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Tag Archive | "Lions @ Saints Predictions"

NFL Wild Card Picks: Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 1/7/11

Free NFL Wildcard Picks: Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints NFL Playoff Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on NBC 1/7/12: High-powered offenses and star quarterbacks will highlight the Wild Card matchup between the Detroit Lions (10-6) and New Orleans Saints (13-3). Fresh of shattering Dan Marino’s single-season record for passing yards, Drew Brees is trying to lead the Saints to their second Super Bowl since 2009. Meanwhile, former No. 1 pick Matthew Stafford has rewritten the Lions’ passing record book and has Detroit hoping for just its second play in the last five decades. After falling to New Orleans a few weeks ago by 14, the Lions are 10 ½-point underdogs in this weekend’s rematch.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Both offenses are downright scary. The Lions averaged just less than 30 points per game, while the Saints scored an impressive 34.2 a contest. Pass-happy is the best way to describe both systems, and Brees and Stafford both threw for more than 5,000 yards and more than 40 touchdowns. In any other year Stafford’s numbers would have made him the top QB in the league, but with Brees breaking several records, the edge has to go to New Orleans in the battle under center.

Neither side has a shortage of weapons to work with. Brees’ two favorite targets are tight end Jimmy Graham and receiver Marques Colston. Graham finished the year with 99 catches for more than 1,300 yards and 11 scores. Meanwhile, Colston topped 1,100 yards despite missing several games with a broken collarbone. Not to mention the fact that running back Darren Sproles is an excellent pass catcher out of the backfield and broke the total yards from scrimmage record this season.

Stafford has a top notch tight end as well in Brandon Pettigrew, who finished the year with 83 catches. More importantly, he has the advantage of throwing to one of the best receivers in the NFL in Calvin Johnson. Johnson had 16 touchdowns among his 96 catches for a league-leading 1,681 yards. His combination of size and speed is probably the best at the position, making him tough to stop on deep routes and even harder to defend in the red zone. Brees probably has more weapons at his disposable, but Johnson gives Stafford the single best option.

Despite both offenses being able to dominate through the air, the Saints’ ability to run the ball sets them apart in this matchup. Led by Pierre Thomas and Sproles, New Orleans has been a top-10 rushing offense this year. By keeping Detroit honest with the run, the Saints will be able to neutralize the pass rush of the Lions. They will also be able to set up play-action passes and hit some big plays down the field. Meanwhile, Stafford will be forced to drop back on almost every down, subjecting him to plenty of blitz packages.

With an offensive shootout is the likely outcome, the defense that can create turnovers or make a stop or two could tip the scale in favor of their team. Unfortunately for the Lions, their secondary is coming off a game when it surrendered 480 yards and six touchdowns to Green Bay backup Matt Flynn. That doesn’t bode well heading into a matchup with the most prolific quarterback in the NFL this season, who happens to be the same QB that torched Detroit’s defense a little more than a month ago.

Playing at home, it’s tough not to love the Saints’ chances. New Orleans scored more than 40 points per game at home on its way to an 8-0 record. Only one of the eight victories came by less than 11 points, and that was a seven-point win in late September. Brees and company are a scoring machine inside the Superdome, and while Stafford and the Lions will put points on the board as well, they couldn’t keep pace with New Orleans in the regular season meeting and probably won’t be able to this weekend either.

Prediction: New Orleans Saints (-10 ½) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: New Orleans Saints -10.5

NFL Playoff Football: Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints
Date: 1/7/2012
Time: 8 PM EST on NBC
Vegas Odds Favorite: New Orleans -10.5 | Total: Over/Under 59

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Week 13 Sunday Night NFL Picks: Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 12/4/11

Week 13 Free NFL Picks: Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints NFL Week 13 Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on NBC 12/4/11: A pair of NFC playoff contenders will go head to head Sunday night when the Detroit Lions (7-4) visit the Superdome to face the New Orleans Saints (8-3). The teams are heading in opposite directions heading into the matchup, with the Saints winning three straight and the Lions dropping four of their last six after a 5-0 start. In the always tight playoff battle, both sides need to win Sunday. As one of the best home teams in the NFL, the Saints are 8 ½-point favorites.

SBG Global Sportsbook

The headline leading up to the game has been the suspension of Detroit defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh. After stopping a Green Bay offensive lineman last Thursday, Suh will miss the Lions’ next two games. Suh is the leader of a fierce defensive line for Detroit, and putting pressure on opposing quarterbacks has been the cornerstone of the Lions’ defense. If the pass rush falters in Suh’s absence, New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees should pick apart a mediocre Detroit secondary.

After all, New Orleans owns the top-ranked passing attack in the NFL at 324.2 yards per game. Brees has thrown 27 touchdowns and is one pace to shatter Dan Marino’s record for passing yards in a single season. He has a variety of firepower at his disposal, making the Saints’ passing attack one of the most complex systems in the league. Tight end Jimmy Graham has been unstoppable thanks to his combination of size and speed, and running back Darren Sproles has given teams fits out of the backfield. Throw in the reliable Marques Colston and Lance Moore at receiver, and it is easy to understand why Brees’ numbers are MVP worthy.

Of course, Detroit can throw the ball as well, ranking sixth in the NFL in passing yards. Quarterback Matthew Stafford has excelled in his first full season, throwing for more than 3,000 yards and 26 touchdowns. He gets a shot at a New Orleans’ defense that has struggled defending the pass, pressuring quarterbacks and forcing turnovers. Stafford should have the opportunity to put up some points and keep pace with Brees and company. However, Stafford will have to overcome a recent slump to do so. He has thrown nine interceptions in the last three games, and if he gives the Saints extra possessions Sunday night, the Lions could get blown out.

In a game between two of the best passing attacks in the NFL, the X-factor could end up being the running game for both sides. Using the trio of Pierre Thomas, Mark Ingram and Sproles, the Saints have been the eighth-best rushing team this season. The balance makes Brees even more dangerous by forcing opposing defenses to honor the run, which keeps the pressure off Brees. Meanwhile, the Lions have had injuries to running backs Jahvid Best, Mikel Leshoure and Kevin Smith, leaving the offense more or less one dimensional. As a result, defenses have been able to blitz and hit Stafford on a regular basis, leading to a lot of the turnovers that have plagued the Lions in recent weeks.

There is a good chance that the Lions are walking into a buzz saw Sunday night. The Saints are healthy and firing on all cylinders, and more importantly, they are scoring more than 40 points per game at home. Meanwhile, Detroit is missing its best defender and is struggling to find a rhythm on offense. The New Orleans defense isn’t good enough to completely shutdown Stafford, but the Saints are too good on offense for the Lions to keep pace.

Prediction: New Orleans Saints (-8 ½) Cover the Spread

Free NFL Football Picks and Predictions: New Orleans -8.5

Week 13 NFL Football: Detroit @ New Orleans
Date: 12/4/011
Time: 8:30 PM EST on NBC
Vegas Odds Favorite: New Orleans -8.5 | Total: Over/Under 53.5

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