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2012 Cotton Bowl Kansas State vs Arkansas Odds, Free Picks and Predictions on FOX 1/6/12

Free College Football Bowl Picks and Spreads: Kansas St vs Arkansas 2012 Cotton Bowl Game Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on FOX 1/6/12: The 2012 AT&T Cotton Bowl might as well be considered the unofficial sixth BCS bowl. After all, the two teams playing are arguably more impressive than half the teams playing in the elite bowls. The eighth-ranked Kansas State Wildcats (10-2) were passed over by the BCS bowls in favor of traditional powers like Michigan and Virginia Tech. Meanwhile, the sixth-ranked Arkansas Razorbacks (10-2) were not allowed to compete in a BCS bowl because of a rule preventing three times from the same conference from being chosen. Never mind the fact that the three of the four loses between the teams came to the top three teams in the country. While the two programs have every reason to be bitter, they will have to take their anger out on one another when they meet Friday night. The Razorbacks are sizeable eight-point favorites.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Believe it or not, Arkansas actually finished third in its own division despite being ranked sixth in the entire nation. The Razorbacks finished third in the SEC West, with national title contenders LSU and Alabama finishing ahead of them. Coincidentally, the Razorbacks’ only losses on the season came to the Tigers and the Crimson Tide. Although an official record, Arkansas may have been the best third-place team in college football history. Kansas State can’t quite boast the same resume because of an ugly loss to preseason No.1 Oklahoma, but the Wildcats did come within one play of forcing overtime against the third-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys in their other defeat.

Both teams had two of the better offenses in the country this season. The Razorbacks ranked in the top 15, scoring 37.4 points per game. The Wildcats weren’t too far behind, ranking inside the top 30 with 33.1 per game. Although both teams scored plenty of points, their offensive styles were night and day. The Razorbacks spread the field and utilize the short and intermediate passing game. Meanwhile, Kansas State is a run-first team that features everything from option sets to power formations.

Although different, both systems rely heavily on the quarterback position for success. Arkansas’ Tyler Wilson was the model of efficiency, throwing for nearly 3,500 yards and completing 63 percent of his passes. He enters Friday’s matchup with 22 touchdowns compared to just six interceptions. Star receiver Jarius Wright is his top target, and he 11 touchdowns and more than 1,000 yards entering the bowl game. When Wilson is making quick decisions with the ball, the Razorbacks’ fast-paced attack is tough to defend.

Kansas State’s Collin Klein can’t come close to matching Wilson’s numbers through the air, but Klein is one of the top dual-threat QBs in the country. In addition to his 12 touchdown passes, Klein has an incredible 26 rushing scores to go along with 1,099 yards on the ground. When the Wildcats get in the red zone, Klein’s power makes him almost impossible to keep out of the end zone.

The X-factor in the game is likely going to be the Kansas State defense. The unit gave up almost 28 points per game on the year and was even worse against the top offenses in the Big 12. The Wildcats gave up 50 or more points three times in its final six games, including in the team’s two losses on the year. The Razorbacks’ offense is certainly capable of putting up points, and more importantly, their defense is giving up less than 23 points per game.

While the Wildcats deserve a lot of credit for finding ways to grind out wins in a variety of ways this season, the fact is that they couldn’t slow down opponents with high-powered passing attacks. Wilson and the Razorbacks are a matchup nightmare for Kansas State’s suspect defense, and while Klein and company can put points on the board as well, they aren’t at their best when they have to win in an offensive shootout. The Wildcats power running game won’t be enough to overcome the Arkansas scoring machine.

Prediction: Arkansas Razorbacks (-9) Cover the Spread

Free College Football Picks and NCAAF Predictions: Arkansas -9 to cover the spread

2012 Cotton Bowl: Arkansas vs Kansas St
Date: 1/6/12
Time: 8:00 PM EST on FOX
Vegas Odds Favorite: Arkansas -9 Total: Over/Under 63

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2011 Insight Bowl Iowa vs Oklahoma Odds, Free Picks and Predictions on ESPN 12/30/11

Free College Football Bowl Picks and Spreads: Iowa vs Oklahoma 2011 Insight Bowl Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ESPN 12/30/11: The 2011 season was marked by disappointment for the 14th-ranked Oklahoma Sooners (9-3). After starting the season as the No. 1 team in the country, an unexpected loss to Texas Tech dropped the Sooners out of the title hunt. Subsequent losses to Baylor and Oklahoma State eliminated them from BCS bowl consideration all together. Now, Oklahoma will have to settle for a trip to the Insight Bowl, where the Sooners will meet the Iowa Hawkeyes (7-5) Friday night. Despite falling far short of expectations, Oklahoma is a 14-point favorite in this matchup.

SBG Global Sportsbook

While the underachieving Sooners had lots of issues this year, scoring points wasn’t one of them. Oklahoma ranked 10th in the country in scoring, averaging just under 40 points per game. The offense was powered by a spread passing attack that ranked fourth in the nation. The Sooners averaged more than 370 yards per game through the air, and starting quarterback Landry Jones threw for more than 4,300 yards.

Despite the great numbers, the Sooners passing attack had suffered some serious blows in the second half of the year. Star wide receiver Ryan Broyles suffered a knee injury, leaving Jones without his top target and one of the best receivers in college football history. When Broyles left the lineup, Jones’ turnovers began to climb while his completion percentage fell. Without Broyles’ ability to stretch the field, the offense has lost its explosiveness. Throw in an injury to leading rusher Dominique Whaley, and the Sooners offense is really a shell of what it was to start the year.

Of course, Iowa’s offense won’t be at full strength either. Starting running back Marcus Coker is suspended for the game, leaving the Hawkeyes without the centerpiece to their offense. As a result, quarterback James Vandenberg will have to take on an enhanced role, which could be bad news for Iowa. The Sooners’ defense was far from great this year, but the unit did rush the passer well. Without Coker to provide balance, the Hawkeyes may be forced to throw more than usual, paying to the strength of the Sooners’ pass rush.

The X-factor in the game could end up being Iowa receiver Marvin McNutt. He enters the game with 12 touchdown catches and more than 1,200 yards. He is an excellent deep threat, and the Oklahoma secondary has given up a ton of big plays in the passing game. With Iowa being forced to lean on the passing game, McNutt will have the opportunity to put up some big numbers. If he does, the Hawkeyes have a chance to keep pace with the Sooners.

Oklahoma’s mindset will play a big role as well. Will Bob Stoops’ team finish the year on a high note, or will the Sooners be disinterested after missing out on the BCS? Oklahoma has been guilty of the latter several times this year, and there is no guarantee that will change Friday night.

In the end, the Sooners certainly have more firepower on offense, even with the injuries. Not to mention the fact that the loss of Coker probably hurts the Hawkeyes more than any injury Oklahoma is dealing with. That being said, Jones has been a different player in the last month of the season, and turnovers remain a constant problem. Oklahoma is the more talented team and should win the game, but the Sooners haven’t been focused lately, and that doesn’t bode well for their chances of covering a larger point spread.

Prediction: Oklahoma Sooners (-14) Cover the Spread

Free College Football Picks and NCAAF Predictions: Oklahoma -14 to cover the spread

Insight Bowl: Iowa vs Oklahoma
Date: 12/30/11
Time: 10 PM EST on ESPN
Vegas Odds Favorite: Oklahoma -14 Total: Over/Under 57.5

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2011 Music City Bowl Mississippi State vs Wake Forest Odds, Free Picks and Predictions on ESPN 12/30/11

Free College Football Bowl Picks and Spreads: Mississippi St vs Wake Forest 2011 Music City Bowl Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ESPN 12/30/11: After being the upstart team of the SEC last season, the Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-6) came back down to earth this year. Still, they managed to make a bowl game despite playing in the toughest division of the toughest conference in the nation, and Mississippi State will face Wake Forest (6-6) in the Music City Bowl Friday night. The Demon Deacons struggled down the stretch, but a fast start allowed them to make it to the postseason. That being said, Wake Forest is a seven-point underdog in this matchup.    

SBG Global Sportsbook             

Both sides had their highlight moments throughout the year. Wake Forest knocked off a Florida State team ranked inside the top 25 at the time, and the Demon Deacons nearly did the same to the eventual ACC champion Clemson Tigers. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs gave the top-ranked LSU Tigers a serious scare. In fact, only Alabama came closer to knocking of LSU. Although inconsistency ultimately got the better of both teams, the ceiling is high when either side is playing at its best.

Offensively, the two teams are nearly identical when it comes to productivity, but their styles are completely different. Wake Forest is a pass-first team, lead by quarterback Tanner Price. The sophomore completed more than 60 percent of his passes this season, throwing 20 touchdowns to just six interceptions. The Bulldogs on the other hand are power running team, with running back Vick Ballard shouldering much of the load. He topped 1,000 yards this season and has 27 rushing scores combined the last two years. Ballard is helped by Mississippi State QB Chris Relf, who can hurt defenses with both his arm and his legs.

With the Demon Deacons looking to stretch the field and push the tempo and the Bulldogs trying to slow things down and control the clock, the team that controls the style of play will have the definitive edge. Thanks to their superior defense, the Bulldogs may have the upper hand. Mississippi State is giving up less than 20 points a game on the year, and the unit has been playing well for the last two seasons. In addition to holding LSU to just 19 points, the Bulldogs held Michigan and dynamic QB Denard Robinson to just 14 points in last season’s bowl game. Wake Forest has a solid but not spectacular offense, and the Bulldogs defense could certainly hold the Demon Deacons in check.

The X-factor in the game could be Wake Forest receiver Chris Givens. The Junior topped 1,200 yards this season, and he is probably the most explosive player for either team. If Givens can create a few big plays for the Demon Deacons offense, it could force the Bulldogs to abandon their ground game in order to catch up. Mississippi State can run the ball and play solid defense, but Relf isn’t the type of QB that can thrive if he has to throw the ball every down. If the Demon Deacons jump on top early, they could bury the Bulldogs.

In the end, Wake Forest could be in for a serious wake-up call Friday. The Bulldogs may have finished 6-6, but that record is all that bad for a team in the SEC West. Mississippi State has a legitimate top 25 defense, and the Demon Deacons are going to have trouble putting up a lot of points. Meanwhile, Ballard and Relf should be able to wear down the suspect Wake Forest defense with their power running. The Bulldogs should control the tempo and the outcome in this one.

Prediction: Mississippi State Bulldogs (-7) Cover the Spread

Free College Football Picks and NCAAF Predictions: Miss St -7 to cover the spread

Music City Bowl: Miss St vs Wake Forest
Date: 12/30/11
Time: 6:40 PM EST on ESPN
Vegas Odds Favorite: Miss St -7 Total: Over/Under 48

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2011 Pinstripe Bowl Rutgers vs Iowa State Odds, Free Picks and Predictions on ESPN 12/30/11

Free College Football Bowl Picks and Spreads: Rutgers vs Iowa St 2011 Pinstripe Bowl Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ESPN 12/30/11: The Iowa State Cyclones may have had the most noteworthy 6-6 season in college football history. That’s because one of those victories was an upset win over the second-ranked Oklahoma State, which dropped the Cowboys to third in the polls and set up a rematch between LSU and Alabama for the BCS Championship. The win also helped the Cyclones earn a berth in the New Era Pinstripe Bowl Friday night, where they will face the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (8-4). Rutgers just missed out on winning the Big East and earning a BCS bid of its own, but despite missing out on a big prize, the Scarlet Knights are one-point favorites in this matchup.

SBG Global Sportsbook

On paper, Rutgers would appear to have the edge. The Scarlet Knights average more points per game and give up almost 11 fewer points on defense. That being said, the Cyclones faced a much-tougher schedule, with five of their six losses coming against ranked opponents. In addition, Iowa State was forced to go up against the high-powered offenses of the Big 12, which inflated the defense’s points against. Meanwhile, Rutgers faced just a single ranked foe all season and played in a Big East conference that lacked the offensive firepower of other BCS conferences.

The other issue facing the Scarlet Knights is the fact that their offense is extremely one dimensional. Rutgers was one of the 10 worst teams in the country when it comes to running the football, and not a single back averaged more than four yards per carry. Although Iowa State didn’t put up as many points as the Scarlet Knights, the Cyclones were a more balanced offensive team, averaging more than 180 yards per game on the ground and more than 220 through the air. Facing a more predictable, less explosive offense will certainly take some pressure of the Cyclones suspect defense.

A critical matchup in this game will be Iowa State’s coverage of Rutgers receiver Mohamed Sanu. He had 109 catches for more than 1,100 yards this season and was an absolute force moving the chains. Sanu is a crucial piece of the Scarlet Knight’s pass-heavy system. Without a running game to fall back on, Sanu’s ability to run short patterns over the middle helps to compensate. If the Cyclones can design a scheme to limit Sanu’s effectiveness, the Scarlet Knights could struggle to put up points.

The X-factor in the game will likely be Iowa State quarterback Jared Barnett. The freshman has impressed since taking over the offense, jumpstarting what was a mediocre offense. Barnett’s ability to make plays with his leg gave the Cyclones’ offense a new dimension that defenses have struggled to adjust to. If Barnett continues to play at a high level, the stout Rutgers’ defense could be pushed to the limit.

In the end, the brutal schedule that the Cyclones have faced should pay dividends. Iowa State’s defense certainly won’t be intimidated by the Scarlet Knights’ offense, and the Cyclones’ offense is hitting its stride at the perfect time. Iowa State has a more balanced offense, and the Cyclones are a better team than their record suggests. The Scarlet Knights simply haven’t played the same caliber of competition, and Iowa State will likely show the talent gap that exists between the Big 12 and the Big East.

Prediction: Iowa State Cyclones (-1) Cover the Spread

Free College Football Picks and NCAAF Predictions: Iowa St -1 to cover the spread

Pinstripe Bowl: Rutgers vs Iowa St
Date: 12/30/11
Time: 3:20 PM EST on ESPN
Vegas Odds Favorite: Iowa St -1 Total: Over/Under 45

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2011 Armed Forces Bowl BYU vs Tulsa Odds, Free Picks and Predictions on ESPN 12/30/11

Free College Football Bowl Picks and Spreads: BYU vs Tulsa 2011 Armed Forces Bowl Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ESPN 12/30/11: Prior to the start of the season, the BYU decided to become an independent program with the hope that setting its own schedule would mean sneaking into a BCS bowl. The Cougars fell short of the goal, finishing 9-3, but the record was good enough to earn BYU a trip to the Armed Forces Bowl against Tulsa (8-4). The Golden Hurricane was one of the top teams in Conference USA and faced a tough out-of-conference schedule. Both teams will look to end the year on a high note, and the Cougars are one-point favorites in Friday’s game.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Neither side is likely to be lacking confidence heading into this matchup. BYU has won eight of its last nine games, dominating on both sides of the ball in the past month. Meanwhile, Tulsa has won seven of its last eight games and all four of the team’s losses have come to teams that were ranked inside the top 10 at some point during the year. With both teams playing their best football leading up to the game, an entertaining game could be on tap.

Offensively, both sides averaged more than 30 points per game, utilizing balanced attacks. The Golden Hurricane has the overall edge in offensive production by roughly four points per game, and senior quarterback G.J. Kinne is a big reason why. He threw for 25 touchdowns and more than 2,800 yards, and his mobility makes him a threat outside the pocket as well. BYU counters with Junior Riley Nelson under center, and while Nelson is also an effective dual-threat QB, the edge in experience definitely goes to Kinne and the Golden Hurricane.

In terms of playmakers, Tulsa running back Ja’Terian Douglas could steal the show. He led all backs by averaging 8.2 yards per carry this season, and if he can rip off some long runs, it will open things up for Kinne and the rest of the offense. For the Cougars, receiver Cody Hoffman has taken care of the explosive plays. He finished the season with seven touchdowns and more than 800 yards, and if BYU is going to hit a big play in the passing game, it is likely going to come from Hoffman. With both teams putting up similar offensive numbers, one or two big plays could be the difference in the outcome.

The X-factor in the game could be the BYU defense. The unit ranks in the top 25 nationally in scoring, allowing less than 21 points per game. The Cougars’ defense got stronger as the year progressed, allowing seven points or less in three of the final five games. The defense passed the test against tough competition as well. BYU allowed just 13 points on the road against Ole Miss and just 17 points on the road against Texas. Tulsa’s offense has been effective this season, but a hot BYU defense could hold the Golden Hurricane in check.

In the end, the similarities between these two teams on offense should create an interesting matchup. Although Tulsa has the edge in explosiveness and is more likely to hit a big play, the Golden Hurricane defense has been significantly worse than the BYU unit. The Cougars’ strength on both sides of the ball should carry BYU to a win.

Prediction: BYU Cougars (+1.5) Cover the Spread

Free College Football Picks and NCAAF Predictions: BYU +1.5 to cover the spread

Armed Forces Bowl: BYU vs Tulsa
Date: 12/30/11
Time: 12 PM EST on ESPN
Vegas Odds Favorite: Tulsa -1.5 Total: Over/Under 57.5

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