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2012 Super Bowl XLVI Picks and Predictions: New York Giants @ New England Patriots Odds and Lines – Free Super Bowl Picks 2/5/2012

Free 2012 Super Bowl XLVI Picks and Predictions: New York Giants vs New England patriots Super Bowl XLVI Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on NBC 2/5/12: In 2008, the New York Giants engineered one of the biggest upsets in Super Bowl history, knocking off the then-undefeated and record-setting New England Patriots 17-14. Four years later, the two franchises will meet once again with a championship up for grabs. While comparisons will no doubt be made between the ’08 classic and Sunday’s Super Bowl XLVI, the truth is that both teams are much different than they were four years ago. Yes, some big names remain the same on both sides, but offensively and defensively, these are two different groups. One thing that does remain the same is the Patriots being favored, albeit by just 2 ½-points this time around.

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Instead of looking to Super Bowl XLII for insight into Sunday’s game, a regular season meeting in Foxboro earlier this year is probably a better indication of what to expect. The Giants won 24-20, scoring with 15 seconds remaining to snap a 20-game home winning streak for New England. Patriots’ quarterback Tom Brady threw for nearly 350 yards in the game, but he also threw a pair of interceptions as the Giants defense forced four turnovers. Both teams scored less than their season average, but New England’s offense vastly underperformed. Neither team could move the ball on the ground, forcing Brady and New York QB Eli Manning to throw the ball a combined 88 times.

A pass-happy theme could be on tap for the rematch as well. After all, the Patriots had the second-best passing attack in the NFL this season, while the Giants had the fifth-best passing offense. It’s all worth noting that both defenses ranked among the four worst in the league in terms of allowing passing yardage. In other words, the strength of both offenses happens to be the weakness of both defenses. It only makes sense that Brady and Manning will take to the air early and often once again.

There is plenty of firepower at the disposal of both signal callers, but each offense takes a different approach to the passing game. The Giants utilize one of the best trip receivers in the NFL. Hakeem Nicks and Victor Cruz both topped 1,000 yards this season, and Mario Manningham has finding the end zone with regularity since returning from injury. All three receivers have the speed to score from anywhere on the field, which creates nightmares for any secondary. Meanwhile, the Patriots use a two tight end scheme, leaning heavily on Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez, along with slot receiver Wes Welker. Welker topped 1,500 yards this season, while Gronkowski set a NFL record for tight ends with 17 touchdown catches. The unique combination of size and speed from the New England tight ends creates mismatches on every snap.

An unexpected X-factor in the game could be the health of Gronkowski. He injured his ankle in the final minutes of the AFC Championship Game, and if he isn’t at full strength, the Patriots’ offense could struggle. Gronkowski’s size has made him an ideal safety valve for Brady, even in tight coverage. His surprising speed has been almost unstoppable in the open field, and has been especially deadly inside the red zone. All signs point to Gronkowski being on the field, but if he can’t effectively run the same routes he normally does, everyone else’s role on offense changes. Even with two weeks to prepare, that is a tough adjustment for any team to make.

While the offenses may have the star power, the winner will likely be decided in the trenches. Both defenses have strong defensive lines, and there is nothing like pressure on the pocket to disrupt a quarterback. New England’s line is anchored by massive nose tackle Vince Wilfork, and the unit’s ability to switch between a 4-3 and a 3-4 base creates added confusion. The Giants on the other hand rely on arguably the best trio of pass rushers in the NFL. Justin Tuck, Osi Umenyiora and Jason Pierre-Paul are relentless, and they powered New York to the fourth-most sacks in the league this season.

Looking at the matchup, the Giants defensive line appears to have the edge. The line already helped keep Brady in check during the regular season meeting with New England, and the same group caused problems for Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers and the highest-scoring offense in the NFL in the first round of the playoffs. The Giants are able to bring pressure without blitzing extra defenders. And they had an incredible 34.0 sacks when rushing four players or less. The line is also able to bring pressure up the middle and off the edge. Meanwhile, the Patriots bring pressure mainly up the middle, and Manning has been adept at rolling out of the pocket and finding receivers down the field. Add it up, and it could be a long, painful night for Brady.

After all, Brady and the Patriots’ offense have had their worst performances against opponents with strong pass rushes. New England managed just 20 points against DeMarcus Ware and the Dallas Cowboys’ defense, just 17 points against the top-rated Pittsburgh Steelers’ defense, and just 20 points against New York. The Patriots were 1-2 in those games. In the playoffs, they managed just 23 points against the Baltimore Ravens. The trend seems clear. Putting pressure on Brady is the key to slowing down the New England offense. The Giants can bring pressure as good as any team in the NFL.

One factor that can’t be completely overlooked is the mindset of Brady. With three Super Bowls already on his resume, he has nothing left to prove. However, he can cement his legacy even further with a win against the Giants. A loss would make him 0-2 against Manning on the sport’s biggest stage, and while he still has his championships to fall back on, it would definitely put a dent in his playoff aura. Brady has been playing with a chip on his shoulder all season, and this game against this opponent is a golden opportunity for redemption.

While momentum and confidence all play a role, football is all about matchups at the end of the day, and the Patriots just don’t match up well with New York. Manning and the Giants’ trio of receivers should have plenty of big play opportunities against a porous New England secondary. Meanwhile, the Giants’ front four on defense can apply the same type of pressure that seems to be the only way to slow down the Patriots’ high-powered offense. It won’t be the monumental upset it was in 2008, but the Giants should emerge victorious once again.

Super Bowl XLVI Predictions: New York Giants (+2½) Cover the Spread and UNDER 54.5

2012 Super Bowl XLVI: New York Giants vs New England Patriots
Date: 2/5/2012
Time: 6:30 PM EST on NBC
Vegas Odds Favorite: New England -2.5 | Total: Over/Under 54.5

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Posted in NFLComments Off on 2012 Super Bowl XLVI Picks and Predictions: New York Giants @ New England Patriots Odds and Lines – Free Super Bowl Picks 2/5/2012

2012 Super Bowl Odds, Favorites and Predictions: Contenders & Sleepers to Win Super Bowl XLVI

2012 Super Bowl XLVI Odds, Favorites, Predictions and Free Picks – Contenders and Sleepers to Win the Super Bowl in Indianapolis: Vegas oddsmakers have updated the 2012 NFL Super Bowl XLVI futures odds to win the 2012 Super Bowl on February 5, 2012 at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN. The 2012 Super Bowl Odds and futures lines plus 2012 Super Bowl predictions, favorites, contenders and sleepers are posted below courtesy of NFL blogger Brian Polking from NSAwins.com. Enjoy…

When the 2011-12 NFL season begins, all 32 teams believe they have a chance to reach and win the Super Bowl. While that belief ends up being false hope for a majority of the teams, there is a select group that has a legitimate shot at becoming champions. Granted, teams have come from seemingly out of nowhere to win it all in the past, particularly from the NFC, but for the most part, the teams that have enough talent to win it all know it from the time the regular season kicks off.

Favorites – 2012 Super Bowl Odds, Favorites and Vegas Futures

In the era of free agency, Super Bowl-winning teams are used to seeing roster turnover that makes winning back-to-back titles very difficult. However, the Green Bay Packers don’t have that issue as they prepare to defend their title. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers is an MVP candidate, and he leads a spread, pass-heavy offense that proved too much for opponents last season. The defense can be equally impressive, especially when Clay Matthews is leveling quarterbacks. The return of tight end Jermichael Finley and running back Ryan Grant only make the Packers better, and Green Bay is going to be a tough champion to dethrone.

Heading into last year’s playoffs, the New England Patriots looked like the team to beat. Despite a surprising early exit, the Patriots still have enough pieces in place to make another run at a Super Bowl. Quarterback Tom Brady is coming off an MVP season, and the addition of Chad Johnson only makes the pass-heavy offense more dangerous. Linebacker Jerod Mayo leads a revamped defense, and if Albert Haynesworth plugs the middle as expected, New England shouldn’t suffer another postseason disaster.

Some teams have a formula for winning, and the Pittsburgh Steelers are one of those teams. Ben Roethlisberger makes all the big plays, and Rashard Mendenhall and the offensive line pound teams, especially in the fourth quarter. On defense, Troy Polamalu leads a downright nasty unit. The front seven and the secondary hit and tackle as good as any in the NFL. Come playoff time, running the football and playing tough defense translates into plenty of wins and makes the Steelers one of the toughest teams to knock off.

Contenders – 2012 Super Bowl XLVI Odds, Contenders and Vegas Lines

Dual-threat quarterback Michael Vick gives the Philadelphia Eagles a dynamic weapon that no other team in the NFL has. On defense, newly acquired cornerbacks Nnamdi Asomugha and Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie will make the blitz-heavy defense even more devastating. The Eagles will have one of the most explosive, big-play offenses in the NFL. With the defense strengthened during free agency, Philadelphia could have what it takes to get over the hump and win it all.

After a strong regular season in 2010-11, the Atlanta Falcons’ inexperience showed in the postseason. Despite an early exit from the playoffs, Atlanta returns a loaded group on offense capable of making another run. Quarterback Matt Ryan continues to progress toward stardom, and running back Michael Turner and wide receiver Roddy White are as reliable as any player at their positions. Rookie speedster Julio Jones adds a new wrinkle to an already potent offense, and if the defense can hold its own in the playoffs, the Falcons could make the jump to Super Bowl contender.  

When most football fans think of the New Orleans Saints, they think of the high-powered passing attack led by quarterback Drew Brees. However, the Saints actually had the best scoring defense in the NFC last season and the fourth-best in the NFL. While Brees and the offense certainly play a big role in the team’s success, the all-around talent on both sides of the ball is the real reason the Saints are capable of winning it all. The addition of running back Mark Ingram in the draft could be the X-factor. He gives New Orleans a physical back that can run out the clock late in close games and pick up the short yardage when needed.

Sleepers – 2012 Super Bowl Vegas Odds, Sleepers and Predictions

The Dallas Cowboys were a train wreck last season, but a healthy Tony Romo under center will go a long way to helping fix the team’s problems. Wide receiver Dez Bryant returns from injury as well to team with established star Miles Austin. Throw in a trio of quality running backs, the Cowboys will be putting up plenty of points this season as long as the starters stay on the field. Defensively, Dallas loves to pressure opposing quarterbacks, and the unit will have to be in attack mode this year to make up for a weak secondary. If Dallas’ young cornerbacks play better than expected, the rest of the team is talented enough to make a Super Bowl run.

If the window of opportunity isn’t already closed on the Indianapolis Colts, it is certainly getting close. That being said, quarterback Peyton Manning is one of those special players that can make everyone around him better. The Colts dealt with a ton of injuries last season and still managed to make it to the postseason. With the team back at full strength, Manning will more than likely have Indianapolis in the Super Bowl conversation by season’s end. A revamped offensive line could be the key to taking this team back to the Super Bowl.

Teams to Avoid – 2012 Super Bowl XLVI Odds, Picks and Overrated Teams

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers had a surprising 2010-11 season, but the team is still a little young to make a legitimate run at a title. Quarterback Josh Freeman has exceeded all expectations thus far, and he and wide receiver Mike Williams should be hooking up for touchdowns for years to come. A solid offensive line has been locked up for the foreseeable future, and LeGarrette Blunt is set to become the feature back for the ground game. In short, the Buccaneers have all the pieces in place to become a contender in the near future, but for the time being, the Falcons and the Saints rule the NFC South and will keep Tampa Bay from breaking through.

 Although defending Rookie of the Year Sam Bradford appears to be a franchise quarterback, the St. Louis Rams just don’t have enough weapons on offense to make a deep playoff run yet. The good news is that Steven Jackson is one of the most reliable backs in the NFL, and the offensive line is getting better. The bad news is that Bradford still needs some more explosive receivers to throw to in order to stretch opposing defenses, while the Rams’ defense is still a work in progress. St. Louis is building a strong front seven through the draft in recent years, but the team as a whole needs a little more experience. The Rams could win the NFC West this year, but the Super Bowl is too much to ask for.

2012 Super Bowl XLVI Prediction: New England 30 New Orleans 27

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2011 Vegas Odds to Win the 2012 Super Bowl – 2012 Super Bowl XLVI Odds
1201 Indianapolis Colts +2050
1202 San Diego Chargers +1415
1203 New England Patriots +645
1204 Pittsburgh Steelers +1415
1205 Baltimore Ravens +1350
1206 Cincinnatti Bengals +20250
1207 New Orleans Saints +1615
1208 Dallas Cowboys +1615
1209 Minnesota Vikings +4250
1210 Philadelphia Eagles +1015
1211 Green Bay Packers +845
1212 Arizona Cardinals +6550
1213 Atlanta Falcons +1615
1214 New York Giants +3050
1215 Chicago Bears +2550
1216 San Francisco 49ers +5250
1217 Washington Redskins +8550
1218 Seattle Seahawks +8550
1219 Denver Broncos +6050
1220 New York Jets +1415
1221 Jacksonville Jaguars +6550
1222 Miami Dolphins +4550
1223 Buffalo Bills +12550
1224 Kansas City Chiefs +4050
1225 Carolina Panthers +12550
1226 Tennessee Titans +6550
1227 Cleveland Browns +12550
1228 Houston Texans +2550
1229 Oakland Raiders +6550
1230 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4550
1231 St Louis Rams +4550
1232 Detroit Lions +3550




Posted in NFLComments Off on 2012 Super Bowl Odds, Favorites and Predictions: Contenders & Sleepers to Win Super Bowl XLVI

Preseason 2012 Super Bowl XLVI Odds to Win – Packers, Patriots Favorites

Preseason 2012 Super Bowl XLVI Odds to Win – Packers, Patriots Favorites – Odds to win 2012 Super Bowl XLV are now posted on NSAwins.com and the vegas linemakers have installed defending champion Green Bay the 7/1 favorite to repeat and keep the Vince Lombardi Trophy for the 2011-2012 NFL Season. Green Bay captured their 4th Super Bowl title by defeating the Pittsburgh Steelers 31-25 in Super Bowl XLV in Dallas and have all the pieces in place to make another run this NFL football season for Super Bowl 46 in Indianapolis, IN at Lucas Oil Stadium on February 5th, 2012. Vegas oddsmakers have made the New England Patriots a 15/2 favorite to win their 4th Lombardi Trophy this NFL season. Bill Belichick and Tom Brady led the Patriots to a 14-2 regular season record and were the favorites to win the Super Bowl heading into last season’s playoffs but were ultimately upset by the New York Jets 28-21 in the AFC Divisional Round in Foxboro, MA. Besides the Packers and Patriots, vegas sportsbooks also think highly of the Pittsburgh Steelers(10/1 odds to win Super Bowl XLVI), San Diego Chargers(12/1 odds), New Orleans Saints(14/1 odds), Indianapolis Colts(14/1 odds) and Baltimore Ravens(14/1 odds) heading into the 2011 NFL season. A lot can change now until Super Bowl XLVI, including teams making changes and adding players between the NFL Draft and Free Agency period this offseason. Chech back frequently and visit NSAwins.com daily for the most current and updated Super Bowl XLVI odds as well as weekly NFL betting odds and Preseason 2011 NFL predictions. Check the Preseason 2012 Super Bowl XLVI Odds below:

Odds to win the 2012 Super Bowl XLVI
Arizona Cardinals 75/1
Atlanta Falcons 16/1
Baltimore Ravens 14/1
Buffalo Bills 100/1
Carolina Panthers 125/1
Chicago Bears 25/1
Cincinnati Bengals 60/1
Cleveland Browns 65/1
Dallas Cowboys 16/1
Denver Broncos 60/1
Detroit Lions 40/1
Green Bay Packers 7/1
Houston Texans 35/1
Indianapolis Colts 14/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 65/1
Kansas City Chiefs 35/1
Miami Dolphins 50/1
Minnesota Vikings 40/1
New England Patriots 15/2
New Orleans Saints 14/1
New York Giants 18/1
New York Jets 14/1
Oakland Raiders 40/1
Philadelphia Eagles 16/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 10/1
San Diego Chargers 12/1
San Francisco 49ers 40/1
Seattle Seahawks 80/1
St. Louis Rams 40/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 35/1
Tennessee Titans 50/1
Washington Redskins 50/1

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