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Tag Archive | "2012 Elite 8 Odds"

2012 Elite 8 Picks: Midwest Regional Final Kansas vs North Carolina Odds and Predictions – Free Elite 8 Picks 3/25/2012

2012 Elite Eight Picks: Midwest Regional Final Kansas vs North Carolina Odds and Predictions – Free NCAA Tournament Picks 3/25/2012: If a Mount Rushmore of college basketball teams was built, there is a good chance that North Carolina and Kansas would have a have a place on it. Both programs have been and remain two of the elite in the sport, and when the top-seeded Tarheels (32-5) and second-seeded Jayhawks (31-6) meet in Sunday’s Midwest Regional final, one will add another Final Four banner to their already overstocked rafters. For North Carolina coach Roy Williams, bringing a third national title to his alma mater means defeating the same team that helped make him a legend in the coaching ranks. For Kansas coach Bill Self, who has already brought the school the national title Williams never could, Sunday’s meeting is a chance to further his own legacy. Either way, this is a matchup of college basketball powerhouses in every sense of the word. In this battle of juggernauts, the Jayhawks are two-point favorites.

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Although both teams have plenty of talent, their philosophies are much different. North Carolina likes to play at a fast pace, creating as many offensive possessions as possible. With athletic big men Tyler Zeller, Harrison Barnes and John Henson leading the way, the Tarheels are one of the top scoring teams in the country, and they are the top rebounding team. Meanwhile, Kansas likes to play at a slower pace on the offensive end and to play very physical on the defensive end of the court. The Jayhawks are a balanced team, led by forward Thomas Robinson on the inside and point guard Tyshawn Taylor on the perimeter.

However, a big reason why Kansas is favored Sunday is because of an injury to North Carolina point guard Kendall Marshall. The speedy Marshall has been the motor that has powered the high-scoring Tarheels’ offense all season. He controls the tempo and pushes the ball in transition, creating open looks for North Carolina’s arsenal of talented big men. Marshall’s broken wrist forced him to miss the Tarheels’ Sweet 16 matchup against 13th-seeded Ohio, and the results weren’t pretty. North Carolina needed overtime to dispatch the Bobcats, scoring just 73 points. The Tarheels can normally reach that total and then some in regulation. Needless to say, North Carolina could be in trouble against the Jayhawks if Marshall can’t take the court.

With Marshall either out or at the very least limited, Taylor becomes the X-factor in Sunday’s game. North Carolina backup point guard Stillman White actually had a decent game offensively against Ohio, dishing out six assists while committing zero turnovers. However, White is a liability on the defensive end for an already mediocre North Carolina perimeter defense. Taylor is one of the most explosive guards in the country, and he can put up 20-plus points on just about any defender. Against White, Taylor could deliver a monster performance.

Even though the Tarheels still have the most talented frontcourt in the country, the injury to Marshall has forced them to change how they play in the middle of the NCAA tournament. It doesn’t help that the slower pace North Carolina has been forced to adopt plays right into the hands of Robinson and the Jayhawks. The Tarheels really don’t have an answer for Taylor, and after looking very vulnerable against Ohio, North Carolina is going to have a tough time dealing with a much more talented and much more balanced Kansas team.

Prediction: Kansas Jayhawks (-1) Cover the Spread

NCAA TOURNAMENT VEGAS ODDS: Favorite: Kansas -1 Total: Over/Under 143.5

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Posted in NCAABComments Off on 2012 Elite 8 Picks: Midwest Regional Final Kansas vs North Carolina Odds and Predictions – Free Elite 8 Picks 3/25/2012

2012 Elite 8 Picks: South Regional Final Baylor vs Kentucky Odds and Predictions – Free Elite 8 Picks 3/25/2012

2012 Elite 8 Picks: South Regional Final Baylor vs Kentucky Odds and Predictions – Free Elite Eight Picks 3/25/2012: The Kentucky Wildcats (35-2) are not only the top seed in the South Region, but they are top overall seed in the 2012 NCAA tournament. They are also one win away from heading to the Final Four and proving they were worthy of being declared the favorite prior to the start of March Madness. Standing in their way in the South Regional final are the third-seeded Baylor Bears (30-7), who are looking to reach the Final Four for the first time since 1950. Kentucky is certainly the traditional power in the matchup, but since Robert Griffin III did just give Baylor its first Heisman Trophy winner this season, and maybe the basketball program can make some history of its own. Either way, neither side is likely to go down without a fight with a trip to New Orleans hanging in the balance. The Wildcats are 7 ½-point favorites in Sunday’s game.

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While wins aren’t easy to come by in March, it is safe to say that Baylor has enjoyed a relatively easy path to the regional final. In fact, 10th-seeded Xavier was the highest-seeded team the Bears have had to face thus far. Needless to say, the competition is about to get a lot more fierce, and it will be interesting to see if Baylor looks unprepared to handle a team with the talent of Kentucky or seems inspired by the confidence that comes with winning in the tournament. If the Bears happen to fall behind early, it could get ugly.

In terms of personnel, the Bears aren’t as overmatched as most teams that face Kentucky. Granted, the Wildcats still have the two top NBA prospects in center Anthony Davis and forward Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, but Baylor counters with two NBA-caliber big men of its own in Quincy Acy and Perry Jones III. Acy in particular could have a big impact. He will be matched up with Davis, and while he may lack Davis’ overall ability, he is bigger and stronger than Kentucky’s superstar freshman. If Acy can push Davis around and throw him off his rhythm or get him in early foul trouble, Baylor’s chances of winning skyrocket. Kentucky has shown all season that it is a much better team on both ends of the court when Davis is playing well. If Acy gets the better of the head-to-head matchup, the Bears could spring the upset.

Another are where Baylor has to take advantage is at the point guard position. Kentucky’s Marquis Teague is as highly-touted as they come, but he still just a true freshman. Meanwhile, Baylor has one of the better game managers in college basketball in Pierre Jackson. He leads the Bears in scoring with almost 14 points per game and dishes out nearly six assists. Teague has had issues with turnovers at times this season, and with an experienced and polished guard like Jackson matching up against him, Teague’s bad habits could resurface. Baylor has to win the battle of the point guards if it wants to advance to the Final Four.

Kentucky’s Terrence Jones and Baylor’s Brady Heslip could end up being the X-factors. Jones is a versatile scorer, and his height makes him a matchup nightmare. He is essentially a third big man with perimeter skills. Between Davis, Kidd-Gilchrist and Jones, Baylor will have to pick its poison. Meanwhile, Heslip is the Bears’ top perimeter threat, and he has already shown during the NCAA tournament that he can single handedly shoot Baylor to a victory. If Heslip is knocking 3-pointers, Baylor may just have enough offensive firepower to keep up with the Wildcats.

While there is no doubt that Kentucky is the more talented team in the matchup, there inexperience and youth has shown through during the tournament. At times, the Wildcats look like five great individual athletes rather than a team, and it is the only reason they remain vulnerable. Baylor brings a balanced attack to the table, and while Kentucky may eventually emerge victorious, the Bears have the personnel to put the Wildcats to the test until the final buzzer.

Prediction: Baylor Bears (+8) Covers the Spread

NCAA TOURNAMENT VEGAS ODDS: Favorite: Kentucky -8 Total: Over/Under 148

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Posted in NCAABComments Off on 2012 Elite 8 Picks: South Regional Final Baylor vs Kentucky Odds and Predictions – Free Elite 8 Picks 3/25/2012

2012 Elite 8 Predictions: East Regional Final Ohio St vs. Syracuse Odds and Free Picks – Free Elite Eight Picks 3/24/2012

2012 Elite 8 Picks: East Regional Final Ohio St vs. Syracuse Odds and Predictions – Free Elite Eight Picks 3/24/2012: Both the second-seeded Ohio State Buckeyes (30-7) and the top-seeded Syracuse Orange (34-2) entered the season with lofty expectations. When the two teams meet Saturday night in the NCAA tournament East Regional final, one team will take a big step toward reaching those expectations by earning a trip to the Final Four in New Orleans. It is a heavyweight bout between the two top seeds in the East Region and the two of the top programs in college basketball today on one of the biggest stages in the sport. The Orange may be the top seed, but the Buckeyes are 2 ½-point favorites.

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On paper, the teams are shockingly similar. The Buckeyes 75.0 points per game compared to 74.2 for the Orange. On defense, Ohio State is allowing 59.4 points per game to opponents, while Syracuse allows 60.6 per game to the opposition. Needless to say, the two teams appear to be evenly matched, although both take different approaches on both ends of the court. The Buckeyes run their offense through the post and play man-to-man defense. Meanwhile, Syracuse relies on penetration and jump shots on the offensive end and its patented 2-3 zone on defense.

One area where Syracuse has an advantage is its depth. Even without suspended big man Fab Melo, the Orange has eight players that contribute on a regular basis, and Kris Joseph, Dion Waiters, Brandon Triche and Scoop Jardine are all capable of carrying Syracuse on the offensive end for periods of time. Meanwhile, the Buckeyes basically live and die with their starting five. Down the stretch in a close game, Syracuse should be the fresher team. Ohio State’s lack of depth hasn’t hurt the team thus far, but against one of the deepest teams in the country, fatigue could become a factor for the Buckeyes.

While Syracuse is still a deep team without Melo in the lineup, his absence could hurt the Orange in the rebounding department. The 2-3 zone is excellent at stopping teams from scoring in the paint, but the system tends to surrender several offensive rebounds. Ohio State has one of the best offensive rebounders in the country in Jared Sullinger, and while he may struggle to get open looks in the post against the zone, he could still do a ton of damage with second-chance points.

Sullinger may have to get most of his points on put backs and from the foul line because Ohio State really doesn’t have the perimeter firepower to loosen up the Syracuse zone. Guard William Buford is more of a mid-range shooter, and he has been missing in action for much of the NCAA tournament. Point guard Aaron Craft has been unbelievable on the defensive end, but constantly covering the opponent’s best perimeter players has taken a toll on his offensive production. Craft’s defensive assignments won’t get an easier against the loaded Syracuse backcourt either. Sullinger and the Buckeyes are going to have to work for and manufacture their points, and they may have to play a little ugly if they want to head on to New Orleans.

The X-factor in the game will likely be Ohio State forward Deshaun Thomas. The versatile scorer is the perfect weapon against the Syracuse zone, and he has been on fire lately, averaging 25.0 points per game during the NCAA tournament. The two weak points of the Syracuse zone are the foul line area and beyond the arc. When Thomas is rolling, he can knock down mid-range jump shots and 3-pointers on a regular basis. If he has another big game, he could be the added firepower Ohio State needs on offense to get past the Orange.

Saturday matchup really boils down to the talent of Ohio State’s starting five versus the depth and discipline of Syracuse. The Buckeyes have the better NBA prospects, but they have struggled in low-scoring games when they have been forced to grind out points on the offensive end. Unless Thomas has a huge game, the recent shooting woes of Buford and Craft are going to make it tough for Ohio State to advance. Sullinger will do some damage on the offensive glass, but the 2-3 zone will likely make it impossible for him to take over the game offensively. Syracuse has the depth to wear down the Buckeyes, and by forcing Ohio State to play from the perimeter rather than the post, the Orange should be able to get the job done in a tight one.

Prediction: Syracuse Orange (+2 ½) Covers the Spread

NCAA TOURNAMENT VEGAS ODDS: Favorite: Ohio St -2.5 Total: Over/Under 135.5

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2012 Elite 8 Picks: West Regional Final Florida vs. Louisville Odds and Predictions – Free Elite Eight Picks 3/24/2012

2012 Elite 8 Picks: West Regional Final Florida vs. Louisville Odds and Predictions – Free Elite Eight Picks 3/24/2012: It was 25 years ago when point guard Billy Donovan helped Rick Pitino and the Providence Friars reach the Final Four. This Saturday night, Donovan will try to stop his former coach and mentor reach another Final Four, when his seventh-seeded Florida Gators (26-10) meet Pitino’s fourth-seeded Louisville Cardinals (29-9) in the West Regional final of the 2012 NCAA tournament. Both teams have surprised and overachieved thus far, but the March success is nothing new for either coach. Pitino has a national title and five Final Four appearances on his coaching resume, while Donovan has three Final Four appearances and two national titles under his belt. Donovan is actually winless in six meetings with Pitino, but the Gators are 1 ½-point favorites in Saturday’s crucial matchup.

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This weekend’s game is not only a matchup of student versus teacher, but it as a major class of styles, as well. The Gators have a high-scoring offense led by a trio of strong guards, and they play at a fast pace whenever possible. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are a defensive-oriented team with size and strength inside, and they like to grind out the game on both ends of the court. With Florida looking to push the tempo and pile up points and Louisville looking to slow things down and play ugly, something has to give. The team that can control the pace of the game will likely be heading to New Orleans.

One area to keep an eye on will be 3-point shooting. With Erving Walker, Kenny Boynton and Bradley Beal, Florida has three players that can knock down shots from beyond the arc on a regular basis. In fact, the Gators shoot almost 40 percent as a team from 3-point range and take more than 40 percent of their shots from beyond the arc per game. However, the Cardinals rank in the top 20 nationally in field goal percentage defense and 3-point percentage defense. If the Gators can’t get going from the perimeter on the offensive end, they are going to have a tough time winning.

A critical battle within the game will be the matchup of Florida forward Patric Young and Louisville center Gorgui Dieng. Young is really the only reliable scoring option in the post for the Gators, and while he doesn’t score a ton of points, he does take pressure off of the team’s 3-point shooters. Dieng happens to be an excellent post defender, and he is coming off a seven block performance in Louisville’s upset of top-seeded Michigan State. If he shuts down Young on the offensive end, the rest of the Cardinals can focus on shutting down Florida’s perimeter shooters.

The X-factor in the game will likely be Louisville point guard Peyton Siva. When he is playing at a high level, the Cardinals are a much better team. He is a tough matchup because of his speed, and he is able to slash into the lane and locate open shooters. Siva caught fire during the Big East tournament, and he has stayed hot during the NCAA tournament. Florida will try to wear him down with its trio of guards, but if he makes smart decisions and doesn’t turn the ball over, the Gators could be on trouble.

In the end, Louisville’s commitment on the defensive end should be the difference. The Cardinals have done an excellent job of taking away open 3-point looks for opponents, and the Gators need the 3-point shot to be effective on the offensive end. Not to mention the fact that Louisville’s offense has been much improved in recent weeks since the return of several injured contributors. The Cardinals are at full strength and playing their best basketball at the right time. Florida has the offense firepower to hang around, but Louisville’s defense should dictate the tempo, and the Gators aren’t built to play the Cardinals’ ugly brand of basketball.

Prediction: Louisville Cardinals (+1 ½) Cover the Spread

NCAA TOURNAMENT VEGAS ODDS: Favorite: Florida -1.5 Total: Over/Under 132

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