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Tag Archive | "2011 Aaron’s 499 Predictions"

2011 Aaron’s 499 Breakdown – Beating the Odds: Who to Bet On

2011 Aaron’s 499 Betting Odds Breakdown – Who to Bet On and How to Win Money on NASCAR Betting this week: It’s another week of bumping and banging as the Cup Series heads to a short track in Martinsville, Virginia. NASCAR’s smallest and slowest track has been dominated by Denny Hamlin and Jimmie Johnson the last few years, and the two have combined to win the last nine races at the track. Needless to say, bettors should lean toward both drivers when putting money down this weekend. At the same time, the streak has to end sometime. If it does, you should ready to capitalize on the odds.

Apparently the oddsmakers didn’t pay attention to Paul Menard and his performance in the season opener because he is 40/1 longshot to win at Talladega this weekend. Menard led 11 laps and finished ninth in this year’s Daytona 500, and with the same rules in play this weekend, he should be a contender once again. The best finish of his Cup career is a second-place run at Talladega, and in case the same track is the site of his first career Cup win, bettors will want to get in on the action.

At 28/1 odds, Juan Pablo Montoya is probably the most underrated driver heading into Sunday’s race. In his last two starts at Talladega, Montoya has a pair of third-place finishes. He finished sixth in the first restrictor-plate race of this season as well, and he is well on his way to becoming one of the top plate drivers in the series. Bettors should jump on the bandwagon before he starts winning races because the payoff is only going to go down once he does.

Despite being mediocre at best at most tracks, David Ragan has been surprisingly effective at Talladega. In fact, his 14.3 average finish at the track is currently among the five best marks in the series. Ragan is getting 30/1 odds to win this weekend, and getting those odds on a top-five driver is a steal for bettors.

He swept both races at Talladega in 2007, but Jeff Gordon has struggled at the track since. He has just one top-15 finish in his last six starts, but he is still getting 15/1 odds to win this weekend. Gordon’s odds are based on his reputation alone, and bettors don’t get paid based on a driver’s reputation.

Among his accomplishments at Talladega are a streak of three straight second-place finishes and a trip to Victory Lane. That being said, Tony Stewart and his 10/1 odds this weekend are far too generous. Since becoming an owner/driver for Stewart-Haas Racing, he has finished outside the top-15 in all four starts, including three finishes outside the top-20.

Carl Edwards has done his fair share of winning over the years, but Talladega isn’t on the list of tracks he has conquered. In fact, he has just three top-10s at the track in 13 career starts. Edwards hasn’t even cracked the top-10 in his last eight starts, but he is still getting 15/1 odds to win this weekend. Bettors should stay away at those odds.

He is a 100/1 longshot to win this weekend, but Bobby Labonte looked pretty darn good in the season opener at Daytona. The veteran is good at staying out of trouble, and it paid off to the tune of a top-five finish in the Daytona 500. Labonte finally has decent equipment to work with, and he is patient enough to survive all the wrecks that Talladega dishes out and be in the mix at the end. 

View the most current vegas betting odds to win the 2011 Aaron’s 499 for this Sunday, April 17th at Talladega Superspeedway.

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2011 Aaron’s 499 Picks: Betting on Underdogs for Big Payoffs

2011 Aaron’s 499 Picks: Betting on Underdogs for Big Payoffs – How to Bet on the 2011 Aaron’s 499: Two tracks on the schedule have produced more upset winners than all the rest put together. One of those tracks is Daytona, and it lived up to its reputation in the season opener with rookie Trevor Bayne getting to victory lane. The other track is Talladega Superspeedway, and the longest track in NASCAR will get its chance to put an underdog in Victory Lane this weekend. Bettors should be smiling because Sunday’s race is a golden opportunity to make a lot of cash fast.

Despite having the best average finish among active drivers at Talladega, Brad Keselowski is a 40/1 longshot at BetUS Sportsbook to win this weekend. Most weeks he deserves such odds, but it is tough to argue with his success at Talladega. In four career starts, he has three top-10 finishes.

More importantly, he is a former winner at the track. In fact, he went to Victory Lane in his Talladega debut. He has gone on to score a win at the track in the Nationwide Series as well. In other words, Keselowski isn’t a one-hit wonder at the track. If he adds to his already impressive Talladega resume this weekend, bettors will definitely want to get a piece of the action.

Another driver that should catch the eye of bettors is Regan Smith. It’s not often that a guy getting 60/1 odds deserves serious consideration, but Smith is an exception. He finished a career-best 12th at Talladega last fall, and he would have won the fall event in 2008 if not for a controversial penalty call by NASCAR. Smith crossed the line first, but he was given the black flag for passing below the yellow lone on the final lap.

Smith also had one of the top cars during Speedweeks to open the year. He was in the mix for a win in the Daytona 500 all afternoon until a late wreck dropped him outside the top-20. Despite the damage, he still recovered to finish in the top-10. NASCAR is bringing the same rules package to Talladega that was used at Daytona, which means Smith could be a legitimate contender once again.

View the updated vegas betting lines and predictions to win the 2011 Aaron’s 499 for this Sunday, April 17, 2011 at Talladega Superspeedway in Talladega, Alabama.

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Posted in NASCARComments Off on 2011 Aaron’s 499 Picks: Betting on Underdogs for Big Payoffs

2011 Aaron’s 499 Preview – Favorites to Win and Drivers to Watch

2011 Aaron’s 499 Vegas Odds and Predictions – Favorites and Drivers to Bet On: The biggest upset of the 2011 season came in the season opener at Daytona when rookie Trevor Bayne won in just his second career Cup Series starts. This weekend, the series heads to Talladega Superspeedway where they same engine and aero packages that produced Bayne’s upset win will be in use. With another unpredictable outcome expected, bettors have to be salivating over the possibility of another longshot win.

Last April, it wasn’t a longshot winner in victory, but Kevin Harvick did need a last lap pass to get the job done. Harvick waited in the back of the pack until the closing laps before making his charge. He closed on Jamie McMurray coming to the white flag, and on the last lap, he dove to the inside of McMurray’s No. 1. Harvick edged McMurray to the line by a few inches for the win.

In the fall, Harvick was again involved in a photo finish. However, it was his Richard Childress Racing teammate Clint Bowyer that came out on the winning end. How close was the finish? NASCAR had to go back and watch video replay before ultimately declaring Bowyer the winner.

The Favorites

As the introduction indicates, Kevin Harvick had a pretty good year at Talladega in 2010. His stay out of trouble early and make a charge in the closing laps strategy appears to be working for him. After finishes of first and second at the track last season, Harvick has to be considered one of the top options this weekend.

He scored his first career restrictor-plate track win at Talladega last fall, but there is reason to believe Clint Bowyer is just getting started. He has finished 12th or better in six of his last seven starts at the track, and Bowyer owns the second-best driver rating at plate tracks since the start of the 2008 season.

Although he hasn’t won at Talladega, Kurt Busch has been Mr. Consistency at the track. In his last 13 starts, he has nine top-10 finishes, and all nine finishes have been eighth or better. Busch looked strong is the season opener, and with the same package being used this weekend, he could get finally get that elusive Talladega win.

The Dark Horses

He is still looking for an oval track win, but Juan Pablo Montoya has been close at Talladega on multiple occasions. He has finished as high as second at the track, and he has finished third in each of his last two starts. Montoya is one of the most underrated plate track drivers in the series, and it is only a matter of time before he breaks through.

The 2011 season has been a resurgent one for Dale Earnhardt Jr. with top-10 finishes starting to become the norm. He is a five-time winner at the track, and he has finished in the top-15 in three of his last four starts. Junior is one of the best plate track drivers in NASCAR history, and he is always a threat to win.

Sleepers Specials

The highlight of Brad Keselowski’s Cup Series career came in 2009 when a last lap pass put him in Victory Lane in his Talladega debut in 2009. He has been able to maintain the success at the track, finishing in the top-10 in three of his four starts. Keselowski has shown the ability to run near the front at Talladega, and that is a huge plus at an unpredictable track.

It has been a long year for Joey Logano, but it has to get better sometime. The young driver has found a lot of early success at Talladega, finishing in the top-10 in three of his four starts. Logano is slumping now, but his slump could come to an end with a win this weekend.

Big Names to Avoid

He won last weekend at Texas, but bettors need to think twice before backing Matt Kenseth this weekend. He had finished outside the top-10 in his last eight starts at Talladega, and he has finished outside the top-15 in his last seven starts. Back-to-back wins aren’t likely for the No. 17 team.

Carl Edwards has been one of the best in the business for several years, but Talladega has never been his specialty. He has a 22.1 career average finish and has just three top-10s in 13 starts. Edwards has never won at the track, and he has finished outside the top-10 in eight straight starts.

Check out the opening vegas odds to win the 2011 Aaron’s 499 this Sunday, April 17th at Talladega Superspeedway in Talladega, Alabama.

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Posted in NASCARComments Off on 2011 Aaron’s 499 Preview – Favorites to Win and Drivers to Watch

2011 Aaron’s 499 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks – Favorites and Drivers Lines to Win

2011 Aaron’s 499 500 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks – Favorites and Drivers Lines to Win: NASCAR betting odds to win the 2011 Aaron’s 499 this Sunday, April 17th at Talladega Superspeedway in Talladega, Alabama have been released at all the major Las Vegas and online sportsbooks and Kevin Harvick has been installed as the +700 favorite win the 2011 Aaron’s 499 Sprint Cup Series race. Harvick is the defending Aaron’s 499 champion as he won the $344,501 prize last year at Talladega. The Aaron’s 499 has been on the NASCAR racing schedule since 1970 is known for being one of only four current Sprint Cup Series races that is run with restrictor plates along with the AMP Energy 500, the Coke Zero 400, and the Daytona 500. Other top drivers with strong odds to win the 2011 Aaron’s 499 this sunday at Talladega include Tony Stewart(+1000 odds), Kyle Busch(+1000 odds, 2008 Aaron’s 499 Champion), Kurt Busch(+1100 odds), Dale Earnhardt Jr(+1100 odds, 2002 and 2003 Aaron’s 499 Champion), Carl Edwards(+1500 odds), Jimmie Johnson(+1500 odds, 2006 Aaron’s 499 Champion) and Jeff Gordon(+1500 odds, 2000, 2004, 2005 and 2007 Aaron’s 499 Champion). NSAwins.com’s expert predictions to win the Aaron’s 499 from our expert NASCAR handicappers are as follows: The LEGEND(Jeff Gordon +1500), Gerry “BIG CAT” Andino(Kevin Harvick +700), Lou Panelli(Kyle Busch +1000), Steve Kendall(Dale Earnhardt Jr +1100) and William E. Stockton(Jeff Gordon +1500). You can view the opening odds to win the 2011 Aaron’s 499 from BetUS Sportsbook below as well as the most current and updated LIVE Aaron’s 499 odds from BoDog Sportsbook.

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2011 Aarons 499 Odds – April 17
Driver Odds to Win the Aaron’s 499
101 Kevin Harvick +700
102 Tony Stewart +1000
103 Kyle Busch +1000
104 Kurt Busch +1100
105 Dale Earnhardt Jr +1100
106 Carl Edwards +1500
107 Jamie McMurray +1500
108 Clint Bowyer +1500
109 Jimmie Johnson +1500
110 Jeff Gordon +1500
111 Denny Hamlin +1500
112 Jeff Burton +2000
113 Juan Montoya +2500
114 Brian Vickers +3000
115 Ryan Newman +3000
116 David Ragan +3000
117 Kasey Kahne +3000
118 Greg Biffle +3000
119 Matt Kenseth +2500
120 Joey Logano +3000
121 Mark Martin +3500
122 Trevor Bayne +4000
123 Martin Truex Jr +4000
124 Brad Keselowski +4000
125 David Reutimann +4000
126 Paul Menard +4000
127 Field +2000
Check the latest NASCAR Betting Odds and Lines from BoDog below:


Posted in NASCARComments Off on 2011 Aaron’s 499 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks – Favorites and Drivers Lines to Win


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