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2012 Indianapolis 500 Podium Predictions

2012 Indianapolis 500 Podium Predictions: Sunday afternoon, the Indianapolis 500 will be run for the 96th time in the race’s storied history, and for one driver, the day will forever change their life. It is the dream of every open-wheel driver win the Indy 500, drink the jug of milk in Victory Circle, and have their name etched on the Borg-Warner Trophy. The dream will come true Sunday for one driver, and with qualifying and all the practice sessions in the books, the only thing left is the 500-miles around the 2.5-mile oval. Before the green flag waves over the most famous race on American soil, here is one last prediction of who will be standing on the podium after the checkered flag flies.

Winner: Helio Castroneves (17/10 odds)

Castroneves made a name for himself by winning his first two starts in the Indianapolis 500, and he has had nothing but success at the track throughout his career. In 11 starts, he has nine top-10 finishes, six top-five finishes, three wins and a series-leading 7.4 average finish. He qualified sixth for Sunday’s race, and six straight Indy 500 winners have started sixth or better. Perhaps most importantly, his equipment is as good as it gets as his Penske Racing team has put a driver in Victory Circle in all five races in 2012. Castroneves knows how to run up front and how to win at Indianapolis, and he has plenty to race for this weekend. One more win at Indy ties him with A.J. Foyt, Al Unser and Rick Mears for the most wins in the race’s history with four. He has a golden opportunity to do just that Sunday, and Castroneves will get it done.

Second Place: Marco Andretti (21/10 odds)

His Indianapolis 500 resume includes three finishes of third or better in six starts, including a second-place finish by the second-smallest margin in the race’s history. More importantly, his car has been a rocket since it unloaded of the hauler. He qualified fourth and has been in the top three in the last three practice sessions leading up to the race. Not to mention that he shouldn’t have to worry about wearing out his stuff early in the race trying to move through the field with his two Andretti Autosport teammates starting in the top four, as well. Based on his prior starts and his practice times, Andretti should be the favorite to win Sunday. The only thing holding me back is the Andretti Curse. There has to be a reason why Mario Andretti’s Indy 500 win in 1969 is the last time an Andretti put their name on the Borg-Warner Trophy. Something strange is bound to happen that costs Andretti the victory.

Third-Place: Scott Dixon (10/3 odds)

The Chip Ganassi Racing Hondas have been struggling to compete with the Chevrolets all season and throughout the track activities at Indianapolis. However, Dixon and his teammate Dario Franchitti finally found a setup that works on Carb Day, and the duo paced the final practice before Sunday’s race. Dixon will have a little work to do after qualifying 15th, but now that he has finally found some speed, his natural feel for Indianapolis should do the rest. In nine starts at the track, he has seven top-10 finishes, four top-five finishes and a win. His 8.2 average finish is the second best among drivers in Sunday’s field, and in last year’s race, he led more laps than any other driver. I don’t think Dixon’s Honda has enough to overtake the top-tier Chevrolet drivers, but he will maximize his result with what he does have to work with.

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2012 Indianapolis 500 Free Picks: Why Pole-Sitter Ryan Briscoe is a Bad Bet

2012 Indianapolis 500 Free Picks – Why Pole-Sitter Ryan Briscoe is a Bad Bet: When Ryan Briscoe grabbed the pole for this weekend Indianapolis 500, he not only set a record for the smallest victory margin for any pole-sitter in the race’s history, but he set himself up as an early favorite to win the 96th running of the Indy 500, as well. In fact, oddsmakers have made Briscoe the overall favorite for Sunday’s race, giving him 6/5 odds to win. However, a closer look at Briscoe reveals that oddsmakers may be reading too much into his pole-winning performance, making him a very overrated option for bettors this weekend.

Yes, pole sitters have had a lot of success in the Indianapolis 500. More race winners (20) have started from the pole than from any other position, and 42 winners have started from the first row. In the last six years, no winner has started worse than sixth, and five eventual winners started from the first row, including three from the pole. Again, Briscoe does have an advantage starting up front, but there have been plenty of drivers that have failed to win after starting first, and Briscoe is likely to join that list.

For starters, he has always been a solid qualifier at Indianapolis, posting an 11.0 average starting position. However, his average finish at the Indy 500 is just 17.3 in six starts. Briscoe has just two top-10s and only a single top-five in those six starts, and his top-five finish came way back in 2007. Since then he hasn’t finished better than 15th in four Indy 500 starts, and in three of those starts, he qualified fourth or better. In other words, Briscoe is no stranger to starting on the first row at Indy, but finishing anywhere near the front on race day has been foreign to him.

Given his odds, his struggle at Indianapolis alone should scare of bettors. To make matters worse, Briscoe has displayed an overall downward trend in the IndyCar Series the last few years. In his debut season of 2008, he won two races. He followed it up in 2009 with three victories and 13 top-five finishes. In the two-plus season since, Briscoe has managed just one win and 13 top-five finishes combined. Last season, he posted a career-worst 10.8 average finish, and he is on pace to get worse this season, entering the Indy 500 with a 13.0 average finish.

Had Briscoe been somewhat of a longshot to win Sunday’s race, his pole-winning time would have made him an intriguing longshot to bet on. However, making him the outright favorite is ridiculous. We are talking about a driver that has had a history of qualifying near the front at Indy, only to underperform and fade on race day. Throw in the fact that he has been mired in the worst two-year stretch of his career, and what is the incentive to place a bet on Briscoe this weekend? The payoff is going to be minimal, and there is nothing in his history that suggests Sunday’s race will end in anything but disappointment for Briscoe.

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2012 Indianapolis 500 Odds – May 27th at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway.
Driver Odds to Win the 2012 Indy 500
Driver to win the Indy Indianapolis 500
701 Dario Franchitti +900
702 Scott Dixon +900
703 Helio Castroneves +500
704 Ryan Briscoe +300
705 Will Power +600
706 Marco Andretti +800
707 Tony Kanaan +1200
708 Ryan Hunter Reay +1200
709 James Hinchcliffe +800
710 JR Hildebrand +4000
711 Oriol Servia +8000
712 Alex Tagliani +5000
713 Graham Rahal +4000
714 Justin Wilson +10000
715 Rubens Barichello +5000
716 Ed Carpenter +8000
717 Takuma Sato +8000
718 Field +2000

Check the latest NASCAR Odds and Betting Lines and updated 2012 Indy 500 Odds from BOVADA below:


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2012 Indianapolis 500 Predictions: Why Rookie Josef Newgarden is Worth the Gamble

2012 Indianapolis 500 Predictions – Why Rookie Josef Newgarden is Worth the Gamble: The name Josef Newgarden doesn’t exactly ring a lot of bells in the world open-wheel racing, especially at a track as famous as Indianapolis Motor Speedway. However, the 21-year-old rookie drivers could definitely make a name for himself with a strong showing in Sunday’s Indianapolis 500. In fact, a strong showing may be just the beginning for Newgarden. There have been several signs in the days leading up to the race that point to a really, really good run for the rookie. At 20/1 odds, bettors may just want to take a gamble that his run ends with a life-changing trip to Victory Lane.

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Looking at the 2012 point standings, it is easy to understand why Newgarden didn’t get much respect from the oddsmakers. He is 22nd in points entering Sunday’s race and has yet to collect a top-10 finish. However, the early portion of the IndyCar Series schedule is filled with road courses, and clearly, they are not Newgarden’s forte. Indianapolis, on the other hand, is a massive, 2.5-mile oval track that is all about speed, and the more traditional type of track should favor Newgarden. After all, he won the Firestone Indy Lights Series championship last season, winning three of the six oval track races in the process. Granted, Indianapolis wasn’t one of the tracks he won at, but the rookie is clearly most comfortable and at his best at oval tracks.

While his background and past success at oval tracks is encouraging, it is Newgarden’s practice speeds that should really grab the attention of bettors. He paced the field during a session last Wednesday and followed it up by ranking second the following afternoon. Newgarden went on to qualify seventh for the Indianapolis 500 this past weekend, making him the only non-Chevrolet starting in the top 10. His starting spot puts him close enough to the front that he won’t have to overuse his equipment or his fuel to keep touch with the leaders, and at the same time, he is far enough back that he won’t have to worry about setting the pace as he works out any early nervousness that is bound to come with making his first Indy 500 starts. Newgarden’s No. 67 Honda has been fast since it unloaded at Indy, and he should have no problem being competitive from the drop of the green Sunday.

Naysayers will argue that Newgarden’s chances of winning as a rookie are slim because the pressure of being on such a big stage without any prior experience is too much to overcome. However, eight drivers have won the Indianapolis 500 as rookies, and while that isn’t a lot, rookie winners aren’t unheard of either. In fact, rookies have gone to Victory Lane twice since 2000, with Juan Pablo Montoya and Helio Castroneves accomplishing the feat in back-to-back years. Not to mention that J.R. Hildebrand came within one corner of becoming the ninth rookie to win the race just last season. Needless to say, discounting Newgarden simply because he is a rookie is a big mistake.

With the exception of experience, Newgarden has everything a driver needs to win the Indianapolis 500. His championship and oval track wins in the Indy Lights Series last season are a prime example his talent and potential, and his practice times last week at Indianapolis speak for themselves. He secured a strong starting position during qualifying, and now, he finds himself with a very fast car within striking distance of the leaders. Yes, he still has to go 200 laps without making any mistakes, but with 20/1 odds, the potential for a sizeable payout makes Newgarden worth betting on this weekend.

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2012 Indianapolis 500 Odds – May 27th at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway.
Driver Odds to Win the 2012 Indy 500
Driver to win the Indy Indianapolis 500
701 Dario Franchitti +900
702 Scott Dixon +900
703 Helio Castroneves +500
704 Ryan Briscoe +300
705 Will Power +600
706 Marco Andretti +800
707 Tony Kanaan +1200
708 Ryan Hunter Reay +1200
709 James Hinchcliffe +800
710 JR Hildebrand +4000
711 Oriol Servia +8000
712 Alex Tagliani +5000
713 Graham Rahal +4000
714 Justin Wilson +10000
715 Rubens Barichello +5000
716 Ed Carpenter +8000
717 Takuma Sato +8000
718 Field +2000

Check the latest NASCAR Odds and Betting Lines and updated 2012 Indy 500 Odds from BOVADA below:


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2012 Indianapolis 500 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions – Favorites and Sleepers to Win Indy 500

2012 Indianapolis 500 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions – Favorites and Sleepers to Win Indy 500 at Indianapolis Motor Speedway: Vegas betting odds to win the 2012 Indianapolis 500 this Sunday, May 27th at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway have been posted at all the major Las Vegas and best online sportsbooks with Ryan Briscoe having been installed as the 6/1 +600 favorite to win the 2012 Indy 500 race.

The Indianapolis 500 is arguably the greatest spectacle in auto racing, and this Sunday, the famed race will be held for the 101st time. From drinking milk in Victory Circle to crossing the yard of bricks at the finish lane, the race is as rich in tradition as they come. Every driver that has ever sat behind the wheel of an open-wheeled racecar dreams of winning the Indy 500 and having their name engraved on the Borg-Warner Trophy. It is no exaggeration to say that this race turns drivers into legends.

Of all the memorable moments to occur at the Indianapolis, the finish to last year’s race may just top the list. After Chip Ganassi Racing teammates Dario Franchitti and Scott Dixon dominated the majority of the race, rookie JR Hildebrand used fuel mileage strategy to grab the lead in the closing laps. He led the race exiting Turn 4 on the final lap, but he lost control of his car attempting to pass a driver that wasn’t on the lead lap and ended up slamming the outside wall. As Hildebrand limped toward the finish lane, Dan Wheldon cruised by for his second-career Indy 500 win. Sadly, Wheldon would lose his life in a crash in the season finale later that year, but he was no doubt one of the greatest of his generation at Indianapolis.

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The Favorites – 2012 Indy 500 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks

He won the Indianapolis 500 in 2008, and Scott Dixon nearly added another victory in the race last season. He led a race-high 73 laps before pit strategy cost him a shot at the win, but he still managed to finish in the top five. Dixon has four top-five finishes and seven top-10s in nine starts at Indy, and his 8.2 average finish is second best among active drivers.

Since his first start at Indianapolis, Helio Castroneves has been spectacular. In fact, he is the only driver in history to win his first two starts in the Indy 500. Castroneves added a third win in 2009, and he almost always seems to be in the mix for the win. He has six top-five finishes and nine top-10s in 11 starts, and his 7.4 average finish at the track is the best among drivers in this weekend’s field.

The Dark Horses- 2012 Indy 500 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks

Three-time defending series champ Dario Franchitti has dominated the oval tracks in recent years. More importantly, he has two Indianapolis 500 wins in the last five seasons and five top-10s in eight career starts in the race. Franchitti has an 8.4 average finish at Indy, and after leading 51 laps in last year’s race, he should be a serious factor this weekend.

Although he has been consistent at Indianapolis, Tony Kanaan has never been able to break through and put his name on the Borg-Warner Trophy. He has a 12.9 average finish in 10 Indy 500 starts, picking up four top-five finishes and five top-10s. Kanaan is one of three drivers to lead more than 200 laps at Indianapolis without winning the race, and everything from rain to blown engines have stolen away his potential victories. He always seems to be in the mix, and there is always a chance that 2012 could be the year the stars align.

Sleeper Specials – 2012 Indy 500 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks

For better and for worse, Marco Andretti has continued his family’s legacy at Indianapolis. The young driver has enjoyed a lot of success at the track in his brief career, notching three top-five finishes and four top-10s in six starts. However, he has also lost the race by the slimmest of margins, adding another chapter to the “Andretti Curse.” The good news for Marco is that he has plenty of time left and talent behind the wheel to try to break the curse.

His specialty is road racing, but Will Power has been making major strides at the oval track in recent years. In four starts at Indy, he has two top-10 finishes and has never finished worse than 14th. Power has been on the verge of winning a championship, but he has always given up too much ground at the ovals. However, he keeps getting better, and it wouldn’t be a shock to see him emerge as a contender for the win at Indy as soon as this weekend.

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2012 Indianapolis 500 Odds – May 27th at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway.
Driver Odds to Win the 2012 Indy 500
Driver to win the Indy Indianapolis 500
701 Dario Franchitti +900
702 Scott Dixon +900
703 Helio Castroneves +500
704 Ryan Briscoe +300
705 Will Power +600
706 Marco Andretti +800
707 Tony Kanaan +1200
708 Ryan Hunter Reay +1200
709 James Hinchcliffe +800
710 JR Hildebrand +4000
711 Oriol Servia +8000
712 Alex Tagliani +5000
713 Graham Rahal +4000
714 Justin Wilson +10000
715 Rubens Barichello +5000
716 Ed Carpenter +8000
717 Takuma Sato +8000
718 Field +2000

Check the latest NASCAR Odds and Betting Lines and updated 2012 Indy 500 Odds from BOVADA below:


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