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Tag Archive | "Brilliant Speed Kentucky Derby Odds"

2011 Kentucky Derby Odds and Predictions – Favorites and Picks to Win 137th Kentucky Derby

UPDATE FRIDAY MAY 6th: Uncle Mo has now been scratched and will NOT run in the Kentucky Derby tomorrow. Check the latest odds updated from BoDog at the bottom of this post plus our 2011 Derby Day Picks.

2011 Kentucky Derby Odds, Free Picks and Predictions – Favorites and Lines to Win 137th Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs May 7th, 2011: Early Vegas Betting Odds to Win the 2011 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs in Louisville, KY on May 7th are now posted on NSAwins.com and the vegas oddsmakers have made Dialed In the 7/2(+350) early vegas favorite to win the 137th running of “The Greatest Two Minutes in Sports”. Dialed In has become a popular pick in recent weeks to win the Kentucky Derby after his impressive win in the Florida Derby on April 3rd. The 3 year-old colt is trained by Nick Zito and is owned by Robert V. Palenta. Dialed In’s top competition for the #1 favorite position heading into the 137th Kentucky Derby is 2 year-old champion Uncle Mo. Early on vegas oddsmakers made Uncle Mo 4/1(+400 odds) the early favorite to win the 137th running of “The Greatest Two Minutes in Sports” but have dropped him behind Dialed In as of today due to health concerns and a recent dissappointing finish in his last race. Uncle Mo is the champion 2-year-old of 2010 and is owned by Mike Repole from New York. Uncle Mo was undefeated in his racing career before finishing a dissappointing 3rd in the Wood Memorial on April 9th. Making thing worse, Uncle Mo suffered from a GI tract infection following the race and has been working hard to get fit in time for a strong Kentucky Derby gallop. Uncle Mo is trained by Todd Pletcher, who decided to run Uncle Mo in only two races against weak competition this season before he steps on the dirt at Churchill Downs for the Run for the Roses. Despite the dissapointing Wood Memorial showing, Uncle Mo’s talent is undeniable despite not proving much running against soft competition thus far in his 3-year-old racing season, as even the usually reseved Pletcher commented that the colt might end up being in the same class as Seattle Slew and other all-time greats. “When you’re thinking about the greatest horses of all time,” Pletcher said, “he has the potential to be in that group.”

Other favorites to win the 2011 Kentucky Derby in the eyes of the vegas linemakers include Nehro 5/1 +500 odds(Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen, Owner: Zayat Stables, LLC), Archarcharch 8/1 +800 odds(Trainer: William. H Fires, Owner: Grapestock LLC), Mucho Macho Man 12/1 +1200 odds(Tariner: Katherine Ritvo, Owner: Dream Team One Racing Stable – Reeves Thoroughbred Racing), Soldat at 16/1 +1600 odds(Trainer: Kiaran P. McLaughlin, Owner: Clarke, Harvey A. and Robertson III, W. Craig). Other horses that NSAwins.com’s expert horse racing handicappers like and who could see their odds rise and be nice darkhorse contenders or sleepers to place bets on if they qualify for the 2011 Kentucky Derby include Master of Hounds at 20/1 +2000 odds(Trainer: Aidan P. O’Brien, Owner: Mrs. John Magnier) and Stay Thirsty at 25/1 +2500 odds(Trainer: Todd Pletcher, Owner: Repole Stable). One horse you should probably overlook and avoid placing a bet on is Brilliant Speed at 25/1 +2500 odds(Trainer: Thomas Albertrani, Owner: Live Oak Plantation).

Keep in mind that as this post goes LIVE on our daily NSAwins.com “Betting Daily” blog we are still a few days away from Kentucky Derby day on Saturday, May 7th. Lots can change from now until the 137th runnning of “The Run for the Roses” so be sure to check our updated Odds to Win the 2011 Kentucky Derby page frequently for the latest and most up to date vegas odds or you can simply bookmark this page and check the updated 2011 Kentucky Derby Odds below from BoDog . We will also be posting our expert predictions to win the 2011 Kentucky Derby on Saturday, May 7th(the day of the BIG race!) so be sure to check back for those free picks. If you would like to bet on the Kentucky Derby, we highly recommend opening up an account with either BoDog Horse Betting or BetUs Racebook where you can bet on horse racing daily including all the Triple Crown races!

UPDATE MAY 7th KENTUCKY DERBY DAY! Check out our 2011 Derby Day Final Picks and Predictions to Win the 137th Kentucky Derby Article.
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Odds to win the 2011 Kentucky Derby – (NOTE: See CURRENT 2011 Kentucky Derby Odds Below)
Uncle Mo +400
Mucho Macho Man +1200
Stay Thirsty +2500
Sway Away +3000
Dialed In +350
Comma to the Top +4000
Santiva +3500
Soldat +1800
Decisive Moment +5000
Archarcharch +800
Shackleford +2000
Midnight Interlude +1800
Animal Kingdom +2500
Pants on Fire +2500
Master of Hounds +1400
Twice the Appeal +2500
Watch Me Go +4000
Nehro +500
Brilliant Speed +2500

Bookmark this page for UPDATED 2011 Kentucky Derby Predictions, links to Kentucky Derby Articles and Expert Picks to Win the 2011 Kentucky Derby from Expert Horse Racing Triple Crown Handicappers on NSAwins.com – USA’s #1 Source for Sports Betting Odds and 2011 Kentucky Derby Betting Information!

Posted in HorsesComments Off on 2011 Kentucky Derby Odds and Predictions – Favorites and Picks to Win 137th Kentucky Derby

2011 Kentucky Derby Expert Picks: Why Brilliant Speed is a Risky Play

2011 Kentucky Derby Expert Picks and Predictions – Why Brilliant Speed is a Risky Play: A relative unknown entering the Kentucky Derby prep race season, Brilliant Speed became a major player for “The Run for the Roses” with his surprising victory in the Blue Grass Stakes in April. Despite the win, a closer look at this horse’s history raises a few concerns, and bettors will want to think twice before backing Brilliant Speed on Derby day.

The horse’s overall record isn’t excellent the resume of an elite thoroughbred. He has made eight starts since July of 2010, and his victory in the Blue Grass Stakes was just his second victory. Granted, Brilliant Speed is riding a streak of six straight finishes of third or better, but none of these tune-ups featured the talent and depth that he will face in the Kentucky Derby. Brilliant Speed was a consistent top-three horse during the prep season, but when bettors go searching for a potential Derby winner, they need a horse that is a proven winner.

Another glaring issue with the horse’s resume is that six of his eight starts have come on either turf or synthetic surfaces. More alarming is the fact that both of Brilliant Speed’s victories have come on surfaces other than dirt, along with all six of his top-three finishes. In fact, the horse hasn’t finished higher than fourth on a dirt surface. For the record, Churchill Downs features a dirt surface, and Brilliant Speed doesn’t have the experience or a history of success on the dirt.

Supporters of the horse will point out that he does have experience running races more than one mile in length. Compared to some of the other frontrunners for the Derby, Brilliant Speed actually has more experience running longer distances than most. However, not one of the horse’s longer events took place on a dirt surface, and he hasn’t run any race on a dirt surface since the middle of 2010.

The bottom line is that Brilliant Speed’s reputation is the product of one strong race that happened to come a few weeks before the Kentucky Derby. His overall resume is solid but by no means spectacular. More importantly, he is almost completely unproven on dirt surfaces, and the small sample size he does have suggests that the horse is not built for the dirt.

With all the upsets that have occurred during the prep races, horses like Brilliant Speed are getting a lot of extra hype because of the lack of a clear cut favorite. However, bettors would be wise to avoid this potential trap. A lack of a favorite doesn’t mean that any horse can win, and Brilliant Speed appears to be one of the least likely candidates when you consider his accomplishments and history.

Check out the latest Kentucky Derby Odds as well as NSAwins.com’s 2011 Kentucky Derby Free Picks and Preview article.

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Get more 2011 Kentucky Derby Predictions on NSAwins.com from Expert Kentucky Derby handicappers.

Posted in HorsesComments Off on 2011 Kentucky Derby Expert Picks: Why Brilliant Speed is a Risky Play


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