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Tag Archive | "NASCAR Predictions"

2013 EcoBoost 400 Free Picks: Betting on Underdogs for Big Payoffs

2013-Ford-400-Odds-Free-Picks-and-Predictions2013 Ford EcoBoost 400 Free Picks: Betting on Underdogs for Big Payoffs: The 2013 Cup Series season comes to a close this weekend, and Homestead-Miami Speedway will host Sunday’s finale. The 1.5-mile oval has undergone multiple changes to its surface over the years, going from one-land track with flat corners, to a high-speed track with progressive banking. As a result of the changes, different drivers have dominated at Homestead over the years with each change helping some drivers and hurting others. Throw in the fact that heavy hitter Jimmie Johnson will simply be looking for a decent finish to secure a championship rather than a win, and the door is wide open for a surprise winner this weekend. With that in mind, here is a closer look at a few underdogs that have a chance to  pull off an upset at Homestead Sunday and are worth a look from bettors.

Since becoming a full-time Cup driver in 2004, Martin Truex Jr. has been one of the best in the business at Homestead-Miami Speedway. He has a 6.7 average finish in seven starts at the track, and he has never finished worse than 11th. More importantly, he has finished sixth or better in four of his seven starts during the stretch, including two straight. In terms of points scored, Truex has been the fourth-best driver in the series during the seven races, but he is only getting 20/1 odds to win this weekend. He could definitely be a steal for bettors this weekend.

Although he has had a somewhat quiet 2013 season, it is still a surprise to see Greg Biffle only getting 25/1 odds to win this weekend at Homestead. After all, he is a three-time winner at the track, tying Tony Stewart for the most victories in track history. Granted, Biffle’s most recent victory at Homestead came in 2006, but he did finish in the top five at the track just last season. Considering no driver has been to victory lane at Homestead more than Biffle, he is definitely worth a look from bettors at his current odds.

His 17.0 average finish at Homestead isn’t great, but Ryan Newman has been a different driver at the track in recent years. He has compiled a 7.3 average finish in his last three starts at Homestead, finishing a career-best third at the track last season. Newman has also been on a bit of a roll in general lately, finishing in the top 10 in four of the five races leading up to Sunday’s finale, including two straight. He brings momentum in this weekend’s race, and given his recent hot streak at Homestead, Newman could end being a bargain at his current 33/1 odds.

Bettors looking for a serious longshots, have a couple of options to choose from this weekend. Both A.J. Allmendinger and Aric Almirola are getting to 150/1 odds to win Sunday, but both drivers have a history of success at Homestead. Allmendinger’s 10.3 average finish is actually the fourth best of any driver, and in four starts at the track, he has never finished outside the top 15 and has finished as high as fifth. Meanwhile, Almirola has finished fourth and seventh in his last two starts at the track while driving for two different teams. Neither driver has won a Cup a race, but Homestead has been one of the best tracks for both young drivers. Meanwhile, it only takes a small bet to yield a major payoff given the long odds of Allmendinger and Almirola.

Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2013 Ford EcoBoost 400 odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2013 Ford EcoBoost 400 Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!

Driver Odds to win the 2013 Ford EcoBoost 400

Matt Kenseth +300

Kyle Busch +600

Kasey Kahne +900

Kevin Harvick +700

Brad Keselowski +700

Jeff Gordon +1400

Dale Earnhardt Jr +1400

Jimmie Johnson +1400

Denny Hamlin +1000

Joey Logano +1000

Carl Edwards +1800

Clint Bowyer +2500

Martin Truex Jr +1800

Kurt Busch +1200

Greg Biffle +3000

Ryan Newman +3500

Field +1800

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2013 Ford EcoBoost 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Jimmie Johnson the Vegas Favorite

2013-Ford-400-Odds-Free-Picks-and-Predictions2013 Ford EcoBoost 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Jimmie Johnson the Vegas Favorite: The 2013 Sprint Cup season comes to a close this weekend at Homestead-Miami Speedway. The 1.5-mile oval has been hosting the season finale for more than a decade, and while a few drivers will be focused mainly on competing for the championship, the rest of the field will be focused on winning Sunday’s Ford EcoBoost 400. Last year, Kyle Busch appeared to be cruising to a win at Homestead, leading a race-high 191 of the 267 laps. However, the race ended on a long green flag run, and while Busch had to stop for a splash of fuel, Jeff Gordon was able to conserve enough fuel to make it to the finish and steal away the win.

The Favorites

He is coming off a win last weekend at Phoenix, and Kevin Harvick could go back to victory lane this weekend at Homestead. After all, his 7.9 average finish at the track is the second best in the series, and in 12 starts, he has 10 top-10 finishes, including five straight. Meanwhile, Harvick has a 4.8 average finish during his last five races at Homestead and has finished third or better three times during the span.

His 6.0 average finish at Homestead is the best in the series, and Carl Edwards has never finished outside the top 15 in nine starts at the track. He has also finished eighth or better seven times, including five top-five finishes. More importantly, Edwards has three top-two finishes, including two victories, in his last five starts at Homestead. Not only is Edwards a near lock to be in the mix Sunday, but he has already shown in multiple occasions that he can seal the deal.

The Dark Horses

He is the defending winner of this weekend’s race at Jeff Gordon has been dialed in at the track for a while now. He has 11 top-10 finishes in 14 starts at the track, and he has finished sixth or better in five of his last six starts. Gordon finally broke through with a win at Homestead last year, and with his consistent record at the track, back-to-back victories aren’t out of the question.

Greg Biffle is one of two drivers with three wins at Homestead, and he won three races in consecutive fashion from 2004 to 2006. Granted, he hasn’t been back since the streak ended, but he did finish in the top five in last year’s event. Biffle has definitely shown he can seal the deal at Homestead, and after a strong run at the track last year, he could be on the verge of recapturing his winning form.

While he isn’t the biggest name, Martin Truex Jr. has been delivering big time results at Homestead throughout his career. Since becoming a full-time driver, he has finished in 11th or better in all seven starts at the track, compiling a 6.7 average finish. Truex has finished as high as second during the stretch and has finished third and sixth in his two most recent starts at the track. A win seems like only a matter of time.

Sleeper Special

He will get the start in the JTG Daugherty Racing No. 47 in the season finale, and A.J. Allmendinger could make the most of his time behind the wheel. After all, his 10.3 average finish is the fourth best among drivers at Homestead, and in four starts at the track, he has never finished outside the top 15. Allmendinger has also finished in the top 10 in two of his last three starts at the track, finishing as high as fifth.

Big Name to Avoid

Defending series champ Brad Keselowski has been running well during the Chase, but he could have a tough time ending the year on a high note. After all, he has a 19.2 average finish in five career starts at Homestead, and he has never finished in the top 10 at the track. It’s hard to imagine Keselowski suddenly winning at Homestead this weekend when his best previous finish at the track is 13th.

Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2013 Ford EcoBoost 400 odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2013 Ford EcoBoost 400 Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!

Driver Odds to win the 2013 Ford EcoBoost 400

Matt Kenseth +300

Kyle Busch +600

Kasey Kahne +900

Kevin Harvick +700

Brad Keselowski +700

Jeff Gordon +1400

Dale Earnhardt Jr +1400

Jimmie Johnson +1400

Denny Hamlin +1000

Joey Logano +1000

Carl Edwards +1800

Clint Bowyer +2500

Martin Truex Jr +1800

Kurt Busch +1200

Greg Biffle +3000

Ryan Newman +3500

Field +1800

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2013 AdvoCare 500 Free Picks: Betting on Underdogs for Big Payoffs

2013-AdvoCare-500-Odds-Free-Picks-and-Predictions2013 AdvoCare 500 Free Picks: Betting on Underdogs for Big Payoffs: Phoenix International Raceway is one of the tougher tracks on the schedule. Thanks to its flat surface and two sets of corners that are very different, passing at Phoenix is difficult and finding a setup that feels completely comfortable is next to impossible. As a result, track position is crucial, and savvy pit strategy can often trump pure speed. In fact, the driver that has had the best car and has led the most laps has almost been at a disadvantage in recent years as the rest of the field simply uses a variety of tire and fuel strategies to try to steal away the win, and they have been pretty successful at it. When it comes down to it, any driver that is running near the front in the closing laps has a shot at the win if the cautions fall right, and with that in mind, here is a closer look at a few underdogs that could pull off the upset at Phoenix this weekend.

25 Team Parlay at BetOnline

While he certainly doesn’t qualify as a longshot at his current 14/1 odds to win at Phoenix, Carl Edwards should still have the attention of bettors. After all, there are nine drivers currently favored ahead of him this weekend, and a couple of those drivers haven’t even won a race at Phoenix. Meanwhile, Edwards is going for a season sweep at the track after winning the March event earlier this year, and he has actually won two races in his last six starts at Phoenix. During the stretch, he has added a runner-up effort at the track so if you do the math, Edwards has finished either first or second in three of his last six starts at Phoenix. Are there really nine drivers that should be considered better options to win this weekend? Bettors thinking of going with one of the bigger names should strongly consider taking Edwards and his added payout potential.

Although he doesn’t win many races, Ryan Newman does have a knack for getting to victory lane at flat tracks. In fact, he his last four wins in the Cup Series have come at flat tracks, including a win at Phoenix in 2010 and a win at Indianapolis earlier this year. Newman has also been on a tear at Phoenix in general, reeling off five top-five finishes in his last seven starts at the track. During the stretch, no driver has more top-five finishes at the track. Newman is a 33/1 longshot to win this weekend, and bettors won’t find a driver with longer odds that has been consistently challenging for victories at Phoenix.

His consistency at Phoenix has stood the test of time, and entering Sunday’s race, Mark Martin’s 9.4 average finish at the track is the second best among in the series. With 31 top-20 finishes in 33 starts at Phoenix, he is almost a lock to have at least a fighting chance. More importantly, he is a two-time winner at the track with his most recent win coming in 2009, and he has also finished in the top 10 in two of his last three starts at the track. Martin is a 66/1 longshot to win this weekend so the potential payoff is fairly sizeable, especially for a driver that has been in consistent contention at the track for more than two decades.

Oval tracks have never his forte, but Juan Pablo Montoya has always run surprisingly well at Phoenix compared to other oval tracks. He has finished in the top 20 in his last eight starts at the track, and more importantly, he has finished in the top 15 in his last four starts in the desert, including three straight top-12 finishes. During the stretch, he has finished as high as fifth, and he has even led more than 100 laps in a single race at the track. For whatever reason, Montoya has a good feel for Phoenix, and he has had cars capable of leading laps and competing for wins at the track. At his current 66/1 odds, he could be a steal for bettors this weekend.

Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2013 AdvoCare 500 odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2013 AdvoCare 500 Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!

Driver Odds to win the 2013 AdvoCare 500

Jimmie Johnson 7/4

Kyle Busch 5/1

Denny Hamlin 8/1

Matt Kenseth 8/1

Joey Logano 12/1

Brad Keselowski 12/1

Kasey Kahne 12/1

Clint Bowyer 12/1

Jeff Gordon 12/1

Kevin Harvick 12/1

Dale Earnhardt Jr 15/1

Martin Truex Jr 20/1

Carl Edwards 30/1

Kurt Busch 30/1

Greg Biffle 40/1

Ryan Newman 40/1

Juan Montoya 80/1

Jeff Burton 80/1

Marcos Ambrose 100/1

Justin Allgaier 100/1

Danica Patrick 100/1

Aric Almirola 100/1

Elliott Sadler 100/1

Ricky Stenhouse 100/1

Paul Menard 100/1

Mark Martin 100/1

Jamie McMurray 100/1

Field (Any Other Driver) 100/1

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2013 AdvoCare 500 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Jimmie Johnson the Vegas Favorite

2013-AdvoCare-500-Odds-Free-Picks-and-Predictions2013 AdvoCare 500 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Jimmie Johnson the Vegas Favorite: The Cup Series heads back to Phoenix International Raceway this season, and the flat track is one of the most unique on the schedule. In addition to the lack of banking in the corners, Phoenix has two different sets of corners, meaning that a car can handle well in the first set of turns and struggle in the other or vice versa. Add in all the factors, and passing is notoriously difficult at Phoenix, and track position can definitely trump speed.

Last fall, Kyle Busch learned the lesson firsthand. He absolutely dominated the race, leading 237 of the 319 laps. However, a late caution set up a final restart, and Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin both got around Busch. Despite the fast car, Busch was never able to get back to the front, and Harvick ended up stealing away the win. The frustration that comes with the track’s tough passing conditions was also felt by Jeff Gordon and Clint Bowyer as the two came to blows after a late wreck.

25 Team Parlay at BetOnline

The Favorites

Coming off a dominating win at Texas last weekend, Jimmie Johnson heads to a Phoenix track where he has always been excellent. His 6.5 average finish at Phoenix is by far the best in the series, and in 20 starts, he has 13 top-five finishes, including 12 in his last 14 starts. More importantly, Johnson has a series-leading four wins at the track during the stretch.

He is the defending winner of this weekend’s race, and Kevin Harvick has had a knack for mastering the flat corners of Phoenix. He is a three-time winner at the track in his career, and all three victories have come since the start of the 2006 season. Harvick has also finished either first or second in two of his last three starts at Phoenix so he continues to prove he knows how to get to the front and seal the deal at the track.

The Dark Horses

After winning at Phoenix early in the year, Carl Edwards will try for a season sweep at the track this weekend. He is also a two-time winner at the track overall with both wins coming in the last six races. In fact, Edwards has finished either first or second three times in the last six races at Phoenix so it wouldn’t be a shock to see him be a major factor Sunday.

His 2013 season has been a major disappointment, but Denny Hamlin could shake off the rust in a big way this weekend at Phoenix. After all, his 9.8 average finish at the track is the third best among active drivers. Meanwhile, he has finished sixth or better in nine of his 16 starts at the track, and in his last three starts, he has 2.0 average finish, including a win. Plain and simple, Hamlin knows how to handle the flat turns at Phoenix as well as any driver in the series.

Although he doesn’t win a ton of races, Ryan Newman does have tendency to get to victory lane at flat tracks. In fact, his last four wins have come at flat tracks, including a victory at Phoenix in 2010 and a win at Indianapolis earlier this year. Not to mention the fact that Newman has five top-five finishes in his last seven starts at Phoenix overall. Don’t count out Newman in the desert this weekend.

Sleeper Special

Veteran Mark Martin’s best days are behind him, but he still has tracks where he can get the job done, and Phoenix is on the list. His 9.4 average finish at the track is actually the second-best in the series, and in addition to finishing in the top 10 in two of his last three starts at Phoenix, he won at the track in 2009. Martin is a safe bet to finish near the front of the field, and with the a good break or two, he could pull off an upset.

Big Name to Avoid

While he is having a solid season, Clint Bowyer has had limited success at Phoenix. He has finished outside the top 20 in four of his last six starts at the track, and he has gone 10 straight races without finishing in the top five. More concerning is the fact that he has finished outside the top 25 in two of his last three starts at Phoenix. Bowyer has never won at the track, and there are no signs of that changing this weekend.

Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2013 AdvoCare 500 odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2013 AdvoCare 500 Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!

Driver Odds to win the 2013 AdvoCare 500

Jimmie Johnson 7/4

Kyle Busch 5/1

Denny Hamlin 8/1

Matt Kenseth 8/1

Joey Logano 12/1

Brad Keselowski 12/1

Kasey Kahne 12/1

Clint Bowyer 12/1

Jeff Gordon 12/1

Kevin Harvick 12/1

Dale Earnhardt Jr 15/1

Martin Truex Jr 20/1

Carl Edwards 30/1

Kurt Busch 30/1

Greg Biffle 40/1

Ryan Newman 40/1

Juan Montoya 80/1

Jeff Burton 80/1

Marcos Ambrose 100/1

Justin Allgaier 100/1

Danica Patrick 100/1

Aric Almirola 100/1

Elliott Sadler 100/1

Ricky Stenhouse 100/1

Paul Menard 100/1

Mark Martin 100/1

Jamie McMurray 100/1

Field (Any Other Driver) 100/1

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2013 O’Reilly Auto Parts Challenge Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Kyle Busch the Vegas Favorite

2013-O'Reilly-Auto-Parts-Challenge-Odds-Free-Picks-and-Predictions2013 O’Reilly Auto Parts Challenge Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Kyle Busch the Vegas Favorite: The Nationwide Series heads back to Texas Motor Speedway this weekend, and if the track’s high speeds weren’t already challenging enough, the field is loaded with Cup regulars. In addition to the normal double-duty drivers like Kyle Busch and Brad Keselowski, Ricky Stenhouse Jr. will be returning to the series for the first time since winning the 2012 Nationwide title, and Denny Hamlin will be subbing for an injured Brian Vickers.

The field was equally loaded last fall when Kevin Harvick and Busch essentially controlled the action most of the afternoon. The two drivers combined to lead 192 of the 200 laps with Harvick leading a race-high 127. Harvick was also out front when it mattered most, holding off Busch and the rest of the field to pick up the win.

25 Team Parlay at BetOnline

The Favorites

He leads all drivers with 11 Nationwide wins in 2013, and Kyle Busch could certainly add to his impressive total this weekend. After all, he is going for a season sweep at Texas after winning the spring event, and he is a six-time winner at the track overall. Meanwhile, Busch has finished in the top five in 12 of his 15 Nationwide starts at Texas and has nine top-three finishes in his last 10 starts at the track, including six victories.

While he has never won a race at Texas, Brad Keselowski is no stranger to running near the front at the track. He has seven top-five finishes in his last eight starts at Texas, including a second-place finish earlier this year. Not to mention the fact that Keselowski has also won five of the last seven Nationwide races he has entered this year.

In 13 career Nationwide starts at Texas, Matt Kenseth has 12 top-10 finishes, including a pair of wins. He also has a 6.8 average finish at the track. Kenseth finished sixth at Texas earlier this year, and since the start of the 2007 season, he hasn’t finished worse than sixth in any Nationwide race at the track.

With Brian Vickers sidelined with a medical issue, Denny Hamlin will pilot the Joe Gibbs Racing No. 20 machine this weekend. In 10 career Nationwide starts at Texas, Hamlin has finished in the top 15 on nine occasions. More importantly, he has finished in the top five in five of his last six starts at the track, including three straight.

The Dark Horses

Two-time Nationwide champ Ricky Stenhouse Jr. will make his first start of the season in the series this weekend at Texas, and he could return with a bang. After all, he has finished eighth or better in his last four Nationwide starts at Texas, posting a 4.8 average finish during the stretch. In his two most recent starts at Texas, Stenhouse has a pair of top-five finishes, including a win in the spring of 2012.

Although he is still looking for his first win of 20123, Austin Dillon rolls into Texas as the point leader. He also enters the race with the best record of any series regular at 1.5-mile tracks this season. At Texas specifically, Dillon has a 4.7 average finish in three starts, including a career-best third-place finish earlier this year. There is little doubt that he will be in the mix this weekend. Dillon just has to seal the deal.

Sleeper Special

He has never made a Nationwide start at Texas, but Ty Dillon could make a upset bid in his track debut this weekend. After all, he will be driving for a Richard Childress Racing No. 33 team that has delivered excellent results at the track in recent years with both Kevin Harvick and Paul Menard behind the wheel. Meanwhile, Dillon has managed four top-10s in 10 previous Nationwide starts so he hasn’t exactly struggled because of his lack if experience.

Big Name to Avoid

While he hasn’t run poorly at Texas by any means, Elliott Sadler has been trending in the wrong direction at the track recently. Since finishing fifth at the track in the spring of 2011, he has failed to crack the top five in his last four starts. Meanwhile, he has failed to even crack the top 10 in his last three starts at the track. Sadler has finished in the top 15 in all five races during the stretch, but a solid finish isn’t going to get the job done for bettors.

Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2013 AAA Texas 500 odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2013 AAA Texas 500 Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!

Driver Odds to win the 2013 O’Reilly Auto Parts Challenge

Kyle Busch 11/4

Brad Keselowski 17/4

Denny Hamlin 11/2

Matt Kenseth 11/2

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 6/1

Austin Dillon 12/1

Sam Hornish Jr. 12/1

Field (Any Other Driver) 14/1

Elliott Sadler 20/1

Regan Smith 20/1

Trevor Bayne 22/1

Justin Allgaier 25/1

Kyle Larson 33/1

Ty Dillon 33/1

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2013 AAA Texas 500 Free Picks: Betting on Underdogs for Big Payoffs

2013-AAA-Texas-500-Odds-Free-Picks-and-Predictions2013 AAA Texas 500 Free Picks: Betting on Underdogs for Big Payoffs : Texas Motor Speedway is a fast 1.5-mile oval that doesn’t play favorites. Yes, some of the big names in NASCAR have had a lot of success at the track, and Jimmie Johnson, Matt Kenseth and Carl Edwards have all been to victory lane. However, veterans like Jeff Burton and Jeff Gordon have also tamed Texas, and before they retired, Dale Jarrett and Terry Labonte also won at the track later in their careers. Not to mention the fact that there have been some major upsets, including Elliott Sadler’s surprise win in 2004. With that in mind, bettors looking to hit it big this weekend in the Lone Star State have plenty of options to turn to when trying to pick a winner, and here is a closer look at some of the underdogs that are definitely worth considering.

25 Team Parlay at BetOnline

While he isn’t really a major longshot at his current 18/1 odds, Greg Biffle could still be a steal for bettors this weekend. After all, he is currently getting the eighth-best odds to win, but in the last 10 races at Texas, no driver has been better than Biffle. His 5.5 average finish at the track during the stretch is the best in the series, and in addition to finishing in the top 10 in all 10 starts in the span, he has seven top-five finishes, including five in his last six starts at the track. Biffle won at Texas as recently as last year, and he is a two-time winner at the track overall. The bottom line is that there are a lot of drivers being favored ahead of Biffle that can’t come close to matching his success at Texas.

At his current 20/1 odds to win this weekend, Martin Truex Jr. finds himself outside of the top-10 betting favorites this weekend. However, he has found himself inside the top 10 a lot at Texas Motor Speedway recently. In fact, he has posted a 7.3 average finish in the last four races at the track, finishing eighth or better three times during the stretch. More importantly, Truex finished a career-best second at Texas earlier this year. From a betting standpoint, 20/1 odds are fairly generous for a driver that nearly won at this track just a few months ago.

Although there is no doubt that Mark Martin hasn’t been running well enough to be considered among the favorites at any track, his 100/1 odds to win this weekend are a bit shocking. After all, the veteran has enjoyed plenty of success at Texas in recent years, logging seven top-15s in his last 10 starts. More importantly, Martin has finished sixth or better in half of his starts during the stretch, finishing third at the track as recently as last year. His smooth style is actually a great fit for the fast, slick surface at Texas, and there is a reason he keeps ending up near the front of the field at the end of races. History says he has a great shot at being within striking distance of the lead when all is said and done, making Martin a potential steal at his current odds.

Bettors look for a serious dark horse this weekend may want to consider Aric Almirola. He has only made five starts at Texas, but he has definitely been trending in the right direction recently. After a career-best 15th-place finish at the track last fall, Almirola logged a new career-best seventh-place finish in the spring race at Texas earlier this year. Sure, the sample size is small, but Almirola is clearly getting more comfortable at the track. Not to mention the fact that if he improves on his performance from the spring even a little that he will be right in the mix for a win. At his current 150/1 odds to win this weekend, bettors don’t have to invest much to make the payoff worth their while.

Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2013 AAA Texas 500 odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2013 AAA Texas 500 Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!

Driver Odds to win the 2013 AAA Texas 500

Jimmie Johnson 7/2

Matt Kenseth 4/1

Kyle Busch 5/1

Jeff Gordon 8/1

Kasey Kahne 8/1

Brad Keselowski 12/1

Kevin Harvick 12/1

Clint Bowyer 18/1

Carl Edwards 20/1

Joey Logano 20/1

Greg Biffle 20/1

Dale Earnhardt Jr 20/1

Denny Hamlin 20/1

Kurt Busch 20/1

Martin Truex Jr 20/1

Ryan Newman 35/1

Jamie McMurray 60/1

Juan Montoya 75/1

Aric Almirola 100/1

Bobby Labonte 100/1

Danica Patrick 100/1

Kyle Larson 100/1

Trevor Bayne 100/1

Marcos Ambrose 100/1

Elliott Sadler 100/1

Ricky Stenhouse 100/1

Jeff Burton 100/1

Mark Martin 100/1

Paul Menard 100/1

Field (Any Other Driver) 100/1

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2013 AAA Texas 500 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Jimmie Johnson the Vegas Favorite

2013-AAA-Texas-500-Odds-Free-Picks-and-Predictions2013 AAA Texas 500 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Jimmie Johnson the Vegas Favorite: The Cup Series heads back to Texas Motor Speedway this weekend, and the 1.5-mile oval is famous for being one of the fastest tracks on the schedule with average speeds that exceed 190 mph and top speeds that routinely top 200 mph. Needless to say, the action on the track can get pretty intense as drivers start battling side by side at such high speeds, especially with just three races remaining in the season and the championship still very much up for grabs.

Last year, title contenders Jimmie Johnson and Brad Keselowski had an epic battle for the win in the closing laps. Johnson had the dominant car most of the afternoon, leading a race-high 168 laps. However, Keselowski used pit strategy to get out front and was able to hold of Johnson with a series of aggressive blocks until a late caution set up one more restart. Johnson muscled his way back in front of Keselowski and was able to sneak away for the victory.

25 Team Parlay at BetOnline

The Favorites

He is the defending winner of this weekend’s race, and Jimmie Johnson is no stranger to running near the front at Texas. His win last fall was his second at the 1.5-mile track, and in 20 starts, he has finished third or better eight times and has compiled a 9.1 average finish. Throw in the fact that he has a 3.0 average finish in his last three starts at the track, and Johnson is a safe bet to be fighting for the win this weekend.

Bettors will have a tough time finding a more reliable option this weekend than Matt Kenseth. After all, his 6.8 average finish in the last 20 races at Texas is by far the best in the series. He has actually been even better recently, posting a 4.7 average finish in the last six races at the track. Kenseth is a two-time winner at Texas, and considering he has twice as many wins at 1.5-mile tracks this year as any other driver, he could certainly add to his win total in the Lone Star State this weekend.

The Dark Horses

Although he runs hot and cold at Texas, Kyle Busch has been dialed in at the track lately. In fact, he is going for a season sweep after winning at the 1.5-mile oval. The victory followed up a third-place run at Texas last fall, and in the last three races at the track, he has a 5.0 average finish. Busch actually has two wins at 1.5-mile tracks this season so there is a good chance one of his dominating performances could be on tap.

In the last 10 races at Texas, no driver has been better than Greg Biffle. He has finished in the top 10 in all 10 races during the stretch, posting a series-leading 5.5 average finish. More importantly, he has seven top-five finishes during the stretch, including five in his last six starts at the track. Biffle is a two-time winner at Texas for his career, and he has been knocking on the door of another victory for a while now.

His overall record at Texas has been inconsistent, but there is no denying Carl Edwards’ ability to get to victory lane at the track. In fact, his three wins at Texas are the most of any driver. Edwards has also finished third or better in three of his last five starts at the track, and he has already proven he can seal the deal when he has a strong car.

Sleeper Special

It appears a flip has switched for Martin Truex Jr. at Texas because he has been stellar at the track the past couple of years. He has posted a 7.3 average finish in his last four starts at Texas, logging three finishes of eighth or better. Truex also finished a career-best second a Texas earlier this year so a breakout performance could be on tap this weekend.

Big Name to Avoid

Although Kevin Harvick has been rock solid at Texas, he doesn’t usually run at the front of the field. In fact, he has never won at the track and has just four top-five finishes in 21 career starts. Harvick has actually gone seven straight starts at Texas without a top-five finish, and he has finished better than ninth in his last four starts at the track. Expect Harvick to land somewhere in or around the top 10 this weekend, but don’t expect him to end up in victory lane.

Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2013 AAA Texas 500 odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2013 AAA Texas 500 Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!

Driver Odds to win the 2013 AAA Texas 500

Jimmie Johnson 7/2

Matt Kenseth 4/1

Kyle Busch 5/1

Jeff Gordon 8/1

Kasey Kahne 8/1

Brad Keselowski 12/1

Kevin Harvick 12/1

Clint Bowyer 18/1

Carl Edwards 20/1

Joey Logano 20/1

Greg Biffle 20/1

Dale Earnhardt Jr 20/1

Denny Hamlin 20/1

Kurt Busch 20/1

Martin Truex Jr 20/1

Ryan Newman 35/1

Jamie McMurray 60/1

Juan Montoya 75/1

Aric Almirola 100/1

Bobby Labonte 100/1

Danica Patrick 100/1

Kyle Larson 100/1

Trevor Bayne 100/1

Marcos Ambrose 100/1

Elliott Sadler 100/1

Ricky Stenhouse 100/1

Jeff Burton 100/1

Mark Martin 100/1

Paul Menard 100/1

Field (Any Other Driver) 100/1

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Posted in NASCARComments Off on 2013 AAA Texas 500 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Jimmie Johnson the Vegas Favorite

2013 Hollywood Casino 400 Free Picks: Betting on Underdogs for Big Payoffs

2013-Hollywood-Casino-400-Odds-Free-Picks-and-Predictions2013 Hollywood Casino 400 Free Picks: Betting on Underdogs for Big Payoffs: The Cup Series returns to Kansas Speedway this weekend, and while the Chase hasn’t been kind to underdogs historically, the 1.5-mile track has been the one exception. Heck, Joe Nemechek one the very first Chase race at the track in 2004, and he only has four-career Cup wins in 644 starts. Mark Martin, Tony Stewart and Greg Biffle are some of the other non-Chasers to go to victory lane at Kansas. Heading to a track with a history of upsets, here is a closer look at a few underdogs that could be worth betting on this weekend at Kansas Speedway.

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While he isn’t a huge underdog, Martin Truex Jr. is still a potential steal for bettors this weekend at his current 16/1 odds. After all, no driver has been better at Kansas since the start of the 2012 season. Truex has finished second, second and fourth in his last three starts at the 1.5-mile oval, leading more than 200 laps and leading the most laps in the spring race in 2012. He has also been the second-best driver in the series in the last 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks overall. There are several drivers currently favored ahead of Truex that haven’t come close to putting up those kinds of numbers.

The sample size is extremely small, but Ricky Stenhouse Jr. could be worth a flier this weekend at his current 66/1 odds. He made his first-ever Cup start at Kansas earlier this year, and he finished a rock solid 11th. Since his debut at the 1.5-mile track in April Stenhouse has steadily improved his overall performance. The rookie appears close to a true breakout performance, and it could come this weekend at Kansas.

Although he has been hit or miss as Tony Stewart’s replacement, but Mark Martin is still very underrated at his current 66/1 odds. Keep in mind that the veteran is a former winner at Kansas, and he finished in the top 10 at the track earlier this year. Meanwhile, he will be driving for a Stewart-Haas Racing No. 14 team that has six top-15s, including a win, in seven starts at Kansas. The potential for a strong run is definitely there.

While he shouldn’t be among the favorites this weekend, Paul Menard deserved a lot better than his 100/1 odds to win. After all, he has finished 12th or better in four of his last six starts at Kansas. More importantly, he finished a career-best third at the track last fall and logged a top-10 earlier this year. Menard has been a top-10 driver at Kansas for the past couple of years, and he could be a huge steal at his current odds.

Bettors looking for a serious longshot this weekend should definitely consider Aric Almirola. For one, he finished a career-best eight at Kansas earlier this year. More importantly, he led 69 laps at the track last fall, and he probably had the best car on the track. After all, Almirola spun while running in the top five early in the race but managed to recover and roar back to the lead. He then spun again and ended his afternoon, but he blew through the field seemingly at will when he was on the track. He is worth a small wager at his current 150/1 odds.

Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2013 Hollywood Casino 400 odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2013 Hollywood Casino 400 Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!

Driver Odds to win the 2013 Hollywood Casino 400

101 Matt Kenseth +450

102 Jimmie Johnson +350

103 Kyle Busch +800

104 Kasey Kahne +800

105 Carl Edwards +1200

106 Brad Keselowski +1800

107 Greg Biffle +2500

108 Jeff Gordon +1500

109 Martin Truex Jr +2000

110 Clint Bowyer +2000

111 Joey Logano +1000

112 Kevin Harvick +1000

113 Kurt Busch +2500

114 Dale Earnhardt Jr +1400

115 Ryan Newman +4000

116 Denny Hamlin +2800

117 Brian Vickers +3500

118 Jamie McMurray +4000

119 Field +2200

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Posted in NASCARComments Off on 2013 Hollywood Casino 400 Free Picks: Betting on Underdogs for Big Payoffs

2013 Hollywood Casino 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Jimmie Johnson the Vegas Favorite

2013-Hollywood-Casino-400-Odds-Free-Picks-and-Predictions2013 Hollywood Casino 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Jimmie Johnson the Vegas Favorite: The Cup Series heads back to Kansas Speedway for the fourth race of the 2013 Chase for the Sprint Cup. The 1.5-mile oval has been known to produce some unexpected finishes, and the track’s fast slick, surface can cause even the best drivers problems. The slippery surface was on full display last fall as the dominant cars of Aric Almirola and Mark Martin both had trouble. With Almirola and Martin out of the picture, Matt Kenseth was able to take control. He ended up leading a race-high 78 laps en route to a comfortable victory at Kansas.

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2013 Hollywood Casino 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions

The Favorites

He is the defending winner of this weekend’s race, and Matt Kenseth is also going for a season sweep at Kansas after winning the April event earlier this year. In addition to the back-to-back wins, he owns a series-leading 3.8 average finish in the last six starts at the track. During the stretch, he hasn’t finished worse than seventh, and Kenseth has finished fourth or better in his last four Kansas starts. By the way, he has also won four of the seven races at 1.5-mile track in 2013.

His 7.6 average finish at Kansas is the best of any driver, and Jimmie Johnson is no stranger to running up front at the track. He has notched a pair of wins at the 1.5-mile oval, and in 14 starts, he has 12 top-10 finishes. Johnson has also reeled of nine straight top-10s at Kansas, and during the stretch, he has six finishes of third or better, including a third-place effort earlier this year.

Although his last two starts at Kansas haven’t been great, Greg Biffle still owns one of the best records of any driver at the track. His 10.1 average finish is the fourth best in the series, and in 14 starts, he has 11 finishes of 12th or better. More importantly, Biffle is a two-time winner at Kansas, and he has finished third or better six times.

The Dark Horses

While he is still looking for a win at Kansas, Kasey Kahne has had several close calls at the track the last couple of years. In fact, he has a 4.0 average finish at the 1.5-mile oval in his last four starts and has three finishes of fourth or better during the stretch. Kahne has finished as high as second at Kansas twice since 2011, including a runner-up effort earlier this year.

After seven underwhelming starts at Kansas, Martin Truex Jr. has been on a tear at the track since 2012. He has finished second, second and fourth in his last three starts at the 1.5-mile oval, leading for than 200 laps during the stretch. Overall, Truex has been the second-best driver in the series in the last 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks, and he has been a legit factor for the win in each of his last three starts at Kansas.

He actually won the first two races the Cup Series every held at Kansas, and while Jeff Gordon hasn’t won at the track since, he has remained a contender in many of his starts. In 15 career starts at Kansas, Gordon has 10 top-10 finishes. More importantly, he has eight top-five finishes at the track.

Sleeper Special

In the last six races at Kansas, Paul Menard has quietly logged four finishes of 12th or better. He has been particularly effective recently, finishing a career-best third at the track last fall and notching a top-10 earlier this year. At the very least, Menard should be in the mix Sunday with a chance to pull the upset.

Big Name to Avoid

Although he has been dominant in the Chase so far, Kyle Busch could be heading for a long afternoon at Kansas. For one, he has a dismal 22.4 average finish in 12 starts at the track. More concerning is the fact that Busch has managed just two top-10s at Kansas and has never finished in the top five.

Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2013 Hollywood Casino 400 odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2013 Hollywood Casino 400 Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!

Driver Odds to win the 2013 Hollywood Casino 400

101 Matt Kenseth +450

102 Jimmie Johnson +350

103 Kyle Busch +800

104 Kasey Kahne +800

105 Carl Edwards +1200

106 Brad Keselowski +1800

107 Greg Biffle +2500

108 Jeff Gordon +1500

109 Martin Truex Jr +2000

110 Clint Bowyer +2000

111 Joey Logano +1000

112 Kevin Harvick +1000

113 Kurt Busch +2500

114 Dale Earnhardt Jr +1400

115 Ryan Newman +4000

116 Denny Hamlin +2800

117 Brian Vickers +3500

118 Jamie McMurray +4000

119 Field +2200

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Posted in NASCARComments Off on 2013 Hollywood Casino 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Jimmie Johnson the Vegas Favorite

2013 5-Hour Energy Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Kyle Busch the Vegas Favorite

2013-5-hour-ENERGY-200-Odds-and-Predictions2013 5-Hour Energy Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Kyle Busch the Vegas Favorite: After a non-companion race at Kentucky last weekend, the Nationwide Series syncs up with the Cup Series at Dover International Speedway this weekend. As a result, the Cup regulars are back in the mix, and if conquering the concrete banks of the “Monster Mile” isn’t tough enough, the series regulars will really have their work cut out for them if they want to get to victory lane this weekend with a loaded field. Last fall, Joey Logano got the better of the Nationwide regulars and everyone else for that matter. He led 184 of the 200 laps en route to a dominating victory.

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2013 5-Hour Energy Odds, Free Picks and Predictions

The Favorites

Not only is Joey Logano going for a season sweep at Dover this weekend, but he is going for a four-peat at the track. In addition to winning the last three Nationwide races at Dover, he has led 404 of the 600 laps. Logano also owns an impressive 5.9 average finish at the track in nine career starts, and he has finished either first or second in five times.

He has a series-leading 10 Nationwide wins this year, and Kyle Busch has been dialed in at Dover recently. He has seven top-five finishes in his last eight starts at the track, including six straight. More importantly, Busch has three wins during the stretch.

Although he has sat out the last five Nationwide races at Dover, Kevin Harvick should still be a serious factor this weekend. For one, he finished sixth and fifth in his last two starts at the track in 2010. Meanwhile, Harvick has six top-five finishes in eight Nationwide starts this year, including a win.

The Dark Horses

Although he has 12 top-five finishes in 2012, Brian Vickers has yet to get to victory lane. However, he could change that this weekend at Dover. Vickers has a 3.8 average finish in four starts at the track, including a win. Vickers finished second at Dover earlier this year, and he should be a contender again this weekend.

While he is still looking for a breakout performance at Dover, Austin Dillon has been rock solid in all three of his start at the track. He has compiled an 8.0 average finish and has finished inside the top 10 in all three starts. Dillon only seems to be getting better in his second Nationwide season, and he could easily make the jump to contender at Dover as soon as this weekend.

Outside of a win at Iowa earlier this season, Trevor Bayne has had a relatively quiet year. However, he could make some noise this weekend at Dover. He has finished sixth or better in his last three starts at the track, including a career-best fourth-place run earlier this year. If he is going to snag another win in 2013, it could happen this weekend at Dover.

Sleeper Special

He is quietly having a solid year, but Brian Scott could make some serious noise at Dover this weekend. He has reeled off 11 straight top-15 finishes overall and has a pair of second-place finishes during the stretch. At Dover specifically, he has six top-15s in seven starts, including four straight. Scott is running as well as he ever has so an upset could be on tap.

Big Name to Avoid

Point leader Sam Hornish Jr. has had an incredible year thus far, but Dover has never been his finest track. In four starts, he has never finished in the top five, and he has finished outside the top 10 on three occasions. Hornish will likely salvage a decent day, but a win seems unlikely.

Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2013 AAA 400 odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2013 AAA 400 Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!

Driver Odds to win the 2013 5-Hour Energy

Kyle Busch 7/4

Joey Logano 7/2

Kevin Harvick 9/2

Austin Dillon 9/1

Sam Hornish Jr. 9/1

Brian Vickers 14/1

Elliott Sadler 16/1

Regan Smith 16/1

Kyle Larson 22/1

Trevor Bayne 22/1

Justin Allgaier 33/1

Brian Scott 40/1

Parker Kilgerman 40/1

Field (Any Other Driver) 12/1

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