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Tag Archive | "2012 College Football Odds"

2012 ACC Championship Odds and Picks: Florida St vs Georgia Tech Predictions – Free College Football Picks

2012 ACC Championship Odds and Picks: Florida State vs Georgia Tech Predictions – Free College Football Picks 12/1/12: Looking at the matchup in Saturday’s ACC championship game, the conference may want to consider reshuffling the divisions. After all, the 13th-ranked Florida State Seminoles (10-2, 7-1 ACC) will face a Georgia Tech team with a 5-3 record in ACC play and a 6-6 record overall. In fact, the Yellow Jackets’ record is so shaky that they had to petition to play in a bowl game in case they lose the title game and finish with more losses than wins. Of course, Georgia Tech doesn’t have to worry about the petition if it upsets Florida State and earns a spot in the Orange Bowl, although it easier said than done. Given the large disparity in records, it is no surprise that the Seminoles are 14-point favorites.

College Football

Florida State is one of the most balanced team on both sides of the ball. Led by senior quarterback E.J. Manuel, the Seminoles rank eighth in the country in scoring, averaging more than 41 points per game. The offense suffered a bit of a hit when senior running back Chris Thompson went down with a torn ACL, but a committee of players have stepped in and kept the balance intact. Meanwhile, the FSU defense is allowing the seventh-fewest points in the country and ranks second in terms of yards allowed. Defensive end Bjoern Werner is leading the country with 13.0 sacks and is the star of a powerful defensive front, but the Seminoles also have a pair of experienced cornerbacks anchoring their secondary.

Georgia Tech on the other hand is about as one dimensional on offense as a team can get. Running a triple option attack, the Yellow Jackets rank third in the country in rushing, averaging more than 320 yards per game on the ground. Five different players have run for at least 400 yards this year, and while running back Orwin Smith is the team’s most explosive weapon, quarterback Tevin Smith is the power back around the goal line. Georgia Tech has 46 rushing touchdowns this year, and Smith has 18 of them. Defensively, the Yellow Jackets have struggled. They are allowing more than 30 points per game and have given up more than 40 points on five occasions.

The Seminoles Win If:

Facing a team that almost exclusively runs the ball, the recipe for success isn’t exactly a secret. If Florida State’s stout defensive front slows down Georgia Tech’s triple-option attack, this game could get ugly. Not to mention that Manuel and the offense can help the cause by taking advantage of a suspect Yellow Jackets defense for some early scores. Whether the Seminoles’ defense shut down Georgia Tech’s ground game or Manuel and the offense build a lead and force the Yellow Jackets to abandon their running game, the end result is the same. If Florida State takes away the ground attack of Georgia Tech, the Yellow Jackets don’t have the passing game or the defense to hang with the Seminoles.

The Yellow Jackets Win If:

If nothing else, Georgia Tech’s triple-option system has been known to confuse defenses at times and take advantage of overaggressive defenders. With all the speed on FSU’s defense, there is a chance the Seminoles could over-pursue at times, and Washington has to make the right reads if they do. More importantly, the Yellow Jackets’ ground game has to be able to sustain long consistent drives in order to wear down a talented Florida State defense and keep a high-scoring FSU offense on the sidelines. Forcing a few turnovers on defense would help the cause, but at the end of the day, the Yellow Jackets have to control the clock and the pace of the game with their rushing attack if they want to have a shot at pulling off the upset.

Bottom Line:

If you need proof of just how shaky Georgia Tech’s resume is, look no further than ugly losses to BYU and Middle Tennessee. Throw in the fact that the Yellow Jackets’ triple-option attack was held in check in losses to Virginia Tech and Georgia teams with solid defenses, and it the chances of Washington and company finding any running room against an FSU defense that ranks fourth in the country against the run. The Seminoles are one of the toughest teams in the trenches in the country, and if they can shut down teams that have balance on offense, they should have no trouble shutting down a team that they know is going to be running the ball. Meanwhile, the high-powered Florida State offense should have few issues piling up points against a Georgia Tech defense that has been torched by just about every offense it has faced. Even as shaky as FSU has been in big games in the last few years, the Seminoles just have too much talent on both sides of the ball to lose to a mediocre Georgia Tech team.

Prediction: Florida State Seminoles (-14) Cover the Spread

BetOnline.com

Florida St vs Georgia Tech Vegas Odds and Total
Line: Florida St -14
Total: Over/Under 61.5
Television: 8 PM EST on ESPN

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2012 SEC Championship Odds and Picks: Alabama vs Georgia Predictions – Free College Football Picks

2012 SEC Championship Odds and Picks: Alabama vs Georgia Predictions – Free College Football Picks 12/1/12: The SEC has been the best conference in college football for the better part of a decade, and fittingly, the winner between the second-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide (11-1, 7-1 SEC) and third-ranked Georgia Bulldogs (11-1, 7-1 SEC) in Saturday’s SEC title game will go on to play top-ranked Notre Dame in the BCS championship game. The game is without question the most important of all the conference title games, and while the winner will have a shot at a national title, the loser won’t even make a BCS bowl. Thanks to a rule that forbids three teams from the same conference from playing in BCS games, the loser between Alabama and Georgia will likely be passed by fourth-ranked Florida in the BCS standings, even though both the Crimson Tide and Bulldogs finished ahead of the Gators in the SEC. Needless to say, the stakes couldn’t be higher. This will be a season-defining game for both programs, and the defending national champion Crimson Tide are 7 ½-point favorites.

College Football

Alabama’s recipe for success has been a nasty defense and a powerful running game. The Crimson Tide have the top-ranked scoring defense in the country, allowing just 9.3 points per game and holding 11 of their 12 opponents to 17 points or less. Meanwhile, the country’s most-talented offensive line has paved the way a top-25 rushing attack led by running backs Eddie Lacy and T.J. Yeldon. The duo has combined for more than 1,800 yards and 24 scores, and both players are averaging more than six yards per carry. Quarterback A.J. McCarron has provided plenty of balance for an offense that ranks 15th in the country on scoring, throwing for 25 touchdowns compared to just two interceptions. Not surprisingly, Alabama is one of the 10 best teams in the country in terms of turnover differential. However, it is worth noting that the Crimson Tide will not have the services of their most experienced receiver Kenny Bell after he suffered a broken leg last weekend.

Georgia has plenty of talent and balance on both sides of the ball, as well. Quarterback Aaron Murray leads the 17th-ranked scoring offense, and he has 30 touchdowns to go along with the top quarterback rating in the country. The Bulldogs also have a two-headed monster at running back of their own in Todd Gurley and Keith Marshall. Like their Alabama counterparts, the duo has combined for more than 1,800 yards, and both are averaging more than six yards per carry. Meanwhile, a star-studded defense led by linebacker Jarvis Jones, nose tackle Jarvis Jones and safety Bacarri Rambo has been improving throughout the year. Georgia owns the 16th-ranked scoring defense in the country and has held five straight opponents to 14 points or less.

The Crimson Tide Win If:

Alabama has the best offensive line in the country, and if the Crimson Tide are able to control the line of scrimmage and the pace of the game with their power running game, it is going to set them up for success. Murray and the Bulldogs have a ton of offensive firepower, but Georgia can’t score if their offense is on the sideline. Not to mention the fact that Alabama’s top-ranked defense is only going to play better if it gets plenty of time to rest on the sidelines. Not to mention the fact that with McCarron missing his most experienced target, the last thing Alabama wants is to get into a high-scoring shootout with the top-ranked passer in the country. At the end of the day, the Crimson Tide will win this game if their offensive line is too physically and overpowering for the Bulldogs to handle. If Lacy and Yeldon are finding running lanes early and often, Alabama is going to be able to wear Georgia’s defense and keep Murray and company in check.

The Bulldogs Win If:

While establishing their ground game on offense will go a long way to helping the Bulldogs knock off Alabama, this game really comes to the play of Murray. He is 0-3 against Georgia’s biggest division rival South Carolina and is 0-3 in the postseason. He has consistently come up small on big stages, and he has to change that if the Bulldogs are going to win the SEC title game. His play becomes even more important when you consider that the one vulnerable area of Alabama’s defense has been its secondary. Obviously, it is also important for Jones and the Georgia defense to keep Alabama from running over them with its power rushing attack, but if Murray can put points on the board and force the Crimson Tide to play from behind, the problem will take care of itself. If Murray has a big game, Georgia has the talent on both sides of the ball to win this game.

Bottom Line:

When Georgia played Florida earlier in the year, Murray was on his way to other flop in a big game, throwing three first-half interceptions. However, his defense bailed him out, the Bulldogs won the game, and Murray got his first win against a team ranked in the top 20. Since that victory, Murray has played like a man with a huge weight lifted off his shoulders. He has 14 touchdowns and no interceptions since the meeting with Gators, and his hot streak coincides with the stellar run by the Georgia defense. In other words, the Bulldogs are playing their best on both sides of the ball heading into the SEC title game. Meanwhile, Alabama enters the game with a depleted receiving corps and with a secondary that was torched by a red-shirt freshman in Texas A&M’s Johnny Manziel. Granted, Alabama is still more than capable of winning this game on the strength of its power running game, but as hot as Georgia is, this game isn’t going to be decided until the closing minutes.

Prediction: Georgia Bulldogs (+7 ½) Cover the Spread

BetOnline.com

Alabama vs Georgia Vegas Odds and Total
Line: Alabama -7.5
Total: Over/Under 51
Television: 4 PM EST on CBS

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2012 College Football Odds and Picks: Texas @ Kansas St Predictions – Free College Football Picks 12/1/2012

2012 College Football Odds and Picks: Texas @ Kansas St Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Football Picks 12/1/2012: The Big 12 championship and a spot in a BCS bowl will be on the ling Saturday night when the 18th-ranked Texas Longhorns (8-3, 5-3 Big 12) head to Manhattan to face the sixth-ranked Kansas State Wildcats (10-1, 7-1 Big 12). Surprisingly, it is the powerhouse Texas program left to play the role of spoiler against a Kansas State team that can wrap up a conference title with a victory. However, a Longhorns’ upset and a victory by Oklahoma earlier in the day would give the Big 12 title and BCS spot to the Sooners. For the Wildcats, the game is also the last chance for quarterback Collin Klein to win over Heisman voters and gain back the votes he lost when Kansas State lost in ugly fashion to Baylor two weekends ago. The season is essentially on the line for Klein and company, but playing at home, the Wildcats are 10 ½-point favorites.

College Football

Normally known for a modest offense and stingy defense, the opposite has been true for the Longhorns this season. Led by a running game that features the speedy Johnathan Gray and the powerful Joe Bergeron, Texas ranks 20th in the country in scoring, averaging more than 37 points per game. Quarterback David Ash has provided solid balance in the passing game most of the year, but a rib injury has forced Case McCoy under center. Meanwhile, the defense has been one of the worst in recent memory, allowing more than 28 points per game. Despite stars like safety Kenny Vaccaro and defensive end Alex Okafor, the Longhorns have allowed more than 30 points on five occasions this year and have allowed 48 or more points three times.

Kansas State has been the model of consistency and balance on both sides of the ball this season. Led by the dual-threat ability of Klein and the explosiveness of running back John Hubert and receiver Tyler Lockett, the Wildcats rank 12th the country in scoring, averaging more than 40 points per game. Meanwhile, linebacker Arthur Brown leads a defense that is allowing just 20.8 points per game. The unit has held 10 of its 12 opponents to 24 points or less.

The Longhorns Win If:

While the injury to Ash isn’t ideal, it really doesn’t change what Texas needs to do on offense. Bergeron and Gray are the Longhorns’ two best offensive weapons, and establishing both in the early going will be crucial. An already-suspect Texas defense is going to wear down in a hurry if Klein and company have the ball a lot, but if the Longhorns can control the clock with their ground game, they can give their defense a fighting chance. Meanwhile, McCoy has to avoid turnovers in his first start of the season and use his scrambling ability to extend plays and extend drives. If Texas falls behind and has to try to come from behind, this game is going to get ugly. If the Longhorns run the ball well all night and control the tempo, they can hang within striking distance and have a chance at pulling off the upset.

The Wildcats Win If:

While the Wildcats have a high-scoring offense, they don’t necessarily have an explosive offense. Kansas State thrives on pummeling opponents with its power running game, and that is exactly what the Wildcats have to do against Texas. Consistent, sustained drives early in the game will go a long way to wearing down a Texas defense that is mediocre to begin with. Not to mention the fact that early scores will force the Longhorns to abandon their own running game and lean on a backup quarterback. Defensively, Kansas State needs to make sure that if it is going to get beat that McCoy is the player that does it. If this game comes down to whether McCoy or Klein can put more points on the board, the Wildcats are going to run away with things.

Bottom Line:

Although Kansas State definitely isn’t playing its best football heading into this crucial matchup, neither is Texas. In fact, the Longhorns’ offense that is averaging more than 37 points per game on the year has averaged just 26.0 points in its last four games. Now, Texas is going to have a backup QB is going under center against a top-25 Kansas State defense that has already held the likes of Geno Smith, Landry Jones and Seth Doege in check. Throw in the fact that the Texas defense that has struggled with tackling all year will have to try to bring down a human bulldozer in Klein, and the matchups just don’t favor the Longhorns. Texas hasn’t been able to contain a high-scoring offense all year, and the Longhorns offense picked the wrong time to stop firing on all cylinders. Klein has been one of the best leaders in college football over the past two years, and with a Big 12 title and BCS berth on the line, he and the Wildcats will deliver.

Prediction: Kansas State Wildcats (-10 ½) Cover the Spread

BetOnline.com

Texas @ Kansas St Vegas Odds and Total
Line: Kansas St -11
Total: Over/Under 62
Television: 8 PM EST on ABC

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2012 Big Ten Championship Odds and Picks: Nebraska vs Wisconsin Predictions – Free College Football Picks

2012 Big Ten Championship Odds and Picks: Nebraska vs Wisconsin Predictions – Free College Football Picks 12/1/12: For just the second time in its long history, the Big Ten will decide its champion with a conference championship game. Fittingly, the conference’s most-recent addition that brought about the title game will be one of the teams playing for the crown as the 12th-ranked Nebraska Cornhuskers (10-2, 7-1 Big Ten) prepare to face the defending conference champion Wisconsin Badgers (7-5, 4-4 Big Ten) Saturday night. Nebraska fought its way to a title in the loaded Legends Division while Wisconsin won the Leaders Division despite having the third-best record. Probation for Ohio State and Penn State disqualified both schools, leaving the Badgers as the de facto champions. Saturday night’s Big Ten title is also a rematch of a regular season meeting that the Cornhuskers won 30-27 at home. A Big Ten championship and a Rose Bowl berth are on the line this time around, and Nebraska is a three-point favorite.

College Football

Nebraska has an explosive, run-first offense led by dual-threat quarterback Taylor Martinez. The junior has thrown for almost 2,500 yards and has run for more than 800, helping Nebraska average more than 35 points per game. He is supported in the run game by the speedy Ameer Abdullah while power back Rex Burkhead recently returned from injury, putting the eighth-best rush offense at full strength for Saturday’s crucial matchup. The Cornhuskers have been solid defensively, ranking 31st in the country in points allowed at 22.6 per game. That being said, there have been a few lapses, including debacle against Ohio State where Nebraska surrendered 63 points.

The Badgers take a run-first approach on offense, as well, but they use a more traditional power attack. Running back Montee Ball is the workhorse of the offense while James White provides a speedy counterpunch. The two have combined for more than 2,200 rushing yards, and with his 18 scores, Ball is now college football’s all-time leader for career scores. Wisconsin has managed to rank in the top 25 in terms of rushing despite a messy quarterback situation. Injuries have forced third-string QB Curtis Phillips into action, but he has managed four scores compared to just one interception. On the defensive side of the ball, the Badgers have been stingy most of the year. Wisconsin is allowing just 18.1 points per game to opponents, which puts them in the top 20 nationally.

The Cornhuskers Win If:

While Nebraska’s offense has recaptured the powerful running game from the days of Tom Osborne, the defense remains a work in progress. Facing one of the best backs in the country in Ball, the Cornhuskers have to find a way to slow Wisconsin’s ground game, or they are going to fighting an uphill battle most of the game. Nebraska is at its best when it is the team wearing down an opponent with its two-headed monster at running back and the play-making ability of Martinez. If Ball and the Wisconsin offense are the ones controlling the clock and the pace, the Cornhuskers’ defense is going to be the unit that wears down. With the Badgers forced to use a third-strong QB, they are only going to rely more heavily on Ball. Nebraska knows what is coming from the Wisconsin offense, and it is up to its defense to do something about it. If the Cornhuskers bottle up Ball, Martinez and the offense have more than enough firepower to outscore a one-dimensional Badgers’ scoring attack.

The Badgers Win If:

There is no doubt that the Wisconsin offense was no wear near the juggernaut it was last season even when the Badgers had their starting QB. Now that Phillips is under center, the offense is even more limited. As a result, establishing Ball, White and the ground game is the single most important factor for the Badgers. Not only does running ball give Wisconsin its best chance to win, but it also allows the Badgers to control the clock and the pace of the game, keeping their defense well rested and keeping Martinez and the Nebraska offense on the sidelines. Wisconsin just doesn’t have the quarterback to win a shootout against the Cornhuskers, but the Badgers do have the workhorse running back and defense to win a close, lower-scoring game. If Wisconsin controls the tempo, the Badgers can win their third straight Big Ten title.

Bottom Line:

It is easy to dismiss the Badgers’ chances in the title game because they backed their way into a Leaders Division crown thanks to the ineligibility of both Ohio State and Penn State. However, Wisconsin’s 7-5 record is a bit misleading. The Badgers lost all five games by seven points or less and four games by three points or less, including a three-point loss to Nebraska in Lincoln. Not to mention the fact that the Badgers were 6-2 before losing three out of their final four games with all three losses coming in overtime. The point is that Wisconsin has yet to get blown out in a game this year, and with Ball and the Badgers’ ground game controlling the clock, this game will be tight, as well. After blowing a 17-point lead on the road in their loss to the Cornhuskers, the two-time defending Big Ten champs will get their revenge on a neutral site and head back to the Rose Bowl.

Prediction: Wisconsin Badgers (+3) Cover the Spread

BetOnline.com

Nebraska vs Wisconsin Vegas Odds and Total
Line: Nebraska -3
Total: Over/Under 49
Television: 8:15 PM EST on FOX

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2012 PAC 12 Championship Odds and Picks: UCLA @ Stanford Predictions – Free College Football Picks

2012 PAC 12 Championship Odds and Picks: UCLA @ Stanford Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/30/12: For the second time in six days, the 16th-ranked UCLA Bruins (9-3, 6-3 Pac-12) will meet the eighth-ranked Stanford Cardinal (10-2, 8-1 Pac-12). This time around, the Pac-12 title is at stake as well as a trip to the Rose Bowl. Stanford clobbered UCLA 35-17 last Saturday, but while the Bruins already had the South Division wrapped up, the Cardinal needed the win just to clinch the Pac-12 North and a spot in the conference championship game. Both teams have plenty to play for in Friday night’s rematch. Fresh off snapping UCLA’s five-game winning streak, Stanford is an 8 ½-point favorite as it tires to extend its own winning streak to seven games and punch a ticket to Pasadena.

College Football

For UCLA, the program’s resurgence has been keyed by a strong, balanced offense. Quarterback Brett Hundley threw for more than 3,000 yards and 26 scores while running back Johnathan Franklin ran for more than 1,500 yards and 11 scores. Together, the duo helped the Bruins rank in the top 35 in both rushing and passing and rank in the top 25 in the country in scoring. UCLA’s defense on the other hand has been suspect, especially lately. The Bruins have allowed four of their last five opponents to score at least 35 points, including three straight.

Meanwhile, Stanford’s strength is its stifling defense. Led by a stellar group of linebackers, the Cardinal own the top-ranked rush defense in the country and the 11th-best scoring defense. Stanford also leads the country in sacks while safety Ed Reynolds has five interceptions and has returned three for scores. The Cardinal are allowing less than 17 points per game on the season and have allowed just two opponents all year to top the 17-point mark. Stanford supports it defense with a clock-controlling, power running game. Stepfan Taylor leads the ground attack and has rushed for 11 scores and more than 1,300 yards. The quarterback situation has been a mess as the Cardinal attempt to replace Andrew Luck, but freshman Kevin Hogan has started the last three games and has been efficient while knocking off ranked teams in all three starts.

The Bruins Win If:

If the Bruins are going to avenge their loss to Stanford, they have to find a way to get tougher in the trenches. The normally powerful UCLA ground game managed just 2.9 yards per carry, and Hundley was sacked seven times. Meanwhile, Taylor ran over the Bruins’ defense, piling up 142 yards and two scores on just 20 carries. UCLA’s defense has to slow down the Stanford ground game and make Hogan more than a game manager. Meanwhile, the Bruins’ running game has to provide enough balance to keep Hundley out of obvious passing situations. When they are moving the ball on the ground and through the air, the Bruins are actually a force on the offensive side of the ball. If UCLA’s offensive and defensive lines can at least close the gap in the trenches, the Bruins could start to pile up some points and knock off a Stanford team that doesn’t have a high-powered scoring attack.

The Cardinal Win If:

If Stanford can even come close to replicating its performance from last Saturday, the Cardinal are going to roll to a Pac-12 title. There is probably no team that helps its offense with its defense and vice versa. If Chase Thomas and his fellow linebackers are forcing three and outs, Taylor and the ground game are going to wear out a UCLA defense that won’t get a long of time to rest. Meanwhile, sustained drives on the part of the Stanford offense will keep an already elite defense well rested. In short, the Cardinal can control the game by controlling the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. If they play like the physical team they have been all year, the Cardinal will win this game.

Bottom Line:

There is no question that UCLA played like a team that didn’t have anything to play for in its loss to Stanford last weekend. However, Stanford’s incredible edge in the trenches isn’t going away whether the Bruins are focused or not. The Cardinal have the best group of linebackers in the country, and they anchor the country’s best run defense. The fact that Stanford shut down Franklin was no fluke. Stanford’s seven sacks on Hundley were no fluke either. The Cardinal lead the country in that category, as well, entering the game with 53.0 sacks. Stanford is one of the most physical teams on both sides of the ball in the country, and the Cardinal defense has already shut down USC, Oregon and UCLA. Stanford’s defense will shut down the Bruins once again while Taylor and the ground game will power the Cardinal to a Pac-12 title.

Prediction: Stanford Cardinal (-8 ½) Cover the Spread

BetOnline.com

UCLA @ Stanford Vegas Odds and Total
Line: Stanford -9.5
Total: Over/Under 47.5
Television: 8 PM EST on FOX

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2012 MAC Championship Odds and Picks: Northern Illinois vs Kent State Predictions – Free College Football Picks

2012 MAC Championship Odds and Picks: Northern Illinois vs Kent State Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/30/12: If you aren’t a diehard college football fan, you probably don’t know a lot about the Mid-American Conference or its teams. However, the conference will get a chance to take center stage Friday night when the 21st-ranked Northern Illinois Huskies (11-1, 8-0 MAC) face the 17-th-ranked Kent State Golden Flashes (11-0, 8-0 MAC) in the MAC championship game. The Huskies bring an 11-game winning streak into the matchup and haven’t lost since a one-point loss in the season opener to Iowa. Meanwhile, the Golden Flashes have won 10 games in a row with their lone loss coming to Kentucky in their second game of the year. Needless to say, two impressive winning streaks are on the line along with a conference crown in a game where Northern Illinois is favored by seven points.

College Football

The MAC title game could also have much bigger implications as far as the BCS is concerned. A rule exists that says that any team from a conference like the MAC that doesn’t have an automatic BCS bowl tie in that finishes at least 16th in the final BCS standings and is ranked ahead of a conference champion from a conference that does have an automatic tie in is guaranteed to play in a BCS bowl. Long story short, the winner of this game is going to be ahead of whichever team ends up winning the ridiculously weak Big East. Meanwhile, losses by Texas and UCLA would likely also move the winner of the MAC title game into the top 16 in the BCS standings. In other words, the winner between Northern Illinois and Kent State could end up playing in a BCS bowl.

On the field, the game will be a battle between two of the top rushing attacks in the country. Led by dual-threat quarterback Jordan Lynch, the Huskies have the ninth-best rushing offense in the country and rank 12th in scoring. Lynch has enjoyed an impressive season, throwing for more than 2,700 yards, rushing for more than 1,600 yards and combining for 39 scores. Kent State on the other hand has used a two-headed monster at running back to power the 11th-best rushing offense. Trayion Durham and Dri Archer have combined for more than 2,500 yards and 28 scores, and both players topped 1,000 yards, making the Golden Flashes one of just two teams in the country with two 1,000-yard rushers.

The Huskies Win If:

Northern Illinois has the best offensive weapon on the field in this game in Lynch. More importantly, his ability to beat defenses with his arm and his legs gives the Huskies the more balanced offense in this contest. Kent State won’t be able to sell out against either the run or the pass, allowing the Huskies to keep a good but not great defense off balanced. Meanwhile, the Northern Illinois defense that is already one of the stronger units in the country can focus solely on shutting down the Golden Flashes’ ground game. If the Huskies’ defense controls the Durham and Archer, Lynch and the high-scoring Northern Illinois offense will take care of the rest.

The Golden Flashes Win If:

There is no secret that the backbone of the Golden Flashes’ offense is the duo of Durham and Archer. Kent State doesn’t have a strong passing attack to fall back on, and falling behind would be a death sentence. On the flip side, Kent State can control the clock and keep the Lynch and the Huskies’ offense on the sidelines if it gets its running back tandem rolling early. If the Golden Flashes have to come from behind, they are going to be in trouble. If they move the ball on the ground consistently from the opening kickoff, they can wear down the Huskies just as they have worn down all but one opponent this season.

Bottom Line:

Although the Northern Illinois defense has been nearly as impressive as the Huskies’ offense, there is one major blip on the radar for a unit allowing just 17.5 points per game. In an early season meeting with Army, Lynch and company needed a comeback victory on the road to escape with a 41-40 victory, and the 40 points Northern Illinois are still a season high to date. I mentioned earlier that only one team other than Kent State had two 1,000-yard rushers, and that team just happens to be Army. In fact, he Black Knights had three different players top 100 yards on the ground against the Huskies, and those three players combined for six scores. The multiple-back system confused and worse down the Huskies, and it is exactly the same offensive philosophy Kent State uses. Don’t get me wrong, the Huskies are more than capable of winning a shootout, but with a back-and-forth game likely, the Golden Flashes can hang within a touchdown.

Prediction: Kent State Golden Flashes (+7) Cover the Spread 

BetOnline.com

Northern Illinois @ Kent State Vegas Odds and Total
Line: No Illinois -7
Total: Over/Under 58.5
Television: 7 PM EST on ESPN

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Posted in NCAAFComments Off on 2012 MAC Championship Odds and Picks: Northern Illinois vs Kent State Predictions – Free College Football Picks

2012 College Football Odds and Picks: Notre Dame @ USC Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/24/2012

2012 College Football Odds and Picks: Notre Dame @ USC Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/24/2012: Not even the train wreck of a season that USC (7-4, 5-4 Pac-12) has endured can take away from the importance and hype surrounding the Trojans’ meeting with rival Notre Dame Saturday night. The Fighting Irish (11-0) enter the game as the top-ranked team in the country, and they are four quarters away from clinching a spot in the BCS title game. Meanwhile, USC can salvage their incredibly disappointing season by knocking off their undefeated rival. If the Trojans are going to end Notre Dame’s perfect season, they are going to have to do it without star quarterback Matt Barkley, who was injured last weekend. Freshman Max Wittek will make his first career start in place of Barkley, and he and the Trojans are five-point underdogs at home.

College Football

The two teams are polar opposites when it comes to offensive philosophy. USC has a high-scoring, pass-happy offense centered around dynamic receivers Marqise Lee and Robert Woods. The Trojans also have two solid running backs Silas Redd and Curtis McNeal, but it is a definite question mark as to whether USC’s offense will resemble the unit that is averaging more than 36 points a game without Barkley. Notre Dame on the other hand relies on its power running game. Power back Theo Riddick and the more explosive Cierre Wood form a two-headed monster in the backfield while quarterback Everett Golson is an excellent scrambler. The Fighting Irish have been improving on offense throughout the year and are now averaging more than 200 yards per game on the ground.

On the defensive side of the ball, the teams are on the opposite end of the spectrum, as well. Led by star linebacker Manti Te’o, Notre Dame has the top scoring defense in the country, allowing just 10.1 points per game. The Fighting Irish have allowed just one opponent to top 17 points all year, and the only time when an opponent topped the 20-point mark, the game went to triple overtime. USC on the other hand ranks outside the top 40 in points allowed. The Trojans have been plagued by missed tackles, penalties and blown coverages all year. The USC defense has also been heading in the wrong direction, allowing three of its last four opponents to score at least 38 points.

The Fighting Irish Win If:

The biggest hurdle for the Fighting Irish this weekend will likely be their own mindset. All year, Notre Dame has been fighting an uphill battle. The Irish were often an underdog, and until last weekend, they were likely going to miss out on the BCS title game no matter what their record ended up being. Now, they are suddenly in the driver’s seat and in control of their own destiny and are facing a struggling team that is missing their QB. As long as they don’t get overconfident and play with the same discipline and urgency that allowed them to win their first 11 games, the Fighting Irish are going to be fine. If Notre Dame pounds the ball on the ground on offense and plays it typically stingy defense, the Irish are going to punch their ticket to the title game.

The Trojans Win If:

The season has been a disaster for USC, but the Trojans can soften the disappointment by knocking of the Irish. However, pulling it off will require USC to cut down on the penalties and turnovers that have plagued them all year. Wittek in particular needs to let his explosive weapons to the work rather than try to carve up the stout Irish defense by himself. On defense, the Trojans have to tackle. Missed tackles are going to allow Notre Dame to extend drives, control the clock and keep their defense fresh. If USC can make this game into a wild shootout and force Notre Dame to throw the ball, the Trojans’ offensive firepower could deliver them a win.

Bottom Line:

Although it’s possible that the chance to ruin the national title hopes of their rival would bring out the best in the Trojans, don’t hold your breath. USC has lost every important game it has played this year, losing to Stanford and Oregon and giving away the South Division with a loss to a UCLA team that they beat 50-0 last year. Despite all their talent, the Trojans haven’t been able to get out of their own way all season, and the fact that they are missing their starting QB is just insult to injury. Meanwhile, the Fighting Irish roll into Los Angeles having survived any and all challenges, and they bring a constantly improving offense and an elite defense that has already tamed the high-powered passing attack of Oklahoma in Norman earlier this year. Notre Dame is going to roll into the national title game, and the Trojans aren’t even going to mount a worthwhile fight.

Prediction: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-5) Cover the Spread 

BetOnline.com

Notre Dame @ USC Vegas Odds and Total
Line: Notre Dame -5
Total: Over/Under 51.5
Television: 8 PM EST on ABC

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2012 College Football Odds and Picks: Stanford @ UCLA Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/24/2012

2012 College Football Odds and Picks: Stanford @ UCLA Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/24/2012: One of the strangest scenarios you will find in college football will be at work Saturday when the eighth-ranked Stanford Cardinal (9-2, 7-1 Pac-12) visit the 17th-ranked UCLA Bruins (9-2, 6-2 Pac-12). For Stanford, a win secures the Pac-12 North title and clinches the Cardinal a spot in the conference title game. However, the Bruins have already clinched the South Division. Beating Stanford this weekend would all but ensure that UCLA would have to face Oregon on the Pac-12 title game. Losing on the other hand, would set up a rematch with Stanford for the conference championship. Needless to say, the Bruins have a lot to think about as far as what matchup they prefer down the road, but in the short term, they are two-point underdogs Saturday.

College Football

Both offenses have strong running games, and two of the best running backs in the conference will be on display in this one. UCLA’s Johnathan Franklin has 10 scores and more than 1,400 yards while Stanford’s Stepfan Taylor has nine touchdowns and more than 1,200 yards. Both offenses also feature freshman quarterbacks. Stanford’s Kevin Hogan has been solid since taking over in the middle of the year, but Brett Hundley is closing in on 3,000 yards for the Bruins and has helped make them one of the more balanced scoring attacks in the country. Overall, UCLA has big edge when it comes to putting points on the board, ranking 20th in scoring compared to 70th for the Cardinal.

On the defensive side of the ball, Stanford has the clear edge. While the Bruins have been inconsistent on defense from game to game, the Cardinal have been rock solid. Linebacker Chase Thomas leads physical, disciplined unit that is allowing the 10th-fewest points in the country. If Stanford doesn’t have the best group of linebackers, I’d like to know who does.

The Cardinal Win If:

The recipe for success has been simple for Stanford. The Cardinal run the ball down the throat of opponents and play mistake-free defense for four quarters. Establishing Taylor and the power running game is the first step to executing their game plan, and if the Cardinal are able to control the clock on offense, it is only going to help their defense stay rested and ready. A well-rested defense should be able to slow down Franklin and the UCLA running game, and if the Bruins can’t run the ball, they are going to have a hard time finding a rhythm on offense. If Stanford gets Taylor rolling while slowing down Franklin, the Cardinal are going to be able to ground and pound out a win.

The Bruins Win If:

Stanford doesn’t have a great offense in terms of scoring points, but the Cardinal are able to control the pace of games as well as any team in the country. The Bruins need to change that of they want to win Saturday. Slowing down the Taylor and the Stanford ground game and putting Hogan in third and longs will go a long way to solving the issue. Getting their own offense rolling early and forcing Stanford to play from behind will put the Bruins in an even more commanding position. Points are UCLA’s best friend in this matchup, and if the Bruins can make this game into any type of an offensive shootout, they are going to be in the driver’s seat.

Bottom Line:

Although UCLA brings a potent, balanced offense into this matchup, it isn’t likely to scare Stanford. After all, the Cardinal have already held the high-powered offenses of USC and Oregon to just 14 points each. Meanwhile, Taylor and the power running game should be able to wear down a Bruins’ defense that has been up and down all year. More importantly, UCLA enters the game knowing that it really doesn’t matter whether it wins or loses. The Bruins are going to play in the Pac-12 title game regardless of the outcome Saturday, and making a BCS game depends solely on winning the conference championship. I’m not saying that UCLA will intentionally throw the game, but the simple fact that Stanford has to win to keep its BCS bowl hopes alive while UCLA can already focus on the  future will make a big difference.

Prediction: Stanford Cardinal (-2) Cover the Spread 

BetOnline.com

Stanford @ UCLA Vegas Odds and Total
Line: Stanford -3
Total: Over/Under 51.5
Television: 6:30 PM EST on FOX

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2012 College Football Odds and Picks: South Carolina @ Clemson Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/24/2012

2012 College Football Odds and Picks: South Carolina @ Clemson Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/24/2012: As both programs have blossomed in recent years, the in-state rivalry between South Carolina and Clemson has really gained some steam. This year’s matchup is no exception as the 11th-ranked Tigers (10-1, 7-1 ACC) prepare to host the 12th-ranked Gamecocks (9-2, 6-2 SEC) Saturday. Despite the strong records for both teams, neither is in contention for their conference title by virtue of some tough competition. However, both sides have an outside shot of getting an at-large bid to a BCS game if they can creep up the rankings a bit and get some help from other teams. However, winning Saturday is a must for either team if that scenario is going to unfold. With both sides looking for one more statement victory, the Tigers are 3 ½-point favorites at home.

College Football

There is really no comparing these teams on either side of the ball, and as in past years, the game is going to boil down to a battle of Clemson’s offense against South Carolina’s defense. The Tigers own one of the most balanced, potent scoring attacks in the country, and they enter the matchup ranked ninth in passing, 30-th in rushing and fourth in scoring (44.6). Quarterback Tajh Boyd leads the high-powered attack, and he has plenty of weapons at his disposal in the form of speedy running back Andre Ellington and big play receivers DeAndre Hopkins and Sammy Watkins. Meanwhile,South Carolina’s defense ranks 13th in the country in points allowed and ranks eighth in sacks. That being said, it is worth noting that star defensive end Jadeveon Clowney is dealing with some nagging injuries heading into Saturday’s game.

Ironically, both teams are equally unimpressive on the other side of the ball. South Carolina ranks outside the top 70 in both rushing and passing and ranks outside the top 40 in points per game. Granted, a devastating knee injury to star running back Marcus Lattimore has had as lot to do with the team’s struggles, but quarterback Connor Shaw has still be more of a scrambler than an effective pocket passer at this point. As for the Clemson defense, the Tigers currently rank outside the top 40 in terms of points allowed. Clemson has allowed more than 30 points four times and has allowed opponents to top 40 points twice, including in their lone loss of the year to Florida State.

The Gamecocks Win If:

Controlling the clock, controlling the tempo and controlling the Clemson offense will be crucial for South Carolina if they are going to pull off an upset on the road. The Gamecocks don’t have the weapons on offense to win a high-scoring shootout, but they certainly have the defense to win a physical, low-scoring game. Establishing some sort of running game to move the chains and keep Boyd and company on the sidelines will certainly help the cause. Forcing the Tigers into obvious passing situations in order to unleash their vaunted pass rush will also be important. Overall, South Carolina’s chances of winning increase the slower the pace and the lower the score. If the offense can remain mistake free and at least move the ball consistently, the defense has shown time and time again it can do the rest.

The Tigers Win If:

Plain and simple, the Tigers can win this game by getting their offense rolling early. The Gamecocks have too many injuries and not enough firepower to keep up with Clemson in a shootout. That being said, Boyd and company have to make sure that they don’t turn the ball over in an attempt to bury South Carolina in the early going. The last thing the Tigers want to do is set up the struggling Gamecocks’ offense with a short field. Clemson needs a fast, high-scoring pace from the opening kickoff, and if the Tigers make this game come down to which offense can score more points, South Carolina won’t be able to hang around.

Bottom Line:

South Carolina has won three straight in this rivalry, but unlike in past seasons, the Tigers don’t come into the matchup in the middle of a slump. In fact, the opposite is true. Clemson’s already high-powered offense has been rolling lately and is averaging more than 54 points per game in the three games leading up to Saturday’s meeting with the Gamecocks. Meanwhile,South Carolina again enters the game without Lattimore, and their most important defensive player is banged up, as well. The Gamecocks have felt the impact of all the injuries in recent weeks, allowing an average of 27.5 points per game against their last two SEC opponents and entering the fourth quarter of a game against lowly Wofford tied at 7-7 before finally pulling away. Clemson is peaking while South Carolina is scuffling, and the Gamecocks just aren’t healthy enough to hang with the Tigers’ high-scoring offense this year.

Prediction: Clemson Tigers (-3 ½) Cover the Spread 

BetOnline.com

South Carolina @ Clemson Vegas Odds and Total
Line: Clemson -3.5
Total: Over/Under 62
Television: 7 PM EST on ESPN

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2012 College Football Odds and Picks: Michigan @ Ohio State Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/24/2012

2012 College Football Odds and Picks: Michigan @ Ohio State Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Football Picks 11/24/2012: One of the biggest rivalries in sport will add another chapter this weekend when the fourth-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes (11-0, 7-0 Big Ten) host the 19th-ranked Michigan Wolverines (8-3, 6-1 Big Ten). For OSU, a victory would secure an undefeated regular season and keep the Buckeyes in the thick of the AP national title hunt. Meanwhile, the Wolverines can not only ruin Ohio State’s perfect season, but they can keep their own hopes of a conference title alive. With a win Saturday and a Nebraska loss, the Wolverines can clinch the Legends Division and play in the Big Ten title game with a BCS bid up for grabs. In the always-heated rivalry, the Buckeyes are 3 ½-point favorites in Columbus.

College Football

These teams are really mirror images of each other on both sides of the ball. Both offenses rely heavily on the run, and both revolve around dual-threat quarterbacks. The Buckeyes are led by Heisman candidate Braxton Miller, and the Wolverines are using converted receiver Devin Gardner under center while Denard Robinson recovers from injury. Robinson instead will be splitting time between running back and probably a few other positions. Overall, the Ohio State offense has been the more effective of the two, ranking in the top 10 in rushing and in the top 20 in scoring.

Defensively, both teams have had their ups and downs. Michigan has been the more consistent of the two units, allowing less than 20 points per game. However, they have had issues stopping the run at times. Meanwhile, the Buckeyes have been gashed at times, allowing 49 points to Indiana and 38 points to Nebraska. On the flip side, the locked down Wisconsin and Michigan State on the road.

The Wolverines Win If:

Regardless of how Michigan deploys Gardner and Robinson Saturday, minimizing turnovers will be crucial for the Wolverines’ offense. The Ohio State offense has been piling up points, and giving the Buckeyes a short field and extra possessions will be a death sentence. Defensively, Michigan needs to limit the big plays Miller makes both with his arm and his legs. Despite the gaudy offensive numbers, the Buckeyes have had issues consistently moving the ball up and down the field. If the Wolverines can limit their turnovers and limit the big plays of the Ohio State, they can take this rivalry game for the second year in a row.

The Buckeyes Win If:

With the revolving roles of Gardner and Robinson, the Ohio State defense will have to be ready for anything. The last thing the Buckeyes want is for the Wolverines to start hitting a bunch of big plays and getting drawn into an offensive shootout. If OSU can instead make this game about which offense can execute better, the combination of Miller and Hyde behind an ever-improving offensive line should give them an edge. Michigan will likely come out swinging in an attempt to take the crowd out of the game, but if the Buckeyes can weather the early storm, they have the offensive firepower to take advantage of a suspect Michigan defense and keep their undefeated season intact.

Bottom Line:

This is the exact opposite scenario that most people expected when the college football season began. The Wolverines were supposed to be in contention for a national title while the Buckeyes were supposed to view the matchup as their postseason in light of their postseason ban. Instead, it is Ohio State looking at a perfect season and a possible AP national title while Miller is looking at a potential Heisman Trophy run. Yes, Michigan still has a shot at winning its division and playing for the conference crown, but this game is really about the Wolverines upsetting their rival and ruining OSU’s title chances. There isn’t really a better motivating factor than that, and Michigan will ride its duo of versatile playmakers to outscore the Buckeyes in Columbus.

Prediction: Michigan State Wolverines (+3 ½) Cover the Spread 

BetOnline.com

Michigan @ Ohio State Vegas Odds and Total
Line: Ohio St -4
Total: Over/Under 54
Television: 12 PM EST on ABC

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