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2012 College Football Odds and Picks: Ohio St @ Wisconsin Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/17/2012

2012 College Football Picks: Ohio St @ Wisconsin Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/17/2012: One of the budding rivalries in the Big Ten will add another chapter this weekend when the sixth-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes (10-0, 6-0 Big Ten) travel to Madison to face the defending conference champion Wisconsin Badgers (7-3, 4-2 Big Ten). Under normal circumstances, the game would be a battle for control of the Leaders Division. However, the Badgers have already clinched the division crown thanks to postseason bans to both Ohio State and Penn State. That being said, there is still a lot on the line in Saturday’s meeting, especially for the Buckeyes. Ohio State has an outside shot of winning the AP national championship if they continue to run the table, and quarterback Braxton Miller is still hanging on in the Heisman race. Throw in the fact that these two programs just seem to meet with a lot at stake every year, and bragging rights alone usually brings out the best in both sides. Not surprisingly, oddsmakers are expecting a tight one, and the Badgers are two-point favorites on their home field.

College Football

For the Buckeyes, Urban Meyer’s offense has been as good as advertised. Ohio State enters Saturday’s game with the eighth-best rushing offense and 11th-best scoring offense, averaging 39.9 points per game. Miller has been the focal point of the attack, throwing for 1,753 yards and 14 scores and rushing 1,166 yards and 13 scores. Meanwhile, running back Carlos Hyde has been coming on strong in recent weeks and has rushed for 13 scores of his own. Of course, the Buckeyes have needed their dynamic duo to pile up yards and touchdowns to make up for a defense that has been average at best. Ohio State is allowing opponents to score 23.9 points per game, and each of the team’s last five opponents has scored at least 22 points.

Ironically, Wisconsin has taken an opposite approach this season. After having one of the top offenses in the country last year, the Badgers have become mainly a power running team now that quarterback Russell Wilson is the NFL. Workhorse Montee Ball and change-of-pace back James White have helped Wisconsin have a top-20 rushing attack this year, but a lack of balance has resulted in an average offense that isn’t even averaging 30 points per game. Injuries haven’t helped the situation as both transfer Danny O’Brien and freshman Joel Stave have gone down, leaving fifth-year senior Curt Phillips to start. On the flip side, Wisconsin’s defense has been stout this year, ranking 12th in the country in scoring at just 17.4 per game.

The Buckeyes Win If:

Miller has been a one-man offensive weapon all year for Ohio State, and in recent weeks, Hyde has joined the party. If Hyde can continue to carry the load between the tackles, it is going to open up big play opportunities for Miller on the ground and through the air. Defensively, the Buckeyes have to keep Ball and the Wisconsin running game in check. In particular, Ohio State needs to win on first down, forcing the Badgers into passing situations. The Buckeyes’ defense has had plenty of holes this season, but even their unit is capable of containing a third-string QB. If OSU can make sure this game is decided by which QB can make more plays instead of by which running game is better, the Buckeyes are going to escape one of the toughest stadiums in college football with a victory.

The Badgers Win If:

For the Badgers, establishing Ball and the power running game is the single most important step to knocking off Ohio State. Running ball will keep Miller and the high-powered OSU offense on the sidelines, and it will also keep Phillips from having to do more than he is comfortable with in just his second start of the year. When the Wisconsin defense is on the field, making Miller into a passer and limiting his big plays outside of the pocket will be crucial. If Ball has a big game and Miller doesn’t, Wisconsin will come away with the win.

Bottom Line:

The Buckeyes have made many trips to Wisconsin in contention for a national title only to leave with their championship hopes dashed. This year is far from the typical scenario, but the undefeated Buckeyes could be walking into a trap nonetheless. Wisconsin’s defense has been on fire recently, holding five straight opponents to 14 points or less. Miller and company are likely to top that total, but OSU certainly can’t count on 30-plus points Saturday. Meanwhile, Ohio State’s defense has been shaky on the road, and the Buckeyes allowed 49 points to a 4-6 Indiana team. Wisconsin’s offense isn’t great, but with Ball and White in the backfield, it certainly has more firepower than the Hoosiers’ offense that has only topped 30 points in conference play once this year. Throw in the always-hostile atmosphere in Madison, and Miller won’t be able to make enough plays to stop the Badgers from running by the Buckeyes.

Prediction: Wisconsin Badgers (-2) Cover the Spread 

BetOnline.com

Ohio St @ Wisconsin Vegas Odds and Total
Line: Wisconsin -2.5
Total: Over/Under 51.5
Television: 3:30 PM EST on ABC

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2012 College Football Picks and Odds: Texas Tech @ Oklahoma St Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/17/2012

2012 College Football Picks: Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/17/2012: An entertaining Big 12 battle could be on tap this Saturday when the 23rd-ranked Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-3, 4-3 Big 12) travel to Stillwater to face the 24th-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-3, 4-2 Big 12). Although neither team is in the hunt for the conference title, both have high-powered offenses and both can put a ton of points on the board. If you like offense, this game should be right up your ally. Points are likely to start coming early and often, and big plays should be plentiful. Playing at home, the Cowboys are 10 ½-point favorites.

College Football

Both teams can throw the ball with the best of them. In fact, Texas Tech owns the top passing attack in the country while the Cowboys aren’t far behind with the fourth-best passing game. Quarterback Seth Doege runs the show for the Red Raiders, and he has already thrown for more than 3,300 yards and has 34 scores. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State has had multiple injuries at the QB spot, and third-string junior Clint Chelf has been forced under center the past couple of weeks.

While both teams have high-powered, spread passing attacks, the Cowboys also have a top-25 rushing offense. Led by back Joseph Randle, the Cowboys are averaging more than 200 yards per game on the ground. The balance has helped Oklahoma State fourth in total yards and third in points per game (43.9) Meanwhile the Red Raiders rank outside the top 80 in rushing yards and 18th in points at 38.7 per game.

The Red Raiders Win If:

The Red Raiders’ offense always piles up a bunch of passing yards, but they sometimes have trouble finishing off drives. If they are going to upset the Cowboys, the Red Raiders can’t afford to settle for field goals or come away empty when they get near the goal line. Speeding up the pace of the game will also benefit Texas Tech. As powerful as the Cowboys’ offense is, the Red Raiders thrive in fast-paced, high-scoring games. The Red Raiders use a lot of short and mid-range passing routes, and when opposing defenses get tired, those shorter passes turn into big plays in a hurry. Doege and company need to establish their type of tempo early in the game, and if they do, they can wear down and outscore Oklahoma State.

The Cowboys Win If:

While Mike Gundy’s high-powered passing attack grabs the headlines, the Cowboys’ balance on offense is incredibly underrated. The counterpunch the Randle and the ground game can provide will be crucial in this matchup with the Red Raiders. If Oklahoma State maintains a balanced approach on offense, the Cowboys can control the pace of the game, pushing the tempo when they have the momentum and slowing the pace if their defense needs a rest or the Red Raiders are clicking on offense. Texas Tech’s best chance of winning comes if this game turns into a complete pass-happy shootout, but Oklahoma State can take that out of the equation by making sure not to forget about the running game.

Bottom Line:

Texas Tech might be better off if they never win another big game. The Red Raiders went into the tank after upsetting Oklahoma last year, and they have gone down a similar path since knocking off then-undefeated West Virginia. Since beating the Mountaineers, the Red Raiders have needed triple overtime to beat a TCU team starting a backup QB, gotten crushed by Kansas State, managed just 22 points in a loss to a Texas team with a terrible defense and needed overtime to get past a horrible Kansas team. Texas Tech is heading in the wrong direction and headed there fast. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have won four of their last five games and continue to click on offense despite the QB changes. Playing at home, Oklahoma State’s balanced, high-scoring offense should continue to roll and roll right by a slumping Texas Tech bunch.

Prediction: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-10 ½) Cover the Spread 

BetOnline.com

Texas Tech @ Oklahoma St Vegas Odds and Total
Line: Oklahoma St -10
Total: Over/Under 72.5
Television: 3:30 PM EST on FSN

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2012 College Football Picks and Odds: USC @ UCLA Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/17/2012

2012 College Football Picks: USC @ UCLA Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/17/2012: The Pac-12 South Division title is up for grabs this Saturday when the 18th-ranked USC Trojans (7-3, 5-3 Pac-12) taken on the 17th-ranked UCLA Bruins (8-2, 5-2 Pac-12). Despite having a shot at the division crown, the season has been a colossal disappointment for a USC bunch that started the year ranked No.1 in the country. Meanwhile, the Bruins are looking to earn a division title this time around after backing into the crown last season because of USC’s postseason ban. Regardless of the circumstances, the winner of Saturday’s battle for Los Angeles clinches a spot in the Pac-12 title game and controls its own destiny as far as an automatic BCS bowl bid is concerned. Throw in the fact that this is a rivalry game, and an intense battle should be on tap. Oddsmakers are expecting a tight contest, and the Trojans are 3 ½-point favorites on the road.

College Football

Both teams have different offensive philosophies but have been equally productive. Led by quarterback Matt Barkley and receivers Marqise Lee and Robert Woods, the Trojans have one of the top passing attacks in the country, and running back Silas Redd is a solid counterpunch on the ground. Meanwhile, running back Johnathan Franklin leads an excellent UCLA ground game while improving QB Brett Hundley has provided balance in the passing game. Despite the differences, both teams are averaging right around 37 points per contest on the season.

Defensively, both sides rank in the top 50 in points allowed and are giving up about 24 points a game. However, consistency has been the biggest issue for both units. The Bruins have allowed more than 40 points to opponents on three occasions this year. Meanwhile, the Trojans allowed 39 points in a loss to Arizona and 61 in a loss to Oregon.

The Trojans Win If:

While Barkley and the passing game are the backbone of the offense, running back Silas Redd is having a strong season and provides plenty of balance. The Trojans can sometimes fall in love with big plays, and trying to push the ball down the field too frequently can lead to quick three and outs and even turnovers. When they have struggled on offense, they have been their own worst enemy, and it has created easy scoring opportunities for opponents. Facing a UCLA defense that has its holes, Barkley and company can’t forget about the ground game. There is nothing wrong with long, sustained drives, and if USC remembers that this weekend, the Trojans have more than enough firepower on offense to outscore the Bruins.

The Bruins Win If:

Franklin carried the UCLA offense early in the year, but the recent evolution of Hundley has taken the Bruins to another level. The freshman QB has thrown 10 touchdowns in the last three games, and UCLA has averaged more than 48 points per game during the stretch. If Hundley continues to provide a strong counterpunch to Franklin and the ground game, the Bruins can exploit a USC defense that has issues consistently stopping opponents. If Hundley struggles and turns the ball over, UCLA won’t be able to keep up with the Trojans’ offense.

Bottom Line:

If you look at the games wear UCLA’s defense has struggled, it becomes very clear that the Bruins could be in serious trouble Saturday. Washington State’s Connor Halliday threw four 330 yards and five scores, Arizona State’s Taylor Kelly threw for 315 yards and four scores and California’s Zach Maynard threw for 295 yards and four scores. Enter USC’s high-powered passing attack, and after allowing such big games to otherwise average QBs, the chances of UCLA containing Barkley and company are slim. The Bruins are sure to get their share of points against a USC defense that seems to struggle to focus at times, but the Trojans have enough firepower to take advantage if a suspect UCLA secondary and outscore their rivals.

Prediction: USC Trojans (-3 ½) Cover the Spread 

BetOnline.com

USC @ UCLA Vegas Odds and Total
Line: USC -3.5
Total: Over/Under 64.5
Television: 3 PM EST on FOX

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2012 College Football Picks and Odds: Stanford @ Oregon Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/17/2012

2012 College Football Picks: Stanford @ Oregon Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/17/2012: The top spot in the Pac-12 North is up for grabs Saturday night when the second-ranked Oregon Ducks (10-0, 7-0 Pac-12) host the 13th-ranked Stanford Cardinal (8-2, 6-1 Pac-12). For the Ducks, a victory would clinch a division title and keep them on track to play in the BCS title game. Meanwhile, a Stanford win would give the Cardinal control of their own destiny as far as the division title and automatic BCS bowl bid is concerned. Despite both teams being ranked in the top 15 entering the matchup, Oregon is a sizeable 20 ½-point at home.

College Football

Both teams have a run-first philosophy on offense, but their systems couldn’t be more different. Oregon’s spread-option attack relies on speed and spacing and is probably the most up-tempo attack in the country. Running back Kenjon Barner, fellow back De’Anthony Thomas and quarterback Marcus Mariota are the three most important cogs for a unit that is leading the country in scoring at 54.8 points per game and ranks third in rushing. Stanford on the other hand, relies on a traditional power running game compete with blocking tight ends and a fullback. Running back Stepfan Taylor is the workhorse of the offense, but the QB position remains unsettled. For now, freshman Kevin Hogan has the starting job.

On the defensive side of the ball, Stanford has been flat out stingy, allowing just 17.1 points per game. A physical defensive front and a strong group of linebackers led by Chase Thomas and Shayne Skov are the strengths of a unit that makes moving the ball up and down the field very difficult for opponents. Meanwhile, Oregon’s defense tends to take a bend-but-don’t-break approach. The Ducks will allow some yards, but they also force a ton of turnovers, pressure opposing QBs and tighten up when opponents get into the red zone.

The Cardinal Win If:

Plain and simple, no team is going to beat Oregon in an offensive shootout, especially a team like Stanford that has a freshman quarterback making just his third start. The Cardinal have to control the tempo with their power running game, wear down the injury-plagued Oregon defensive line and keep the Ducks’ offense off the field as much as possible. If Taylor and the Stanford offensive line can methodically move the ball up and down the field, the Cardinals have a shot. Defensively, Stanford’s group of excellent linebackers has to make tackles in space. Stopping Oregon’s spread-option attack is impossible, but as long as the Cardinal don’t miss tackles, they can at least make the Ducks work for their points. An established ground game and flawless tackling is Stanford’s recipe for an upset in this one.

The Ducks Win If:

As if Oregon’s offense needed any motivation to score points, the Ducks can really put Stanford in a tough spot by grabbing an early lead. If Oregon can put the Cardinal in an early hole, Stanford will be forced to abandon its power running game and play at the Ducks’ pace. From there, the Ducks’ opportunistic defense should have plenty of chances to make some big plays against Stanford’s inexperienced freshman QB while the Ducks’ speed on offense should be able to wear down the Cardinal linebackers. Stanford won’t be able to keep pace in a shootout, and a few early scores against Stanford will go a long way to turning a potentially dangerous game into a blowout.

Bottom Line:

Stanford may not be the team it was with Andrew Luck under center, but the Cardinal can still run the football and grind things out as well as any team in the country. USC already knows that all too well. The high-powered Trojans’ offense managed just 14 points in a loss thanks in large part to Stanford’s ability to control the pace. Against a battered Oregon defensive front, Taylor and company should be able to consistently move the chains and dominate the time of possession once again. Meanwhile, Thomas, Skov and the rest of the Stanford linebackers are reliable enough tacklers to keep Barner and company from running wild. Don’t get me wrong, the Ducks overwhelming offensive firepower will win out in the long run, but Stanford has the right personnel and plays the style of football that will allow the Cardinal to hang within the nearly three-touchdown spread.

Prediction: Stanford Cardinal (+20 ½) Cover the Spread 

BetOnline.com

Stanford @ Oregon Vegas Odds and Total
Line: Oregon -21
Total: Over/Under 65.5
Television: 8 PM EST on ABC

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2012 College Football Picks and Odds: Mississippi St @ LSU Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/10/2012

2012 College Football Picks: Mississippi St @ LSU Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/10/2012: Fresh off a big win over rival LSU, the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide (9-0, 6-0 SEC) have a big opportunity in front of them this weekend when they face the 15th-ranked Texas A&M Aggies (7-2, 4-2 SEC). A victory for Alabama would clinch the SEC West, keeping them on track for a conference title and a trip back to the BCS title game to defend their championship. While the Aggies may not be able to win the division or the conference, an upset of the Crimson Tide would be a huge step forward for the program and a big boost to the Heisman hopes of quarterback Johnny Manziel. However, the Aggies have already lost two games to top-10 opponents this season, and they are 14-point underdogs against the defending champs.

College Football

Offensively, neither team is a juggernaut. Both teams rank outside the top 40 in the country in scoring, and LSU is actually outside the top 50 in scoring. The Bulldogs do have a balanced offense with running back LaDarius Perkins leading the ground attack and quarterback Tyler Russell leading the passing attack. However, balance is not the same as effectiveness, and Mississippi State ranks outside the top 60 in both rushing and passing yards. The Tigers on the other hand, have an excellent power running game fueled by a finally-healthy offensive line and a quartet of capable running backs. On the flip side, quarterback Zach Mettenberger and the passing game have provided little support, and LSU currently ranks 100th in passing offense.

On the defensive side of the ball, both teams rank in the top 25 in fewest points allowed. In fact, both sides are allowing less than 20 points per game. LSU actually ranks in the top 10 in fewest points allowed, and the Tigers have yet to surrender more than 22 points to an opponent. The defensive line is the strength of LSU’s unit, and defensive ends Sam Montgomery and Barkevious Mingo might be the best duo in the country.

The Bulldogs Win If:

Points are likely going to be tough to come by for the Bulldogs, and turning Saturday’s game into a low-scoring affair is their best chance. Russell and Perkins have to establish balance on the offensive end to slow down the LSU defensive line, and Russell in particular needs to avoid turnovers. Plain and simple, Mississippi State won’t win this game if they give the Tigers’ offense a short field to work with on a regular basis. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs’ defense has to sell out against the run and force Mettenberger to beat them. Mississippi State knows it is going to be in trouble if the LSU ground game is working, but there is always a chance the inconsistent Mettenberger will struggle, giving the Bulldogs a fighting chance.

The Tigers Win If:

From a physical standpoint, the Tigers have a lot more muscle in the trenches than the Bulldogs. However, the possibility of a mental hangover from last weekend’s heartbreaking loss to Alabama does exist. Mettenberger in particular needs to build on his strong play from last weekend’s game, even though it ended with a loss. As long as LSU doesn’t come out flat and making mistakes, the Tigers’ running game and defense will be able to fire on all cylinders, which is bad news for Mississippi State.

Bottom Line:

After starting the year 7-0 and beating three SEC teams that have yet to win a single conference game, the Bulldogs have gotten a rude awakening the last two weeks against Alabama and Texas A&M. Mississippi State has been outscored 76-20 in its two losses, and the Bulldogs simply haven’t had enough muscle in the trenches to compete. In fact, Mississippi has allowed three of its last four opponents to score more than 30 points, and Russell has thrown just one touchdown compared to two interceptions the last two weeks after throwing 15 scores to just one pick in the first seven games. With an offensive line that is finally healthy and a nasty defensive line, LSU will exploit the same weaknesses that the Crimson Tide and Aggies took advantage of. The Tigers will keep a suspect Mississippi State offense in check and literally run over the Bulldogs’ defense on their way to a win.

Prediction: LSU Tigers (-14 ½) Cover the Spread

BetOnline.com

Mississippi St @ LSU Vegas Odds and Total
Line: LSU -14
Total: Over/Under 44
Television: 7 PM EST on ESPN

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2012 College Football Odds and Picks: Texas A&M @ Alabama Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/10/2012

2012 College Football Picks: Texas A&M @ Alabama Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/10/2012: Fresh off a big win over rival LSU, the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide (9-0, 6-0 SEC) have a big opportunity in front of them this weekend when they face the 15th-ranked Texas A&M Aggies (7-2, 4-2 SEC). A victory for Alabama would clinch the SEC West, keeping them on track for a conference title and a trip back to the BCS title game to defend their championship. While the Aggies may not be able to win the division or the conference, an upset of the Crimson Tide would be a huge step forward for the program and a big boost to the Heisman hopes of quarterback Johnny Manziel. However, the Aggies have already lost two games to top-10 opponents this season, and they are 14-point underdogs against the defending champs.

College Football

Both teams have plenty of firepower on offense, but they go about scoring in very different ways. Texas A&M currently ranks fourth in the country in scoring at 44.7 points per game and ranks in the top 20 in both rushing and passing yards. Manziel is the centerpiece of the offense, and he has thrown for more than 2,500 yards and rushed for nearly 1,000. Alabama, on the other hand, ranks 17th in scoring at 38.4 points per game. A top-25 running game powered by the two-headed monster of T.J. Yeldon and Eddie Lacy is the strength of the offense, but quarterback A.J. McCarron provides a nice counterpunch and has thrown 19 touchdowns and zero interceptions.

On the defensive side of the ball, Texas A&M has been solid, ranking in the top 30 in fewest points allowed. However, Alabama owns the best defense in the country. Cornerback Dee Milliner leads the secondary, and nose tackle Jesse Williams is one of the starts on the defensive front. The Crimson Tide are allowing just 9.1 points per game, and they own the best turnover differential in the country. Alabama hasn’t allowed an opponent to top 17 points all year.

The Aggies Win If:

If the Aggies are going to pull off the upset, they have to get big performances from their two playmakers. On offense, Manziel has to make big plays outside of the pocket with both his arm and his legs. Alabama’s defense is too stout for the Aggies to methodically march down the field and score. However, Manziel can put points on the board on any snap, and he will have to have some highlight-reel plays in this one. Meanwhile, defensive end Damontre Moore needs to have his best game of the year. Moore has been among the leader in sacks all year, and if can put pressure on McCarron, Alabama’s offense will become a little more predictable and a little easier to slow down.

The Crimson Tide Win If:

It is the same old story for the defending champs, and Alabama’s power run game and stingy defense will again be the keys to Crimson Tide victory. If Nick Saban’s star-studded defense keeps Manziel in check and Alabama’s power running game gets rolling, the Aggies are in big trouble. Alabama is one of the most disciplined teams in the country, and by limiting their own turnovers and limiting any big plays from the Texas A&M offense, the Crimson Tide can wear down and pull away from the Aggies.

Bottom Line:

Texas A&M’s two losses this year have come to Florida and LSU. Both teams have strong defenses and excellent running games, and in both games, the Aggies scored less than 20 points. Alabama has a better defense and a better offensive line than either of those teams, and if the Aggies couldn’t muster enough points to knock off the Gators or the Tigers, they aren’t going to be able to upset the Crimson Tide. Not to mention the fact that Alabama has a more balanced offense than either Florida and LSU, and the Crimson Tide’s added firepower will allow them to win and cover the spread.

Prediction: Alabama Crimson Tide (-14) Cover the Spread

BetOnline.com

Texas A&M @ Alabama Vegas Odds and Total
Line: Alabama -13.5
Total: Over/Under 56.5
Television: 3:30 PM EST on CBS

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2012 College Football Odds and Picks: Oregon St @ Stanford Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/10/2012

2012 College Football Picks: Oregon St @ Stanford Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/10/2012: A big matchup in the Pac-12 North highlights this weekend’s slate of college football games as the 11th-ranked Oregon State Beavers (7-1, 5-1 Pac-12) head to Palo Alto to face the 14th-ranked Stanford Cardinal (7-2, 5-1 Pac-12). Both teams need a win to stay within striking distance of the undefeated Oregon Ducks for the division crown, and since both teams still have a meeting with Oregon, the winner of Saturday’s game will control its own destiny in the Pac-12. However, a loss for either side would essentially kill any conference title hopes. Playing at home, the Cardinal are 4 ½-point favorites.

College Football

The two teams are polar opposites when it comes to their offensive philosophy. Oregon State is a pass-first team, and the Beavers currently rank 21st in the country in passing. Quarterback Cody Vaz has played well since an injury forced him into the starting role, and receivers Markus Wheaton and Brandin Cooks have combined for more than 1,600 yards this year. Meanwhile, Stanford’s offense revolves around its power running game. Senior running back Stepfan Taylor is the workhorse, and he enters Saturday game with 947 yards and eight scores. While the approaches are different, neither offense lights up the scoreboard. Both teams are averaging less than 30 points per game.

On the defensive side of the ball, both sides have been stout all year. The Beavers and Cardinal rank 19th and 12th in scoring defense, respectively, and both are allowing less than 19 points per game. Led by Chase Thomas, Stanford’s linebackers are arguably the best in the country. Meanwhile, Oregon State has a stout defensive line led by sack specialist Scott Crichton and a solid secondary led by senior corner Jordan Poyer.

The Beavers Win If:

Oregon State has been stuffing the run all year, and if the Beavers’ defensive front steps up again this weekend, they are going to be in great shape. Stanford has held its own without Andrew Luck under center, but the Cardinal are definitely reliant on the run these days. If Oregon State keeps Taylor in check, an already mediocre Stanford offense is going to struggle to put points on the board. Meanwhile, Vaz and the passing game need to stretch the field and attack the Stanford secondary. The Cardinal linebackers are elite, but the Beavers can take them out of the game by picking on the Stanford cornerbacks. If Wheaton and Cooks win their one-on-one matchups down the field, Oregon State should put up enough points to win the game.

The Cardinal Win If:

The Beavers aren’t a great running team, and the Cardinal know going into the game Oregon State is going to be throwing early and often. If Stanford’s linebackers can pressure Vaz and eliminate any big plays in the passing game, Oregon State is going to have issues getting into the end zone. On the offensive end, Taylor and Stanford’s physical offensive line need to wear down the Beavers’ defense. If the Cardinal make this a battle in the trenches, their size and muscle on both sides of the ball will win out.

Bottom Line:

At the end of the day, this is an excellent matchup for the Beavers. The stingy Oregon State defensive front is allowing just 91.8 rushing yards per game, and the Stanford offense struggles when its power running game isn’t going. Meanwhile, the Beavers’ passing attack has the weapons to avoid the strength of Stanford’s defense. The Cardinal linebackers can swarm running backs and cover receivers over the middle, but they aren’t going to be covering Cooks and Wheaton deep down the field. Oregon State’s ability to stretch the field on offense and stuff the run on defense will allow them to pick up a big road win.

Prediction: Oregon State Beavers (+4 ½) Cover the Spread

BetOnline.com

Oregon St @ Stanford Vegas Odds and Total
Line: Stanford -4.5
Total: Over/Under 45
Television: 3 PM EST on FOX

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Posted in NCAAFComments Off on 2012 College Football Odds and Picks: Oregon St @ Stanford Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/10/2012

2012 College Football Odds and Picks: Oregon @ USC Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/3/2012

2012 College Football Picks: Oregon @ USC Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/3/2012: When the schedule was first released, Saturday’s showdown between Oregon and USC was thought to have national title implications. Well, the fourth-ranked Ducks (8-0, 5-0 Pac-12) do need a win to keep their championship hopes alive, but the 17th-ranked Trojans (6-2, 4-2 Pac-12) are left to play the role of spoiler after a pair of surprise losses. At this point, USC probably needs to upset Oregon just to win the South Division in the Pac-12. Of course, the Trojans have been in this situation before, knocking off Oregon last year despite being on probation and ineligible for the postseason. They will have to do the same this weekend if they have any chance of rallying to win the conference crown and making a BCS bowl. While the game might not have quite the hype many expected, there is still a lot on the line for both teams. After losing to USC in Eugene last year, Oregon is a 7 ½-point favorite in the Coliseum this weekend.

College Football

There is no shortage of offensive firepower on either side. Matt Barkley leads a USC offense that ranks 25th in scoring this season at 35.0 points per game. The Trojans have one of the top passing attacks, and receivers Robert Woods and Marqise Lee are arguably the most explosive duo in the country. Of course, Oregon owns currently the most productive offensive in the country, averaging an incredible 53.4 points per game. The Ducks have speed to spare, and running back Kenjon Barner and receiver De’Anthony Thomas lead a rushing attack that ranks third in the country at more than 330 yards per game. Meanwhile, dual-threat QB Marcus Mariota has exceled in his first year as a starter. In other words, there is plenty of NFL-talent to go around on offense in this one.

Defensively, the teams are practically mirror images. Oregon and USC rank 24th and 25th in points allowed, and both teams allow less than 20 points per game. Both units have been able to create turnovers and pressure opposing QBs, as well. The Trojans actually rank fourth in the country with 16 interceptions and eighth with 27.0 sacks. Meanwhile, the Ducks are tied for sixth in the country with 14 interceptions and are just outside the top 15 with 23.0 sacks. Not to mention the fact the Ducks have been one of the stingiest defenses in the red zone and have returned for interceptions for scores. The offensive stars may get most of the attention, but both of these defenses have been stout, as well.

The Ducks Win If:

Oregon has thoroughly stomped all of its opponents thus far by halftime, and the Ducks have yet to face any real pressure late into a game. That will likely change against the Trojans, and while the running game is the strength of Chip Kelly’s spread-option attack, freshman quarterback Marcus Mariota will have to provide some balance. If Mariota can avoid any big game jitters and the Ducks don’t turn the ball over, there is no reason Oregon can’t be the offensive juggernaut it has been all year. Unless the Ducks stop themselves, they are going to be able to outscore the Trojans and remain undefeated.

The Trojans Win If:

The Trojans have shown flashes of their talent on both sides of the ball this season, but inconsistency has killed them. Still, Barkley has the firepower to put up a ton of points, and one brilliant game is all it takes to pull off an upset. In fact, Oregon’s defense has given up its share of yardage this year, but the Ducks have stepped it up once opponents get into the red zone. Barkley and the USC offense should get their chances to score, and if they can execute around the goal line, the Trojans will be the ones putting pressure on the Oregon offense for a change. There isn’t much that can be done defensively to slow down the Ducks, but if USC can tackle in space and make Oregon have extended scoring drives rather than one-play, 50-plus yard scores, it will go a long way to keeping the score within reason. If the Trojans can hang with Oregon from the start, Barkley and company can make the plays in crunch time needed to win.

Bottom Line:

USC has already thrown away its national title chances this season, which could actually turn into a plus for the Trojans this weekend. Oregon has everything to lose in this game and it going into a hostile environment. Meanwhile, Barkley and company can afford to take some risks and try to hit some big plays down the field to get the crowd involved. As dominant as Oregon has been this year, they Ducks have yet to play meaningful snaps late in the fourth quarter of a game. USC’s passing attack is powerful enough to hang with Oregon’s high-scoring offense, and at the end of the day, USC has a Heisman candidate under center and the potential No. 1 overall pick in the NFL Draft while Oregon has a freshman. Playing at home with nothing to nose, Barkley and the Trojans make a run at the upset, and at the very least, USC covers the spread.

Prediction: USC Trojans (+7 ½) Cover the Spread 

BetOnline.com

Oregon @ USC Vegas Odds and Total
Line: Oregon -8
Total: Over/Under 69.5
Television: 8 PM EST on ABC

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Posted in NCAAFComments Off on 2012 College Football Odds and Picks: Oregon @ USC Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/3/2012

2012 College Football Picks: Alabama @ LSU Odds and Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/3/2012

2012 College Football Picks: Alabama @ LSU Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/3/2012: It doesn’t get much bigger than this. Last year, Alabama and LSU battled for the SEC West crown during the regular season and battled again in the BCS title game for the national championship. The two dominant programs will renew their rivalry this weekend when the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide (8-0, 5-0 SEC) head to “Death Valley” to face the fifth-ranked LSU Tigers (7-1, 3-1 SEC). This time around, the division title is likely on the line once again with the winner controlling its own destiny. More importantly, Alabama needs a win to keep its hopes of back-to-back titles alive while a victory or LSU would keep the Tigers in contention for a championship despite a loss earlier in the year. It is a primetime matchup between two powerhouse programs, and the defending champion Crimson Tide are 9 ½-point favorites.

College Football

Both sides bring dominant defenses into the matchup once again, but while the Tigers are ninth on the country in scoring defense at 14.6 per game, the Crimson Tide have the best scoring defense, allowing just 8.1 points per game. Alabama hasn’t allowed an opponent to score more than 14 points all year, and although LSU hasn’t let an opponent top 22 all year, the Tigers have allowed three of their last four opponents to eclipse the 20-point mark. The Crimson Tide are also the best team in the nation when it comes to turnover differential.

Offensively, there isn’t much comparison. Alabama ranks 11th in the country in scoring, averaging more than 40 points per game. Running backs T.J. Yeldon and Eddy Lacy have combined for 14 touchdowns, and both are averaging well over five yards per carry for an offense that ranks in the top 25 in rushing. Meanwhile, quarterback A.J. McCarron has been the definition of efficient, throwing 18 touchdowns and no interceptions while completing almost 69 percent of his passes. The Tigers, on the other hand, rank outside the top 50 in points per game. LSU does own a top-25 rushing offense, but the passing game has offered little balance. In his first year under center, Zach Mettenberger has thrown just seven touchdowns compared to four interceptions while completing less than 57 percent of his passes.

The Crimson Tide Win If:

Although Alabama lost last year’s regular season meeting with the Tigers 9-6 in overtime, the Crimson Tide bounced back by dominating LSU in the BCS title game. In that game, Alabama used its power running game and dominating defense along with some timely passes from McCarron to control the tempo from start to finish. The Crimson Tide can use the same recipe for success this weekend, and as long as McCarron doesn’t start making mistakes and giving the Tigers easy scores, Alabama can control the pace once again. If that happens, the Crimson Tide’s incredible offensive line and two-headed monster at running back will eventually wear down LSU’s defense and allow Nick Saban’s bunch to escape “Death Valley” undefeated.

The Tigers Win If:

Plain and simple, the LSU offense isn’t all that great. If the Tigers are going to win, they need to do exactly what they did in last year’s regular season meeting with Alabama and make this a low-scoring game. If LSU can stuff the Crimson Tide rushing attack one early downs and force McCarron out of his comfort zone, the Tigers can make Saturday’s contest a battle of field position and special teams. With a great punter in Brad Wing and a great kicker in Drew Alleman, LSU has a definite edge in a low-scoring defensive battle. If the game comes down to field goals, the Tigers can take down the Crimson Tide.

Bottom Line:

At the end of the day, both Alabama and LSU are still the same run-first, defensive-minded teams that played for a national title one year ago. While neither defense is quite as loaded as they were a year ago, LSU’s offense is definitely worse. Injuries along the offensive line, a lack of explosive players at wide receiver and inconsistent play from Mettenberger have resulted in a scoring attack that has yet to top 24 points in conference play. Meanwhile, Alabama’s offense is more balanced than ever before thanks to the efficient play of McCarron and the best offensive line in the country. Without question, Alabama is the better all-around team and should win the game. However, Les Miles will motivate his team by playing the underdog card, and Saban has a tendency to go a little conservative in big games. A 9 ½-point spread is enormous, especially when LSU is in “Death Valley” and getting that many points. The Tigers 22-game home winning streak is the longest in the nation, and while it may be snapped Saturday night, LSU will make it tough on the Crimson Tide.

Prediction: LSU Tigers (-9 ½) Cover the Spread 

BetOnline.com

Alabama @ LSU Vegas Odds and Total
Line: Alabama -9
Total: Over/Under 40
Television: 8 PM EST on CBS

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Posted in NCAAFComments Off on 2012 College Football Picks: Alabama @ LSU Odds and Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/3/2012

2012 College Football Picks and Odds: Oklahoma State @ Kansas State Odds and Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/3/2012

2012 College Football Picks: Oklahoma State @ Kansas State Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/3/2012: Last year, Kansas State pushed then-undefeated Oklahoma State to the brink, nearly pulling off an upset in a back-and-forth 52-45 shootout. This year, the second-ranked Wildcats (8-0, 5-0 Big 12) are undefeated, and the 24th-ranked Cowboys (5-2, 3-1 Big 12) are looking to play the role of spoiler. Not to mention the fact that a win for Oklahoma State would put Mike Gundy’s bunch in control of its own destiny as far as the conference title is concerned. Meanwhile, a victory for Kansas State would essentially give the Wildcats a two-game lead in the Big 12 with three games to play. Playing at home Kansas State is a nine-point favorite.

College Football

Offensively, these two teams are more than capable of producing another high-scoring shootout. Led by a top-20 rushing offense, the Wildcats rank fifth in the country in scoring at 44.4 points per game. Kansas State’s ground game is powered by dual-threat quarterback Collin Klein, but speedy back John Hubert provides a nice counterpunch to Klein’s bulldozing style. The Cowboys, on the other hand, use a more balanced approach. Quarterback Wes Lunt leads the sixth-ranked passing attack in the country, while Joseph Randle heads a top-15 rushing attack. Overall, the Cowboys rank just behind the Wildcats in scoring, averaging 44.3 points per game.

The two teams are not as evenly matched on the defensive side of the ball. The Wildcats rank 13th in the country in scoring defense and are holding opponents to just 17.1 points per game. More importantly, Kansas State hasn’t allowed an opponent to score more than 24 points all year. On the flip side, Oklahoma State ranks outside the top 40 in scoring defense and has given up more than 40 points twice, losing both games.

The Cowboys Win If:

While Oklahoma State’s passing attack is one of the best in the country, Randle and the ground game could be the key to pulling off an upset. If Oklahoma State can establish balance on offense, it will keep the Kansas State defense guessing. The Wildcats’ offense and defense feed of each other by, and if the Cowboys can produce consistent scoring drives on offense, they will kill two birds with one stone. Kansas State’s power running can’t wear down Oklahoma State’s defense if Klein and company aren’t on the field, and the Kansas State defense can’t gamble and blitz if Randle is doing damage. A strong showing from Randle and the Cowboys’ offense will give Oklahoma State a chance at the upset.

The Wildcats Win If:

Kansas State’s formula for success has been simple. Klein and the offense have used the running game to dictate tempo and set up well-timed big plays in the passing game. As long as the Wildcats establish the run early against Oklahoma State, the rest of the pieces will fall again in place. If the Cowboys’ defense wears down and Oklahoma State falls behind, Kansas State’s defense can pin its ears back and attack Lunt. If that happens, things could get ugly for Oklahoma State.

Bottom Line:

Kansas State is no stranger to facing high-powered offenses. In fact, the Wildcats have already faced experienced, productive quarterbacks Geno Smith, Landry Jones and Seth Doege and have allowed just an average of 19.0 points. There is no reason to think the Wildcats can’t do the same to an Oklahoma State offense led by a freshman QB. Meanwhile, Klein and has Kansas State offense have pounded and worn down every defense they have faced this season, and a mediocre Cowboys’ defense isn’t going to fare any better. West Virginia and Texas Tech have a lot of similarities with Oklahoma State, and the Wildcats spent the last two weeks beating the Mountaineers and Red Raiders by a combined score of 110-38. The Cowboys will join the list of victims this weekend.

Prediction: Kansas State Wildcats (-8) Cover the Spread 

BetOnline.com

Oklahoma State @ Kansas State Vegas Odds and Total
Line: Kansas St -8
Total: Over/Under 67
Television: 8 PM EST on ABC

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Posted in NCAAFComments Off on 2012 College Football Picks and Odds: Oklahoma State @ Kansas State Odds and Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/3/2012

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