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Tag Archive | "2012 College Basketball Odds"

2012 College Basketball Picks: Gonzaga @ Oklahoma St Odds and Predictions – Free College Basketball Picks

2012 College Basketball Picks: Gonzaga @ Oklahoma St Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Basketball Picks 12/31/2012: An out-of-conference clash between top 25 teams will cap loaded slate of games on New Year’s Eve as the 13th-ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs (12-1) go on the road to face the 22nd-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys (10-1). For Gonzaga, the game is a chance to add the Cowboys to a hit list that already includes Big 12 opponents West Virginia, Oklahoma, Kansas State and Baylor. For Oklahoma State, the game is a chance to back up its victory over North Carolina State with another statement win. The meeting is also the final tune-up for both teams before conference play begins, and playing at home, the Cowboys are one-point favorites.

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A high-powered offense has carried the Bulldogs this season. Led by the frontcourt duo of Elias Harris and Kelly Olynyk, Gonzaga currently ranks ninth in the country in scoring and second in field goal percentage. While the Bulldogs big men are the team’s leading scorers, guards Kevin Pangos and Gary Bell Jr. are also averaging in double figures and provide plenty of firepower from beyond the arc. On the flip side, the Gonzaga big men don’t block many shots, and the Bulldogs are a mediocre rebounding team.

For Oklahoma State, a stifling defense has helped cover for an offense that has been inconsistent at times. For the year, the Cowboys are allowing less than 56 points per game, but their offense ranks just 94th in scoring and 147th in field goal percentage. Leading scorer Le’Bryan Nash has exemplified the problem, scoring 14.9 points per game but shooting just 43.5 percent. On the bright side, freshmen guards Marcus Smart and Phil Forte have been as good as advertised. Forte is the team’s top 3-point threat while Smart has been stuffing the stat sheet all year. Entering Monday’s game, Smart is averaging 12.5 points, 6.4 rebounds, 5.1 assists, 2.7 steals and 1.3 blocks.

The Bulldogs Win If:

Oklahoma State isn’t an explosive scoring team and isn’t a consistent team on the offensive end. If the Bulldogs can come out and establish their outside-inside scoring punch from the opening tip and turn this into a high-scoring game, the Cowboys are going to struggle to keep pace. In particular, the duo of Harris and Olynyk can loosen up Oklahoma State’s perimeter defense by scoring consistently and forcing double teams. At the end of the day, Gonzaga needs to establish a fast pace and create as many possessions as possible. If this game comes down to which offense has the most firepower, the Bulldogs will overwhelm the Cowboys.

The Cowboys Win If:

If Oklahoma State is going to knock off Gonzaga, it has to control the tempo. The Cowboys aren’t a good enough offensive team to outscore the Bulldogs in the shootout. However, they do have the athleticism to play lockdown defense if they can get a majority of the game played in half-court sets. The Cowboys also have the individual playmakers like Smart and Nash that can create their own shots and make difficult shots. Basically, Oklahoma State wants to make this game as ugly as possible, grinding things out on both ends of the court.

Bottom Line:

Although Oklahoma State has the best player on the court in Smart, the Cowboys’ offense is still a work in progress as a bunch of young players try to build chemistry. Meanwhile, the Gonzaga offense is a well-oiled scoring machine with plenty of frontcourt and backcourt scoring options. Yes, Oklahoma State is a solid defensive team, but the Bulldogs have the versatile scoring options needed to give any defense matchup problems. At the end of the day, the Cowboys’ offense just isn’t consistent enough at this point in the season to keep pace with the high-scoring Bulldogs.

Prediction: Gonzaga Bulldogs (+1) Cover the Spread

Gonzaga @ Oklahoma St
Line: Oklahoma St -2.5
Total: Over/Under 137.5
Time: 6 PM EST on ESPN2

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2012 College Basketball Picks: Michigan St @ Minnesota Odds and Predictions – Free College Basketball Picks

2012 College Basketball Odds and Picks: Michigan St @ Minnesota Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Basketball Picks 12/31/2012: The Big Ten kicks off conference play with a showdown between the 19th-ranked Michigan State Spartans (11-2) and the 11th-ranked Minnesota Golden Gophers (12-1) Monday night in Minneapolis. Minnesota’s lone blemish on the year came against Duke while the typically brutal out-of-conference schedule for the Spartans has included losses to Connecticut and Miami along with a victory over Kansas. Monday’s game is a chance for both sides to add to their already-solid resumes, and in a loaded Big Ten, getting off to a quick start in conference play is all the more important. Overall, it’s not a bad way to welcome the new year, and playing at home, the Golden Gophers are six-point favorites.

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As is the case most years, Michigan State has been winning with its defense. The Spartans currently lead the Big Ten in points allowed, opponent field goal percentage and blocks. Big men Derrick Nix and Adreian Payne patrol the paint and help the Spartans control the boards while guards Keith Appling and Gary Harris lead the modest but efficient offensive attack. Basically, this is a typical Tom Izzo team. Michigan State doesn’t overwhelm opponents offensively, but the Spartans play tough defense, take quality shots and take care of business on the boards.

With athleticism in the frontcourt and plenty of firepower in the backcourt, Minnesota is one of the more balance teams in the Big Ten this year. Guards Andre Hollins, Austin Hollins and Joe Coleman are all scoring in double figures while forwards Rodney Williams and Trevor Mbakwe have been blocking shots and controlling the boards all season for a top 25 rebounding team. Williams in particular has emerged as a star, leading the team in scoring and keying an aggressive defense that leads the Big Ten in steals per game.

The Spartans Win If:

Minnesota is loaded with speed and athleticism, and the Golden Gophers generate a lot of their offense off turnovers and second-chance points. If the Spartans are able to limit their turnovers and control the glass, they will force the Golden Gophers to score a majority of their points in half-court situations. Michigan State will have the huge advantage in that scenario. The Spartans have the more efficient offense, and they have two reliable post scorers to pound the ball inside to for quality looks. If the Spartans make this game a defensive battle played at a slower pace, their physical, grinding style of play on both ends will win out.

The Golden Gophers Win If:

If Minnesota tries to go toe to toe with the Spartans in the half court, the Golden Gophers are going to have issues. The Spartans have more size inside and are better at controlling the boards. On the flip side, Minnesota has more speed and athleticism and has a much more explosive offense. If Minnesota wins the hustle categories like fast-break and second-chance points, Michigan State’s offense is going to have issues keeping pace. If the Golden Gophers can push the tempo and get plenty of quick looks in transition, Williams and company can run the Spartans out of the gym in a higher-scoring game.

Bottom Line:

While Minnesota definitely brings more offensive firepower to this fight, Izzo’s coaching philosophy has the Spartans built to handle tough road games like this one. The Spartans are a great rebounding team, they don’t give up many easy baskets around the rim, and they don’t take many bad shots. All three of which will limit the Golden Gophers’ transition scoring opportunity. At the end of the day, Michigan State is going to slow the pace of the game when it has the ball, and get physical on defense when Minnesota is on offense. Going on the road and winning in college basketball is tough, especially against a fast, athletic team like the Golden Gophers. That being said, the Spartans have the perfect recipe for handling a hostile environment. Win or lose, Michigan State’s style of play on both ends of the court will keep things close.

Prediction: Michigan State Spartans (+6) Cover the Spread

Michigan St @ Minnesota
Line: Minnesota -6.5
Total: Over/Under 128.5
Time: 2 PM EST on ESPN2

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2012 College Basketball Picks: Kansas @ Ohio State Odds and Predictions – Free College Basketball Picks

2012 College Basketball Odds and Picks: Kansas @ Ohio State Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Basketball Picks 12/22/2012: A pair of top-10 teams will clash Saturday afternoon when the ninth-ranked Kansas Jayhawks (9-1) face the Ohio State Buckeyes (9-1). The game is a chance for both programs to make a statement heading into conference play and is also a rematch of a Final Four matchup last season. Both sides have lost their toughest test to date with Kansas falling to Michigan State and Ohio State losing to Duke. With otherwise modest schedules, the loser of Saturday’s game is going to have its top-10 status questioned. Playing in Columbus, the Buckeyes are 5 ½-point favorites.

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For the most part, Kansas has handled life without its two top scorers from a year ago. With power forward Thomas Robinson in the NBA, center Jeff Withey has produced in an expanded role. He is currently second on the team in scoring and is leading Kansas with 8.1 rebounds and 5.4 blocks per game. Meanwhile, freshman guard Ben McLemore has stepped into the role filled by point guard Tyshawn Taylor, leading the team in scoring and 3-pointers made. Travis Releford and Elijah Johnson are the two other main cogs for a Jayhawks bunch that is scoring almost 78 points per game and is in the top 20 in the country in field goal percentage. The bench remains a work in progress, and depth is Kansas’ biggest weakness at this point.

After losing Jared Sullinger and William Buford, this year’s Ohio State team has a bit of a different feel. As expected, small forward Deshaun Thomas has been a stud, leading the Buckeyes in scoring and rebounding. However, the supporting cast remains inconsistent as point guard Aaron Craft and other remain stronger contributors on the defensive end than on the offensive end. In general, Ohio State still has plenty of speed and athleticism and rank 25th in the country in scoring. That being said, the Buckeyes don’t have the physical presence in the paint without Sullinger, and they currently rank outside the top 50 in rebounding and outside the top 40 in field goal percentage.

The Jayhawks Win If:

Kansas has a big edge inside with Withey on both ends of the court. Ohio State really doesn’t have a player that can check him in the post, and on the defensive end, he can basically protect the rim by himself. If Withey shows up aggressive and looking to score and stays out of foul trouble, the Jayhawks should be able to wear down the Buckeyes in the paint. Defensively, Kansas has to use multiple bodies to slow down and wear down Thomas. As the Jayhawks discovered in last year’s Final Four matchup, disrupting Thomas can bring the Ohio State offense to a halt. Overall, Kansas can knock off the Buckeyes if Withey controls the paint on both ends of the court and Thomas has to take a lot of shots to get his points.

The Buckeyes Win If:

The easiest way for the Buckeyes to pick up the win is for Thomas to have a monster game. When he is dialed in, he can knock down shots from the perimeter, get to the foul line and kill defenses with his mid-range game. However, Thomas has had trouble carrying the scoring load by himself against top teams, including in the Final Four loss to Kansas last year. If the Buckeyes want to get revenge on the Jayhawks, they need one or two other plays in their rotation to have a solid offensive game. Whether it’s Craft, LaQuinton Ross, Lenzelle Smith Jr. or somebody else, the Buckeyes need someone to either take pressure of Thomas or make Kansas pay for double teaming him. Defensively, Ohio State doesn’t necessarily have to shut down Withey, but the Buckeyes have to keep him off the offensive glass and force him to try to score with his back to the basket. A little help for Thomas and a group effort on the glass will push Ohio State past Kansas.

The Bottom Line:

In last year’s Final Four matchup, Thomas was the most important player on the court for either side. When he was in the game and knocking down shots, the Buckeyes were in control of the game. When he went to the bench with foul trouble, Ohio State lost the momentum and could never regain. With both sides losing plenty of star power after last season, these are once again two evenly matched teams. The turning point will likely be whether Thomas or Withey has more of an impact on the game. Unfortunately for the Buckeyes, sophomore center Amir Williams is the only player in their roster taller than 6-7, and he is not even close to the same caliber of player as Withey and is playing just 15 minutes per game. At the end of the day, Kansas has multiple, athletic wing players that can take turns wearing down Thomas while Ohio State just doesn’t have the size to match up with Withey in the post. While the Buckeyes continue to try to find a reliable No. 2 punch to Thomas, Withey and Kansas will be able to cover the spread if not win outright.

Prediction: Kansas Jayhawks (+5 ½) Cover the Spread 

Kansas @ Ohio State
Line: Ohio St -5
Total: Over/Under 141.5
Time: 4 PM EST on CBS

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2012 College Basketball Odds and Picks: Florida @ Arizona Predictions – Free College Basketball Picks

2012 College Basketball Odds and Picks: Florida @ Arizona Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Basketball Picks 12/15/2012: A pair of undefeated teams will go head to head Saturday night when the fifth-ranked Florida Gators (7-0) go on the road to face the eighth-ranked Arizona Wildcats (7-0). Although both teams have knocked of some quality opponents on the young season, this will be the first major test for both sides. For the Wildcats, a win would validate their lofty preseason ranking following last year’s disappointing 23-12 season that ended in a first-round loss in the NIT. Meanwhile, Florida has a chance to pick up a rare road win against a top-10 opponent. A statement win is up for grabs for both teams, and after knocking off Arizona in overtime last year, the Gators are three-point favorites this time around.

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Florida’s success this season has stemmed from an all-around balanced approach. Guard Kenny Boynton leads the team in scoring at more than 14 per game, and fellow guards Mike Rosario and Scottie Wilbekin round out a solid backcourt. Meanwhile, center Patric Young and forward Erik Murphy make up a dynamic frontcourt. Young is the muscle inside, leading the team in rebound and blocked shots. Murphy on the other hand averages almost two 3-pointers per game and stretches opposing defenses with his perimeter game. Overall, the Gators have five players averaging at least one 3-pointer per game for an offense averaging just under 74 points per game. Defensively, Florida has been stout. The Gators are currently second in the country in scoring defense, holding opponents to less than 49 points per game on 34.9 percent shooting.

An up-tempo offense has been the backbone of Arizona’s success thus far. The backcourt of Nick Johnson and Mark Lyons pushes the pace for a unit that averages almost 80 points per game and ranks 17th in the country with a 48.6 field goal percentage. The Wildcats do lack size and aren’t the best rebounding team by any means, but the frontcourt of senior Solomon Hill and freshman Brandon Ashley are excellent athletes that fit Arizona’s up-tempo system perfectly.

The Gators Win If:

While the Gators are once again blessed with some dynamic guards, a balanced attack will be crucial if Florida hopes to win on the road. When these two teams played last year, Young led the way with 25 points and 10 rebounds. If Florida keeps him involved in the offense again this year and Young has another strong showing, the Wildcats are going to have to decide whether or not to double team the post or leave the Florida perimeter players with open looks. Defensively, the Gators need to limit Arizona’s transition scoring chances and make the Wildcats beat them with their half-court offense. If the Gators maintain a balanced attack on the offensive end and make this game come down to which side can execute better rather than an up-tempo game, they have the half-court offense and defense to knock off Arizona.

The Wildcats Win If:

Although Florida has plenty of perimeter firepower and can score some points in its own right, the Wildcats need to turn this game into a high-scoring shootout. Arizona got punished in the paint by Young and Gators last year, but if Johnson and Lyons can push the pace and create an up-and-down tempo, Florida’s half-court offense and size inside becomes irrelevant. If the Wildcats make sure this game is played at a fast pace with plenty of quick shots, they have the speed and athleticism on the perimeter and in the paint to outrun and outscore the Gators.

Bottom Line:

Last year’s meeting between these two teams was a thriller with the Gators eventually emerging with a six-point win in overtime. Florida’s advantage inside was the ultimate difference in that game, although Arizona has added some freshmen big men, the Wildcats still don’t have the physical presence to matchup with Young in the post. At the end of the day, it is always easier to slow down a game than it is to speed it up, and the Gators are going to be able to dump the ball into Young whenever they need to slow the pace and get a quality shot. Both sides will launch plenty of 3-pointers and make runs throughout the game, but Florida’s post scoring and relentless defense will allow them to escape with a big road win.

Prediction: Florida Gators (-3) Cover the Spread

Florida @ Arizona
Line: Florida -1.5
Total: Over/Under 135
Time: 10 PM EST on ESPN

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2012 College Basketball Atlantic 10 Championship Odds, Favorites, Contenders and Sleepers

2012 College Basketball Atlantic 10 Championship Odds, Favorites, Contenders and Sleepers: In the era of conference realignment, the unquestioned winner among the mid-majors was the Atlantic 10. Already one of the best mid-major conferences in the country, the A-10 bolstered its talent by expanding to 16 teams for the 2012-13 college basketball season. The prize additions to the conference were Virginia Commonwealth and Butler. Both programs have made trips to the Final Four in recent years and should only add depth to a conference that already gets multiple NCAA Tournament bids every season. With one of the most competitive years in conference history on tap, here is a look at the top contenders in the Atlantic 10.

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2012 College Basketball Conference Preview: Atlantic 10 Favorites, Contenders and Sleepers

The Favorite

The Temple Owls have won three of the last four A-10 titles, and they might just be adding another conference championship this season. Guard Khalif Wyatt is back after averaging more than 17 points per game last season, and he will get plenty of help from fellow guard Scootie Randall. After missing last season with an injury, Randall returned with a bang, dropping 31 points in Temple’s season opener. With Wyatt and Randall providing plenty of firepower on the perimeter and big man Rahlir Hollis-Jefferson leading a solid frontcourt, the Owls have the pieces in place to take care of business in the A-10.

The Dark Horses

After a breakout 26-8 campaign in 2011-12, the St. Louis Billikens will try to repeat their success this season. The reliable frontcourt of Dwyane Evans and Cody Ellis will certainly help the cause for a team that had a top-10 scoring defense one year ago. The Billikens have plenty of depth on the perimeter, as well. On the slip side, Kwamain Mitchell will miss the start of the year while recovering from surgery, leaving St. Louis without its best scorer. More importantly, coach Rick Majerus is likely going to miss the season while dealing with a heart condition. The Billikens have plenty of talent back from last year’s team, but it isn’t a sure thing that they can replicate the success without Mitchell’s scoring and Majerus’ leadership.

Following their Final Four run in 2011, the VCU Rams nearly made it back to the Sweet 16 last season. Shaka Smart is quickly becoming one of the most-coveted coaching prospects in the country, and the success of his up-tempo offense and in-your-face defense can’t be denied. Plenty of experienced players are back from a group that led the nation in steals per game last year while forcing almost 18 turnovers per contest. More importantly, this year’s team returns the engine that makes the offense go in senior point guard Darius Theus. The Rams could make a big splash in their first year in the A-10.

The Sleeper

During the past five seasons, Michigan State, North Carolina, Kansas and the Xavier Musketeers are the only programs in the country to make the Sweet 16 in all five seasons. Needless to say, Xavier is in some elite company, which is why this team can’t be written off despite losing almost all of it scoring from last season. The early returns are promising, and with five players averaging in double figures, it looks like the Musketeers are going to be able to replace the star power of players like Tu Holloway and Mark Lyons with quality depth. With a victory over conference newcomer Butler already under its belt, Xavier isn’t going to slip from the ranks of the A-10 elite without a fight.

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2012-2013 College Basketball Predictions: Player of the Year Favorites, Dark Horses and Sleepers

2012-2013 College Basketball Predictions: Player of the Year Favorites, Dark Horses and Sleepers: As wide open as the NCAA tournament has been in recent years, college basketball’s Player of the Year Award has been equally unpredictable. The last nine winners of the award have come from nine different schools from six different conferences. Not to mention the fact that the last four winners have all played different positions, and during the stretch, a freshman, sophomore, junior and senior have all taken home the honor. Needless to say, no player is at a disadvantage when it comes to winning the 2012-13 Player of the Year Award. Voters have shown time and time again that if a player produces on the court, they will recognize their accomplishments regardless of their team, position or class. With that in mind, here is a look at the frontrunners to take home college basketball’s top individual honor for the upcoming season.

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2012-2013 College Basketball Predictions: Player of the Year Favorites, Dark Horses and Sleepers

The Favorites

As a true freshman, Indiana center Cody Zeller averaged 15.6 points and 6.6 rebounds while shooting 62.3 percent from the field and 75.5 percent from the foul line. Thanks to his 7’0” frame, he is a terror in the post, and he has a soft touch for a big man. Zeller also runs the floor, leading to plenty of quick buckets in transition as well as excellent position in the paint. A year of experience should help even out his up and down play on the road and boost his rebounding totals. Throw in an even better supporting cast around him, and Zeller’s sophomore campaign promises to be something special. The Hoosiers are going to open the year as the No.1 team in the country, and as the team’s best player, Zeller has the inside track on Player of the Year honors.

Junior Doug McDermott might just be the best scorer in the country. The Creighton power forward averaged 22.9 points and 8.2 rebounds last year and was a nightly double-double threat. If you think he piled up those numbers by being the big fish on a mid-major team and taking all of the shots, think again. McDermott shot 60.1 percent from the field last season, including an impressive 48.6 percent form 3-point land and 79.6 percent from the foul line. He is an efficient scoring machine and one of the few players that goes out almost every night and scores 20-plus points and grabs 10 rebounds. After being named a First-Team All-American last year, McDermott could claim Player of the Year honors in 2012-13.

The Dark Horses

Playing behind the likes of Tyler Zeller, John Henson and Harrison Barnes made it tough for James Michael McAdoo to get a lot of minutes for North Carolina last season. That will change this year when the former top-10 recruit becomes the center of the Tarheels’ offense. Even in his limited playing time, McAdoo flashed some incredible athleticism, along with a well-rounded game that features a mid-range jumper and the ability to get to the rim. In fact, he was arguably the best player on the court for UNC in its Elite Eight loss to Kansas last year. Look for McAdoo to make a huge leap in terms of production and instantly become North Carolina’s leading scorer. The guy is a projected top-10 pick by NBA scouts for a reason, and he will get to unleash his potential in 2012-13.

While freshmen were once an afterthought when it comes to the Player of the Year Award, that trend has changed in recent years. Kevin Durant took home the award as a freshman in 2007, and Kentucky’s Anthony Davis did the same last year. Now, Nerlens Noel will try to become the second Wildcat in as many years to accomplish the feat. Like Davis, Noel is an incredible athlete for his size and a skilled shot blocker. If he can carve out enough of an offensive role to go with his dominating presence on the defensive end, Noel could follow the same path to the Player of the Year Award that Davis did last year.

The Sleeper

Last year, point guard Isaiah Canaan led Murray State to a 31-2 record and helped the Racers finish the season ranked No. 12 in the country. He is a speedy, score-first point guard, and he averaged more than 19 points as a junior last year. Canaan will be leaned on even more heavily as a senior with three other starters from the 2011-12 squad departing, and he could end up leading the country in scoring. Canaan has limitless range from beyond the arc, and he can slash into the lane and get to the foul line, as well. If he can lead Murray State back into the top 25 and back into the NCAA tournament, he has a chance to the follow in the footsteps of Jimmer Fredette and score his way to the Player of the Year Award despite not playing for a traditional power program.

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2012 College Basketball Power Rankings: Top 5 National Title Contenders

2012 College Basketball Power Rankings – Top 5 National Title Contenders: The 2012-13 college basketball season is a few weeks old, and while there are plenty of big games left to come once conference play begins, there have already been some heavyweight out-of-conference battles. As a result, teams are already moving up and down the rankings, and while some are living up to the preseason hype, others have fallen flat. To see how the top teams in the country stack up, here is the year’s first installment of Power Rankings.

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2012 College Basketball Power Rankings: Top 5 National Title Contenders

1.      Duke Blue Devils (9-0)

They might not be the best team on paper, but on the court, nobody can match the Blue Devils’ early season resume. Heavyweights Kentucky and Louisville are already on Duke’s hit list, along with two other solid teams in Minnesota and VCU. Sure, the Blue Devils are thin inside, but it isn’t going to matter if Mason Plumlee keeps averaging a double-double and is shooting 67 percent from the field. Meanwhile, Seth Curry’s game is only expanding, sophomore point guard Quinn Cook is improving and freshman Rasheed Sulaimon is the real deal as a scorer. Duke has the personnel to spread teams out and kill them from the perimeter, and based on their victims thus far, the rest of the country should be worried.

2.      Indiana Hoosiers (9-0)

They are loaded on paper, and at 9-0, the Hoosiers are living up to the preseason hype. Cody Zeller and Christian Watford lead a high-powered offense that currently ranks third in scoring, seventh in field goal percentage and is tied for first in points per possession. Meanwhile, Jordan Hulls, Victor Oladipo and Will Sheehey give Indiana five starters averaging in double figures, and freshman point guard Kevin Ferrell is leading the team in assists. The Hoosiers didn’t exactly crush Georgia and needed overtime to get by Georgetown, but their slide to No. 2 has more to do with the teams Duke has beat than Indiana’s play. Zeller and company are loaded and primed for a big year.

3.      Louisville Cardinals (8-1)

The offense has a few more playmakers than in years past, and guard Russ Smith is looking like he wants to be a go-to scorer down the stretch of games. More importantly, the Cardinals’ defense is as vicious and suffocating as ever, and Louisville completely shut down a high-scoring Missouri offense last week. A five-point loss to Duke is nothing to frown on, especially considering the Cardinals were missing their best post defender in Gorgui Dieng. Louisville will actually have to weather the loss of Dieng for several weeks, but the Cardinals appear to have just enough offense to support their defense and make another run in March.

4.      Michigan Wolverines (9-0)

Point guard Trey Burke is off to a fast start, and when he is playing well, the Wolverines reach another level. His backcourt mate Tim Hardaway Jr. has also helped the cause by showing the consistency he has lacked in his first two seasons. Hardaway is currently averaging more than 18 points per game while shooting 61.8 percent from the field and 47.6 from beyond the arc. Meanwhile, freshman forward Glenn Robinson Jr. has filled a void in the frontcourt and is leading the Wolverines in rebounding. Michigan has solid wins over Pittsburgh and Kansas State already under its belt, and all the young talent on this team sees ready to explode.

5.      Ohio State Buckeyes (6-1)

The Buckeyes don’t have a statement victory just yet, but forward Deshaun Thomas and point guard Aaron Craft have definitely answered any questions about whether or not they can carry the offense now that Jared Sullinger is in the NBA. Thomas is averaging a team-high 24.0 points and 7.3 rebounds while shooting 54.0 percent from the field. More importantly, Craft is averaging more than 14 points per game and has a 7.0 assist to turnover ratio. Ohio State still needs to work out a rotation and figure out who its top role players will be, but Thomas and Craft are leading an offense that ranks in the top 10 in field goal percentage and is tied for first in points per possession. The Buckeyes are still a factor.

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2012 College Basketball Odds and Picks: Ohio St @ Duke Predictions – ACC-Big Ten Challenge

2012 College Basketball Odds and Picks: Ohio State @ Duke Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Basketball Picks 11/28/2012: A pair of top-five teams will go at it as part of the ACC/Big Ten Challenge when the fourth-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes (4-0) head to Cameron Indoor Stadium to face the second-ranked Duke Blue Devils (6-0). For Duke, the game is a chance to add another top team to a hit list that already includes the likes of Kentucky, Louisville, Minnesota and VCU. Meanwhile, the Buckeyes are looking for their first statement win on the young season. Ohio State crushed Duke when the two teams got together last season, but this time around, the Blue Devils are six-point favorites.

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Both sides are averaging just under 80 points per game, but Duke and OSU take very different approaches on the offensive end. With shooters like Seth Curry, Rasheed Sulaimon and Quinn Cook, the Blue Devils spread out opposing defenses and take plenty of 3-pointers. What has made this year’s team even stronger is the play of Mason Plumlee. The center is leading the team with 19.7 points per game on 67.2 percent shooting and is also averaging 10.0 rebounds per game. His post scoring has created even more open looks for Duke’s perimeter shooters and has made the Blue Devils more than just a team that lives and dies by the 3-point shot.

Ohio State on the other hand doesn’t have the scoring depth that it has had in past seasons. However, the Buckeyes do have arguably the best small forward in the country in Deshaun Thomas and the best perimeter defender in point guard Aaron Craft. Thomas is off to a fast start averaging 24.0 points per game on 54.0 percent shooting, and Craft is averaging a career-high 14.3 points and has a 7.0 assist to turnover ratio. More importantly, OSU does an excellent job of getting their two best players quality looks. The Buckeyes currently rank eighth in the country in field goal percentage and second in points per possession.

The Buckeyes Win If: 

Ohio State is still searching for a supporting cast, and until some role players step forward, Thomas will have to continue to shoulder the load on offense. Plain and simple, Thomas has to have a big game offensively for the Buckeyes to contend. Meanwhile, Craft has to play stifling defense on whoever has the hot hand on the perimeter for the Blue Devils. Ohio State doesn’t have the perimeter firepower to keep pace with Duke in a high-scoring shootout, but the Buckeyes do have the half-court offense to win a game that is decided by which team can be more efficient on the offensive end. If Thomas is the best player on the court Wednesday and the Buckeyes are able to impose their physical style of play on the defensive end, they can outmuscle the Blue Devils for the second year in a row.

The Blue Devils Win If:

Having plenty of quality perimeter players that can knock down shots from beyond the arc definitely helps Duke, but the strong play of Plumlee is the biggest reason the Blue Devils have been knocking off some of the top teams in the country. If he continues to be the physical presence on the boards that Duke has lacked in years past and forces Ohio State to account for his scoring ability, open looks on the perimeter are going to become available. Ohio State has plenty of athletic defenders, but a strong showing from Plumlee will prevent the Buckeyes from taking away the perimeter shot. Duke definitely has the edge in terms of quality scoring options, and if the Blue Devils maintain a balance on offense and stop the game from becoming a grinding, half-court affair, they should have no problem outscoring OSU.

Bottom Line:

Last year, Sullinger and Ohio State bullied Duke and controlled the action from start to finish. While the Buckeyes’ offense has remained efficient even without Sullinger, OSU just doesn’t have the same imposing force inside to pound away at the Blue Devils. More importantly, Duke actually has the best big man on the court this time around in Plumlee, and with little chance of Ohio State containing him one on one, Curry and the rest of the Blue Devils’ perimeter shooters are going to have some quality looks. Craft can’t guard everyone, and Thomas can only score so many points. In the end, Duke’s superior depth and offensive firepower will allow them to separate themselves from the Buckeyes and win the game.

Prediction: Duke Blue Devils (-6) Cover the Spread

Ohio State @ Duke
Line: Duken -5.5
Total: Over/Under 142.5
Time: 9:30 PM EST on ESPN

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2012 College Basketball Odds and Picks: Duke vs Louisville Predictions – Free College Basketball Picks 11/24/2012

2012 College Basketball Odds and Picks: Duke vs. Louisville Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Basketball Picks 11/24/2012: A pair of powerhouse college basketball programs will square off in the finals of the Battle 4 Atlantis tournament in the Bahamas Saturday night. The fifth-ranked Duke Blue Devils (5-0) will meet the second-ranked Louisville Cardinals (5-0) with the tournament title at stake, as well as the chance to earn an early season statement victory. With both teams on the short list of national title contenders, Saturday’s showdown might just be the best game the young college hoops season has offered thus far. Not surprisingly, oddsmakers are expecting a tight one with the Cardinals being favored by just 1 ½-points.

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Both teams have very different approaches to the game. Duke has a perimeter-oriented offense built around the 3-point shot. Shooting guard Seth Curry is the star of the group, but fellow guards Quinn Cook and Rasheed Sulaimon along with forward Ryan Kelly can also knock down plenty of shots from beyond the arc. Meanwhile, center Mason Plumlee is basically Duke’s lone source of frontcourt scoring. Of course, the Blue Devils don’t need anyone else if he continues to average more than 20 points while shooting better than 68 percent from the field. Not surprisingly, the Blue Devils can struggle on the boards and at stopping opponents from attacking the rim, but their efficient, high-scoring offense tends to cover up the flaws.

Meanwhile, Louisville focuses its attention on the defensive end, often sacrificing offense in order to save as much energy as possible for the defensive end. Center Gorgui Dieng is the enforcer in the paint and on the glass, and fellow big Chane Behanan is a solid rebounder, as well. Having to reliable players in the backcourt allows the Cardinals’ perimeter defenders to play pressure, man-to-man defense most of the game. The strategy certainly worked against Missouri Friday night when Louisville held a Tigers’ offense that was averaging more than 81 points per game to just 61 points. When the Cardinals are on offense, the backcourt of Russ Smith and point guard Peyton Siva tends to dictate the tempo. When Smith and Siva play well, everything else tends to fall into place.

The Blue Devils Win If:

While Duke tends to live and die with the 3-point shot at times, Plumlee is probably the Blue Devils’ most important player in this matchup. He is averaging 20.4 points and 10.6 rebounds per game and is basically the only physical presence for Duke on the glass and in the paint. If Plumlee is able to force Louisville to double team him in the post, it is going to open up perimeter looks for Curry, Kelly and the rest Duke’s shooters. Meanwhile, he also has to keep the Cardinals off the offensive glass to ensure that Louisville’s sometimes inconsistent offense doesn’t get any easy buckets. If the Blue Devils can get their perimeter attack rolling on the offensive end and make Louisville work for their baskets by limiting turnovers and preventing second-chance opportunities, Duke should be in good shape to win a higher-scoring game.

The Cardinals Win If:

As they showed against Missouri in the semifinals of the tournament, the Cardinals are next to unbeatable when they are getting easy scoring opportunities. Louisville’s defense is always suffocating, but when it is also generating turnovers and creating transition baskets, the Cardinals’ offense reaches a new level. If Louisville is able to use its defense to spark its offense, the Cardinals are going to be in great shape. The play of Dieng will be a big factor in whether or not that happens, and if he is able to control Plumlee in the post by himself, the rest of the Louisville defenders will be able to pressure Duke’s perimeter players and take away the 3-point shot. If the Cardinals make sure this game comes down to which team is more physical on defense and on the glass rather than to which team can shoot the ball better, they should be able to power their way past Duke.

Bottom Line:

Louisville followed a horrible showing against Northern Iowa with a thorough domination of a Missouri team that has plenty of perimeter firepower. As great as Duke’s perimeter players can be at shooting the ball, the Blue Devils aren’t exactly loaded with players that can blow by defenders and get to the rim. The Cardinals are going to be able to get up in the face of Duke’s shooters and limit open looks from beyond the arc. Plumlee is certainly an X-factor, but Dieng is a strong post defender and has been doing a better job of avoiding fall trouble this year. After helping hold Missouri forward Laurence Bowers to just six points, Dieng should be able to at least hold his own against Plumlee, as well. From there, the aggressive, physical play of Louisville’s defense will take it toll. Keep in mind that VCU plays a very similar style on defense and held its own against Duke in the semifinals. The Cardinals are going to bring the same type of intensity on the defensive end but are going to have better athletes applying the pressure. In the end, Louisville will find enough offense to support its defense and pick up the win.

Prediction: Louisville Cardinals (-1 ½) Cover the Spread

Louisville @ Missouri
Line: Louisville -1.5
Total: Over/Under 136.5
Time: 9:30 PM EST

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2012 College Basketball Odds and Picks: Louisville @ Missouri Predictions – Free College Basketball Picks 11/23/2012

2012 College Basketball Odds and Picks: Louisville @ Missouri Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free College Basketball Picks 11/23/2012: A pair of top-25 teams will go head to head in the semifinals of The Battle 4 Atlantis tournament in the Bahamas Friday night when the 13th-ranked Missouri Tigers (4-0) face the second-ranked Louisville Cardinals (4-0). Both teams were given a run for their money in the previous round of the tournament, but while Missouri got by a solid Stanford team, Louisville survived against a Northern Iowa team that the Cardinals were supposed to dispatch with ease. Regardless of how these teams got the semifinals, both have a big opportunity Friday. Not only will the winner earn a spot in the tournament’s championship game, but they will put a quality victory on their resume early in the year. Louisville is a 5 ½-point favorite.

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Both sides take very different approaches to the game. Missouri prefers to play at a fast pace and make opponents try to keep up with their potent offense that is averaging more than 81 points per game on the year. Point guard Phil Pressey and forward Laurence Bowers are the top scorers for the Tigers, and they form a nice inside-outside combo. Louisville on the other hand prefers to slow the game down on offense, control the boards and play suffocating defense. Center Gorgui Dieng is one of the better shot blockers in the country, and he protects the rim for a man-to-man defense that will test the conditioning and discipline of any opponent. On the year, Louisville is allowing less than 48 points per game. In other words, this matchup will be a true clash of styles.

The Tigers Win If:

While Pressey can score as well as any point guard in the country, his ability to handle the pressure from the Louisville defense and control the Cardinals’ speedy point guard Peyton Siva will be much more important in this game. If Pressey can keep Missouri’s turnovers to a minimum and keep Siva from penetrating and finding open shooters, the Cardinals are really going to have to work for their points. Another key player for the Tigers will be Connecticut transfer Alex Oriakhi. The forward is leading the Tigers with 9.8 rebounds per game, and he will have to provide the muscle in the paint for an otherwise perimeter-oriented team. If Pressey outplays Siva and Oriakhi makes sure the Tigers hold their own on the boards, Missouri’s offensive firepower should be able to do the rest.

The Cardinals Win If:

The downside of Louisville’s relentless defense is that the Cardinals often struggle on the offensive end. Guard Russ Smith is the team’s leading scorer at 20.0 points per game, but he is the only player averaging in double figures. Needless to say Smith has to have a solid night shooting the ball, but more importantly, the Cardinals have to control the pace and make sure this becomes a low-scoring game. A strong game from Siva will go a long way to making that happen, and if he can get the better of Pressey on both ends of the court, it will dramatically time the scales in favor of Louisville. If this game is played mainly in the half court, the size of Dieng and Chane Behanan inside and the overall defense of the Cardinals will allow them to grind out a win.

Bottom Line:

Generally, it is easier for a team like Louisville to slow the game down than it is for a team like Missour ito speed it up. However, the Cardinals have been absolutely horrible on the offensive end and are shooting less than 41 percent from the field as a team. Meanwhile, Missouri has a player in the backcourt and the frontcourt capable of scoring 20-plus points on any given night. Not to mention the fact that Pressey gives the Tigers a player capable of controlling Siva, who is the spark plug for what little offense the Cardinals are able to generate. Louisville will no doubt improve on the offensive end as the year goes on, but as far as Saturday is concerned, the Cardinals are in trouble.Louisville’s defense is great, but the offense won’t provide enough support to keep pace with the high-scoring Tigers.

Prediction: Missouri Tigers (+5) Cover the Spread 
Louisville @ Missouri
Line: Louisville -5.5
Total: Over/Under 135
Time: 9:30 PM EST on ESPN

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