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2012 NFL Playoffs Picks: New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/15/12

Free NFL Divisional Playoffs Picks: New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers NFL Playoffs Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on CBS 1/15/12: In the 2007 NFC Championship Game, the New York Giants went into Lambeau Field and knocked off the Green Bay Packers on their way to upsetting the then-undefeated New England Patriots in the Super Bowl. This Sunday, New York will try to slay a giant once again when they return to Lambeau Field to face Green Bay, who finished the regular season with an NFL-best 15-1 record. Meanwhile, the Packers will look to beat the Giants for the second time this year as they try to win back-to-back Super Bowls. Despite the regular season meeting going down to the wire, the Packers are eight-point favorites in Sunday Divisional Round matchup.

SBG Global Sportsbook

The teams are mirror images of each other on offense. Both sides utilize pass-heavy systems powered by two of the top quarterbacks in the NFL. Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers threw for 45 touchdowns and led the league in quarterback rating, while New York’s Eli Manning finished just shy of 5,000 yards passing. In the first meeting between the two teams, both QBs threw for well over 300 yards. Rodgers had four touchdowns compared to three for Manning, but both players were able to shred the opposing secondary in a 38-35 shootout won by the Packers.

In terms of firepower, both Manning and Rodgers have plenty to work with. The Giants have a trio of excellent receivers in Victor Cruz, Hakeem Nicks and Mario Manningham. The Packers counter with Greg Jennings, Jordy Nelson and Donald Driver. Green Bay also has tight end Jermichael Finley, who has speed that few players at his position can match. With all the talent they have to work with, it is easy to understand why Rodgers and Manning had such strong seasons. There could definitely be another high-scoring affair this weekend.

Although neither defense did much in the way of slowing anyone down in the regular season meeting, each unit does have its strengths. The Packers’ secondary gave up tons of yardage this season, but it was also opportunistic, record an NFL-high 31 interceptions. That total was eight more than the next closest team. Meanwhile, the Giants ranked third in the league with 48.0 sacks. Both defenses failed miserably in asserting themselves last time around, with Green Bay managing just one interception and New York getting just two sacks. More so than the Packers, the Giants have reason to be optimistic about turning things around in the rematch. New York’s defense line is finally healthy, and it looked the part in last weekend’s victory against the Atlanta Falcons. If Jason Pierre-Paul, Osi Umenyiora and the rest of the New York pass rushers can put some heat on Rodgers, there is a chance they could disrupt the Green Bay passing attack.

The X-factor in the game could be the Giants’ running game. New York actually ranked dead last in the NFL in rushing yards during the regular season, but Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw combined for more than 150 yards on the ground last weekend. A rededication to the power running game could go a long way to helping the Giants pull the upset. Not only does a strong running help control the clock, it also opens up the play-action passing game for Manning and his speedy receivers. If the Giants can establish the run, Green Bay could have trouble adjusting.

In the first meeting, Manning and company tried to outscore the Packers. While the strategy almost worked, winning a shootout against the offense that led the NFL in scoring isn’t exactly a recipe for success. Fortunately for the Giants, they are healthier for Sunday’s meeting and are better equipped to pressure Rodgers on defense and to run the ball on offense. Points will still be scored, but New York should be able to control the tempo by pounding the ball. There is no reason this game shouldn’t come right down to the final minutes like the first meeting did, and the eight-point spread is simply too high.

 Prediction: New York Giants (+7.5) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: NY giants +7.5

NFL Playoff Football: New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers
Date: 1/15/2012
Time: 4:30 PM EST on FOX
Vegas Odds Favorite: Green Bay -7.5 | Total: Over/Under 53

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2012 NFL Playoffs Picks: Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/15/12

Free NFL Divisional Playoffs Picks: Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens NFL Playoffs Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on CBS 1/15/12: It has been a season of firsts for the Houston Texans. They won the AFC South for the first time, securing the franchise’s first-ever playoff appearance. Houston kept the memorable moments coming with a victory over the Cincinnati Bengals to set up a matchup with the Baltimore Ravens in the Divisional Round of the playoffs. The Ravens have been a staple of the postseason the last several years, but getting over the hump and making a Super Bowl run has proved difficult. With Baltimore’s Achilles heel the Pittsburgh Steelers already eliminated, the path to a championship may never be better for the AFC North champs. However, they will have to first get past a resilient Texans’ group that has overcome injuries all season. Armed with home-field advantage and more playoff experience, the Ravens are 7 ½-point favorites in this game.

SBG Global Sportsbook

When breaking down the matchup, starting with the regular season meeting between the two teams only makes sense. Houston visited Baltimore in October, and the Ravens used a strong fourth quarter to come away with a 29-14 victory. In that game, Baltimore quarterback Joe Flacco threw for more than 300 yards, and running back Ray Rice went for more than 100. The good news for the Texans is that star running back Arian Foster is healthier than he was in the first meeting and receiver Andre Johnson will be on the field. The bad news is that third-string QB T.J. Yates is now running the offense.

While the game in October is a good starting point, a playoff matchup in January is a completely different animal. The intensity and the strategy will be different for both sides, and with two of the top defenses in the NFL going toe to toe, the rematch could easily come down to the wire. After all, both Houston and Baltimore rank in the top four against the run and the pass. The impressive numbers continue, and both units rank in the top four in terms of points allowed and in the top six in terms of sacks. Overall, the Ravens have a slight edge in the battle of stingy defenses. Baltimore’s defense has been a little more opportunistic this year, forcing an NFL-best 21 fumbles and scoring four defensive touchdowns. With playmakers like Ray Lewis, Terrell Suggs and Ed Reed roaming the field, Baltimore’s defense could easily put points on the board.

There is a very good chance that Sunday’s game could take on a physical, nasty tone. Even though the defenses could dictate the tempo, the offenses are going to have to contribute if either side hopes to move on to the AFC Championship Game. Both sides are going to lean heavily on their running game, and why not? Rice and Foster finished first and second in the AFC in rushing this season. Rice had the better individual numbers this year and had the far better game in the regular season meeting, but the Houston running game has a secret weapon. Backup Ben Tate ran for nearly 1,000 yards as well, and in a game that will likely be hard hitting, keeping Foster fresh for the fourth quarter could help reverse the collapse the Texans suffered in the earlier matchup.

Although the running backs are the stars of their respective offenses, Flacco and Yates could end up deciding the outcome. In what should be a defensive battle, both quarterbacks are going to have to make some clutch throws. Yates has the added advantage of having Johnson to throw to, who is by far the best receiver on either side. However, he is a rookie that wasn’t expected to see the field this season, while Flacco has won three road playoff games in his career. Granted, he also has a reputation for struggling in the big spots, but Flacco’s experience has to count for something.

Playing at home should help the Ravens. Baltimore has won 10 straight at M&T Bank Stadium and 18 of its last 19 games. That being said, the Texans’ defense is good enough to hold the Ravens’ offense in check and prevent a blowout. In the end, Baltimore’s defense should be able to rattle Yates and force the rookie into a few mistakes that will ultimately seal the deal for the Ravens. Still, a calculated, conservative game dominated by the defenses should keep things nice and close.

 Prediction: Houston Texans (+7 ½) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Houston Texans +7.5

NFL Playoff Football: Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens
Date: 1/15/2012
Time: 1 PM EST on CBS
Vegas Odds Favorite: Baltimore -7.5 | Total: Over/Under 36.5

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2012 NFL Playoffs Picks: Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/14/12

Free NFL Divisional Playoffs Picks: Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots NFL Playoffs Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on CBS 1/14/12: Saturday’s Divisional matchup was supposed to put the AFC’s powerhouse franchises against each other, but quarterback Tim Tebow and the Denver Broncos have defying convention since late October. After knocking of the defending conference champion Pittsburgh Steelers in overtime last weekend, the Broncos will take aim at the top-seeded New England Patriots in Foxboro this weekend. The game is a rematch of a regular season meeting that New England won 41-23 in Denver. That being said, the AFC has been tough to predict all year, and anything can happen in the win or go home format of the postseason. Still, the Patriots are hefty 13 ½-point favorites playing at home.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Offensively, the two teams are complete opposites. The Patriots own one of the top passing attacks in the NFL, while the Broncos have the top-rated rushing attack in the league. Despite appearing one dimensional on the stat sheet, both teams have unique systems. Denver’s read-option is far from a simple power running game, and it also opens up big play opportunities in the passing game. Meanwhile, the Patriots two tight end passing attack creates too many mismatches for defenses to account for. Still, the clear edge in consistent production goes to New England. The Patriots averaged 32.1 points per game this year compared to just 19.3 for Denver.

While the Denver running game is at the center of everything the Broncos do offensively, the New England secondary could have the toughest task this weekend. Tebow is coming of a game when he lit up the top-rated Steelers secondary for more than 300 yards. Now, he gets a shot at a Patriots’ secondary ranked last in the NFL. New England has to make Tebow complete shorter passes in tight space. He completed just 10 of his 21 attempts last weekend, but because a majority of his throws were big plays down the field, the Denver passing attack still did plenty of damage. For all his magic and leadership qualities, Tebow’s strength is not picking apart a secondary with a bunch of precise throws. If New England can take away the deep balls, its suspect secondary will be somewhat masked.

The X-factor in the game could be Denver receiver Demaryius Thomas. After battling injuries early in the career, Thomas is finally healthy, and his size and speed combination has been giving opponents fits. He had just four catches against the Steelers last weekend, but he still topped 200 yards. Thomas is the top deep threat for the Broncos, and his height and length make him Tebow’s top target. If the Patriots can neutralize Thomas, Tebow could struggle to move the ball down the field with other options, especially with receiver Eric Decker battling injuries.

For the Denver defense, finding ways to put pressure on New England QB Tom Brady is going to be crucial. The Broncos sacked Brady just two times in the earlier matchup, and Brady picked apart the Denver defense. He threw for more than 300 yards and completed 68 percent of his passes, and considering he threw for more than 5,000 yards on the year, there is no reason he shouldn’t dissect the Denver secondary if he has time in the pocket. A pass rush may also be the only way for the Broncos to slow down the tight end tandem of the Patriots. Aaron Hernandez and Rob Gronkowski are too big to be covered by cornerbacks and too fast to be covered by linebackers. When they have time to get down the middle of the field, the New England offense becomes a juggernaut.

In the first meeting, turnovers played a major role in deciding the outcome. Denver lost three fumbles, giving the high-powered Patriots’ offense more chances to score and more chances to score with good field position. If the Broncos can eliminate the careless turnovers, there is a good chance the rematch could be much closer. After all, Denver was moving the ball on offense and keeping pace with New England until the turnovers tipped the scales and forced the Broncos to abandon their offense in an attempt to erase the deficit.

With nearly two touchdowns on their side, the Broncos have a realistic chance at covering the spread. The Tebow to Thomas connection has added another dimension to the Denver offense, which works perfectly with the team’s power running game. Granted, the Broncos’ defense showed no signs of being able to derail Brady and company, but Denver should be able to put some points on the board. The Patriots have more firepower and are better equipped to win a shootout, but Tebow should be able to do enough to keep the Broncos in striking distance.

 Prediction: Denver Broncos (+13 ½) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Denver Broncos +13.5

NFL Playoff Football: Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots
Date: 1/14/2012
Time: 8 PM EST on CBS
Vegas Odds Favorite: New England -13.5 | Total: Over/Under 50.5

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2012 NFL Playoffs Picks: New Orleans Saints @ San Francisco 49ers Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/14/12

Free NFL Divisional Playoffs Picks: New Orleans Saints @ San Francisco 49ers NFL Playoffs Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on FOX 1/14/12: All season long the New Orleans Saints (14-3) have dealt with the criticism that they can’t win outdoors and that they can’t win on the road. They will get a chance to prove the doubters wrong this Saturday when they visit the San Francisco 49ers (13-3) in the NFC Divisional round of the playoffs. As the top team in a weak NFC West, San Francisco knows all about having to silence the critics as well. While both sides have a chip on their shoulder, whichever team wins this weekend won’t have to worry about fighting for respect anymore. Despite playing at home, the 49ers are 3 ½-point underdogs.

SBG Global Sportsbook

To be fair, the criticism faced by both teams is somewhat warranted. All three of New Orleans’ losses came on the road, and the Saints’ league-leading offense wasn’t nearly as potent. The Saints averaged more than 40 points a game at home, but they scored 23 points or less in four of their eight road games. Not to mention that New Orleans’ two worst scoring games came on the road at Tampa Bay and on the road at Tennessee. Meanwhile, the 49ers really don’t have a signature win on their resume. A victory over the New York Giants would be the closest thing, but San Francisco lost at home to Dallas and looked bad in a road loss to Baltimore.

On the field, the game should be a battle of strengths, with the Saints’ explosive offense going up against San Francisco’s stingy defense. New Orleans ranked second in the NFL, averaging 34.2 points per game. Meanwhile, San Francisco ranked second in scoring defense, allowing just 14.3 points per game. The 49ers’ defense also ranked second with 23 interceptions, which could pay huge dividends against the record-setting passing attack. While the Saints are unlikely to score 40-plus points as they did against Detroit in the Wild Card round, the chances of San Francisco completing shutting New Orleans’ offense down are slim as well. The end result should be an interesting matchup where neither team is in its comfort zone.

After shattering the record for passing yards in a season, New Orleans’ quarterback Drew Brees will be at the center of everything the Saints do offensively. He has plenty of weapons at his disposal, but the big plays he has been known for throughout the year could be tough to come by. In addition to the opportunistic secondary, San Francisco also finished the year with 42.0 sacks. The 49ers will likely make Brees move the ball down the field slowly and methodically, which could frustrate the MVP candidate. Check down options like Jimmy Graham and running back Darren Sproles will be major factors.

For San Francisco, the power running game has been the calling card of the offense all season. Running back Frank Gore has been the workhorse, finishing sixth in the NFL with more than 1,200 yards. By controlling the tempo of the game and dominating the time of possession, Gore and the running game have allowed the stout defensive unit plenty of time to rest. The 49ers will have to continue to employ that strategy this weekend to keep Brees and company on the sideline as much as possible.

The X-factor in the game could be San Francisco QB Alex Smith. He hasn’t been asked to do a lot this season, but he has limited his mistakes and kept defenses honest. That being said, Brees completed more passes than Smith attempted, and the 49ers can’t afford to fall behind and become a pass-first team. If Smith tries to do too much and starts turning the ball over, things could get ugly for San Francisco.

In the end, the 49ers’ defense should be able to limit the big plays from the Saints’ offense. Unlike last weekend’s shootout with the Lions, New Orleans will have to be a bit more methodical in its approach. Playing outside will work in San Francisco’s favor, and a physical, uglier game could be on tap. The 49ers have exceeded expectations all year, and while the New Orleans has been the flashier of the two teams, running the ball and playing tough defense has always been for a recipe for success in the playoffs. This game should go down to the wire.

 Prediction: San Francisco (+3 ½) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: San Francisco 49ers +3.5

NFL Playoff Football: New Orleans Saints @ San Francisco 49ers
Date: 1/14/2012
Time: 4:30 PM EST on FOX
Vegas Odds Favorite: New Orleans -3.5 | Total: Over/Under 47

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2012 NFL Wild Card Weekend Picks: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/8/12

Free NFL Wildcard Picks: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos NFL Playoff Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on FOX 1/8/12: Perhaps no Wild Card matchup has more storylines than Sunday’s meeting between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Denver Broncos. For starters, the 12-4 Steelers have to go on the road to play an 8-8 Denver team by virtue if the Broncos winning the AFC West. Not to mention that health concerns abound for Pittsburgh, who has several big name players out or dealing with injuries. More importantly, the media darling that is Tim Tebow will be making his first career playoff start against the top-rated Steelers’ defense. The end result is a highly-anticipated game, with the defending AFC champion Steelers giving eight points.

SBG Global Sportsbook

To say that the Steelers are dealing with a few injuries is an understatement. Pittsburgh is decimated at the skill positions. Running back Rashard Mendenhall is out for the year with a knee injury, quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is dealing with a sprained ankle, and star wide receiver Mike Wallace is dealing with a knee injury. In addition, center Maurkice Pouncey is likely out as well, leaving less protection for a already-hobbled Roethlisberger. On defense linebacker James Harrison, defensive end LaMarr Woodley and safety Troy Polamalu are all battling nagging injuries. Not to mention that safety Ryan Clark is out because of a blood disorder that acts up at high altitudes. Needless to say, the Steelers won’t be at full strength Sunday.

However, Pittsburgh may not need to play its best game to get by the Broncos. After leading a string of incredible comebacks, Tebow’s magic has worn off down the stretch.  Denver closed the season with three straight losses, and the offense became a turnover machine. Tebow must now try to rebuild his confidence and make some plays against a Steelers’ defense that was the toughest unit in the NFL. Even when they were playing well, the Broncos weren’t exactly scoring a ton of points. It’s tough to envision a scenario where Denver approaches 20 points this weekend.

Of course, the banged up Steelers’ offense could find points tough to come by as well against a much improved Broncos’ defense. With defensive end Elvis Dumervil healthy and rookie linebacker Von Miller adapting quickly to life in the NFL, Denver has been able to put plenty of pressure on opposing quarterbacks. That could spell trouble for Roethlisberger, who will be without his trademark mobility thanks to his ankle injury. Given time in the pocket, the Steelers have the speed at the receiver position with Antonio Brown and Wallace to hurt the Denver secondary. However, those opportunities should be limited with Roethlisberger being unable to extend plays with his legs.

The X-factor in the game could be Pittsburgh running back Isaac Redman. He will be filling in for Mendenhall, and the Steelers will likely lean on him with the injury to Roethlisberger. If Redman can establish enough of a ground game to slow down the Denver pass rush, Pittsburgh’s receivers could have the extra time they need to get open and make big plays.

With the injuries on the Pittsburgh side and the inefficiencies of the Broncos’ offense, Sunday’s game has low scoring written all over it. A defensive battle definitely favors the Steelers, who have given up nine points or less in five of their last six games. The last few weeks have shown that teams are figuring out how to defend Tebow by forcing him into passing situations he isn’t comfortable with, and Pittsburgh is as well equipped as any team to dictate the tempo with its defense. Denver just doesn’t have enough weapons or rhythm on offense to beat the Steelers, but with all the injuries to the Pittsburgh offense combined with the Broncos’ ball control offense, the game should stay close throughout.

Prediction: Denver Broncos (+9) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Denver +9

NFL Playoff Football: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos
Date: 1/8/2012
Time: 1 PM EST on CBS
Vegas Odds Favorite: Pittsburgh -9 | Total: Over/Under 34

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2012 NFL Wild Card Picks: Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/8/12

Free NFL Wildcard Picks: Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants NFL Playoff Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on FOX 1/8/12: Last season, the Atlanta Falcons rolled into the playoffs with the best record in the NFC, only to be bounced in the divisional round by the eventual champion Green Bay Packers. After going 10-6 and grabbing a Wild Card berth this year, the Falcons will try to make a title run as an underdog this time around. The run will have to start this Sunday against the New York Giants (9-7), who are coming off a huge win against the Dallas Cowboys in the season finale that clinched the NFC East and a playoff spot. Winning the division gives the Giants the luxury of hosting the Wild Card matchup, and as a result, New York is a three-point favorite this weekend.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Two of the more underrated quarterbacks will be on center stage in this game. New York’s Eli Manning and Atlanta’s Matt Ryan flew under the radar with guys like Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees and Tom Brady having spectacular seasons, but Manning and Ryan were impressive in their own right. Both players threw for more than 4,000 yards and 29 touchdowns. In fact, Manning finished just shy of 5,000 yards and set an NFL record with 15 fourth-quarter touchdown passes. Meanwhile, Ryan finished the year on a hot streak, throwing 15 touchdowns and just two interceptions during the final seven games.

Manning and Ryan both have plenty of weapons to work with, and since neither Atlanta nor New York has a strong secondary, some serious points could be scored. The Falcons have one of the most polished route runners in the game in receiver Roddy White, and the addition of rookie Julio Jones has given the team a true deep threat. Meanwhile, tight end Tony Gonzalez continues to be a monster in the red zone and moving the chains over the middle. The Giants counter with the receiver tandem of Victor Cruz and Hakeem Knicks. Both players topped 1,000 yards this, and Cruz topped 1,500 yards. Nicks and Cruz both have speed to make explosive plays, but with his size, Nicks is more of the red zone target while Cruz has a knack for making big plays in the open field.

With both passing attacks likely to perform well, the matchup to watch could be the Giants’ defensive front versus the Falcons’ ground game. Atlanta running back Michael Turner was third in the NFL with more than 1,300 yards, and he can pound defenses into submission behind a very physical offensive line. Meanwhile, the New York front is finally healthy, with Justin Tuck and Osi Umenyiora joing Jason Pierre-Paul. The Giants will attempt to put tons of pressure on Ryan to disrupt the Atlanta passing game, but if the Falcons counter with an effective dose of Turner, New York could struggle to slow down Ryan and company.

Experience is definitely in favor of the Giants. Manning and several other players are still around from the 2007 Super Bowl team, and New York has already had its season on the line in the final two games of the regular season and come away with wins. On the other hand, Ryan is 0-2 in the playoffs, and while the Falcons have been a strong regular season team the last two years, they have yet to prove they can win in the playoffs. More importantly, Atlanta has gone away from the ground game in critical situations throughout the year for whatever reason, and there is no guarantee the play calling will suddenly change. With the Giants’ fierce pass rush, the Falcons won’t be able to outscore New York in a pass-happy shootout.

Prediction: New York Giants (-3) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: New York Giants -3

NFL Playoff Football: Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants
Date: 1/8/2012
Time: 1 PM EST on FOX
Vegas Odds Favorite: NY Giants -3 | Total: Over/Under 47.5

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NFL Wild Card Picks: Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/7/11

Free NFL Wildcard Picks: Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints NFL Playoff Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on NBC 1/7/12: High-powered offenses and star quarterbacks will highlight the Wild Card matchup between the Detroit Lions (10-6) and New Orleans Saints (13-3). Fresh of shattering Dan Marino’s single-season record for passing yards, Drew Brees is trying to lead the Saints to their second Super Bowl since 2009. Meanwhile, former No. 1 pick Matthew Stafford has rewritten the Lions’ passing record book and has Detroit hoping for just its second play in the last five decades. After falling to New Orleans a few weeks ago by 14, the Lions are 10 ½-point underdogs in this weekend’s rematch.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Both offenses are downright scary. The Lions averaged just less than 30 points per game, while the Saints scored an impressive 34.2 a contest. Pass-happy is the best way to describe both systems, and Brees and Stafford both threw for more than 5,000 yards and more than 40 touchdowns. In any other year Stafford’s numbers would have made him the top QB in the league, but with Brees breaking several records, the edge has to go to New Orleans in the battle under center.

Neither side has a shortage of weapons to work with. Brees’ two favorite targets are tight end Jimmy Graham and receiver Marques Colston. Graham finished the year with 99 catches for more than 1,300 yards and 11 scores. Meanwhile, Colston topped 1,100 yards despite missing several games with a broken collarbone. Not to mention the fact that running back Darren Sproles is an excellent pass catcher out of the backfield and broke the total yards from scrimmage record this season.

Stafford has a top notch tight end as well in Brandon Pettigrew, who finished the year with 83 catches. More importantly, he has the advantage of throwing to one of the best receivers in the NFL in Calvin Johnson. Johnson had 16 touchdowns among his 96 catches for a league-leading 1,681 yards. His combination of size and speed is probably the best at the position, making him tough to stop on deep routes and even harder to defend in the red zone. Brees probably has more weapons at his disposable, but Johnson gives Stafford the single best option.

Despite both offenses being able to dominate through the air, the Saints’ ability to run the ball sets them apart in this matchup. Led by Pierre Thomas and Sproles, New Orleans has been a top-10 rushing offense this year. By keeping Detroit honest with the run, the Saints will be able to neutralize the pass rush of the Lions. They will also be able to set up play-action passes and hit some big plays down the field. Meanwhile, Stafford will be forced to drop back on almost every down, subjecting him to plenty of blitz packages.

With an offensive shootout is the likely outcome, the defense that can create turnovers or make a stop or two could tip the scale in favor of their team. Unfortunately for the Lions, their secondary is coming off a game when it surrendered 480 yards and six touchdowns to Green Bay backup Matt Flynn. That doesn’t bode well heading into a matchup with the most prolific quarterback in the NFL this season, who happens to be the same QB that torched Detroit’s defense a little more than a month ago.

Playing at home, it’s tough not to love the Saints’ chances. New Orleans scored more than 40 points per game at home on its way to an 8-0 record. Only one of the eight victories came by less than 11 points, and that was a seven-point win in late September. Brees and company are a scoring machine inside the Superdome, and while Stafford and the Lions will put points on the board as well, they couldn’t keep pace with New Orleans in the regular season meeting and probably won’t be able to this weekend either.

Prediction: New Orleans Saints (-10 ½) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: New Orleans Saints -10.5

NFL Playoff Football: Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints
Date: 1/7/2012
Time: 8 PM EST on NBC
Vegas Odds Favorite: New Orleans -10.5 | Total: Over/Under 59

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2012 NFL Wild Card Picks: Cincinnati Bengals @ Houston Texans Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/7/11

Free NFL Wildcard Picks: Cincinnati Bengals @ Houston Texans NFL Playoff Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on NBC 1/7/12: For the AFC South champion Houston Texans (10-6), Saturday’s Wild Card matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (9-7) will be a historical game for the franchise. The Texans will be playing in the postseason for the first time and will be looking to make the moment even more memorable with a win. Meanwhile, the Bengals will be looking for their first playoff win since 1991, which ironically came at the hands of the old Houston franchise that has since moved to Tennessee. The game is a rematch of a regular season meeting that featured a come-from-behind 20-19 win by the Texans on a late touchdown pass. This time around, the Bengals are three-point underdogs.

SBG Global Sportsbook

While the Texans rallied in dramatic fashion to beat the Bengals in the first showdown and clinch the division in the process, Houston hasn’t won a game since. Limping into the playoffs isn’t exactly a recipe for success, but playing at home against a team that they have already defeated has to inspire a bit of confidence in the Texans. Of course, Cincinnati hasn’t exactly had powered its way into the playoffs either. The Bengals are 1-7 against teams with winning records this year and winless against teams that made the playoffs.

Based on the stat sheet, the game should be a defensive battle. The Bengals are giving up 20.2 points per game to opponents, while the Texans are allowing just 17.4 a game. Both units have been strong against the run, but Houston has the edge in the secondary. Ironically, a big reason for the Texans’ improvement against the pass was the acquisition of former Cincinnati cornerback Johnathan Joseph. Even without their star pass rusher Mario Williams, who is out with an injury, the Texans’ defense is the stronger of the two units. In fact, it was a strip sack by Houston defensive end Connor Barwin that fueled the Texans’ comeback in the first game.

While both teams have had excellent defenses, their offenses have been inconsistent at times. A big part of the problem has been inexperience at the quarterback position. Granted, rookie Andy Dalton has exceeded expectations, but he is still less than a year removed from playing at the college level and must now face a stout defense in a pressure-packed atmosphere. Meanwhile, the Texans’ T.J. Yates may be in an even tougher situation. Unlike Dalton, who has been starting since the first game of the season, Yates was forced to take over late in the year following season-ending injuries to Matt Schaub and Matt Leinart. Who could blame Yates if he feels some jitters leading a franchise in its first-ever playoff game?

Yates’ job could be further complicated by the health of star wide receiver Andre Johnson. When healthy, Johnson is arguably the top player at his position. However, multiple hamstring injuries have hobbled throughout the year, and he is just now getting back to full strength. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has enjoyed the services of receiver A.J. Green all year. The rookie exploded onto the scene, topping 1,000 yards and making the Pro Bowl. Green is Dalton’s top target and the Bengals’ best offensive weapon. If he has a big game, Cincinnati could score enough points to win what should be an otherwise low-scoring contest.

The X-factor will likely be Houston running back Arian Foster. After dealing with hamstring issues to start the year, Foster came on strong to finish third in the league in total yards. He is a big play waiting to happen in the run and passing game, and just one year removed from a rushing title, Foster could take over the game on the offensive side of the ball. That being said, he managed just 41 yards in the earlier meeting against Cincinnati, and the Bengals’ run defense seemed to have him figured out.

With two rookie quarterbacks going up against two strong defenses, another tight, low-scoring game could be in order. Field position should play a big role, and if either side starts turning the ball over, their chances are almost certainly doomed. In the end, the Bengals’ ability to slow down Foster and put pressure on Yates will be critical. If Johnson is fully healthy, he may be able to find some holes in the Cincinnati secondary. However, it is tough to imagine Johnson being healthy after injuring both hamstrings during the year. As a result, the Bengals should be able to build a lead as they did in the first meeting with the Texans, resulting in a close game even if Houston manages another rally.

Prediction: Cincinnati Bengals (+4) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Cincinnati +4

NFL Playoff Football: Cincinnati Bengals @ Houston Texans
Date: 1/7/2012
Time: 4:30 PM EST on NBC
Vegas Odds Favorite: Houston -4 | Total: Over/Under 39

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Week 17 Sunday Night NFL Picks: Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/1/12

Week 17 Free NFL Picks: Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants NFL Week 17 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on NBC 1/1/12: For the Cowboys and the Giants, it doesn’t get much bigger than Sunday night’s showdown in New York. Both teams enter the matchup with identical 8-7 records, and the winner will clinch the NFC East and a spot in the playoffs, while the loser will miss the postseason entirely. The winner-take-all format is the ultimate pressure-packed situation, and it is going to heavy a lasting impact on how both franchises view the season. After winning an earlier meeting in Dallas, the Giants are three-point favorites at home.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Leading up to the game, the top storyline has been the health of Dallas quarterback Tony Romo. He suffered a bruised hand in last week’s loss to Philadelphia, missing all but a few plays. That being said, Romo has practiced throughout the week and is expected to be close to 100 percent for Sunday’s crucial game. The Cowboys need Romo under center to have a chance, and they need him to play well. He threw 29 touchdowns this season, while completing more than 65 percent of his passes, and he will be facing a New York secondary that has been gashed at times. Romo himself had a monster game in the earlier meeting, throwing for 321 yards and four scores. A similar performance will put Dallas in position to win.

New York will lean on their quarterback as well, and Eli Manning has risen to the occasion more often than not this year. He has thrown for a career-high 4,587 yards this year, adding 26 touchdowns. The numbers are more impressive, considering the Giants’ ground game has been completely inept most of the year and his receivers have been plagued by drops. Manning has had to carry the load, and he will have to do the same Saturday if the Giants are going to win.

There is no shortage of firepower for either signal caller. Dallas wide receivers Miles Austion, Dez Bryant and Laurent Robinson have combined for 25 touchdowns this season, and all three players are capable of making big plays down the field. The Cowboys also have reliable tight end Jason Witten, who led the team in receptions and receiving yards. New York counters with receivers Hakeem Nicks and Victor Cruz. Cruz was the breakout star this season, and he enters the game with more than 1,300 yards. He also has a knack for making big plays, including a 99-yard touchdown catch last weekend.

With both sides likely to throw the ball early often, two suspect passing defenses will once again be on display. Both defenses looked shaky in the Giants’ 37-34 victory in early December, and another high-scoring affair could be in order. Although neither side can expect a lot out of its secondary, both defenses do possess potent pass rushes that could impact the outcome. Dallas is led by linebacker DeMarcus Ware, who finished with 18 sacks this season. Meanwhile, the Giants have a trio of solid options, with defensive ends Osi Umenyiora, Justin Tuck and Jason Pierre-Paul all capable of making big plays. Pierre-Paul could be especially vital after leading the team with 15 ½ sacks this season and blocking a potential game-tying field goal attempt against the Cowboys in the Giants victory in Dallas.

The X-factor in the game could be the psych of Romo and the strategy of Dallas coach Jason Garrett. Whether it is fair or not, Romo has always been viewed as somewhat of a choke artist in big games. For his part, he has had some turnovers at critical moments. Meanwhile, Garrett has been criticized for being too conservative late in games, causing Dallas to give up fourth quarter leads in almost all of the Cowboys’ defeats. In a game that will likely come down to the wire, one bad play could decide the outcome.

Sunday’s meeting between these two division rivals is going to have every bit the atmosphere of a playoff game. Romo and Manning will likely put on an aerial display, and it wouldn’t be a shock to see both teams crack the 30-point mark once again. In the end, it’s tough to ignore Dallas’ tendency to find ways to lose games in crucial spots. Whether it is a problem with Romo or an issue with the play calling, the fact is that the Cowboys aren’t good at closing games. With all the added pressure with a playoff spot being up for grabs, Manning’s experience as a former Super Bowl winner should pay dividends and help New York get the job done at home.

Prediction: New York Giants (-3) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: NY Giants -3

Week 17 NFL Football: Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants
Date: 1/1/2012
Time: 8:30 PM EST on NBC
Vegas Odds Favorite: NY Giants -3| Total: Over/Under 48

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Week 17 NFL Picks: Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/1/12

Week 17 Free NFL Picks: Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals NFL Week 17 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on CBS 1/1/12: Playoff implications abound when the Baltimore Ravens (11-4) travel to Paul Brown Stadium to face the Cincinnati Bengals (9-6) Sunday afternoon. The Bengals need to win to ensure themselves of a playoff spot, and while the Ravens already have a spot in the postseason, Baltimore still has plenty to play for. A victory will clinch the AFC North title for Baltimore and give them a first-round bye. Heck, the Ravens could even end up with home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs with a win and a loss by the New England Patriots. Needless to say, there is plenty at stake for these two division rivals, and there will be no shortage of intensity. The Ravens defeated the Bengals in Baltimore earlier this year and are 1 ½-point favorites in the rematch.

SBG Global Sportsbook

On paper, a matchup between these two teams would figure to be a defensive battle. The Ravens are allowing less than 200 yards passing, less than 100 yards rushing and just 16.6 points per game to opponents. Meanwhile, the Bengals are giving up less than 100 yards rushing per game as well and less than 20 points. Despite fielding two of the top-rated defenses in the NFL, the first between the two teams turned into a shootout, with the Ravens holding on for a 31-24 win. The numbers say points should be tough to come by, but it’s tough to rule out a high-scoring game given the results from earlier this year.

Regardless of the pace of the game, quarterback play is going to be crucial for the success of both teams. While Baltimore would appear to have an edge with the experienced Joe Flacco under center, Bengals’ rookie Andy Dalton actually has the better numbers. Dalton has thrown more touchdowns and completed a higher percentage of passes than Flacco. In fact, Flacco has already tied a career-high in interceptions and has the worst completion percentage of his career. Not to mention the fact that Dalton outplayed Flacco in the first meeting, throwing for a career-best 373 yards.

Of course, the Bengals have to do more than slow down Flacco in order to win the game. In the first meeting, Baltimore running back Ray Rice ran for more than 100 yards and two touchdowns against the normally stout Bengals’ defense. Rice has more than 1,000 yards on the year, and while he didn’t gash the Cincinnati defense, he did force the unit to honor the run. As a result, the play-action passing game was opened up, and rookie receiver Torrey Smith was able to have a big game. Smith has been the top deep threat for the Baltimore offense all year, and if the Bengals fail to slow him down, the Ravens could be on their way to a division title.

The X-factor in the game could be Cincinnati wide receiver A.J. Green. The rookie missed the first game with Baltimore, but he will be on the field Sunday. Green has already topped 1,000 yards and was named to the Pro Bowl. With his top target on the field, Dalton and the Bengals may have enough firepower to get over the hump and secure a spot in the playoffs.

There is no question that the Bengals are going to be pumped to play in front of their home fans with a playoff spot on the line. That being said, this Ravens’ team is a veteran, playoff-tested group that is more than capable of weathering an early storm. Much like the first meeting, both offenses will likely hit some big plays, but the added dimension of Rice running the ball gives the Ravens an edge. More importantly, the Baltimore defense has a few more playmakers and it showed in the first meeting when the unit picked off Dalton twice. The Bengals are currently 0-3 against Baltimore and Pittsburgh this season, and this young group just isn’t ready to overtake the division powerhouses.

Prediction: Baltimore Ravens (-1) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: Baltimore -1

Week 17 NFL Football: Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals
Date: 1/1/2012
Time: 4:15 PM EST on CBS
Vegas Odds Favorite: Baltimore -1 | Total: Over/Under 37.5

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