name players out or dealing with injuries. More importantly, the media darling that is Tim Tebow will be making his first career playoff start against the top-rated Steelers’ defense. The end result is a highly-anticipated game, with the defending AFC champion Steelers giving eight points.

SBG Global Sportsbook

To say that the Steelers are dealing with a few injuries is an understatement. Pittsburgh is decimated at the skill positions. Running back Rashard Mendenhall is out for the year with a knee injury, quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is dealing with a sprained ankle, and star wide receiver Mike Wallace is dealing with a knee injury. In addition, center Maurkice Pouncey is likely out as well, leaving less protection for a already-hobbled Roethlisberger. On defense linebacker James Harrison, defensive end LaMarr Woodley and safety Troy Polamalu are all battling nagging injuries. Not to mention that safety Ryan Clark is out because of a blood disorder that acts up at high altitudes. Needless to say, the Steelers won’t be at full strength Sunday.

However, Pittsburgh may not need to play its best game to get by the Broncos. After leading a string of incredible comebacks, Tebow’s magic has worn off down the stretch.  Denver closed the season with three straight losses, and the offense became a turnover machine. Tebow must now try to rebuild his confidence and make some plays against a Steelers’ defense that was the toughest unit in the NFL. Even when they were playing well, the Broncos weren’t exactly scoring a ton of points. It’s tough to envision a scenario where Denver approaches 20 points this weekend.

Of course, the banged up Steelers’ offense could find points tough to come by as well against a much improved Broncos’ defense. With defensive end Elvis Dumervil healthy and rookie linebacker Von Miller adapting quickly to life in the NFL, Denver has been able to put plenty of pressure on opposing quarterbacks. That could spell trouble for Roethlisberger, who will be without his trademark mobility thanks to his ankle injury. Given time in the pocket, the Steelers have the speed at the receiver position with Antonio Brown and Wallace to hurt the Denver secondary. However, those opportunities should be limited with Roethlisberger being unable to extend plays with his legs.

The X-factor in the game could be Pittsburgh running back Isaac Redman. He will be filling in for Mendenhall, and the Steelers will likely lean on him with the injury to Roethlisberger. If Redman can establish enough of a ground game to slow down the Denver pass rush, Pittsburgh’s receivers could have the extra time they need to get open and make big plays.

With the injuries on the Pittsburgh side and the inefficiencies of the Broncos’ offense, Sunday’s game has low scoring written all over it. A defensive battle definitely favors the Steelers, who have given up nine points or less in five of their last six games. The last few weeks have shown that teams are figuring out how to defend Tebow by forcing him into passing situations he isn’t comfortable with, and Pittsburgh is as well equipped as any team to dictate the tempo with its defense. Denver just doesn’t have enough weapons or rhythm on offense to beat the Steelers, but with all the injuries to the Pittsburgh offense combined with the Broncos’ ball control offense, the game should stay close throughout.

Prediction: Denver Broncos (+9) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Denver +9

NFL Playoff Football: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos
Date: 1/8/2012
Time: 1 PM EST on CBS
Vegas Odds Favorite: Pittsburgh -9 | Total: Over/Under 34

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2012 NFL Wild Card Picks: Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/8/12

Free NFL Wildcard Picks: Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants NFL Playoff Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on FOX 1/8/12: Last season, the Atlanta Falcons rolled into the playoffs with the best record in the NFC, only to be bounced in the divisional round by the eventual champion Green Bay Packers. After going 10-6 and grabbing a Wild Card berth this year, the Falcons will try to make a title run as an underdog this time around. The run will have to start this Sunday against the New York Giants (9-7), who are coming off a huge win against the Dallas Cowboys in the season finale that clinched the NFC East and a playoff spot. Winning the division gives the Giants the luxury of hosting the Wild Card matchup, and as a result, New York is a three-point favorite this weekend.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Two of the more underrated quarterbacks will be on center stage in this game. New York’s Eli Manning and Atlanta’s Matt Ryan flew under the radar with guys like Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees and Tom Brady having spectacular seasons, but Manning and Ryan were impressive in their own right. Both players threw for more than 4,000 yards and 29 touchdowns. In fact, Manning finished just shy of 5,000 yards and set an NFL record with 15 fourth-quarter touchdown passes. Meanwhile, Ryan finished the year on a hot streak, throwing 15 touchdowns and just two interceptions during the final seven games.

Manning and Ryan both have plenty of weapons to work with, and since neither Atlanta nor New York has a strong secondary, some serious points could be scored. The Falcons have one of the most polished route runners in the game in receiver Roddy White, and the addition of rookie Julio Jones has given the team a true deep threat. Meanwhile, tight end Tony Gonzalez continues to be a monster in the red zone and moving the chains over the middle. The Giants counter with the receiver tandem of Victor Cruz and Hakeem Knicks. Both players topped 1,000 yards this, and Cruz topped 1,500 yards. Nicks and Cruz both have speed to make explosive plays, but with his size, Nicks is more of the red zone target while Cruz has a knack for making big plays in the open field.

With both passing attacks likely to perform well, the matchup to watch could be the Giants’ defensive front versus the Falcons’ ground game. Atlanta running back Michael Turner was third in the NFL with more than 1,300 yards, and he can pound defenses into submission behind a very physical offensive line. Meanwhile, the New York front is finally healthy, with Justin Tuck and Osi Umenyiora joing Jason Pierre-Paul. The Giants will attempt to put tons of pressure on Ryan to disrupt the Atlanta passing game, but if the Falcons counter with an effective dose of Turner, New York could struggle to slow down Ryan and company.

Experience is definitely in favor of the Giants. Manning and several other players are still around from the 2007 Super Bowl team, and New York has already had its season on the line in the final two games of the regular season and come away with wins. On the other hand, Ryan is 0-2 in the playoffs, and while the Falcons have been a strong regular season team the last two years, they have yet to prove they can win in the playoffs. More importantly, Atlanta has gone away from the ground game in critical situations throughout the year for whatever reason, and there is no guarantee the play calling will suddenly change. With the Giants’ fierce pass rush, the Falcons won’t be able to outscore New York in a pass-happy shootout.

Prediction: New York Giants (-3) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: New York Giants -3

NFL Playoff Football: Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants
Date: 1/8/2012
Time: 1 PM EST on FOX
Vegas Odds Favorite: NY Giants -3 | Total: Over/Under 47.5

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Week 17 Sunday Night NFL Picks: Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/1/12

Week 17 Free NFL Picks: Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants NFL Week 17 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on NBC 1/1/12: For the Cowboys and the Giants, it doesn’t get much bigger than Sunday night’s showdown in New York. Both teams enter the matchup with identical 8-7 records, and the winner will clinch the NFC East and a spot in the playoffs, while the loser will miss the postseason entirely. The winner-take-all format is the ultimate pressure-packed situation, and it is going to heavy a lasting impact on how both franchises view the season. After winning an earlier meeting in Dallas, the Giants are three-point favorites at home.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Leading up to the game, the top storyline has been the health of Dallas quarterback Tony Romo. He suffered a bruised hand in last week’s loss to Philadelphia, missing all but a few plays. That being said, Romo has practiced throughout the week and is expected to be close to 100 percent for Sunday’s crucial game. The Cowboys need Romo under center to have a chance, and they need him to play well. He threw 29 touchdowns this season, while completing more than 65 percent of his passes, and he will be facing a New York secondary that has been gashed at times. Romo himself had a monster game in the earlier meeting, throwing for 321 yards and four scores. A similar performance will put Dallas in position to win.

New York will lean on their quarterback as well, and Eli Manning has risen to the occasion more often than not this year. He has thrown for a career-high 4,587 yards this year, adding 26 touchdowns. The numbers are more impressive, considering the Giants’ ground game has been completely inept most of the year and his receivers have been plagued by drops. Manning has had to carry the load, and he will have to do the same Saturday if the Giants are going to win.

There is no shortage of firepower for either signal caller. Dallas wide receivers Miles Austion, Dez Bryant and Laurent Robinson have combined for 25 touchdowns this season, and all three players are capable of making big plays down the field. The Cowboys also have reliable tight end Jason Witten, who led the team in receptions and receiving yards. New York counters with receivers Hakeem Nicks and Victor Cruz. Cruz was the breakout star this season, and he enters the game with more than 1,300 yards. He also has a knack for making big plays, including a 99-yard touchdown catch last weekend.

With both sides likely to throw the ball early often, two suspect passing defenses will once again be on display. Both defenses looked shaky in the Giants’ 37-34 victory in early December, and another high-scoring affair could be in order. Although neither side can expect a lot out of its secondary, both defenses do possess potent pass rushes that could impact the outcome. Dallas is led by linebacker DeMarcus Ware, who finished with 18 sacks this season. Meanwhile, the Giants have a trio of solid options, with defensive ends Osi Umenyiora, Justin Tuck and Jason Pierre-Paul all capable of making big plays. Pierre-Paul could be especially vital after leading the team with 15 ½ sacks this season and blocking a potential game-tying field goal attempt against the Cowboys in the Giants victory in Dallas.

The X-factor in the game could be the psych of Romo and the strategy of Dallas coach Jason Garrett. Whether it is fair or not, Romo has always been viewed as somewhat of a choke artist in big games. For his part, he has had some turnovers at critical moments. Meanwhile, Garrett has been criticized for being too conservative late in games, causing Dallas to give up fourth quarter leads in almost all of the Cowboys’ defeats. In a game that will likely come down to the wire, one bad play could decide the outcome.

Sunday’s meeting between these two division rivals is going to have every bit the atmosphere of a playoff game. Romo and Manning will likely put on an aerial display, and it wouldn’t be a shock to see both teams crack the 30-point mark once again. In the end, it’s tough to ignore Dallas’ tendency to find ways to lose games in crucial spots. Whether it is a problem with Romo or an issue with the play calling, the fact is that the Cowboys aren’t good at closing games. With all the added pressure with a playoff spot being up for grabs, Manning’s experience as a former Super Bowl winner should pay dividends and help New York get the job done at home.

Prediction: New York Giants (-3) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: NY Giants -3

Week 17 NFL Football: Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants
Date: 1/1/2012
Time: 8:30 PM EST on NBC
Vegas Odds Favorite: NY Giants -3| Total: Over/Under 48

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Week 17 NFL Picks: Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/1/12

Week 17 Free NFL Picks: Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals NFL Week 17 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on CBS 1/1/12: Playoff implications abound when the Baltimore Ravens (11-4) travel to Paul Brown Stadium to face the Cincinnati Bengals (9-6) Sunday afternoon. The Bengals need to win to ensure themselves of a playoff spot, and while the Ravens already have a spot in the postseason, Baltimore still has plenty to play for. A victory will clinch the AFC North title for Baltimore and give them a first-round bye. Heck, the Ravens could even end up with home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs with a win and a loss by the New England Patriots. Needless to say, there is plenty at stake for these two division rivals, and there will be no shortage of intensity. The Ravens defeated the Bengals in Baltimore earlier this year and are 1 ½-point favorites in the rematch.

SBG Global Sportsbook

On paper, a matchup between these two teams would figure to be a defensive battle. The Ravens are allowing less than 200 yards passing, less than 100 yards rushing and just 16.6 points per game to opponents. Meanwhile, the Bengals are giving up less than 100 yards rushing per game as well and less than 20 points. Despite fielding two of the top-rated defenses in the NFL, the first between the two teams turned into a shootout, with the Ravens holding on for a 31-24 win. The numbers say points should be tough to come by, but it’s tough to rule out a high-scoring game given the results from earlier this year.

Regardless of the pace of the game, quarterback play is going to be crucial for the success of both teams. While Baltimore would appear to have an edge with the experienced Joe Flacco under center, Bengals’ rookie Andy Dalton actually has the better numbers. Dalton has thrown more touchdowns and completed a higher percentage of passes than Flacco. In fact, Flacco has already tied a career-high in interceptions and has the worst completion percentage of his career. Not to mention the fact that Dalton outplayed Flacco in the first meeting, throwing for a career-best 373 yards.

Of course, the Bengals have to do more than slow down Flacco in order to win the game. In the first meeting, Baltimore running back Ray Rice ran for more than 100 yards and two touchdowns against the normally stout Bengals’ defense. Rice has more than 1,000 yards on the year, and while he didn’t gash the Cincinnati defense, he did force the unit to honor the run. As a result, the play-action passing game was opened up, and rookie receiver Torrey Smith was able to have a big game. Smith has been the top deep threat for the Baltimore offense all year, and if the Bengals fail to slow him down, the Ravens could be on their way to a division title.

The X-factor in the game could be Cincinnati wide receiver A.J. Green. The rookie missed the first game with Baltimore, but he will be on the field Sunday. Green has already topped 1,000 yards and was named to the Pro Bowl. With his top target on the field, Dalton and the Bengals may have enough firepower to get over the hump and secure a spot in the playoffs.

There is no question that the Bengals are going to be pumped to play in front of their home fans with a playoff spot on the line. That being said, this Ravens’ team is a veteran, playoff-tested group that is more than capable of weathering an early storm. Much like the first meeting, both offenses will likely hit some big plays, but the added dimension of Rice running the ball gives the Ravens an edge. More importantly, the Baltimore defense has a few more playmakers and it showed in the first meeting when the unit picked off Dalton twice. The Bengals are currently 0-3 against Baltimore and Pittsburgh this season, and this young group just isn’t ready to overtake the division powerhouses.

Prediction: Baltimore Ravens (-1) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Baltimore -1

Week 17 NFL Football: Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals
Date: 1/1/2012
Time: 4:15 PM EST on CBS
Vegas Odds Favorite: Baltimore -1 | Total: Over/Under 37.5

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Week 16 Sunday Night NFL Picks: Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 12/25/11

Week 16 Free NFL Picks: Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers NFL Week 16 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on NBC 12/25/11: A few months ago, a meeting between NFC North rivals Chicago and Green Bay seemed like a potential playoff preview. However, a rash of injuries has since caused the Bears to drop four straight games and fall to 7-7. Heck, the Packers aren’t even undefeated anymore after last weekend’s loss in Kansas City dropped them to 13-1. In short, the juice has been squeezed out of this matchup, but at least the long-standing hatred between the two franchises could lead to some hard hitting. That being said, there is a real chance this game could be less than competitive, and Green Bay is a 12-point favorite.

SBG Global Sportsbook

The trouble all started for the Bears when starting quarterback Jay Cutler went down with a thumb injury. Chicago was rolling at the time, winning five straight games, but the winning stopped when Cutler went down. Backup Caleb Haine has thrown nine interceptions in four games, and the Bears have scored 14 points or less in three of the outings. To make matters worse, workhorse running back Matt Forte suffered a knee injury two games after Cutler, taking away the strength of the Chicago offense. While the injuries to two key players make the Bears’ struggles understandable, it doesn’t make Chicago anymore attractive from a betting standpoint.

After all, Green Bay has already beaten the Bears with both Cutler and Forte healthy. In fact, the Packers went to Chicago and knocked off the Bears by 10 points. With that in mind, the 12-point spread for this weekend’s meeting doesn’t seem all that intimidating. Without Cutler and Forte and playing on the road, Chicago’s 10-point loss earlier in the season could easily approach blowout status this time around.

Even if the Chicago offense was intact, the problem of stopping the Packers’ offense still remains. Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers is carving up every secondary he has faced, and the Bears rank 27th in the NFL against the pass. Rodgers tossed three touchdowns against Chicago in Green Bay’s Week 3 victory, and a repeat performance is certainly within reach. Throw in the fact that the Packers are coming off their first loss of the year, and Rodgers and company will be even more motivated to bounce back. It is hard to imagine a scenario where the struggling Bears’ secondary can keep Green Bay from putting up plenty of points.

If Chicago does have an edge, it is the fact that the team literally has nothing to lose. The Bears’ two best offensive weapons are out, backup running back Marion Barber is hurt as well, and game-changing kick returner Devin Hester is hobbled and might miss the game. There is no reason the Packers shouldn’t control this game from start to finish, but getting overconfident can get any team beat.

In the end, last weekend’s loss may have been a blessing in disguise for the Packers. A possible trap game against a weakened division rival has suddenly turned into a revenge game. With the pressure of playing for a perfect season out of the way, Green Bay can get back to doing what it does best, scoring points on offense and creating turnovers on defense. The Packers should be able to do both against a bad Chicago secondary and a Bears’ offense that has been in shambles for the last month.

Prediction: Green Bay Packers (-12) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Green Bay -12

Week 16 NFL Football: Chicago @ Green Bay
Date: 12/25/011
Time: 8:30 PM EST on NBC
Vegas Odds Favorite: Green Bay -12 | Total: Over/Under 42/5

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Week 15 Sunday Night NFL Picks: Baltimore Ravens @ San Diego Chargers Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 12/18/11

Week 15 Free NFL Picks: Baltimore Ravens @ San Diego Chargers NFL Week 15 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on NBC 12/18/11: Just when it looks like the San Diego Chargers’ playoff hopes are dead, December rolls around and Norv Turner’s bunch remembers how to play football. A pair of blowout wins the last two weeks has San Diego at 6-7 and clinging to life in the AFC West. Meanwhile, the Baltimore Ravens have won four in a row and sit atop the AFC North with a 10-3 record. Baltimore needs to win to keep their hopes of a division title alive, and San Diego needs to win or the postseason is out of the question. In a game that both teams need to win, the Ravens are 2 ½-point favorites.

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For the Chargers, the turnaround can be linked directly to the play of quarterback Philip Rivers. He has been plagued by turnovers all season, and during the first 11 games of the season, he threw 17 interceptions and lost seven fumbles. However, he has been a different player the last two games, throwing a combined six touchdowns and no interceptions. If he continues to limit the turnovers, the Chargers should be able to compete against any team, and that includes the Ravens Sunday night.

Of course, avoiding turnovers is easier said than done against the Baltimore defense. The unit ranks fourth against the pass and second against the run, and they have been putting up the outstanding numbers without the help of star linebacker Ray Lewis. The Ravens have been relentless when it comes to rushing the passer, piling up 45 sacks. Linebacker Terrell Suggs has done a bulk of the damage with 13 sacks, and defensive tackle Haloti Ngata has chipped in with five. If Baltimore can put pressure on Philips, the turnovers could start piling up again.

Offensively, Baltimore has a balanced attack. Quarterback Joe Flacco has thrown for more than 3,000 yards, and running back Ray Rice has already topped 1,000 yards. The offense has been at its best when Rice has been the center of the attack, but unlike in past years, Flacco has been able to keep opposing defenses honest when they stack the box. That being said, Rice has a good chance to excel this weekend against a San Diego defense that ranks outside the top 20 against the rush.

For the Chargers, the X-factor could be tight end Antonio Gates. He has been hampered by injuries all season, but he has been rounding into form recently. Gates is always a red zone threat, but he could also be the outlet option Rivers needs to avoid the fierce Baltimore pass rush. Meanwhile, the Ravens’ game changer could be wide receiver Torrey Smith. The rookie has six touchdowns this season and has been the big-play threat Baltimore has lacked in recent years. Smith is averaging more than 18 yards per catch, and if Rice can control the game on the ground, Flacco could find Smith for some big gains on play action.

At the end of the day, Baltimore’s balance on both sides of the ball should allow the Ravens to control the game. Granted, the Chargers have been playing better the last two weeks, but they have been beating up on a lesser competition. San Diego will find scoring much more difficult against the Ravens defense, and the Chargers’ defense will find stopping the Baltimore offense a challenge as well. San Diego is still the team that lost six straight games in the middle of the season, and the Ravens will expose their weaknesses and get it done on the road.

Prediction: Baltimore Ravens (-2 ½) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Baltimore -2.5

Week 15 NFL Football: Baltimore @ San Diego
Date: 12/18/011
Time: 8:30 PM EST on NBC
Vegas Odds Favorite: Baltimore -2.5 | Total: Over/Under 44

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Week 15 NFL Picks: Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 12/18/11

Week 15 Free NFL Picks: New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos NFL Week 15 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on CBS 12/18/11: There are unforgettable hot streaks, and then there is magical ride that Tim Tebow and the Denver Broncos have been on the last two months. Since taking over as starter, Tebow and the Broncos have gone 7-1, vaulting to the top of the AFC West standings with an 8-5 record. Tebow has engineered six fourth-quarter comebacks along the way, but Denver will face a serious challenge this Sunday when the Broncos travel to Foxboro to play the 10-3 New England Patriots. Despite Tebow’s late-game heroics, the Broncos are 7 ½-point underdogs in this matchup.

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Of course, the Patriots have been on a nice streak of their own, winning five straight. New England hasn’t needed any last minute comebacks to get the job done either, scoring at least 31 points in all five victories. Not surprisingly, quarterback Tom Brady has been leading the way, and the defending NFL MVP is on pace to break Dan Marino’s single-season record for passing yards. The Patriots are second in the league in terms of pass yards per game this season, and while the Denver defense has been much improved of late, the unit still ranks in the middle of the pack when it comes to defending the pass. If Brady has another big game, the Broncos could be in for a long afternoon.

While the Patriots will look to throw the ball early and often and build a lead, Denver will try to do the exact opposite. The Broncos lead the NFL with more than 150 rushing yards per game, and if they control the clock Sunday, it means Brady and the Patriots’ offense will be on the sideline. Tebow has been a big part of the rushing success, but starting running back Willis McGahee deserves credit as well. The resurgent veteran is closing on 1,000 yards and is averaging a respectable 4.6 yards per carry. Tebow may be getting the headlines, but New England will need to control McGahee as well in order to keep the Denver offense from eating up the clock.

Considering the play of the New England offense lately, there is a good chance Brady and company will be putting plenty of points on the board. However, being forced to abandon its power running game in order to catch up may not be a bad thing for Denver. After all, New England has the worst defense in the league when it comes to defending the pass, and while Tebow is not a polished passer, he does have a knack for connecting on some big plays. With receivers Eric Decker and Demaryius Thomas stretching the field, a shootout doesn’t necessarily mean game over for Denver.

The X-factor in the game could be New England tight end Rob Gronkowski. He has already topped 1,000 yards this year, and his 15 touchdowns are an NFL record for a tight end. Denver corner Champ Bailey will have to go up against New England’s Wes Welker in order to try to contain the league’s leading receiver, which should mean some favorable matchups for Gronkowski. If he continues to make big grabs in the red zone and big plays down the field, the Patriots will likely continue to pile up plenty of points.

In the end, New England has enough firepower to jump out to an early lead, even against a Denver defense that has been excellent. With Tebow and company likely being forced to take to the air quicker than normal, there is a good chance Denver could turn the ball over more than normal as well. That being said, the porous Patriots’ secondary should continue to struggle, allowing the Broncos to put some points on the board. The hole will likely be too deep even for Tebow to dig out of, but Denver can still cover the spread with some fourth quarter scoring.

Prediction: Denver Broncos (+7 ½) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Denver +7.5

Week 15 NFL Football: New England @ Denver
Date: 12/18/011
Time: 4:15 PM EST on CBS
Vegas Odds Favorite: New England -7.5 | Total: Over/Under 47

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Week 13 Sunday Night NFL Picks: Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 12/4/11

Week 13 Free NFL Picks: Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints NFL Week 13 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on NBC 12/4/11: A pair of NFC playoff contenders will go head to head Sunday night when the Detroit Lions (7-4) visit the Superdome to face the New Orleans Saints (8-3). The teams are heading in opposite directions heading into the matchup, with the Saints winning three straight and the Lions dropping four of their last six after a 5-0 start. In the always tight playoff battle, both sides need to win Sunday. As one of the best home teams in the NFL, the Saints are 8 ½-point favorites.

SBG Global Sportsbook

The headline leading up to the game has been the suspension of Detroit defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh. After stopping a Green Bay offensive lineman last Thursday, Suh will miss the Lions’ next two games. Suh is the leader of a fierce defensive line for Detroit, and putting pressure on opposing quarterbacks has been the cornerstone of the Lions’ defense. If the pass rush falters in Suh’s absence, New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees should pick apart a mediocre Detroit secondary.

After all, New Orleans owns the top-ranked passing attack in the NFL at 324.2 yards per game. Brees has thrown 27 touchdowns and is one pace to shatter Dan Marino’s record for passing yards in a single season. He has a variety of firepower at his disposal, making the Saints’ passing attack one of the most complex systems in the league. Tight end Jimmy Graham has been unstoppable thanks to his combination of size and speed, and running back Darren Sproles has given teams fits out of the backfield. Throw in the reliable Marques Colston and Lance Moore at receiver, and it is easy to understand why Brees’ numbers are MVP worthy.

Of course, Detroit can throw the ball as well, ranking sixth in the NFL in passing yards. Quarterback Matthew Stafford has excelled in his first full season, throwing for more than 3,000 yards and 26 touchdowns. He gets a shot at a New Orleans’ defense that has struggled defending the pass, pressuring quarterbacks and forcing turnovers. Stafford should have the opportunity to put up some points and keep pace with Brees and company. However, Stafford will have to overcome a recent slump to do so. He has thrown nine interceptions in the last three games, and if he gives the Saints extra possessions Sunday night, the Lions could get blown out.

In a game between two of the best passing attacks in the NFL, the X-factor could end up being the running game for both sides. Using the trio of Pierre Thomas, Mark Ingram and Sproles, the Saints have been the eighth-best rushing team this season. The balance makes Brees even more dangerous by forcing opposing defenses to honor the run, which keeps the pressure off Brees. Meanwhile, the Lions have had injuries to running backs Jahvid Best, Mikel Leshoure and Kevin Smith, leaving the offense more or less one dimensional. As a result, defenses have been able to blitz and hit Stafford on a regular basis, leading to a lot of the turnovers that have plagued the Lions in recent weeks.

There is a good chance that the Lions are walking into a buzz saw Sunday night. The Saints are healthy and firing on all cylinders, and more importantly, they are scoring more than 40 points per game at home. Meanwhile, Detroit is missing its best defender and is struggling to find a rhythm on offense. The New Orleans defense isn’t good enough to completely shutdown Stafford, but the Saints are too good on offense for the Lions to keep pace.

Prediction: New Orleans Saints (-8 ½) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: New Orleans -8.5

Week 13 NFL Football: Detroit @ New Orleans
Date: 12/4/011
Time: 8:30 PM EST on NBC
Vegas Odds Favorite: New Orleans -8.5 | Total: Over/Under 53.5

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