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NBA Sunday on ABC Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 4/22/2012

2012 NBA Picks: Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 4/22/2012: With the regular season winding down, the Thunder (46-17) and Lakers (40-24) already know they will be headed to the postseason. However, both teams have plenty to play for when they meet Sunday afternoon in Los Angeles. Oklahoma City is just one game back in the loss column on San Antonio for the top seed in the Western Conference. Meanwhile, the Lakers are clinging to a half-game lead over the Clippers in the Pacific Division. Throw in the fact that these two teams could meet again in the second round of the playoffs, and Sunday’s game has plenty riding on it. The Thunder is going for the season sweep in the series and is a 2 ½-point favorite in this matchup.

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In the first two meetings between the teams, Oklahoma City was simply too much offensively for the Lakers to handle. The Thunder won 100-85 in a February contest and 102-93 in the Staples Center on March 29. For the year, the Thunder has a huge edge on the offensive end over Los Angeles. Oklahoma City is third in the NBA in scoring at 102.8 per game, while the Lakers rank in the middle of the road. The two teams are comparable on the defensive end and on the boards, which makes the Thunder’s scoring prowess all the more noteworthy.

Los Angeles’ biggest issue is slowing down Oklahoma City is that it doesn’t have an answer for the Thunder’s two star players. Forward Kevin Durant and point guard Russell Westbrook rank second and fifth in the NBA in scoring, and both have played crucial roles in Oklahoma City’s victories over the Lakers. Durant dropped 33 in the February victory, and Westbrook exploded for 36 in the March win. With Ron Artest no longer the lockdown defender he used to be, Los Angeles doesn’t have the speed or athleticism on the perimeter to contain either player. Even the addition of point guard Ramon Sessions didn’t help the Lakers, as Westbrook had his big game against Sessions.

While the matchup issues with Durant and Westbrook are from ideal for Los Angeles, the Lakers’ biggest problem against the Thunder has been Kobe Bryant’s shooting woes. He has made just 14 of his 49 shot attempts in the two meetings with Oklahoma City, and since the Lakers have struggled to score at times when Bryant has been playing well, they have little chance of winning if he struggles once again. It’s tough to bet against the NBA’s leading scorer, but the length of the Thunder’s Thabo Sefolosha seems to bother Bryant. Not to mention the fact that Bryant is just returning from a shin injury. At the very least, Oklahoma City will make Bryant work for his points.

The X-factor in the game could be Los Angeles center Andrew Bynum. He has blossomed as a post scorer this season and recently grabbed 30 rebounds in a game. When he is focused, Bynum can take over a game offensively for Los Angeles, and the Lakers will need him to do just that Sunday. Oklahoma City does have two big bodies in the paint to counteract Bynum in Kendrick Perkins and Serge Ibaka, but Bynum had little trouble scoring in the March meeting, finishing with 25 points on just 15 shots. He will need to have an even bigger game this down around to get the Lakers over the hump.

In the end, the Thunder is just a tough matchup for the Lakers. Los Angeles is used to being the older, slower team, but having Bynum and Pau Gasol usually allows the Lakers to dominate the glass and the paint. Oklahoma City has enough size and athleticism inside to hold its own against the Lakers’ big men and the perimeter firepower and speed to outscore Bryant and company. The Thunder already has two easy wins against Los Angeles this season, and a season sweep should be on tap.

Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder (-2 ½) Covers the Spread

Current Odds: Favorite – Oklahoma City -1 Total – OVER/UNDER 198.5

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Posted in NBAComments Off on NBA Sunday on ABC Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 4/22/2012

2012 NBA Picks: Los Angeles Lakers @ San Antonio Spurs Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 4/11/2012

2012 NBA Picks: Los Angeles Lakers @ San Antonio Spurs Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 4/11/2012: Two Western Conference juggernauts will go head to head Wednesday night, when the Los Angeles Lakers (36-22) go on the road to face the San Antonio Spurs (40-15). A lot is at stake for both sides, as the Lakers try to hold off the pesky Clippers for the Pacific Division lead and the Spurs try to track down Oklahoma City for the conference’s best record. The game is also a chance for both veteran clubs to make a statement to the rest of the NBA that they will be a factor in the upcoming postseason. With a stout 23-4 record at home, it is no surprise that San Antonio is a 10-point favorite.

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How bad does San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich want to win Wednesday night? Well, he essentially forfeited an 11-game winning streak in the Spurs’ last game in order to rest Tony Parker, Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili. Yes, Popovich is thinking long-term by resting his veteran stars, but it is no coincidence that he chose to rest all three right before a big showdown with Los Angeles. Meanwhile, the Lakers enter the matchup with an injured Kobe Bryant. The NBA’s leading scorer is battling a shin issue, which has held him out of the team’s last two games. Given his competitive nature, it would be a shock if Bryant wasn’t on the court. However, the Spurs are definitely the team at full strength in this one.

There is no question that the rivalry between these two franchises is one of the best in the league. In the last 13 years, either Los Angeles or San Antonio has represented the Western Conference in the NBA Finals 11 times. During the stretch, the two teams have combined for nine championships. Wednesday’s meeting will be the first of three games between the two teams in the next 10 days. With a strong possibility that the two sides could also meet in the second-round of the playoffs, expect an intense atmosphere in all three matchups.

Both the Lakers and Spurs are older teams, and they know that it takes success in the half court to win in the postseason. Both sides will look to play through the post on offense to create high percentage shots and grind things out on the defensive end. Rebounding will be crucial, as well, and this is one area where Los Angeles has to excel. With big men Andrew Bynum and Pau Gasol in the frontcourt, the Lakers are second in the NBA in rebounding this season. Limiting San Antonio to one shot and getting a few second-chance opportunities of their own will go a long way to helping the Lakers’ chances.

Bynum in particular could be a wild card. He has played like a superstar at times this season, but a recent rash of bad decisions and technical fouls has called his focus into question. If he shows up ready to play, he could dominate the aging Duncan and smaller DeJuan Blair in the San Antonio frontcourt. If he delivers a half-hearted effort, the Lakers will waste arguably their biggest advantage in this matchup.

For San Antonio, the X-factor could be their firepower off the bench. With younger players like Kawhi Leonard and Danny Green stepping up this season and veteran Stephen Jackson gelling nicely since coming aboard, the Spurs have several options that can come off the bench and knock down perimeter shots. Los Angeles has almost no depth or perimeter firepower, and the Lakers could struggle to match the energy of San Antonio’s role players. In a tight game, a few hustles plays here and there could make the difference.

In the end, the deck seems to be stacked in favor of the Spurs. San Antonio’s three-best players are well rested, while Bryant won’t be at 100 percent for Los Angeles and Bynum may or may not have his head in the game. Throw in the fact that the Spurs have been unbelievable at home this year and the Lakers are a pedestrian 13-16 on the road, and Wednesday’s meeting looks less and less winnable for Los Angeles.

Prediction: San Antonio Spurs (-9.5) Cover the Spread

Current Odds: Favorite – San Antonio -9.5 Total – OVER/UNDER 201.5

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Posted in NBAComments Off on 2012 NBA Picks: Los Angeles Lakers @ San Antonio Spurs Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 4/11/2012

2012 NBA Picks: Oklahoma City @ Miami Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 4/4/2012

2012 NBA Picks: Oklahoma City @ Miami Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 4/4/2012:The top team in the Western Conference will meet one of the best teams in the Eastern Conference Wednesday night, when the Oklahoma City Thunder (40-13) heads to South Beach to take on the Miami Heat (38-14) in a potential NBA Finals preview. The game will showcase some of the most athletic players in the league, and for Miami’s LeBron James and Oklahoma City’s Kevin Durant, the head-to-head meeting is chance to stake a claim to this year’s MVP Award. The Thunder rolls into the matchup having won six of seven games, but the Heat is 22-2 at home this year. Miami is a 3-point favorite, but something has to give between these two heavyweights.

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With young, explosive players littering both rosters, it is no surprise that both teams play remarkably similar styles. Both sides want to push the tempo and play at a faster pace, scoring as many transition baskets as possible. It shows on the stat sheet, and Oklahoma City enters the game scoring an NBA-best 103.5 points per game, while Miami ranks fourth in scoring at 100.7 per game. The two teams are also first and second in team field goal percentage, with the Heat holding a slight edge. It is likely going to take triple digits to win this game.

The two teams actually met not long ago, with the Thunder earning a dominating 103-87 victory in Oklahoma City in March 25. Miami actually shut down Thunder All-Star point guard Russell Westbrook, but Durant scored a game-high 28 and nearly had a triple double. Meanwhile, the Heat’s frontcourt had no answer for Thunder big men Kendrick Perkins and Serge Ibaka. Both players had one of their best offensive games of the year, combining for 35 points on 16-of-21 shooting. Meanwhile, James had one of his worst for Miami, finishing with just 17 points.

Unfortunately for the Heat, the disadvantage inside isn’t going away. Forward Chris Bosh is the team’s top big man, but he is averaging less than eight rebounds per game and is more of a glorified jump shooter at times. Miami really doesn’t have the big bodies down low to contend with the physical play of Perkins and Ibaka. Normally, James picks up the slack on the board for the Heat, but against Oklahoma City, he is forced to spend more time on the perimeter defending Westbrook and Durant. Needless to say, this is a serious matchup problem for Miami.

If Miami is going to change the outcome Wednesday night, James and Dwyane Wade have to have big games offensively. Wade had a respectable 22 points in the March 25 loss, but he attempted just 10 shots. In order to keep up with the high-powered Thunder offense, both Wade and James need to go for 20-plus points. However, their typical slashing style is somewhat limited with Ibaka and Perkins waiting around the rim to block or alter shots. There is no better time for both Wade and James to showcase their back-to-the-basket moves that have been very effective at times throughout the year.

The X-factor in the game could be Miami’s point guard duo of Mario Chalmers and Norris Cole. The two young players have run hot and cold throughout the year, but they have an inviting matchup Wednesday night. As explosive as Westbrook is as a scorer, he has yet to turn himself into a good defender. He has been lit up by points guard around the league, and while neither Chalmers nor Cole is Miami’s primary scoring option, they can certainly help out. Facing Oklahoma City, Miami will need all the points it can get.

Playing at home where Miami has been almost unbeatable, a repeat of the blowout loss at the end of March is very unlikely. However, the Thunder is a tough matchup for the Heat. Oklahoma City not only has two physical big men to take advantage of Miami’s weak frontcourt, but Durant and Westbrook can cancel out the athletic edge that James and Wade typically give the Heat. Throw in the fact that the Thunder has been playing much better of late than Miami, and James and company could be in trouble.

Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder (+3) Covers the Spread

Current Odds: Favorite – Miami -3 Total – OVER/UNDER 197.5

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Posted in NBAComments Off on 2012 NBA Picks: Oklahoma City @ Miami Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 4/4/2012

2012 NBA on TNT Picks: New York Knicks @ Miami Heat Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 2/23/2012

NBA Betting – New York Knicks @ Miami Heat Odds, Free Picks and Predictions – NBA Picks and Odds 2/23/12: Last year, the Miami Heat was the biggest story in the NBA. This year, the New York Knicks are quickly becoming the same, as the meteoric rise of point guard Jeremy Lin has captured the attention of the sport’s universe and propelled the Knicks (17-17) back into playoff contention. Needless to say, all eyes will be focused on both teams when they meet Thursday night in South Beach as part of TNT’s national telecast. Lin may be making the headlines, but the Heat (26-7) has the best record in the Eastern Conference. Miami is also 14-2 at home and a 9 ½-point favorite Thursday night.

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New York is 8-2 since Lin took over as starting point guard, and while his scoring has added an extra dimension to the Knicks’ offense, it has been his ability to distribute the ball and keep his teammates involved that has made the biggest difference. Granted, there could be some growing pains as Carmelo Anthony and Amar’e Stoudemire are both healthy for the first since Lin has been running the show, but the more important question is how the new-look Knicks will perform on a big stage. It doesn’t get much bigger than Thursday night’s game between two long-time, bitter rivals.

The two teams met in Miami once already, with the Heat emerging with a 10-point win. In that game Miami’s LeBron James and Dwyane Wade decimated the Knicks’ normally stout defense, combining for 59 points. Meanwhile, New York attempted 43 3-pointers, abandoning any type of set offense. A 3-point fest probably isn’t going to happen this time around with Lin running the show, but that being said, New York still has to find a way to slow down the Miami offense that is leading the NBA in scoring and field goal percentage this season.

James and Wade will once again be the focal point of the Miami offense. The duo is the Heat’s main source of offense every game, but both players have particularly strong matchups against New York. Anthony and Stoudemire are prolific scorers for the Knicks, but neither is known for their defense. Center Tyson Chandler has been able to mask the team’s defense inefficiencies with his shot-blocking ability at the rim, but James and Wade are such solid finishers, that Chandler isn’t able to compensate. Lin doesn’t add much on the defense either, and his propensity for turning the ball over should give the Heat plenty of transition scoring opportunities, as well.

With Miami likely to control the pace of the game with its high-powered offense, New York is going to have to try to keep pace. Lin will help in that area, as will the addition of shooting guard J.R. Smith. Smith is one of the best perimeter shooters in the NBA, and he opted to sign with the Knicks after his contract in China expired. Unlike the first meeting between the two teams when the Knicks simply jacked up 3-pointers at an inefficient rate, Smith and Lin can make their perimeter shots count. A more balanced attack for the Knicks should lead to more points on the scoreboard.

“Linsanity” may be sweeping the country right now, but he and the Knicks could be in for a rude awakening. There is no doubt the Knicks’ new point guard has made them a playoff-caliber team. However, the Heat has separated itself from everyone but Chicago in the Eastern Conference. More importantly, the Knicks match up poorly on the defensive end with the Heat’s best scorers. If Thursday’s game was in New York, the Knicks might have a shot at the upset. In South Beach, the Miami offense will overwhelm the Knicks for the second time this season.

Prediction: Miami Heat (-9 ½) Covers the Spread

Current Odds: Favorite – Miami -9 Total – OVER/UNDER 201.5

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Posted in NBAComments Off on 2012 NBA on TNT Picks: New York Knicks @ Miami Heat Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 2/23/2012

2012 NBA Picks: Orlando Magic @ Miami Heat Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 2/19/2012

NBA Betting – Orlando Magic @ Miami Heat Odds, Free Picks and Predictions – NBA Picks and Odds 2/19/12: Southeast Division rivals will meet Sunday afternoon on ABC, when the Orlando Magic (20-11) head to South Beach to take on the Miami Heat (23-7). Both franchises are looking like locks to make the playoffs, but as far as a division title goes, Miami is beginning to create some separation. The Heat has a four-game lead on second-place Orlando, and if the Magic plan on sneaking up and winning the Southeast crown, beating Miami head to head is a must. Of course, knocking off the team with the second-best record in the Eastern Conference is easier said than done, and Orlando is a 9 ½-point underdog in Sunday’s showdown.

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The game is a rematch of a February 8 meeting that the Magic won 102-89. Orlando hit 17 3-pointers in the game, which were more than enough to overcome 33 points from Miami’s Dwyane Wade. That being said, the meeting was the first game of a six-game road trip for the Heat, and Miami hasn’t lost since. Orlando has won four in a row in its own right, but Miami is 12-2 on its home court this season, while the Magic is just 8-5 on the road.

For Orlando, the magic number is 90 points. The Magic has lost just a single game when scoring 90 or more points this season but has won just a single game when scoring fewer than 90 points. Miami is allowing just over 94 points per game to opponents this year, which puts Orlando very much in the danger zone when it comes to reaching the 90-point mark. With the Heat averaging an NBA-best 103.4 points per game this season, the chances of the Magic winning without reaching at least 90 are about as slim as they can get.

While the Magic are loaded with 3-point gunners like Jason Richardson, J.J. Redick and Hedo Turkoglu, Orlando can’t count on another 17 3-pointers to carry the load. Hot shooting nights like that simply don’t happen very often, and they happen even less on the road. However, one advantage Orlando has that should stay consistent is center Dwight Howard. For all the star power Miami possesses, the Heat doesn’t have a dominant big man. Howard went for more than 20 points and more than 20 boards in Orlando’s win earlier this month, and he should be in line for another monster stat line.

Of course, Orlando doesn’t have the perimeter defenders to contain Wade and LeBron James. The Magic relies on Howard cleaning up mistakes with his shot blocking ability, but Wade and James are two of the best finishers in the game. As mentioned earlier, Wade did his part in the first meeting, but James had an uncharacteristically off night. Considering he is averaging 28.0 points and shooting a career-high 54.6 percent from the field this season, a second poor performance against the Magic probably isn’t going to happen.

Despite the outcome of the first meeting between the division rivals, all the stats point to Miami having the edge. The Heat is the highest-scoring team in the league, playing an Orlando team that has been downright ugly on offense at times. Howard will likely dominate the boards once again, but he is only averaging just over 20 points a game. With James, Wade and Chris Bosh combining for almost 69 points a game, Miami’s firepower on offense will likely be too much for Orlando to handle in South Beach.

Prediction: Miami Heat (-9 ½) Covers the Spread

Current Odds: Favorite – Miami -9 Total – OVER/UNDER 192

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Posted in NBAComments Off on 2012 NBA Picks: Orlando Magic @ Miami Heat Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 2/19/2012

2012 NBA Picks: Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 2/12/2012

NBA Betting – Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks Odds, Free Picks and Predictions – NBA Picks and Odds 2/12/12: The top two teams in the Southeast Division will be on center stage Sunday night when the Miami Heat (20-7) goes on the road to face the Atlanta Hawks (18-9). Miami has a two-game lead on the Hawks, but both teams are jockeying for playoff position amongst themselves and the rest of the Eastern Conference. For Atlanta, the meeting is chance its make a statement against one of the best teams in the NBA. For Miami, it is a chance to put an end to its recent road woes. Even though the Hawks are the home team, the Heat is a 4 ½-point favorite.

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It is the third meeting of the year between the two franchises, with the series tied at a game apiece. Atlanta knocked off the Heat 100-92 in January, handing Miami its first loss at the time. Meanwhile, the Heat won a triple-overtime thriller in Atlanta later in the month, even though stars LeBron James and Dwyane Wade missed the game. In Sunday’s rubber match, it will be the Hawks that won’t be at full strength. Atlanta center Al Horford is out with an injury, leaving the Hawks without its top scoring big man.

The two sides have completely different styles of play. Miami ranks second in points per game, preferring to play at a fast pace and to push the tempo. The Heat has a deep bench loaded with 3-point gunners, which plays right into the team’s high-scoring mentality. Atlanta on the other hand likes to play in the half court, slowing the pace and wearing down teams on the defensive end. It shows on the stat sheet, and the Hawks are allowing the fifth-fewest points in the NBA. Sunday’s showdown will be a clash of styles, and if the score doesn’t reach triple digits, Atlanta has the edge.

Of course, keeping Miami below 100 points won’t be easy. James has been playing at an MVP level all season, and Wade has been averaging almost 28 points per game since returning from injury. More importantly, Bosh has been averaging almost 20 points a game this season, and without Horford manning the middle for Atlanta, Bosh could be in a for a big game. For what it’s worth, the Heat is 11-1 when Bosh scores 19 or more points.

If Atlanta is going to slow down Miami’s trio of superstars, point guard Jeff Teague has to manage the offense. Teague has had a strong season, but at times, he has become more of a scorer than a distributor. The Hawks need him to contribute, but they also need him to keep shooting guard Joe Johnson and forward Josh Smith involved on the offensive end. Atlanta doesn’t have the firepower to compete with Miami in a high-scoring game, which means Teague has to make sure the Hawks are getting efficient looks all night long.

The X-factor in the game could be Smith. He is the one player on Atlanta’s roster that has the athleticism to guard either James or Wade. He is one of the few players in the NBA that averages more than two blocks and more than one steal per game, and his speed and wingspan allows him to guard a variety of players. Smith has also picked up a lot of the slack in Horford’s absence on the defensive glass. With Atlanta needing a low-scoring game, Smith has to make sure the Heat isn’t getting second-chance opportunities.

In the end, the loss of Horford is going to take a toll on the Hawks. Granted, they have done a solid job of keeping Miami in check in the first two meetings, but James and Wade missed one of the games and Wade was hobbled in the other. Miami won’t be missing any crucial components this time around, and Atlanta will need every bit of scoring it can get. James, Wade and Bosh are meshing to the tune of nearly 70 points per game, and even the defensive-oriented Hawks will have trouble keeping up.

Prediction: Miami Heat (-4 ½) Covers the Spread

Current Odds: Favorite – Miami -4.5 Total – OVER/UNDER 189.5

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Posted in NBAComments Off on 2012 NBA Picks: Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 2/12/2012

2012 NBA Picks: Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Clippers Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 2/2/2012

NBA Betting – Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Clippers Odds, Free Picks and Predictions – NBA Picks and Odds 2/2/12: Two of the top teams in the Western Conference will go head to head Thursday night on TNT, when the Denver Nuggets (14-7) go on the road to face the Los Angeles Clippers (13-6). The suddenly dangerous Clippers enter the matchup leading the Pacific Division, while the Nuggets have the second-best record in the conference but trail the Oklahoma City Thunder in the Northwest Division. Denver has been one of the better road teams in the NBA this season, but the Clippers have been nearly unbeatable at home, compiling a 10-2 mark. As a result, Los Angeles is a 2 ½-point favorite in this matchup.

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Thursday’s game is actually the second meeting between the two franchises within a week. The Clippers went into Denver last Sunday and knocked off the Nuggets 109-105. Los Angeles guard Chauncey Billups played a big role in deciding the outcome, scoring 32 points on the strength of six 3-pointers. His backcourt mate Chris Paul added 25 of his own, as the Nuggets had no answer for the Clippers’ dynamic duo.

Los Angeles should enjoy a similar advantage in the frontcourt Thursday. Paul and Billups are both points guards, and having the two on the court at the same time gives the Clippers two proven floor generals making decisions. Both players recognize mismatches and are adept at exploiting them, and against Denver, Paul and Billups know they have an edge on the offensive end. Denver guards Andre Miller and Ty Lawson are strong offensive players in their own right, but neither player is a lockdown defender. As a result, Paul and Billups were able to score early and often in Sunday’s victory, and there is no reason they shouldn’t do the same Thursday.

For Denver, establishing center power forward Nene Hilario has been the challenge all season. Despite shooting almost 54 percent from the field and having a unique combination of strength and skill around in the rim, Hilario is averaging less than 15 points per game this season. He needs assert himself in the post Thursday and needs to get Clippers’ center DeAndre Jordan into foul trouble. Jordan blocked five shots in Los Angeles’ victory Sunday, forcing the Nuggets to become a perimeter-oriented team. Denver is at its best when it is running up and down the court, slashing to the basket and getting to the foul line.

Aside from Hilario needing to be more aggressive, the bigger issue facing Denver is the overall athleticism of the Clippers. The Nuggets are averaging an NBA-best 105.4 points per game this season. With Lawson pushing the tempo from the point guard position and lengthy wing players like Danilo Gallinari and Al Harrington running the floor, Denver has been able to tire out opponents and create easy scoring chances. However, Los Angeles is able to match the Nuggets’ athleticism with players like Jordan and highlight machine Blake Griffin. The Clippers’ ability to keep pace was on full display last Sunday, when they matched Denver point for point and emerged victorious in a high-scoring game.

The X-factor in the game could be Clippers’ guard Mo Williams. Los Angeles doesn’t have a lot of depth, but Williams is providing almost 15 points per game off the bench, giving Los Angeles the option to rest Paul and Billups sporadically throughout the game. Against a team like Denver that wants to push the tempo, Williams allows the Clippers to keep their starting backcourt well rested.

In the end, Los Angeles is a matchup nightmare for a Denver team that makes a living off of creating mismatches. The Nuggets don’t have the perimeter defenders to slow down Paul and Billups, and both players are equally dangerous scoring and distributing. The Clippers have more than enough firepower to compete with the Denver offense, and with Paul and Billups getting wherever they want on the floor, there should be plenty of easy buckets to go around for Los Angeles.

Prediction: Los Angeles Clippers (-1) Cover the Spread

Current Odds: Favorite – LA Clippers -1 Total – OVER/UNDER 206

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Posted in NBAComments Off on 2012 NBA Picks: Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Clippers Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 2/2/2012

2012 NBA Picks: Chicago Bulls @ Miami Heat Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 1/29/2012

NBA Betting – Chicago Bulls @ Miami Heat Odds, Free Picks and Predictions – NBA Picks and Odds 1/29/12: The top two teams in the Eastern Conference will square off Sunday on ABC when the Chicago Bulls (17-4) meet the Miami Heat (14-5) in South Beach Sunday. The game is a rematch of last year’s conference finals, which the Heat won in five games. One season later, the two franchises still appear to be the class of the East, and a budding rivalry could be developing. It is all but certain that Miami and Chicago are going to make the postseason, and Sunday’s game is a chance for both sides to make a statement about which team is the best in the conference. It could also have long-term ramifications on the top seed come playoff time. Playing at home, Miami is a 4 ½-point favorite.

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Sunday’s matchup is a classic battle of offense versus defense. Miami is the second-best scoring team in the NBA, averaging nearly 105 points per game. Meanwhile, Chicago has the best scoring defense in the league, allowing just 87.0 points per game. Needless to say, the Heat wants a fast-paced game and plenty of transition opportunities, while the Bulls want to slow the tempo and play the game in the half court. Whichever side dictates the pace is probably going to come away victorious.

After watching Miami’s victory over the New York Knicks Friday night, Chicago probably wishes Sunday’s game would have come a few days earlier. Miami shooting guard Dwyane Wade made his first start since going down with an ankle injury two weeks ago, and he looked spectacular. Wade finished with 28 points on 11 for 19 shooting and added five steals and two blocks. At full strength, the Heat is going to remind the Bulls every bit of the team that dispatched them from the playoffs one year ago.

While Wade is back in the lineup for Miami, Chicago could be without its second-best scoring option in forward Luol Deng. His wrist injury isn’t as serious as once thought, but if he does play, Deng will be dealing with some pain. Either way, extra pressure is likely to fall on the shoulders of defending MVP Derrick Rose. The point guard is having another strong season, averaging 21.9 points and 7.9 assists. However, he was stifled in the playoffs last season by Heat forward LeBron James. The size and speed combination of James has prevented Rose from penetrating the lane and from getting a clean release on his perimeter shots. Chicago is extremely dependent on Rose on the offensive end, and if James shuts him down once again, Sunday’s game is likely to be a repeat of last year’s conference finals.

James is likely to cause plenty of problems for the Bulls on the defensive end as well. His commitment to playing more in the post this year has taken his game to a new level. James is second in the NBA in scoring at more than 29 points per game. More importantly, he is shooting almost 55 percent from the field. Playing on the block has also allowed James to help out on the boards and open things up for Miami’s perimeter shooters. James is averaging more than eight rebounds and more than seven assists, and the Heat ranks fourth in the NBA in 3-point shooting percentage. Thanks to James’ expanded game, the Heat has been able to score consistently and efficiently in the half court, which was the team’s biggest weakness last season.

The X-factor in the game could be Chicago forward Carlos Boozer. With Deng hurting, he needs to step up become a reliable scoring option. He is averaging 15.2 points per game, but he hasn’t been the consistent post option the Bulls hoped he would be since joining the team. Boozer has to be aggressive and look for his shot early and often Sunday to take the pressure off Rose. If he has one of his all-too-frequent lackluster efforts, Chicago’s chances off keeping up on the offensive end are slim.t

At the end of the day, not a lot has changed with these teams since their playoff meeting last season. Chicago added shooting guard Richard Hamilton, and the Heat bolstered its bench, but the core of each team remains the same. With that in mind, James’ ability to hold Rose in gives the Heat an advantage that isn’t going away. Miami has more firepower on offense, and even against a stout Chicago defense, the Heat can still create mismatches. Meanwhile, the Bulls will likely live and die with Rose, and against James and company, that strategy has been ineffective.

Prediction: Miami Heat (-4 ½) Covers the Spread

Current Odds: Favorite – Miami -4.5 Total – OVER/UNDER 189.5

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Posted in NBAComments Off on 2012 NBA Picks: Chicago Bulls @ Miami Heat Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 1/29/2012

2012 NBA Picks: New York Knicks @ Miami Heat Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 1/27/2012

NBA Betting – New York Knicks @ Miami Heat Odds, Free Picks and Predictions – NBA Picks and Odds 1/27/12: In many ways, the Miami Heat and New York Knicks have gone down similar paths the last two years. Both franchises have brought multiple superstars together in an attempt to capture a championship. While both sides have experienced some growing pains with their retooled rosters, the overall results have been night and day. Miami went to the NBA Finals last year and are sitting atop the Southeast Division this season. The Knicks on the other hand, lost in the first round of last year’s playoffs and are 7-11 this season. The two teams may be heading in different directions, but they will meet Friday night in Miami as part of ESPN’s national telecast. Not surprisingly, the division-leading Heat is an 11 ½-point favorite.

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On paper, both teams are impressive. The Heat features the big three of forwards LeBron James and Chris Bosh and shooting guard Dwyane Wade. The Knicks counters with forwards Carmelo Anthony and Amar’e Stoudemire and center Tyson Chandler. While Chandler is known more as a defensive star, the other five players are perennial All-Stars and MVP candidates. In terms of individual talent, NBA fans will be hard pressed to find a better collection on the court at one time.

Of course, basketball is a team game, and both teams can attest that a bunch of star players doesn’t bring instant chemistry. The Heat has the added advantage of playing together longer, and it is showing. Miami second in the NBA in scoring, averaging almost 105 points per game. More importantly, the Heat is shooting an NBA-leading 48.6 percent from the field. Meanwhile, New York is still trying to work out the kinks, especially when it comes to the pecking order on the offensive end. It is the main reason that New York is one of the five worst teams in the NBA when it comes to field goal percentage and just in the middle of the pack in terms of points scored.

The scary thing is that the Heat has been piling up wins without the services of Wade, who has been hobbled by an ankle injury. With Wade out, the Heat hasn’t missed a beat. Bosh has picked up a lot of the slack, scoring in the post at a high level like his days in Toronto. Meanwhile, James has continued to play at an MVP level, averaging nearly 29 points to go along with more than eight rebounds and more than seven assists. For all their talent on offense, Anthony and Stoudemire aren’t exactly stoppers on defense. With Wade likely to miss the game, Bosh and James should both be in line for big performances once again.

The X-factor in the game could be Miami’s perimeter players. Point guard Mario Chalmers has led an underrated group of role players, and as a team, the Heat ranks fourth in the NBA in 3-point shooting percentage. Forwards Mike Miller and Shane Battier, along with rookie guard Norris Cole have all provided offense off the bench. Meanwhile, forward Udonis Haslem has provided help on the boards for the team’s second unit. After having almost no bench production one year ago, Miami is now one of the deeper teams in the league.

Meanwhile, New York has been playing musical chairs with its backcourt. The team is still missing a true point guard, and the Knicks are hitting just 30.2 percent of their 3-point attempts. As a result, Anthony and Stoudemire have had to work for their points, shooting just 39.4 and 42.6 percent from the field. Until New York finds a rhythm on offense and some shooters to stretch opposing defenses, points aren’t going to come easy.

The bottom line is that the Knicks just aren’t playing all that well right now. Anthony and Stoudemire are still trying to figure out how to gel, and Anthony may not even play. The lack of a true distributor at the point guard position is a big part of the problem, and it isn’t going to be solved any time soon. The Heat isn’t having any issues on offense, and James and company should get plenty of high-percentage looks against a mediocre New York defense. With New York’s stars struggling to get in sync, Miami’s firepower should be able to overwhelm the Knicks in this one.

Prediction: Miami Heat (-11 ½) Covers the Spread

Current Odds: Favorite – Miami -11.5 Total – OVER/UNDER 195.5

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Posted in NBAComments Off on 2012 NBA Picks: New York Knicks @ Miami Heat Odds and Predictions – Free NBA Picks 1/27/2012

Free NBA Picks – Miami Heat @ Los Angeles Clippers Odds and Predictions on ESPN 1/11/12

NBA Betting – Miami Heat @ Los Angeles Clippers Odds, Free Picks and Predictions -NBA Picks and Odds 1/11/12: Last offseason, the Miami Heat made a huge splash by landing free agents LeBron James and Chris Bosh. This year, it was the Los Angeles Clippers making a deal to acquire Chris Paul that grabbed the headlines. Both sides have to be happy with the results, as both enter Wednesday’s meeting in Los Angeles sitting atop their respective divisions. Both star-studded teams will be looking for a statement victory in this early season matchup.

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Looking at the starting lineups, it is easy to see why both teams are off to fast starts. Miami’s big three of James, Bosh and Dwyane Wade look even stronger in year two, and point guard Mario Chalmers is looking more in rhythm with his superstar teammates. Meanwhile, the additions of Paul, Caron Butler and Chauncey Billups have transformed the Clippers’ backcourt, making Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan two of the most efficient post scorers in the NBA.  

Both teams have been the model of efficiency on offense this season. Miami is leading the NBA in scoring, averaging 108.3 points per game, while the Clippers rank sixth in scoring offense (99.7). The Heat also leads the league in field goal percentage, hitting more than 50 percent of their shots, with Los Angeles ranking second in the same category. Given the star power for both sides, it isn’t surprising that both teams rank in the top four in terms of free throw attempts.  

While both offenses have been impressive this year, both teams have defenses ranked in the top 10 in scoring as well. Miami has been better at generating turnovers, forcing an NBA-best 19.3 per game, but the Clippers rank in the top 10 as well. The Heat also ranks third in field goal percentage defense, and the team’s ability to force opponents into tough shots should come in handy against a Clippers’ group that has getting plenty of easy buckets.

Another matchup to watch will be the Los Angeles bench versus the Miami bench. The Heat has excellent depth this season, and a victory on the road against the Hawks without James and Wade proves it. Forward Udonis Haslem and rookie Norris Cole lead a group that plays tough defense and can score. Los Angeles doesn’t have the same luxury. Outside of Mo Williams, the Clippers don’t have a lot of firepower off the bench. With both teams coming off games the night before, fatigue could be an issue. With more fresh bodies to work with, Miami could wear down the Clippers in the second half.

An X-factor in the game could be Los Angeles’ struggles on the glass. The Clippers are currently the worst rebounding team in the NBA, and the Heat averages almost as many defensive boards as Los Angeles does total rebounds. If the trend continues Wednesday night, the Clippers could be looking at one shot in a majority of their possessions. Meanwhile, James and the rest of the Miami big men could have plenty of second chance opportunity. Easy buckets add up during the course of a game, and Miami should have a big advantage in that area.

The crowd at the Staples Center will no doubt be rocking as the Clippers get a shot at knocking of a Heat team widely considered the best in the NBA. That being said, Los Angeles hasn’t been all that impressive against the top teams this season. The Clippers’ three losses have come against San Antonio, Chicago and Portland, and the Heat is certainly on par if not better than those teams. Miami’s fast-paced, attacking style on offense and ability to crash the boards should exploit the Clippers’ too biggest weaknesses. The Heat knows firsthand that it takes time to learn how to win big games. Los Angeles is dealing with the same issue early this season.

 Prediction: Miami Heat (-4) Covers the Spread

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Posted in NBAComments Off on Free NBA Picks – Miami Heat @ Los Angeles Clippers Odds and Predictions on ESPN 1/11/12

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