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Tag Archive | "NFL Playoffs Predictions"

2012 NFL Playoffs Picks: New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/15/12

Free NFL Divisional Playoffs Picks: New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers NFL Playoffs Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on CBS 1/15/12: In the 2007 NFC Championship Game, the New York Giants went into Lambeau Field and knocked off the Green Bay Packers on their way to upsetting the then-undefeated New England Patriots in the Super Bowl. This Sunday, New York will try to slay a giant once again when they return to Lambeau Field to face Green Bay, who finished the regular season with an NFL-best 15-1 record. Meanwhile, the Packers will look to beat the Giants for the second time this year as they try to win back-to-back Super Bowls. Despite the regular season meeting going down to the wire, the Packers are eight-point favorites in Sunday Divisional Round matchup.

SBG Global Sportsbook

The teams are mirror images of each other on offense. Both sides utilize pass-heavy systems powered by two of the top quarterbacks in the NFL. Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers threw for 45 touchdowns and led the league in quarterback rating, while New York’s Eli Manning finished just shy of 5,000 yards passing. In the first meeting between the two teams, both QBs threw for well over 300 yards. Rodgers had four touchdowns compared to three for Manning, but both players were able to shred the opposing secondary in a 38-35 shootout won by the Packers.

In terms of firepower, both Manning and Rodgers have plenty to work with. The Giants have a trio of excellent receivers in Victor Cruz, Hakeem Nicks and Mario Manningham. The Packers counter with Greg Jennings, Jordy Nelson and Donald Driver. Green Bay also has tight end Jermichael Finley, who has speed that few players at his position can match. With all the talent they have to work with, it is easy to understand why Rodgers and Manning had such strong seasons. There could definitely be another high-scoring affair this weekend.

Although neither defense did much in the way of slowing anyone down in the regular season meeting, each unit does have its strengths. The Packers’ secondary gave up tons of yardage this season, but it was also opportunistic, record an NFL-high 31 interceptions. That total was eight more than the next closest team. Meanwhile, the Giants ranked third in the league with 48.0 sacks. Both defenses failed miserably in asserting themselves last time around, with Green Bay managing just one interception and New York getting just two sacks. More so than the Packers, the Giants have reason to be optimistic about turning things around in the rematch. New York’s defense line is finally healthy, and it looked the part in last weekend’s victory against the Atlanta Falcons. If Jason Pierre-Paul, Osi Umenyiora and the rest of the New York pass rushers can put some heat on Rodgers, there is a chance they could disrupt the Green Bay passing attack.

The X-factor in the game could be the Giants’ running game. New York actually ranked dead last in the NFL in rushing yards during the regular season, but Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw combined for more than 150 yards on the ground last weekend. A rededication to the power running game could go a long way to helping the Giants pull the upset. Not only does a strong running help control the clock, it also opens up the play-action passing game for Manning and his speedy receivers. If the Giants can establish the run, Green Bay could have trouble adjusting.

In the first meeting, Manning and company tried to outscore the Packers. While the strategy almost worked, winning a shootout against the offense that led the NFL in scoring isn’t exactly a recipe for success. Fortunately for the Giants, they are healthier for Sunday’s meeting and are better equipped to pressure Rodgers on defense and to run the ball on offense. Points will still be scored, but New York should be able to control the tempo by pounding the ball. There is no reason this game shouldn’t come right down to the final minutes like the first meeting did, and the eight-point spread is simply too high.

 Prediction: New York Giants (+7.5) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: NY giants +7.5

NFL Playoff Football: New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers
Date: 1/15/2012
Time: 4:30 PM EST on FOX
Vegas Odds Favorite: Green Bay -7.5 | Total: Over/Under 53

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2012 NFL Playoffs Picks: Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/15/12

Free NFL Divisional Playoffs Picks: Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens NFL Playoffs Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on CBS 1/15/12: It has been a season of firsts for the Houston Texans. They won the AFC South for the first time, securing the franchise’s first-ever playoff appearance. Houston kept the memorable moments coming with a victory over the Cincinnati Bengals to set up a matchup with the Baltimore Ravens in the Divisional Round of the playoffs. The Ravens have been a staple of the postseason the last several years, but getting over the hump and making a Super Bowl run has proved difficult. With Baltimore’s Achilles heel the Pittsburgh Steelers already eliminated, the path to a championship may never be better for the AFC North champs. However, they will have to first get past a resilient Texans’ group that has overcome injuries all season. Armed with home-field advantage and more playoff experience, the Ravens are 7 ½-point favorites in this game.

SBG Global Sportsbook

When breaking down the matchup, starting with the regular season meeting between the two teams only makes sense. Houston visited Baltimore in October, and the Ravens used a strong fourth quarter to come away with a 29-14 victory. In that game, Baltimore quarterback Joe Flacco threw for more than 300 yards, and running back Ray Rice went for more than 100. The good news for the Texans is that star running back Arian Foster is healthier than he was in the first meeting and receiver Andre Johnson will be on the field. The bad news is that third-string QB T.J. Yates is now running the offense.

While the game in October is a good starting point, a playoff matchup in January is a completely different animal. The intensity and the strategy will be different for both sides, and with two of the top defenses in the NFL going toe to toe, the rematch could easily come down to the wire. After all, both Houston and Baltimore rank in the top four against the run and the pass. The impressive numbers continue, and both units rank in the top four in terms of points allowed and in the top six in terms of sacks. Overall, the Ravens have a slight edge in the battle of stingy defenses. Baltimore’s defense has been a little more opportunistic this year, forcing an NFL-best 21 fumbles and scoring four defensive touchdowns. With playmakers like Ray Lewis, Terrell Suggs and Ed Reed roaming the field, Baltimore’s defense could easily put points on the board.

There is a very good chance that Sunday’s game could take on a physical, nasty tone. Even though the defenses could dictate the tempo, the offenses are going to have to contribute if either side hopes to move on to the AFC Championship Game. Both sides are going to lean heavily on their running game, and why not? Rice and Foster finished first and second in the AFC in rushing this season. Rice had the better individual numbers this year and had the far better game in the regular season meeting, but the Houston running game has a secret weapon. Backup Ben Tate ran for nearly 1,000 yards as well, and in a game that will likely be hard hitting, keeping Foster fresh for the fourth quarter could help reverse the collapse the Texans suffered in the earlier matchup.

Although the running backs are the stars of their respective offenses, Flacco and Yates could end up deciding the outcome. In what should be a defensive battle, both quarterbacks are going to have to make some clutch throws. Yates has the added advantage of having Johnson to throw to, who is by far the best receiver on either side. However, he is a rookie that wasn’t expected to see the field this season, while Flacco has won three road playoff games in his career. Granted, he also has a reputation for struggling in the big spots, but Flacco’s experience has to count for something.

Playing at home should help the Ravens. Baltimore has won 10 straight at M&T Bank Stadium and 18 of its last 19 games. That being said, the Texans’ defense is good enough to hold the Ravens’ offense in check and prevent a blowout. In the end, Baltimore’s defense should be able to rattle Yates and force the rookie into a few mistakes that will ultimately seal the deal for the Ravens. Still, a calculated, conservative game dominated by the defenses should keep things nice and close.

 Prediction: Houston Texans (+7 ½) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Houston Texans +7.5

NFL Playoff Football: Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens
Date: 1/15/2012
Time: 1 PM EST on CBS
Vegas Odds Favorite: Baltimore -7.5 | Total: Over/Under 36.5

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2012 NFL Playoffs Picks: Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/14/12

Free NFL Divisional Playoffs Picks: Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots NFL Playoffs Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on CBS 1/14/12: Saturday’s Divisional matchup was supposed to put the AFC’s powerhouse franchises against each other, but quarterback Tim Tebow and the Denver Broncos have defying convention since late October. After knocking of the defending conference champion Pittsburgh Steelers in overtime last weekend, the Broncos will take aim at the top-seeded New England Patriots in Foxboro this weekend. The game is a rematch of a regular season meeting that New England won 41-23 in Denver. That being said, the AFC has been tough to predict all year, and anything can happen in the win or go home format of the postseason. Still, the Patriots are hefty 13 ½-point favorites playing at home.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Offensively, the two teams are complete opposites. The Patriots own one of the top passing attacks in the NFL, while the Broncos have the top-rated rushing attack in the league. Despite appearing one dimensional on the stat sheet, both teams have unique systems. Denver’s read-option is far from a simple power running game, and it also opens up big play opportunities in the passing game. Meanwhile, the Patriots two tight end passing attack creates too many mismatches for defenses to account for. Still, the clear edge in consistent production goes to New England. The Patriots averaged 32.1 points per game this year compared to just 19.3 for Denver.

While the Denver running game is at the center of everything the Broncos do offensively, the New England secondary could have the toughest task this weekend. Tebow is coming of a game when he lit up the top-rated Steelers secondary for more than 300 yards. Now, he gets a shot at a Patriots’ secondary ranked last in the NFL. New England has to make Tebow complete shorter passes in tight space. He completed just 10 of his 21 attempts last weekend, but because a majority of his throws were big plays down the field, the Denver passing attack still did plenty of damage. For all his magic and leadership qualities, Tebow’s strength is not picking apart a secondary with a bunch of precise throws. If New England can take away the deep balls, its suspect secondary will be somewhat masked.

The X-factor in the game could be Denver receiver Demaryius Thomas. After battling injuries early in the career, Thomas is finally healthy, and his size and speed combination has been giving opponents fits. He had just four catches against the Steelers last weekend, but he still topped 200 yards. Thomas is the top deep threat for the Broncos, and his height and length make him Tebow’s top target. If the Patriots can neutralize Thomas, Tebow could struggle to move the ball down the field with other options, especially with receiver Eric Decker battling injuries.

For the Denver defense, finding ways to put pressure on New England QB Tom Brady is going to be crucial. The Broncos sacked Brady just two times in the earlier matchup, and Brady picked apart the Denver defense. He threw for more than 300 yards and completed 68 percent of his passes, and considering he threw for more than 5,000 yards on the year, there is no reason he shouldn’t dissect the Denver secondary if he has time in the pocket. A pass rush may also be the only way for the Broncos to slow down the tight end tandem of the Patriots. Aaron Hernandez and Rob Gronkowski are too big to be covered by cornerbacks and too fast to be covered by linebackers. When they have time to get down the middle of the field, the New England offense becomes a juggernaut.

In the first meeting, turnovers played a major role in deciding the outcome. Denver lost three fumbles, giving the high-powered Patriots’ offense more chances to score and more chances to score with good field position. If the Broncos can eliminate the careless turnovers, there is a good chance the rematch could be much closer. After all, Denver was moving the ball on offense and keeping pace with New England until the turnovers tipped the scales and forced the Broncos to abandon their offense in an attempt to erase the deficit.

With nearly two touchdowns on their side, the Broncos have a realistic chance at covering the spread. The Tebow to Thomas connection has added another dimension to the Denver offense, which works perfectly with the team’s power running game. Granted, the Broncos’ defense showed no signs of being able to derail Brady and company, but Denver should be able to put some points on the board. The Patriots have more firepower and are better equipped to win a shootout, but Tebow should be able to do enough to keep the Broncos in striking distance.

 Prediction: Denver Broncos (+13 ½) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Denver Broncos +13.5

NFL Playoff Football: Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots
Date: 1/14/2012
Time: 8 PM EST on CBS
Vegas Odds Favorite: New England -13.5 | Total: Over/Under 50.5

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2012 NFL Playoffs Picks: New Orleans Saints @ San Francisco 49ers Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/14/12

Free NFL Divisional Playoffs Picks: New Orleans Saints @ San Francisco 49ers NFL Playoffs Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on FOX 1/14/12: All season long the New Orleans Saints (14-3) have dealt with the criticism that they can’t win outdoors and that they can’t win on the road. They will get a chance to prove the doubters wrong this Saturday when they visit the San Francisco 49ers (13-3) in the NFC Divisional round of the playoffs. As the top team in a weak NFC West, San Francisco knows all about having to silence the critics as well. While both sides have a chip on their shoulder, whichever team wins this weekend won’t have to worry about fighting for respect anymore. Despite playing at home, the 49ers are 3 ½-point underdogs.

SBG Global Sportsbook

To be fair, the criticism faced by both teams is somewhat warranted. All three of New Orleans’ losses came on the road, and the Saints’ league-leading offense wasn’t nearly as potent. The Saints averaged more than 40 points a game at home, but they scored 23 points or less in four of their eight road games. Not to mention that New Orleans’ two worst scoring games came on the road at Tampa Bay and on the road at Tennessee. Meanwhile, the 49ers really don’t have a signature win on their resume. A victory over the New York Giants would be the closest thing, but San Francisco lost at home to Dallas and looked bad in a road loss to Baltimore.

On the field, the game should be a battle of strengths, with the Saints’ explosive offense going up against San Francisco’s stingy defense. New Orleans ranked second in the NFL, averaging 34.2 points per game. Meanwhile, San Francisco ranked second in scoring defense, allowing just 14.3 points per game. The 49ers’ defense also ranked second with 23 interceptions, which could pay huge dividends against the record-setting passing attack. While the Saints are unlikely to score 40-plus points as they did against Detroit in the Wild Card round, the chances of San Francisco completing shutting New Orleans’ offense down are slim as well. The end result should be an interesting matchup where neither team is in its comfort zone.

After shattering the record for passing yards in a season, New Orleans’ quarterback Drew Brees will be at the center of everything the Saints do offensively. He has plenty of weapons at his disposal, but the big plays he has been known for throughout the year could be tough to come by. In addition to the opportunistic secondary, San Francisco also finished the year with 42.0 sacks. The 49ers will likely make Brees move the ball down the field slowly and methodically, which could frustrate the MVP candidate. Check down options like Jimmy Graham and running back Darren Sproles will be major factors.

For San Francisco, the power running game has been the calling card of the offense all season. Running back Frank Gore has been the workhorse, finishing sixth in the NFL with more than 1,200 yards. By controlling the tempo of the game and dominating the time of possession, Gore and the running game have allowed the stout defensive unit plenty of time to rest. The 49ers will have to continue to employ that strategy this weekend to keep Brees and company on the sideline as much as possible.

The X-factor in the game could be San Francisco QB Alex Smith. He hasn’t been asked to do a lot this season, but he has limited his mistakes and kept defenses honest. That being said, Brees completed more passes than Smith attempted, and the 49ers can’t afford to fall behind and become a pass-first team. If Smith tries to do too much and starts turning the ball over, things could get ugly for San Francisco.

In the end, the 49ers’ defense should be able to limit the big plays from the Saints’ offense. Unlike last weekend’s shootout with the Lions, New Orleans will have to be a bit more methodical in its approach. Playing outside will work in San Francisco’s favor, and a physical, uglier game could be on tap. The 49ers have exceeded expectations all year, and while the New Orleans has been the flashier of the two teams, running the ball and playing tough defense has always been for a recipe for success in the playoffs. This game should go down to the wire.

 Prediction: San Francisco (+3 ½) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: San Francisco 49ers +3.5

NFL Playoff Football: New Orleans Saints @ San Francisco 49ers
Date: 1/14/2012
Time: 4:30 PM EST on FOX
Vegas Odds Favorite: New Orleans -3.5 | Total: Over/Under 47

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