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Tag Archive | "Strikeforce Odds"

Strikeforce Rockhold vs Jardine Odds, Free Picks and Predictions @ Hard Rock Las Vegas Saturday 1/7/12

Strikeforce Rockhold vs Jardine Odds, Favorites, Free Picks, Tips and Expert Predictions – Strikeforce Rockhold vs Jardine Free Bets from UFC/Strikeforce Vegas Handicapping Expert Eric Moore from the National Sports Advisors: Check out the Strikeforce Rockhold vs Jardine Betting Tips, Vegas Odds, Free Bets and Handicapping preview from expert UFC/Strikeforce handicapper/tipster Eric Moore below. If you are interested in betting on our Strikeforce Rockhold vs Jardine Odds and Predictions and want betting lines, than simply skip to the latest UFC Betting odds from BOVADA.

Strikeforce Free Picks, Odds and Predictions

Welterweight Bout

Tarec “Sponge” Saffiedine vs. Tyler “The Evolution” Stinson

Tarec “Sponge” Saffiedine (11-3) is coming off the biggest win of his career, a dismantling of Scott Smith. In that fight he showed diversity in his striking and his ability to stay on the outside. He is an impressive 3-1 inside of Strikeforce with his only loss coming to Tyron Woodley. In that bout Woodley was able to pull Saffiedine into fighting his game with grappling and clinch work.

Tyler “The Evolution” Stinson (21-7) was impressive in his Strikeforce debut knocking out Eduardo Pamplona in just fifteen seconds. He started by fighting regionally in Oklahoma and in just his third fight won the Masters of the Cage middleweight Championship. He is making a big step up in competition in his second Strikeforce appearance.

If Stinson (NA) wants to have success in this fight he’ll need to find it on the ground. Saffiedine (NA) is too well rounded and diversified on the outside. Saffiedine will keep this fight standing and pick apart Stinson with a mix of hands and feet on his way to victory.

Prediction – Tarec “Sponge” Saffiedine by way of unanimous decision

Strikeforce Free Picks, Odds and Predictions

Welterweight Bout

Tyron “T-Wood” Woodley vs. Jordan “Young Gun” Mein

Tyron “T-Wood” Woodley (9-0) has yet to be defeated and has fought within Strikeforce seven times. Of those four he finished three by submission and one via knockout. He possesses good standup but his real strength comes from his wrestling. He’s the type of fighter that likes to wear his opponents down with clinch work and grappling.

At 22 years old it’s hard to believe Jordan “Young Gun” Mein (23-7) is already a 30 fight vet. In his 23 wins Mein has shown well rounded skills finishing 13 fights via (T)KO and 7 by submission. His last bout was his Strikeforce debut where he finished Evangelista Santos in the third via TKO. He is riding a six fight win streak in large part because of his technical striking.

The key to this fight is whether or not Mein (NA) can keep his distance and land strikes from the outside. From a distance he will have the advantage but if he lets Woodley (NA) get in tight he’ll be in for a long night. Look for Woodley to use his athleticism to work his way to the inside, bully him up against the cage and grind out an ugly win.

Prediction – Tyron “T-Wood” Woodley by way of unanimous decision

Strikeforce Free Picks, Odds and Predictions

Light Heavyweight Bout

“King Mo” Mo Lawal vs. Lorenz “The Monsoon” Larkin

A former light heavyweight champion in Strikeforce “King Mo” Mo Lawal (8-1) is also a three-time U.S. Senior National Wrestling Champion. He has fought four times under the Strikeforce banner earning a record of 3-1. Lawal mixes heavy hands with a top shelf wrestling game to dominate position and stifle his opponents striking.

Lorenz “The Monsoon” Larkin (12-0) has impressively strung together twelve straight wins with three of them coming with Strikeforce. In his twelve fight career he has demonstrated heavy hands ending eight fights by (T)KO. He has also shown that he can win fights even outside of his comfort zone. Nick Rossborough was able to muscle him up against the cage and make it a match of who could control position. Larkin won the bout via unanimous decision.

Bottom line of this fight is that Larkin (NA) has never faced a wrestler like Lawal. It won’t be enough for Larkin to get backed up against that cage and grapple because if he does he’s going to get taken down. Lawal (NA) will stand and trade for as long as he feels comfortable. When he feels he is losing or getting hit too much look for him to take the fight to the mat and control position.

Prediction – “King Mo” Mo Lawal by way of unanimous decision

Strikeforce Free Picks, Odds and Predictions

Middleweight Bout

“Ruthless” Robbie Lawler vs. Adlan “Borz” Amagov

“Ruthless” Robbie Lawler (18-8, 1NC) has had problems stringing together wins as of late losing four of his last six. Lawler is a brawler preferring to stand and trade in wild exchanges. He’s the type of fighter that has one punch knockout power in both hands and will wade through punches to get into range.

Adlan “Borz” Amagov (9-1-1) hasn’t lost a fight since his debut in MMA. In his nine wins he’s only gone the distance three times and finished the other six by (T)KO. This will be his third appearance in Strikeforce having a split decision victory over Ronald Stallings and a knockout win over Anthony Smith.

Lawler’s (NA) recent troubles have come against opponents that could control him in grappling and the ground game. In last two bouts he hasn’t been able to showcase his punching power due to this. He’s not going to have the problem with Amagov (NA) who will most likely be happy to stand and bang. If Amagov wants this strategy to work he needs to stay on the outside to avoid the power punching of Lawler. But as the time ticks by it just adds to the odds of Lawler landing a big shot.

Prediction – “Ruthless” Robbie Lawler by way of TKO

Strikeforce Free Picks, Odds and Predictions

Middleweight Championship Bout

Luke Rockhold (Champion) vs. “The Dean of Mean” Keith Jardine

The first time Luke Rockhold (8-1) ever fought past the first round was his five round unanimous decision victory to take the middleweight title away from Ronaldo Souza. In his other seven wins he has finished with submissions six times and one TKO. Rockhold is currently 7-0 with Strikeforce and is set to make his first title defense.

A vet of the UFC “The Dean of Mean” Keith Jardine (17-9-2) is dropping down from his usual 205 for this fight. His fall from the UFC wasn’t graceful having lost four in a row before he was cut. Since his exit he has gone 2-1-1 and somehow got a title shot in a weight class he’s never fought in. Even though he’s had a tough few years his awkward style of standup can still present problems.

One big factor in this fight is how Jardine’s (NA) body will take to the weight cut. He has always fought at heavyweight and light heavyweight and now he’s asking his body to be at peak physical conditioning at 185. What we do know is Rockhold (NA) can take a punch and he proved he can excel when taken into deep waters. When Jardine begins to feel the standup getting away from him he will look to take this fight to the ground which is dangerous against such a crisp jiu-jitsu practitioner. Rockhold will test Jardine’s chin and end the vet’s night in disappointment.

Prediction – Luke Rockhold by way of TKO

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Strikeforce Melendez vs Masvidal Odds, Free Picks and Predictions Saturday 12/17/11

Strikeforce Melendez vs Masvidal Odds, Favorites, Free Picks, Tips and Expert Predictions – Strikeforce Melendez vs Masvidal Free Bets from UFC/Strikeforce Vegas Handicapping Expert Eric Moore from the National Sports Advisors: Check out the Strikeforce Melendez vs Masvidal Betting Tips, Vegas Odds, Free Bets and Handicapping preview from expert UFC/Strikeforce handicapper/tipster Eric Moore below. If you are interested in betting on our Strikeforce Melendez vs Masvidal Odds and Predictions and want betting lines, than simply skip to the latest UFC Betting odds from Bodog.

Strikeforce Free Picks, Odds and Predictions

Lightweight Bout

KJ Noons vs. Billy Evangelista

KJ Noons (10-4) has only fight twice since October of 2010 and has lost both by unanimous decisions. Noons is a very high level boxer that utilizes odd angles and feints as well as anyone in MMA. He holds the distinction of being the last person to hand Nick Diaz a loss way back in 2007. He ran into problems against his last opponent Jorge Masvidal due to his varied attacks and ability to get Noons to the ground.

Starting off his career 9-0 Billy Evangelista (11-1, 1NC) first true loss came in his most recent bout with Jorge Masvidal. He does possess power in his hands ending eight fights by (T)KO. While he has looked solid in his last two bouts winning by unanimous decision he has also shown holes in his standup.

This bout is all about where it takes place. Noons (-240) will have a clear advantage in the standup with his slick in and out striking but he’ll have to keep it there. He has shown that he’s not very comfortable fighting off his back. Evangelista (+190) will have to land leg kicks early to slow the movements of Noons and then work takedowns if he wants to stay in this fight. In the end Noons is to fast and precise and finishes before the final bell.

Prediction – KJ Noons by way of TKO

Strikeforce Free Picks, Odds and Predictions

Light Heavyweight Bout

Gegard Mousasi vs. Ovince St. Preux

Gegard Mousasi (31-3-2) is making his first return to Strikeforce since fighting to a draw with Keith Jardine. Mousasi is somewhat of a mystery showing flashes of greatness and then comes back and only earns a draw against a washed up Keith Jardine. When he’s on his game he has some of the most devastating kickboxing in MMA.

Taking a huge step up in competition in this fight is Ovince St. Preux (11-4). He has fought in Strikeforce five times and is a perfect 5-0. A former linebacker at the University of Tennessee St. Preux uses his superior athletic talent to blast through his opponents. While he still needs to improve at all levels in MMA this makes up for a lot of his shortcomings.

Mousasi (-300) has shown in previous fights that he can be beaten by wrestlers. Often times it has almost looked to easy to get him to the ground. This needs to be the backbone of St. Preux (+220) strategy, score takedowns to win rounds. If he can’t it will be a short night for him with Mousasi brutalizing his legs and body with kicks. If this makes it to later rounds the kicks of Mousasi will take their toll and tear down St. Preuz.

Prediction – Gegard Mousasi by way of unanimous decision

Strikeforce Free Picks, Odds and Predictions

Woman’s Featherweight Bout

Cris Cyborg vs. Hiroko Yamanaka

In the woman’s featherweight division there is Cris Cyborg (10-1) and then everyone else. Her only loss came in her first professional bout back in 2005 and since then has been running through the competition. Of her ten wins eight have come by (T)KO which includes a knockout in 35 seconds and a TKO victory over Gina Carano.

Hiroko Yamanaka (12-1) is making her Strikeforce debut riding an eight fight win streak. She is tall for the featherweight division standing 5’11’’. Not known as a finisher she has gone the distance eight times all ending in her favor. In bouts she’ll use her height and long reach to frustrate her opponents.

It will take nothing short of a miracle for Yamanaka (+750) to get her hand raised in this fight. Santos (-1200) is too strong and too aggressive at 145 pounds and she will impose her will early and often. With a Chute Box background don’t be surprised if this fight doesn’t get outside the first.

Prediction – Cris Cyborg by way of TKO

Strikeforce Free Picks, Odds and Predictions

Lightweight Championship Bout

Gilbert “El Nino” Melendez (Champion) vs. Jorge “Gamebred” Masvidal (Challenger)

Gilbert “El Nino” Melendez (19-2) has been fighting for or defending the lightweight belt since 2006. Eight times he has stepped into the cage with this purpose and has only lost one of the eight. Melendez is quick with his strikes and takedowns while utilizing a pace that is hard for his opponents to keep up with.

Jorge “Gamebred” Masvidal (22-6) earned his title shot with back to back unanimous decision victories over Billy Evangelista and KJ Noons. He is a very well-rounded fighter with a good blend of outside striking and dirty boxing within the clinch. In his fight with KJ Noons he was able to use his jab to set up takedowns and battered the highly respected fighter.

The question of this fight is whether Masvidal (+240) will be able to keep up with the frantic pace of this fight. He has standup that is conducive to set up takedowns but look for him to try to keep this fight standing. Melendez (-320) will do what he always does, come out fast and wear his opponent down. Look for Melendez to do just that and when Masvidal begins to fade he’ll look to finish.

Prediction – Gilbert “El Nino” Masvidal by way of submission

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Posted in UFC-MMAComments Off on Strikeforce Melendez vs Masvidal Odds, Free Picks and Predictions Saturday 12/17/11

Strikeforce Grand Prix Odds, Free Picks, Favorites and Predictions – Heavyweight Tournament Rogers-Barnett and Werdum-Overeem

Strikeforce Grand Prix Vegas Odds, Free Picks, Favorites and Expert Predictions – Heavyweight Tournament Tips and Preview: Check out the Strikeforce Grand Prix Heavyweight Tournament preview and free picks from NSAwins.com expert UFC/MMA handicapper Eric Moore below. Enjoy…

Strikeforce Heavyweight Grand Prix Bout – Quarterfinals

Brett Rogers vs Josh Barnett

Brett Rogers (11-2) grabbed the attention of the world when he knocked out former UFC heavyweight champion Andrei Arlovski in just :22. Rogers next fight was at the time against the most feared man in MMA Fedor Emelianenko who was suppose to steam roll him. Rogers put up an excellent fight and even had him in some trouble before Fedor landed a bomb that ended Rogers night. His next bout was against current Strikeforce heavyweight champion Alistair Overeem. Given his showing against Fedor people expected this to be a great championship match but it didn’t happen. Overeem beat down Rogers like he wasn’t even there in a first round TKO. Rogers has since won a unanimous decision against Ruben Villareal but he still has much to prove against the elite heavyweights of Strikeforce.

Former UFC heavyweight champion Josh Barnett (26-5) has fought a who’s who list of heavyweights in his career. He never lost his title by defeat but was stripped when he tested positive for banned substances. He has defeated the likes of Randy Couture, Antonio Nogueira and Pedro Rizzo. He hasn’t fought since July of 2010 but he is currently on a six fight win streak finishing five of those fights. His last loss dates back to 2006 in a rematch against Antonio Nogueira. Barnett is one of those rare big men that also have a good guard and submissions off their back.

Experience is going to be on the side of Barnett (-360) in this fight. He is a seasoned veteran of the cage and is going to use that to overwhelm Rogers (+260). Although Rogers possess one punch power that can end anyones night Barnett isn’t going to just back up into the cage and take it like Arlovski did. Look for Barnett to tie up if the stand up isn’t going the way he likes and dictate where this fight takes place. Barnett’s excellent ground game is going to be the deciding factor in this fight.

Prediction – Josh Barnett by way of submission

Strikeforce Heavyweight Grand Prix Bout – Quarterfinals

Alistair Overeem vs Fabricio Werdum

Nicknamed “Demolition Man” Alistair Overeem (34-11-1) has been doing just that over the last three years. On a nine fight win streak, with a no contest in that stretch against Mirko Filipovic, Overeem has been destroying everyone put in front of him. Eight of those fights he finished in the first round and the other only went 3:42 into the second. Overeem uses a punishing style of Dutch kickboxing that he uses to attack the body as much as the head. He won the Strikeforce heavyweight title all the way back in 2007 and has only defended it once do to scheduling conflicts and the fact that he likes to also compete in K-1.

Fabricio Werdum (14-4-1) instantly became a star when he became the first man to defeat Fedor Emelianenko in ten years. In that victory Werdum didn’t even land a punch but Fedor made the mistake of following the Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt to the ground and instantly found himself locked in a triangle choke. This has been called by many the biggest upset in MMA history. Werdum comes into this bout riding a three fight win streak and has to be more confident in his abilities than ever before.

Both these men enter this fight with a ton of momentum behind them. The difference in this fight is going to be the relentless way Overeem (-360) attacks his opponent. Coming with complex combinations of flying knees and crushing liver kicks his standup is much more advanced then Werdum’s (+260). Don’t expect Overeem to make the same mistake that Fedor did and follow a fresh Werdum to the ground. If the fight goes to the ground it will be on Overeem’s terms and he will get the fight standing if he feels he is in danger. Bettors can feel confident backing Overeem in this Grand Prix fight.

Prediction – Alistair Overeem by way of KO

Strikeforce Heavyweight Bout 6/18/11

Valentijn Overeem vs Chad Griggs

Valentijn Overeem (29-25) is the brother of Strikeforce heavyweight champion and has had an up and down career in many different promotions. Amassing a wealth of experience with 54 professional fights he has beaten the likes of Renato Sobral and Randy Couture. On the other hand four times he has had losing streaks at or longer than three fights with his longest being six. Overeem uses strong muay thai and an even better submission grappling to over power his opponents. Out of all of his fights only one has ever gone to decision so expect this fight not to go the entire fifteen minutes.

Chad Griggs (10-1) made a statement in his very first professional fight in 2005 in a victory that lasted all of :18. Griggs made his Strikeforce debut in August of 2010 against WWE star moonlighting as an MMA fighter Bobby Lashley. Late in the second round Griggs landed a flurry of strikes and Lashley was unable to return to his corner resulting in a TKO victory. Griggs is currently riding a five fight win streak and in his eleven professional fights has never gone the distance.

With 65 professional fights combined for these two men and only one going the distance expect an exciting fight. Griggs (-140) has the majority of his wins via TKO by punches which he sets up with his strong wrestling base. He must be careful taking the fight to the ground because Overeem (+110) has very good jiu-jitsu finishing seventeen fights by submission. Look for Griggs to dictate where this fight takes place and only follow Overeem to the ground if he feels like he can capitalize. Bettors should back Griggs in this fight and expect a finish.

Prediction – Chad Griggs by way of TKO

Strikeforce Heavyweight Bout 6/18/11

Daniel Cormier vs Jeff Monson

Daniel Cormier (7-0) was a two-time junior college national champion and a member of the 2004 and 2008 Olympic wrestling team. He started his MMA career in September of 2009 winning all seven fights he’s been in and finishing six of those. In promotions outside of Strikeforce he has won two heavyweight titles separated by less then a month.

Jeff Monson (42-11) has fought all over the world and at one point in his career was fighting for the UFC heavyweight championship. Monson is riding an eight fight win streak coming into this fight and also holds two heavyweight belts outside of Strikeforce. He uses a mix of wrestling and jiu-jitsu to bring the fight to the ground and either employ vicious ground and pound or tap out his opponent.

This is an interesting fight because both men primarily utilize their wrestling to wear opponents out. Cormier (-360) has an edge in pure wrestling given his experience in college and on two Olympic teams. Monson (+260) has much more experience and Cormier isn’t going to throw him anything he hasn’t already seen. That said Cormier’s wrestling is going to be to much for Monson to handle. Expect Monson to hold his own on the ground but Cormier is going to score enough takedowns and do enough damage to win a decision.

Prediction – Daniel Cormier by way of unanimous decision

Strikeforce Lightweight Bout 6/18/11

KJ Noons vs Jorge Masvidal

KJ Noons (9-2) was the first and only lightweight champion in the promotion EliteXC. Noons also has a 11-2 record in professional boxing showing he is an all around excellent striker. He is also the last man to record a win against current Strikeforce welterweight champion Nick Diaz going all the way back to 2007. Noons uses his high level striking to constantly feint and keep his opponent guessing on where he is coming from.

Jorge Masvidal (21-6) has finished thirteen of his twenty-one victories but has lately been in fifteen minute wars. His last four fights have gone the distance and he split them 2-2. He started his career in 2003 and was an impressive 5-0 before suffering his first loss. It was in a loss that Masvidal truly earned the fight communities respect. Scoring many takedowns and having a very game performance against Paul Daley is what helped him get signed to Strikeforce.

Both these guys are scrappy on the feet but Masvidal (+145) also has a very strong ground game to complement that. If Masvidal can score a few takedowns early he can throw off the rhythm that makes Noons so deadly. Noons (-175) is going to want to stay in perpetual motion not letting Masvidal get a beat on where he is going to strike from. Noons is going to stay on the outside using feints to get in close enough to strike and exit before Masvidal can get ahold of him. Bettors should back the favorite Noons is this fight.

Prediction – KJ Noons by way of unanimous decision

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Strikeforce Odds and Predictions: Diaz vs Daley Free Picks and Lines – Diaz the Favorite Strikeforce Betting 4/9/11

Strikeforce Vegas Odds and Expert Predictions: Diaz vs Daley Free Picks, Lines and Preview – Diaz the Favorite 4/7/11: On Saturday, April 9 at Valley View Casino Center in San Diego, California two Strikforce belts will be defended. The main event pits current welterweight champion Nick Diaz against arguably his toughest test to date, Paul “Semtex” Daley. The co-main event has Gilbert “El Nino” Melendez defending his lightweight title against Dream veteran Tatsuya “Crusher” Kawajiri. Also featured on the card is former light heavyweight champion Gegard Mousasi taking on Mike “Mak” Kyle and jiu jitsu/judo standout Shinya Aoki fighting Lyle Beerbohm.

Shinya Aoki vs Lyle Beerbohm
Favorite: Shinya Aoki -200
Underdog: Lyle Beerbohm +170
View the most current lines at BetUS Sportsbook

Lyle “Fancy Pants” Beerbohm (16-1) took a rather unconventional path to get to this point in his career. After becoming addicted to methamphetamines, he spent a year in prison on drug related crimes. It was in prison that his interest was sparked in MMA, and upon release, he immediately began training. After spending only 23 months as an amateur and going 10-0, “Fancy Pants” went professional. After tearing through the competition starting in 2007, his perfect 16-0 record took its first blemish at Strikforce -Challengers 14. Always a game opponent and a fighter that’s not scared to stand and trade in the pocket Beerbohm is looking to get back to his winning ways.

Already holding a lightweight belt with Dream, Shinya Aoki (26-5-1) is looking to work his way up the Strikeforce ladder and add another belt around his waist. He is known in Japan for his excellent hip work and wild jiu jitsu. It’s not uncommon for Shinya to leave his feet for a flying arm bar or work a standing anaconda choke. Aside from his natural talent and flexibility, it’s his unpredictable nature that makes him so dangerous. This will be the second time Shinya has stepped into the Strikeforce cage. The first was in April of 2010, which resulted in a loss against the current lightweight champion Gilbert Melendez.

Shinya is going to look to get in tight and work the clinch game, which is what Beerbohm needs to avoid. This may be hard for him because Beerbohm’s natural fighting style is wrestling, and he is going to want to score takedowns and work his ground and pound. The way Melendez neutralized Shinya was keeping his distance, giving him a steady diet of jabs and not following him to the ground. Beerbohm needs to keep this fight standing and try to exploit the holes in Aoki’s stand up. The line in this fight is close with Shinya being at (-200) and Beerbohm at (+170). Shinya is going to be able to close the distance and either score a takedown or pull guard. Either way this fight ends with Beerbohm tapping, and bettors should back Shinya.

Shinya Aoki vs Lyle Beerbohm Prediction: Aoki by way of submission

Gegard Mousasi vs Mike “Mak” Kyle
Favorite: Gegard Mousasi -340
Underdog: Mike Kyle +270
View the most current lines at BetUS Sportsbook

Mike Kyle (18-8-1) is a kick boxer and has taken 12 of his 18 wins by way of knockout. Jumping around from different promotions like King of the Cage and brief stint with the UFC, Kyle has shown that he is always a game opponent and always comes to fight. His last bout was a loss in the heavyweight division against Antonio Silva. He comes back down to a more natural weight for this fight after looking completely overmatched with the 265 pounders.

A guy that looks like he is walking out for a chess match rather than getting locked in a cage until one person taps out or gets put to sleep is a scary thing to stand across from. Gegard Mousasi (30-3-1) comes to the ring with such an overwhelming calm it almost seems like he doesn’t know what he’s getting himself into. But when you’ve fought 34 times and 30 of those your hand was raised, I’d say his style works. Mousasi won the Strikeforce light heavyweight belt on August 15, 2009 with a vicious first round TKO (punches) over Renato Sobral. Less than a year later, he lost it to Muhammed Lawal, who controlled him for the better part of 25 minutes with superior wrestling and positioning. He has since won twice in Dream and is looking to get back in the title hunt in Strikeforce.

There is a reason the line in this fight heavily favors Mousasi (-340) over Kyle (+270). Mousasi hadn’t lost since 2006 before getting controlled by a superior wrestler to lose his title. Kyle is not a wrestler and is going to look to stand and bang with Mousasi, and that strategy has ended badly for most. Fortunately, bettors don’t have to make the same mistake.

Gegard Mousasi vs Mike “Mak” Kyle Prediction: Mousasi by knockout

Lightweight Championship Bout
Gilbert “El Nino” Melendez vs Tatsuya “Crusher” Kawajiri
Favorite: Gilbert Melendez -220
Underdog: Tatsuya Kawajiri +185
View the most current lines at BetUS Sportsbook

A former Shooto welterweight champion, Tatsuya “Crusher” Kawajiri (27-6-2) stays true to his nickname and looks to take fighters down and work a devastating ground and pound. This is his first fight in the United States and also Strikeforce. It was in 2006 that these two met in Pride Shockwave, and it was Melendez who had his hand raised on that day by way of unanimous decision. Kawajiri has since cleaned up his game so expect this fight to be just as close as the last. Kawajiri is sitting at (+185) in this fight.

Gilbert “El Nino” Melendez (19-2) reclaimed his lightweight title on December 19, 2010 against the man that took it from him, Josh Thomson. He is widely considered the No. 2 lightweight in the world and has avenged the only two losses he has suffered in his career. Melendez has the ability to dictate the pace and location of fights. He is a strong muay thai striker and an even more powerful wrestler. This gives him the unique ability to not only score on his feet but also earn takedowns and grind out the fight.

This is going to be an excellent rematch between two very talented fighters. This is the one fight on the card I can see going the distance. Both these men will be scoring takedowns and jockeying for position on the ground and within sprawls. Melendez being favored in this fight at (-220) has the oddsmakers calling for a close fight as well. It will most likely go to decision but, Melendez will find a way to win. Bettors looking to do the same should back Melendez in this one.

Gilbert “El Nino” Melendez vs Tatsuya “Crusher” Kawajiri Prediction: Melendez by unanimous decision

Welterweight Championship Bout
Nick Diaz vs Paul “Semtex” Daley

Favorite: Nick Diaz -195
Underdog: Paul Daley +165
View the most current lines at BetUS Sportsbook

Rewind to May 8, 2010 and you’ll see Paul “Semtex” Daley (27-9-2) at one of the most important moments of his career. He was riding a four-fight winning streak that were all by way of TKO or KO and fighting Josh Koscheck for the opportunity to face George St. Pierre for the UFC welterweight title. After getting dominated for 15 minutes and throwing a punch after the final bell, Daley’s status went from ultra-hyped contender to Dana White issuing a statement that he would never step foot in the UFC again. Daley has since gotten his career back on track and is again facing career defining moment. To say Daley has nasty stand up is an understatement. One well placed left hook and Nick Diaz could be staring at the ceiling lights. He is scrappy and looks to take people out quickly and emphatically.

There are fighters who through punches in bunches, and then there is Nick Diaz (24-7-1). It’s not an unusual sight to see Diaz throw 150 punches in a round and not even break a sweat. Diaz is a cardio machine with unorthodox striking and a black belt under Cesar Gracie. Within his unorthodox striking, he loves to attack the liver – a strategy which he used to drop Frank Shamrock and Scott Smith. When he entered the MMA world, he was widely considered a strick jiu jitsu practitioner. It was his knockout of Robby Lawler that made everyone pay attention to his striking as well. He has been all over the place including Elite XC, Pride and UFC.

In terms of the line, this is another close fight, according to the oddsmakers with Diaz (-195) favored over Daley (+165). Daley has the ability to end a fight early, but Diaz has shown he is not afraid to go Rocky Balboa with anyone. The last time he was defeated by TKO was 2007, and that was for a cut. No one has been able to decisively put away Diaz in terms of a KO since Jeremy Jackson in 2002. The difference in this fight will be the cardio of Nick Diaz. He has shown in every one of his fights that he can go full blast for as long as the other fighter is standing. If Daley fatigues at all, which will eventually happen, Diaz will capitalize. As strong as Nick’s stand up is, he’s even deadlier on the ground. Look for him to take it to the ground and sink in a choke.

Nick Diaz vs Paul “Semtex” Daley Prediction: Diaz by way of submission

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Posted in UFC-MMAComments Off on Strikeforce Odds and Predictions: Diaz vs Daley Free Picks and Lines – Diaz the Favorite Strikeforce Betting 4/9/11


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