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Tag Archive | "College Football Bowl Predictions"

2012 Capital One Bowl Nebraska vs South Carolina Odds, Free Picks and Predictions on ESPN 1/2/12

Free College Football Bowl Picks and Spreads: Nebraska vs South Carolina 2012 Capital One Bowl Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ESPN 1/2/12: If the 20th-ranked Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-3) think transitioning to life in the Big Ten was tough, they may face an even tougher test in Monday’s Capital One Bowl when they meet the ninth-ranked South Carolina Gamecocks (10-2), who will likely have a big chip on their shoulders. The Gamecocks should probably be in a BCS bowl, but a rule that prevents three teams from the same conference from being selected left South Carolina on the outside looking in. For the record, the Gamecocks slaughtered the Clemson Tigers, who will be playing in the Orange after winning the ACC. Politics aside, the Gamecocks are three-point favorites against the Cornhuskers.

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The two teams actually share a lot in common, especially on offense. Both sides are powered by their running games, with Nebraska ranking 14th in the country in rush yards and South Carolina ranking 26th. The two teams are even closer when it comes to putting points on the scoreboard. The Cornhuskers are averaging 30.5 a contest, and the Gamecocks aren’t far behind with 30.1. Granted, Nebraska uses an option attack compared the South Carolina’s pro-style system, but the end result has been nearly identical on the stat sheet.

For Nebraska, the ground game is led by quarterback Taylor Martinez and running back Rex Burkhead. The duo has combined for more than 2,100 rushing yards and 24 touchdowns this season, and both players are capable of breaking off long runs. Martinez is the more explosive of the two, but Burkhead has been the team’s workhorse, piling up nearly 1,300 yards thus far. Meanwhile, the Gamecocks are without their workhorse after Heisman candidate Marcus Lattimore went down with a knee injury early in the season. That being said, freshman Brandon Wilds has filled in admirably as the main back, and South Carolina has continued to run the ball effectively.

While the two programs are very similar on offense, the Gamecocks have a clear edge on defense. South Carolina allowed less than 19 points per game to opponents and ranked fourth in the country in yards allowed. Those totals are even more impressive considering that the Gamecocks play in the Southeastern Conference. The strength of the unit is its ability to pressure the quarterback, and defensive ends Melvin Ingram and Jadeveon Clowney are a big reason why. The duo could be even more productive than usual against Nebraska because while Martinez is an excellent at running outside of the pocket, he is still developing his passing skills. The pass rush of the Gamecocks could force Martinez into making some critical mistakes.

The X-factor in the game will likely be South Carolina quarterback Connor Shaw. Shaw was forced to take over after starter Stephen Garcia was dismissed from the team. Surprisingly, Shaw brought stability to the position, exceeding expectations. If he continues to develop and improve, the South Carolina offense is only going to get better. Look for Shaw to find Alshon Jeffery down the field for some big plays Monday. Jeffery’s numbers suffered during the transition at quarterback, but he had more than 1,500 yards last season and caught touchdown passes in each of the final two games of this year. His rare combination of height and speed could make life tough on an average Nebraska secondary.

Breaking down the matchup, Nebraska has the better weapons on offense. However, the South Carolina defense is the best unit on the field for either side. The Gamecocks are one win away from the best season in program history, and while they would certainly prefer to be in a BCS bowl, setting a school record for victories should be more than enough motivation to stay focused. South Carolina’s defense is strong enough to force Martinez to be a passer, creating plenty of opportunities for the unit to force turnovers and set up the offense for easy scores.

Prediction: South Carolina Gamecocks (-2.5) Cover the Spread

Free College Football Picks and NCAAF Predictions: South Carolina -2.5 to cover the spread

2012 Capital One Bowl: Nebraska vs South Carolina
Date: 1/2/12
Time: 1 PM EST on ESPN
Vegas Odds Favorite: South Carolina -2.5 Total: Over/Under 46.5

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2012 Outback Bowl Michigan State vs Georgia Odds, Free Picks and Predictions on ABC 1/2/12

Free College Football Bowl Picks and Spreads: Michigan St vs Georgia 2012 Outback Bowl Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ESPN 1/2/12: The Michigan State Spartans (10-3) came within a game of winning the Big Ten, and the Georgia Bulldogs (10-3) did the same in the SEC. However, losses in their conference title games have the two teams facing off Monday in the Outback Bowl. While both programs ultimately want bigger and better things, bragging rights over another top conference and an 11-win season aren’t terrible prizes to play for. The Bulldogs enter the matchup as three-point favorites.

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Both teams are among the more balanced in the country. The Spartans and Bulldogs both average more than 30 points per game on offense and fewer than 20 points per game on defense. Thanks to a better running game, Georgia has the slight edge on the offensive side of the football. Meanwhile, Michigan State’s powerful defensive line gives the Spartans a similar edge on the defense. Neither side has a true weak point, creating the opportunity for one of the better bowl games on the schedule.

Quarterback play is going to be crucial to the success of both sides. Michigan State’s Kirk Cousins finished the year with more than 3,000 passing yards and was one of the more efficient signal callers in the country. He tossed 24 touchdowns compared to just seven interceptions and completed 65 percent of his pass. Georgia will counter with Aaron Murray. The sophomore is already being looked at as a top NFL prospect, and he set a school record this year with 33 touchdown passes.

The challenge for Murray is going to be handling the pass rush of the Spartans. In the SEC title game, he struggled to find a rhythm and even turned the ball over against the fierce LSU pressure. He can’t afford a repeat performance if the Bulldogs are going to win Monday. Cousins will have his work cut out for him as well, and he will have to pick his spots against a stout Georgia secondary.

Fortunately for both QBs, both teams have solid options to turn to in the backfield. Michigan State’s LaVon Bell has 900 yards and 11 touchdowns this season, while averaging 5.5 yards per carry. Isaiah Crowell has posted similar numbers for the Bulldogs, running for 847 yards. Both teams will look to use the ground game to set up the play-action pass and keep the opposing defense off balance. Murray and Cousins will have the spotlight, but Crowell and Bell could end up deciding the outcome if either player has a big game.

An X-factor in the matchup could be Michigan State receiver B.J. Cunningham. He is the most-productive receiver in Spartans’ history, and he has more than 1,200 yards and 12 scores this season. He is the most polished player at the position for either side, and he has the ability to make plays over the middle or stretch the field. If the Georgia secondary can’t control Cunningham, the Spartans’ offense could prove too much for the Bulldogs to handle.

In the end, the size and speed of the Georgia offensive and defensive lines will likely be tough for the Spartans to handle. The Spartans’ worst defensive performances came against the big offensive line of the Wisconsin Badgers, and the Bulldogs’ front line is a physical unit as well. The Big Ten as a whole has had its issues handling the speed of SEC teams in the past, and Michigan State is going to be tested on both sides of the ball. Both teams have enough firepower to put points on the board, but Murray and the Georgia offense should get the job done.

Prediction: Georgia Bulldogs (-3) Cover the Spread

Free College Football Picks and NCAAF Predictions: Georgia -3 to cover the spread

2012 Outback Bowl: Michigan St vs Georgia
Date: 1/2/12
Time: 1 PM EST on ABC
Vegas Odds Favorite: Georgia -3 Total: Over/Under 50.5

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2012 TicketCity Bowl Houston vs Penn State Odds, Free Picks and Predictions on ESPNU 1/2/12

Free College Football Bowl Picks and Spreads: Houston vs Penn St 2012 TicketCity Bowl Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ESPN 1/2/12: The 19th-ranked Houston Cougars (12-1) were one win away from playing in the program’s first BCS bowl, but a loss to Southern Miss in the Conference USA title game ended the magical season. Of course, Houston’s disappointment is nothing compared to the circus that the 22nd-ranked Penn State Nittany Lions (9-3) have dealt with. The Jerry Sandusky molestation scandal has ravaged the program, costing legendary coach Joe Paterno his job and creating a never-ending distraction for Penn State football. When the two teams meet in Monday’s TicketCity Bowl, the Nittany Lions will try to begin the rebuilding process with a bowl victory, while the Cougars will try to cap an incredible season on a high note. Houston is a six-point favorite in the matchup.

SBG Global Sportsbook

On paper, the Cougars would seem to have an overwhelming advantage on offense, piling up more than 250 more yards of offense per game than Penn State. More importantly, Houston was the top scoring team in the country this year, averaging more than 50 points a game. Meanwhile, the Nittany Lions were one of the 10 worst teams in the country, averaging less than 20 points a game. Needless to say, Penn State can’t afford to let Monday’s game turn into a shootout if it hopes to upset the Cougars.

Fortunately for the Nittany Lions, they make up for their anemic offense with a stifling defense. Penn State is allowing just 15.7 points per game on the year, which ranks fifth in the country. That scoring average was even better until the Wisconsin Badgers dropped 45 points on Penn State in the regular season finale. The Nittany Lions were able to win nine games and go 6-2 in the Big Ten thanks to their defense. This unit has a chance at slowing down any offense, including the Cougars’ high-scoring attack.

In fact, the Penn State defense matches up well against Houston’s offense. Led by record-setting quarterback Case Keenum, the Cougars had the top passing attack in the country. Keenum has more than 5,000 passing yards this season to go along with 45 touchdowns and just five interceptions. However, he will be passing a stingy Penn State secondary that ranks fourth in the country in yards allowed. The Nittany Lions will be by far the best defense Keenum has faced, and while his performance will have a big impact on his draft status, it will have an even bigger impact on the outcome of the game.

Even if the Nittany Lions can control Keenum and company, they still have to score some points of their own. That could be easier said than done, considering the situation at quarterback. Starter Matt McGloin, who wasn’t great to begin with, may not be able to play after being injured in an incident off the field. Backup Rob Bolden was even worse, completing less than 50 percent of his passes and throwing just one touchdown compared to four interceptions.

If Penn State is going to win, it will have to rely mainly on running back Silas Redd, who topped 1,100 yards this season. Redd has the ability to control the clock and slow down the Cougars’ offense, which will be a must for Penn State. The good news is that Houston’s defense has been mediocre against the run this season, but the lack of a passing game will allow the Cougars to focus on shutting down Redd.

At the end of the day, Penn State’s defense is likely to make life difficult for Keenum. That being said, the Cougars won’t need to score 50 points to beat a Nittany Lions bunch with a lackluster offense. Even on a bad day, Houston can score 30-plus points, and that should be more than enough to take care of Penn State.

Prediction: Houston Cougars (-7) Cover the Spread

Free College Football Picks and NCAAF Predictions: Houston -7 to cover the spread

2012 TicketCity Bowl: Penn St vs Houston
Date: 1/2/12
Time: 12 PM EST on ESPNU
Vegas Odds Favorite: Houston -7 Total: Over/Under 56.5

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2011 Chick-fil-A Bowl Virginia vs Auburn Odds, Free Picks and Predictions on ESPN 12/31/11

Free College Football Bowl Picks and Spreads: Virginia vs Auburn 2011 Chick-fil-A Bowl Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ESPN 12/31/11: What a difference a year makes. Last season, the Auburn was busy winning a national title behind the arm and legs of Heisman-winning quarterback Cam Newton, while Virginia was enduring a forgettable 4-8 campaign. Fortunes have reversed this season, with the Tigers slipping to 7-5 and the Cavaliers improving to 8-4. Now, the two teams will meet in Saturday’s Chick-fil-A Bowl to try to close out the year on a high note. Virginia won more games this season, but the defending national champs are three-point favorites.

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College football fans looking for good quarterback play might want to tune into a different game. Virginia’s Michael Rocco threw just 11 touchdown passes and also threw an equal number of interceptions. Meanwhile, Auburn tried Clint Moseley and Barrett Trotter under center, but neither player secured the starting job. True freshman Kiehl Frazier has seen some snaps as well, but he is more of a rusher at this point in his career. All three players could end up seeing time Saturday, and if having two quarterbacks really means having none, having three quarterbacks is a major problem. It is a problem the Tigers will have to deal with against a Virginia defense that gives up just 22.3 points per game.

To make matters worse for the Tigers, they will be without starting running back Michael Dyer. The sophomore led the team with more than 1,200 yards and 10 touchdowns, but he is suspended for the bowl game. At times, Dyer was the only reliable offensive weapon for Auburn. Losing him, coupled with the situation at quarterback, could mean a rough offensive showing for the Tigers.

Of course, the Cavaliers aren’t exactly an offensive juggernaut, scoring just 23.2 points per game. However, Virginia does have an experienced offensive line that leads an efficient but not overwhelming running game. Auburn’s defense has struggled this year, allowing nearly 30 points a game. As mediocre as Rocco has been at quarterback, the Cavaliers may not need him to do a lot if the ground game can wear down the Tigers’ defensive front.

The X-factor could be Auburn running back Onterio McCalebb. He has been Dyer’s backup throughout the year, and while he averaged more than five yards per carry, he has never had to carry the load as the feature back. McCalebb has to have a big game in order to take the pressure of the Tigers’ trio of struggling quarterbacks. If he can’t get the ground game going, the already one-dimensional Auburn offense could be borderline stagnant.

At the end of the day, the loss of Dyer will likely have a huge impact on the final outcome. He was the center of the Tigers’ offense, and without him, the team really doesn’t have an identity on that side of the ball. Meanwhile, Virginia’s solid secondary should have plenty of opportunities to make big plays against the Tigers’ signal callers, setting up scoring chances for the Cavaliers’ powering running game. Unless Newton has another game of eligibility, the Tigers are going to be in trouble.

Prediction: Virginia Cavaliers (+3) Cover the Spread

Free College Football Picks and NCAAF Predictions: Virginia +3 to cover the spread

2011 Chick-fil-A Bowl: Virginia vs Auburn
Date: 12/31/11
Time: 7:30 PM EST on ESPN
Vegas Odds Favorite: Auburn -3 Total: Over/Under 48.5

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2011 Liberty Bowl Cincinnati vs Vanderbilt Odds, Free Picks and Predictions on ABC 12/31/11

Free College Football Bowl Picks and Spreads: Cincinnati vs Vanderbilt 2011 Liberty Bowl Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ABC 12/31/11: After a 4-8 season in 2010-11, the Cincinnati Bearcats (9-3) turned things round this year and nearly went to a BCS bowl. Instead, they settled for being co-Big East champs and a trip to the Autozone Liberty Bowl to face the Vanderbilt Commodores (6-6) Saturday afternoon. The Commodores struggled during SEC play, but they did knock off Big East opponent Connecticut on their way to becoming bowl eligible. Vanderbilt will look to stay perfect against the Big East and take out the Bearcats, and the Commodores are 1 ½-point favorites in the matchup.

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One of the bigger storylines leading up to the game has been the health of Cincinnati quarterback Zach Collaros. He missed the second half of the year with a broken ankle, but after practicing in recent weeks, he should be under center Saturday. The news couldn’t be better for the Bearcats, considering Collaros is one of the most dynamic QBs in the conference. After leading the Big East in passing yards and touchdowns last season, he had 22 total scores when he went down with the injury this year. Cincinnati averaged more than 33 points per game this year, and with Collaros under center, that total is more than obtainable.

While Collaros’ health has been hot topic, this matchup actually features two of the better defenses in the country. Both teams are giving up less than 21 points per game, and Vanderbilt ranks inside the top 20 in terms of yards allowed. Meanwhile, the Bearcats’ unit averaged more than 3.5 sacks per game and allowed less than 100 yards per game on the ground to opponents.

In this particular matchup, the Cincinnati defense may have the upper hand. The Commodores’ offense relies heavily on running back Zac Stacy, who ran for more than 1,100 yards and 13 scores, while averaging 6.2 yards per carry. If the stout Cincinnati rush defense can slow down Stacy, Vanderbilt quarterback Jordan Rodgers will be forced to step up. He has struggled this season, throwing nine touchdowns and nine interceptions, while completing just 51.5 percent of his passes. With the Bearcats one of the best teams in the nation at pressuring QBs, Rodgers could be in for a long day if he has to drop back and pass on a regular basis.

The X-factor in the game could be Cincinnati running back Isaiah Pead. He had a breakout campaign this season, running for more than 1,100 yards and 11 touchdowns. More importantly, he provides a nice counterpunch to Collaros and the spread passing game. Facing a stingy Commodores’ defense, the Bearcats should benefit from being able to attack in a variety of ways.

In the end, the Bearcats appear to be a tough matchup for the Commodores. The strength of the Bearcats’ defense matches perfectly with the strength of the Vanderbilt offense. Meanwhile, the explosive Cincinnati offense is going to be healthy as it has been in months. With its aggressive pass rush likely causing problems for the Rodgers and a mediocre Vanderbilt passing game, Cincinnati should be hold the Commodores offense in check. The dynamic Bearcats offense should take care of the rest.

Prediction: Cincinnati Bearcats (+2)Cover the Spread

Free College Football Picks and NCAAF Predictions: Cincinnati +2 to cover the spread

2011 Liberty Bowl: Cincinnati vs Vanderbilt
Date: 12/31/11
Time: 3:30 PM EST on ABC
Vegas Odds Favorite: Vanderbilt -2 Total: Over/Under 49

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2011 Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl Illinois vs UCLA Odds, Free Picks and Predictions on ESPN 12/31/11

Free College Football Bowl Picks and Spreads: Illinois vs UCLA 2011 Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ESPN 12/31/11: If they gave out an award for the worst bowl game, Saturday’s Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl would have a good shot at winning. The Illinois Fighting Illini (6-6) limps into the matchup having lost six straight games, while the UCLA Bruins (6-7) made a postseason appearance despite having a losing record. Neither side will have its head coach after Ron Zook and Rick Neuheisel were both fired after the regular season, leaving a pair of interim coaches to prepare the teams. If there is a more uninteresting bowl on paper, it’s tough to find. Since somebody has to be the favorite, the Illini is giving three points in the matchup.

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The sad thing is that UCLA actually played in the PAC-12 Championship because of USC’s NCAA probation, and had the Bruins upset Oregon, they would have gone to a BCS bowl. Of course, Illinois’ story is equally stunning. The Illini opened the year with six straight wins, climbing inside the top 20 in the rankings. Zook’s team somehow managed to follow the winning streak with a six-game losing streak, going from Big Ten contender to irrelevant in a matter of weeks. Needless to say, neither side is likely to have much confidence entering the game. Throw in the fact that interim coaches are running the show for both sides, and it is tough to know what to expect on the field.

On paper, both teams have similar offensive numbers in terms of points scored. However, the Bruins have a significant edge in yardage thanks to an effective running game. Johnathan Franklin and Derrick Coleman formed a potent rushing duo for UCLA this year, combining for more than 1,600 yards and 16 scores. More importantly, both backs averaged more than five yards per carry. Facing a stingy Illini defense that is giving up just 20.1 points per game, the Bruins will need their backs to play well if they are going to score points.

For Illinois, scoring points was a serious issue during the losing streak. Quarterback Nathan Scheelhaase embodied the streaky play of the Illini, throwing just two of his 12 touchdowns in the final six games. However, Illinois gets a chance to face a UCLA defense that has been gashed numerous times this season. The Bruins are allowing more than 32 points per game to opponents, and even the sputtering Illini offense may be able to put some points on the board.

A pair of receivers could be the X-factors in this one. Illinois’ A.J. Jenkins had nearly 1,200 receiving yards this season, along with seven touchdowns. When Illinois was playing well, Jenkins was making big plays in the passing game and stretching the field. He has to get back to doing that Saturday if the Illini are going to exploit the UCLA defense. Meanwhile, Bruins’ receiver Nelson Rosario finished with more than 1,100 receiving yards, averaging an impressive 18.1 yards per catch. UCLA didn’t have much of a passing attack, but Rosario has to make an impact in order to keep the stout Illinois defense from sitting on the run. Rosario is going to have chances to make big plays, and he has to capitalize if UCLA is going to win.

Despite entering with a six-game losing streak, the Illini has to like this matchup. The Bruins’ offense is mediocre at best, and Illinois’ defense should be able to control the UCLA offense. Given their issues putting points on the board, a low-scoring game favors the Fighting Illini. The Bruins’ defense has been bad enough to allow Scheelhaase to find some scoring opportunities, and the Illinois defense should do the rest.

Prediction: Illinois Fighting Illini (-3) Cover the Spread

Free College Football Picks and NCAAF Predictions: Illinois -3 to cover the spread

2011 Fight Hunger Bowl: Illinois vs UCLA
Date: 12/31/11
Time: 3:30 PM EST on ESPN
Vegas Odds Favorite: Illinois -3 Total: Over/Under 46.5

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2011 Hyundai Sun Bowl Georgia Tech vs Utah Odds, Free Picks and Predictions on ESPN 12/31/11

Free College Football Bowl Picks and Spreads: Georgia Tech vs Utah 2011 Sun Bowl Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ESPN 12/31/11: Utah moved to the PAC-12 prior to the start of the year, and while there were some ups and downs, the Utes managed a 7-5 season in their new conference. The record earned the Utes a berth in the Hyundai Sun Bowl, where they will take on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (8-4) Saturday. Georgia Tech limps into the postseason, struggling down the stretch after a 6-0 start. Despite the late season struggles, the Yellow Jackets are three-point favorites in this matchup.

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It is hard to find many similarities between the two teams. Utah runs a more traditional offense that yields modest point totals, while Georgia Tech runs an explosive triple-option attack that averaged almost 35 a game. Meanwhile, the Utes have one of the better defenses in the country, allowing less than 20 a contest, while the Yellow Jackets give up almost 25 points per game. With Georgia Tech looking to play fast and pile up points and the Utes hoping to grind things out, the team that can control the tempo is going to have a huge edge.

Utah’s ability to defend the triple option is going to be the critical matchup. The Yellow Jackets ranked third in the country, gaining almost 320 yards per game on the ground. The Utes bring the seventh-best rushing defense into the battle, allowing less than 100 yards per game on the ground. Something has to give, and whichever side wins the battle is going to have a decided advantage.

Shutting down the Georgia Tech ground game starts with controlling quarterback Tevin Washington. He led the Yellow Jackets in rushing and passing, combining for 22 total touchdowns. Washington is the director of the option attack, and if Utah can get him out of his comfort zone, the whole system struggles. At the very least, the Utes need to limit Washinton’s big plays and force the Yellow Jackets to work the ball down the field slowly.

Of course, the Utes will have to score some points of their own, even if the defense holds Georgia Tech in check. That has been an issue for Utah at times, especially following the loss of quarterback Jordan Wynn. Backup John Hays hasn’t been terrible, but with just eight touchdowns and seven interceptions as the starter, it is clear that he isn’t on the same level as Wynn. If Hays experiences some bowl game jitters, the Utah offense could be in trouble.

The X-factor in the matchup could be Utes’ running back John White. He ran for more than 1,400 yards this season and 14 scores, and he absolutely carried the load for the Utah offense after Wynn went down. The Utes’ rely on White not only to score points, but to help the offense control the clock as well. If White has a big game, the Utes can control the all-important tempo. When he is rolling, he takes pressure of Hays at the QB spot and allows the stout Utah defense to stay well rested.

In the end, the triple-option attack should have mixed results against the Utah defense. The system is tricky enough to hit a few big plays, but the Utes’ defense is strong enough to prevent the Yellow Jackets from controlling the game on offense. Utah will take advantage of its physicality on both sides of the ball and should be able to play the game at its pace. With a lower-scoring game a distinct possibility, the underdog Utes should keep things close.

Prediction: Utah Utes (+1.5) Cover the Spread

Free College Football Picks and NCAAF Predictions: Utah +1.5 to cover the spread

2011 Sun Bowl: Georgia Tech vs Utah
Date: 12/31/11
Time: 2 PM EST on ESPN
Vegas Odds Favorite: Georgia Tech -1.5 Total: Over/Under 50

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2011 Meineke Car Care Texas Bowl Texas A&M vs Northwestern Odds, Free Picks and Predictions on ESPN 12/31/11

Free College Football Bowl Picks and Spreads: Texas A&M vs Northwestern 2011 Meineke Car Care Texas Bowl Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ESPN 12/31/11: A pair of 6-6 teams will face off Saturday, when the Texas A&M Aggies meet the Northwestern Wildcats in the Meineke Car Care Bowl. The Aggies were ranked as high as eighth in the country at one point this year, but seemingly endless string of second half collapses caused the season to unravel. Meanwhile, the Wildcats closed the year on a hot streak to become bowl eligible but the thinnest or margins. The winner will finish above .500 for the year, and the Aggies are 10-point favorites in the matchup.

SBG Global Sportsbook

Texas A&M certainly can’t blame its offense for its problems this season. The Aggies scored nearly 40 points a game to rank 12th and the country, and they did so in balanced fashion. Texas A&M ranked in the top 25 in both rushing and passing yards, and a Northwestern defense giving up more than 27 points a game should be tested early and often.

If there is a silver lining for the Wildcats it is that injuries have decimated the Aggies running game. Cyrus Gray and Christine Michael combined for more than 1,900 yards and 20 touchdowns this year, but both players will likely miss the game. As a result, quarterback Ryan Tannehill will have to shoulder the load. Considering he threw for more than 3,400 yards and 28 scores, he is more than capable. That being said, he did throw 14 interceptions, and with the offense likely being one dimensional because of injuries, the Northwestern defense can focus solely on shutting down Tannehill.

Of course, the Aggies’ defense has to worry about shutting down the Wildcats’ offense as well. Northwester is led by senior quarterback Dan Persa, who came on strong after returning from an injury. Persa finished the regular season with 17 touchdowns and more than 2,100 yards, and more importantly, he led the country in completion percentage. Persa has two solid options to in the passing game, with Jeremy Ebert and Drake Dunsmore combining for more than 1,500 yards and 17 scores. Persa and company should have plenty of chances to put points on the boar against a Texas A&M secondary that was shredded throughout the season, giving up more than 280 yards per game through the air.

The X-factor in the game could be Aggies’ receiver Ryan Swope. With the reliable Jeff Fuller attracting most of the attention, Swope exploded for more than 1,100 yards and 11 scores this season. He has established himself as a big play receiver, and with Tannehill likely being forced to shoulder the load on offense, Swope will be a vital target throughout the game. If he can stretch the field, it should take pressure off the rest of the offense.

At full strength, the Aggies’ offense is one of the best in the country, and it would likely have overwhelmed the Northwestern defense. That being said, Texas A&M must play the game with virtually no running game. With the Aggies becoming more predictable, the Wildcats defense should be able to play damage control. Meanwhile, Persa and the Northwestern offense should be able to find plenty of holes in the porous Aggies’ defense. Texas A&M has to outscore teams to compensate for its defense, and winning by more than 10 while missing Gray and Michael in the backfield will be tough.

Prediction: Northwestern Wildcats (+10) Cover the Spread

Free College Football Picks and NCAAF Predictions: Northwestern +10 to cover the spread

2011 Meineke Car Care Texas Bowl: Texas A&M vs Northwestern
Date: 12/31/11
Time: 12 PM EST on ESPN
Vegas Odds Favorite: Texas A&M -10 Total: Over/Under 69.5

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2011 Insight Bowl Iowa vs Oklahoma Odds, Free Picks and Predictions on ESPN 12/30/11

Free College Football Bowl Picks and Spreads: Iowa vs Oklahoma 2011 Insight Bowl Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ESPN 12/30/11: The 2011 season was marked by disappointment for the 14th-ranked Oklahoma Sooners (9-3). After starting the season as the No. 1 team in the country, an unexpected loss to Texas Tech dropped the Sooners out of the title hunt. Subsequent losses to Baylor and Oklahoma State eliminated them from BCS bowl consideration all together. Now, Oklahoma will have to settle for a trip to the Insight Bowl, where the Sooners will meet the Iowa Hawkeyes (7-5) Friday night. Despite falling far short of expectations, Oklahoma is a 14-point favorite in this matchup.

SBG Global Sportsbook

While the underachieving Sooners had lots of issues this year, scoring points wasn’t one of them. Oklahoma ranked 10th in the country in scoring, averaging just under 40 points per game. The offense was powered by a spread passing attack that ranked fourth in the nation. The Sooners averaged more than 370 yards per game through the air, and starting quarterback Landry Jones threw for more than 4,300 yards.

Despite the great numbers, the Sooners passing attack had suffered some serious blows in the second half of the year. Star wide receiver Ryan Broyles suffered a knee injury, leaving Jones without his top target and one of the best receivers in college football history. When Broyles left the lineup, Jones’ turnovers began to climb while his completion percentage fell. Without Broyles’ ability to stretch the field, the offense has lost its explosiveness. Throw in an injury to leading rusher Dominique Whaley, and the Sooners offense is really a shell of what it was to start the year.

Of course, Iowa’s offense won’t be at full strength either. Starting running back Marcus Coker is suspended for the game, leaving the Hawkeyes without the centerpiece to their offense. As a result, quarterback James Vandenberg will have to take on an enhanced role, which could be bad news for Iowa. The Sooners’ defense was far from great this year, but the unit did rush the passer well. Without Coker to provide balance, the Hawkeyes may be forced to throw more than usual, paying to the strength of the Sooners’ pass rush.

The X-factor in the game could end up being Iowa receiver Marvin McNutt. He enters the game with 12 touchdown catches and more than 1,200 yards. He is an excellent deep threat, and the Oklahoma secondary has given up a ton of big plays in the passing game. With Iowa being forced to lean on the passing game, McNutt will have the opportunity to put up some big numbers. If he does, the Hawkeyes have a chance to keep pace with the Sooners.

Oklahoma’s mindset will play a big role as well. Will Bob Stoops’ team finish the year on a high note, or will the Sooners be disinterested after missing out on the BCS? Oklahoma has been guilty of the latter several times this year, and there is no guarantee that will change Friday night.

In the end, the Sooners certainly have more firepower on offense, even with the injuries. Not to mention the fact that the loss of Coker probably hurts the Hawkeyes more than any injury Oklahoma is dealing with. That being said, Jones has been a different player in the last month of the season, and turnovers remain a constant problem. Oklahoma is the more talented team and should win the game, but the Sooners haven’t been focused lately, and that doesn’t bode well for their chances of covering a larger point spread.

Prediction: Oklahoma Sooners (-14) Cover the Spread

Free College Football Picks and NCAAF Predictions: Oklahoma -14 to cover the spread

Insight Bowl: Iowa vs Oklahoma
Date: 12/30/11
Time: 10 PM EST on ESPN
Vegas Odds Favorite: Oklahoma -14 Total: Over/Under 57.5

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2011 Music City Bowl Mississippi State vs Wake Forest Odds, Free Picks and Predictions on ESPN 12/30/11

Free College Football Bowl Picks and Spreads: Mississippi St vs Wake Forest 2011 Music City Bowl Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ESPN 12/30/11: After being the upstart team of the SEC last season, the Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-6) came back down to earth this year. Still, they managed to make a bowl game despite playing in the toughest division of the toughest conference in the nation, and Mississippi State will face Wake Forest (6-6) in the Music City Bowl Friday night. The Demon Deacons struggled down the stretch, but a fast start allowed them to make it to the postseason. That being said, Wake Forest is a seven-point underdog in this matchup.    

SBG Global Sportsbook             

Both sides had their highlight moments throughout the year. Wake Forest knocked off a Florida State team ranked inside the top 25 at the time, and the Demon Deacons nearly did the same to the eventual ACC champion Clemson Tigers. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs gave the top-ranked LSU Tigers a serious scare. In fact, only Alabama came closer to knocking of LSU. Although inconsistency ultimately got the better of both teams, the ceiling is high when either side is playing at its best.

Offensively, the two teams are nearly identical when it comes to productivity, but their styles are completely different. Wake Forest is a pass-first team, lead by quarterback Tanner Price. The sophomore completed more than 60 percent of his passes this season, throwing 20 touchdowns to just six interceptions. The Bulldogs on the other hand are power running team, with running back Vick Ballard shouldering much of the load. He topped 1,000 yards this season and has 27 rushing scores combined the last two years. Ballard is helped by Mississippi State QB Chris Relf, who can hurt defenses with both his arm and his legs.

With the Demon Deacons looking to stretch the field and push the tempo and the Bulldogs trying to slow things down and control the clock, the team that controls the style of play will have the definitive edge. Thanks to their superior defense, the Bulldogs may have the upper hand. Mississippi State is giving up less than 20 points a game on the year, and the unit has been playing well for the last two seasons. In addition to holding LSU to just 19 points, the Bulldogs held Michigan and dynamic QB Denard Robinson to just 14 points in last season’s bowl game. Wake Forest has a solid but not spectacular offense, and the Bulldogs defense could certainly hold the Demon Deacons in check.

The X-factor in the game could be Wake Forest receiver Chris Givens. The Junior topped 1,200 yards this season, and he is probably the most explosive player for either team. If Givens can create a few big plays for the Demon Deacons offense, it could force the Bulldogs to abandon their ground game in order to catch up. Mississippi State can run the ball and play solid defense, but Relf isn’t the type of QB that can thrive if he has to throw the ball every down. If the Demon Deacons jump on top early, they could bury the Bulldogs.

In the end, Wake Forest could be in for a serious wake-up call Friday. The Bulldogs may have finished 6-6, but that record is all that bad for a team in the SEC West. Mississippi State has a legitimate top 25 defense, and the Demon Deacons are going to have trouble putting up a lot of points. Meanwhile, Ballard and Relf should be able to wear down the suspect Wake Forest defense with their power running. The Bulldogs should control the tempo and the outcome in this one.

Prediction: Mississippi State Bulldogs (-7) Cover the Spread

Free College Football Picks and NCAAF Predictions: Miss St -7 to cover the spread

Music City Bowl: Miss St vs Wake Forest
Date: 12/30/11
Time: 6:40 PM EST on ESPN
Vegas Odds Favorite: Miss St -7 Total: Over/Under 48

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