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Tag Archive | "2012 BCS Championship Predictions"

2012 College Football Picks: BCS National Title Longshots to Bet On

2012 College Football Picks: BCS National Championship Longshots to Place a Bet On: While teams like Alabama, LSU and USC are definitely the favorites to win the national title this year, there are plenty of dark horse teams that have the talent to make a run at a championship, as well. These sleeper teams have plenty of talented players in their own a right, but small weaknesses and question marks about certain positions have knocked them down a notch in the eyes of oddsmakers. However, a friendly schedule can mask a few small flaws. After all, there aren’t many teams that could navigate an SEC schedule, but there are some that can run the table in the weaker conferences. With that in mind, here is a look at some of the teams that could emerge as surprise title contenders in the 2012 college football season.

College Football

2012 College Football Picks: BCS National Championship Longshots to Place a Bet On

1.      Wisconsin Badgers, 40/1 odds

The Badgers’ odds seem a little low for a team coming off another Big Ten title and another trip to the Rose Bowl. The loss of quarterback Russell Wilson probably has something to do with it, but transfer Danny O’Brien is capable of providing enough balance for this team’s true strength – the power running game. Running back Montee Ball is back after leading the country in rushing yards, rushing touchdowns and total touchdowns last season. Wisconsin always rolls out a mammoth offensive line, and the Badgers should be an offensive juggernaut once again. The Badgers also dodge Michigan on the regular season schedule and get Michigan State and Ohio State at home, and winning in Madison is one of the toughest tasks in college football. Wisconsin came within two Hail Mary touchdowns of an undefeated season last year, and Ball and company have a shot at sealing the deal in 2012.

2.      Boise State Broncos, 50/1 odds

Everyone seems to assume that the departure of quarterback Kellen Moore will spell an end to the Broncos’ run of success, but critics were saying the same thing when Jared Zabransky had to be replaced by Moore. It’s now Joe Southwick’s turn to take the reins, and he has been in the system for two years, studying behind Moore. More importantly, Boise State is still the most-talented team in the Mountain West by a wide margin, especially with the departure of TCU to the Big 12. The season opener against Michigan State is going to be very tough, but don’t forget, the Broncos have ousted Oregon, Virginia Tech and Georgia in their last three openers. If Boise State gets by the Spartans, another run at an undefeated season and a potential national title shot is a real possibility.

3.      Clemson Tigers, 60/1 odds

It is easy to write off the Tigers after their ugly performance in the Orange Bowl, but they are the defending ACC champions. More importantly, Clemson has one of the best offenses in the country. Quarterback Tajh Boyd is coming off a breakout season, and receivers Sammy Watkins and DeAndre Hopkins form one of the most-explosive duos in the country. Throw in the speedy Andre Ellington in the backfield, and you will have a tough time finding a better core of offensive weapons on any team. Florida State and Virginia Tech are being picked as the teams to beat in the ACC, but Clemson’s lit up the Seminoles defense last season and knocked off the Hokies twice. The regular season finale against a South Carolina program that has owned the Tigers lately won’t be easy, but at least they get the Gamecocks at home. The schedule is far from a walk in the park, but Clemson won’t be overmatched in any game. An undefeated season can’t be ruled out.

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Odds to win the BCS National Championship
1601 Alabama +500
1602 Arkansas +1800
1603 Auburn +5000
1604 Arizona +12500
1605 Boise State +6600
1606 Boston College +20000
1607 BYU +17500
1608 California +8000
1609 Cincinnati +8000
1610 Clemson +3000
1611 Florida +5000
1612 Florida State +1500
1613 Georgia +1800
1614 Georgia Tech +15000
1615 Iowa +10000
1616 Kansas State +5000
1617 LSU +400
1618 Miami +12500
1619 Michigan +3000
1620 Michigan State +7500
1621 Missouri +10000
1622 Mississippi State +8000
1623 Nebraska +3500
1624 North Carolina
1625 Notre Dame +2500
1627 Oklahoma +1000
1628 Oklahoma State +8000
1629 Oregon +1200
1630 Oregon State +25000
1631 Penn State
1632 Pittsburgh +12500
1633 South Carolina +3500
1634 South Florida +12500
1635 Stanford +10000
1636 TCU +5000
1637 Tennessee +10000
1638 Texas +2800
1639 Texas A&M +12000
1640 UCLA +17500
1641 USC +400
1642 Virginia Tech +2500
1643 Washington +10000
1644 West Virginia +3000
1645 Wisconsin +6000
1646 Field +1500

Check out NSAwins.com’s official 2012 Big Ten Football Predictions and Odds article.

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2012 College Football Picks: BCS National Title Favorites to Avoid

2012 College Football Picks: BCS National Championship Favorites to Avoid Betting On: Every year, there are always a few teams that end up being overrated to start the year by both voters and oddsmakers. Last year, Florida State and Oklahoma were two of the biggest offenders. Whether it is a program’s winning tradition or an overreaction to one successful year, certain teams always get tabbed with lofty expectations that they simply never live up to. Granted, making future bets in college football is always tough because of injuries and other factors that don’t arise until the middle of the season, but bettors can save themselves some disappointment by avoiding some favorites that have a high potential to flame out this year. With that in mind, here is a look at a few teams that are getting decent odds to win the national title in the upcoming 2012 college football season that should be avoided.

College Football

2012 College Football Picks: BCS National Championship Favorites to Avoid Betting On

1.      Texas Longhorns (+3550)

The good news is that the Longhorns have an arsenal of talented to running backs to lead their power running game, and they should have the best defense in the Big 12. The bad news is that this team is still searching for a quarterback, and in a conference where four teams averaged more than 40 points, Texas didn’t even average 30 points per game. In fact, Mack Brown’s bunch ranked third last in the Big 12 in points per game, outscoring only Iowa State and Kansas. Granted, the departure of Robert Griffin III from Baylor and Brandon Weeden from Oklahoma State should bring those programs down to earth a bit, but the Longhorns still have to find a way to keep pace with the high-powered offenses of Oklahoma, West Virginia and TCU this season. Texas is going to be lucky to win its conference, let alone compete for a national title.

2.      Michigan Wolverines (+3650)

It is easy to get excited about the Michigan Wolverines. After all, they are coming off a Sugar Bowl win, and human highlight reel Denard Robinson is back at quarterback. However, a suspect defensive line and a tough schedule will likely keep a national title on hold for the Wolverines. Michigan opens the year against defending national champion Alabama, and if the Wolverines somehow knock off the Crimson Tide, Michigan State and Ohio State are still lurking later in the year. The Spartans’ defense completely shut down Robinson and company last year, and although Michigan snapped its seven-year losing streak against Ohio State, a horrible Buckeyes’ offense gashed the Wolverines’ defense for 34 points. Michigan State’s defense is just as good as it was last season, the Buckeyes’ offense should be better with Urban Meyer’s system in place, and Michigan’s defense is worse. A national title run is going to be tough even for Robinson to engineer.

3.      Notre Dame Fighting Irish (+3700)

Maybe it’s the Notre Dame mystique lingering, but there are several dozen team that have a better shot at winning a national title than the Fighting Irish. Quarterback Tommy Rees may or may not start the season after some off the field issues, and even if he does, it’s not like he performed like a Heisman candidate when he was playing. Notre Dame had one of the worst turnover differentials in the country last year, and the Fighting Irish turned the ball over 19 times in their five losses alone. Throw in the fact that they are one of the most-penalized teams in the country and a brutal schedule, and a national title run seems next to impossible. Notre Dame has to go through Michigan, Michigan State, USC, Oklahoma, Miami and Stanford, and that is just the tough games. Brian Kelly’s bunch will be lucky to lose only three games.

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Odds to win the BCS National Championship
1601 Alabama +500
1602 Arkansas +1800
1603 Auburn +5000
1604 Arizona +12500
1605 Boise State +6600
1606 Boston College +20000
1607 BYU +17500
1608 California +8000
1609 Cincinnati +8000
1610 Clemson +3000
1611 Florida +5000
1612 Florida State +1500
1613 Georgia +1800
1614 Georgia Tech +15000
1615 Iowa +10000
1616 Kansas State +5000
1617 LSU +400
1618 Miami +12500
1619 Michigan +3000
1620 Michigan State +7500
1621 Missouri +10000
1622 Mississippi State +8000
1623 Nebraska +3500
1624 North Carolina
1625 Notre Dame +2500
1627 Oklahoma +1000
1628 Oklahoma State +8000
1629 Oregon +1200
1630 Oregon State +25000
1631 Penn State
1632 Pittsburgh +12500
1633 South Carolina +3500
1634 South Florida +12500
1635 Stanford +10000
1636 TCU +5000
1637 Tennessee +10000
1638 Texas +2800
1639 Texas A&M +12000
1640 UCLA +17500
1641 USC +400
1642 Virginia Tech +2500
1643 Washington +10000
1644 West Virginia +3000
1645 Wisconsin +6000
1646 Field +1500

Check out NSAwins.com’s official 2012 Big Ten Football Predictions and Odds article.

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2012 BCS Championship Game Alabama vs LSU Odds, Free Picks and Predictions on ESPN 1/9/12

Free College Football Bowl Picks and Spreads: #2 Alabama vs #1 LSU 2012 BCS National Championship Game Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ESPN 1/9/12: Heading into Monday’s BCS Championship Game, only one thing is certain – the SEC will win its sixth consecutive national title. Other than that, the rematch between the top-ranked LSU Tigers (13-0) and second-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide (11-1) is open for debate. Both teams have demolished opponents with fierce, suffocating defenses and power running games, going unchallenged for most of the season. The lone exception was a November 5 meeting between the two schools, which resulted in a 9-6 overtime victory for the Tigers in Tuscaloosa. The first meeting ultimately decided the SEC title, but there is a much bigger prize at stake in the rematch. After such a close game the first time around, it is no surprise that LSU is only a one-point favorite Monday.

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Dominating may be an understatement for these two defenses. The Crimson Tide ranks first in the country in yards allowed (191.3) and points allowed (8.8), while the Tigers rank second in both categories, giving up just 252.2 yards per game and only 10.5 points. Against the run, both defenses rank in the top three in yards allowed and in the top four in yards per carry. More importantly, they rank first and second in rushing touchdowns allowed, with Alabama giving up just three scores on the ground all season and LSU giving up only six. Against the pass, both units rank in the top five in opponent completion percentage. Pick a defensive category, and these two defenses are probably among the best in the nation.

Dissecting each defense a bit more closely, the Crimson Tide appears to have an edge up front against the run. Linebackers Courtney Upshaw and Dont’a Robinson lead a front seven with as much sideline-to-sideline speed as any group in recent history. The Tigers counter with the deepest defensive front in the country that puts plenty of pressure on opposing quarterbacks thanks to defensive ends Sam Montgomery and Barkevious Wingo. Both secondaries are loaded with talent and experience, but with the playmaking ability of first-team All-American cornerbacks Tyrann Mathieu and Morris Claiborne, LSU’s group has the edge.

Despite what the 9-6 final of the first meeting mat suggest, Alabama and LSU bring potent offenses to the fight as well. Both teams ranked in the top 20 in scoring and rushing yards per game. The Tigers have the slight edge on the scoreboard, averaging 38.5 per game compared t o 36.0 for the Crimson Tide. However, Alabama’s rushing attack was the slightly better of the two. Neither side relies much on the pass. Alabama QB A.J. McCarron and LSU QBs Jarrett Lee and Jordan Jefferson have simply been asked to manage games most of the year. To their credit, all three players have kept the turnovers to a minimum while completing more than 60 percent of their throws.

With power running games fueling both offenses, there will be plenty of pressure on each backfield to perform at a high level. The Tigers have gone with a running back by committee approach, with Michael Ford and Spencer Ware leading the way. Meanwhile, the Crimson Tide has relied mainly on workhorse Trent Richardson and has mixed in Eddie Lacy as a change of pace option. Richardson is the player to watch. The Heisman finalist scored 20 touchdowns and ran for nearly 1,600 yards. He also had more than 160 yards of offense in the first meeting with LSU. Richardson will best back on the field Monday, and after having a good measure of success against the Tigers’ vaunted defense early in the year, he could help Alabama reverse November’s result.

While Richardson is the likely difference maker on offense for the Crimson Tide, Jefferson could play the same role for the Tigers. He essentially took over as full time starter midway through the first meeting with Alabama. Jefferson isn’t the most polished QB in the pocket, but his ability to make plays with his legs creates an added wrinkle that the Crimson Tide defense must account for. He also has a strong arm, and with wide receiver Rueben Randle a capable deep threat, Jefferson could loosen up the Alabama defense with a couple of big plays.

The X-factor in the game could be special teams. After all, four missed field goals by Alabama kickers Jeremy Shelley and Cade Foster ultimately cost the Crimson Tide a victory in November. Touchdowns will likely be tough to come by again Monday, and the psyche of Shelley and Foster is questionable at best heading into a game when there will be even more pressure. Meanwhile, the Tigers have the ultimate special team’s weapon in Mathieu. Plain and simple, he is a playmaker. LSU leads the country in punt return yards, and Mathieu is a big reason why. He returned punts for touchdowns against Arkansas and Georgia, changing the momentum of both games in favor of the Tigers. A big kick return Monday night could tip the scale in favor of LSU.

There is likely to be a very different atmosphere surrounding this game compared to the regular season meeting. In the first matchup, both teams were playing not to lose. Deep down, Les Miles and Nick Saban knew that there was a good chance that the two programs could meet again as long as neither side was blown out. The play calling was conservative and the quarterbacks were tight most of the game. This time around, neither coach is going to hold anything back. Win or lose, the national title game is the finale for both teams. There should be a few more big plays on offense and defense from both sides, and the score should easily exceed the 9-6 final from the November clash.

There will be a ridiculous amount of talent on the field Monday, and a hard-hitting contest worthy of the BCS Championship Game should be on tap. In the end, it’s hard to imagine Monday’s game being anything but a down to the wire affair. Richardson is probably the most talented offensive weapon, but unless he breaks off a long scoring run, he is going to struggle to score in the red zone against LSU’s defense. Meanwhile, the running ability of Jefferson was able to give the Alabama defense a bit of trouble, and he is an extra weapon that is just tough to account for. Factor in Mathieu and the rest of the LSU defense and special teams, and there is a better chance that the Tigers will make a game-changing play. It will be tight, but the Tigers should pull out another close one.

Prediction: LSU Tigers (+1.5) Cover the Spread

Free College Football Picks and NCAAF Predictions: LSU +1.5 to cover the spread

2012 BCS Championship Game: #2 Alabama vs #1 LSU
Date: 1/9/12
Time: 8:30 PM EST on ESPN
Vegas Odds Favorite: Alabama -1.5 Total: Over/Under 40

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Posted in NCAAFComments Off on 2012 BCS Championship Game Alabama vs LSU Odds, Free Picks and Predictions on ESPN 1/9/12

2011-2012 BCS Championship Predictions, Tips and Expert Picks – Ohio St and Florida St Overrated and Bad Bets

2011-2012 BCS National Championship Predictions, Tips and Expert Picks – Two Favorites to Avoid Betting On: The college football season is still a few months away, but championship odds are already posted. In a sport where one loss can be the difference between playing for a title and playing in a bowl game sponsored by a company most people didn’t know existed, nothing is a sure thing. That being said, there are already two teams being considered among the favorites to win it all by oddsmakers that have some serious flaws – serious enough that bettors may want to avoid both teams when it comes time to place their bets.

Topping the list are the Ohio State Buckeyes (+3000 odds). If the resignation of Jim Tressel wasn’t enough to bury their national title chances, the decision by quarterback Terrelle Pryor to leave the team is the final nail in the coffin. It was one scenario when Pryor and a handful of other players were scheduled to miss the first five games of the season – a stretch when the only tough contest figured to come from Michigan State. It is an entirely different story when the Buckeyes must play the whole season without their star QB.

Granted, the always stout Ohio State defense will remain relatively intact, and there is never a shortage of talent waiting in the wings in Columbus. That being said, Pryor was the one player on the offensive side of the ball that could make a play in a do-or-die situation. The Buckeyes lose to the Iowa Hawkeyes last season if Pryor isn’t around to complete a miracle fourth down scramble. He won’t be around this season, and there will one or two moments this year when his absence is the reason Ohio State goes down. The ship is sinking in Columbus, and although the program is too good to be down for long, bettors should want no part of the Buckeyes this coming season.

The second team bettors need to think twice about backing is the Florida State Seminoles(+1200 odds). Too much is being made of the fact that 18 starters are returning, and not enough is being made about the fact that the Seminoles need a quarterback. Christian Ponder is a Minnesota Viking, and even with nine returning starters, an offense can take quite a blow when a first round-caliber signal caller is taken out of the equation.

Dodging Virginia Tech during conference play is a definite plus for Florida State, but it’s not like the Seminoles were on the verge of winning the national title last season. FSU finished the 2010-2011 season at 9-4. Another year of experience and an elite recruiting class are both recipes for improvement, but going from a four-loss team to an undefeated national title winning team with a first-year starter at quarterback is asking a lot of any team.

Even if the Seminoles manage to overcome the lack of experience at the quarterback position, they still have one major roadblock that will likely prevent them from having as shot at the title. While Florida State’s conference schedule may be easy, they face a daunting out of conference matchup early in the year against the Oklahoma Sooners. At +1200, only two teams have better odds of winning it all this coming season than the Seminoles. One of those teams is the Sooners. Led by Heisman hopeful quarterback Landry Jones, Oklahoma is the favorite to win the national title. Facing the high-powered Sooners offense, Florida State’s title chances could come to an end in September.

Visit NSAwins.com throughout the summer and during the 2011-2012 College Football season for daily updated College Football Tips and Predictions as well as LIVE updated College Football Betting Lines and Odds from top online sportsbooks.

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