2013 Quaker State 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Vegas Favorites and Sleepers: The Cup Series heads to Kentucky Speedway this weekend, and the 1.5-mile oval is the newest addition to the series schedule. Saturday night’s Quaker State 400 will be just the third Cup event at Kentucky, and it is safe to say that drivers and teams are still figuring out the ins and outs of the track. After all, Kentucky may be new to the Cup schedule, but it has been a part of the Camping World Truck Series and Nationwide Series schedule for several years. As a result, the surface at Kentucky is actually very rough and bumpy, and some of the biggest names in NASCAR have struggled at the track thus far.
Last season, Brad Keselowski figured out the track and made his car better and better throughout the night, eventually pulling away for the win in the final laps. The 2011 race winner Kyle Busch led a race-high 110 laps, but as he faded later in the event, Keselowski moved to the front. He led 68 laps on the night, including the final 55 on his way to the victory.
2013 Quaker State 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions
The Favorites
Considering he has the best winning percentage among active drivers, Jimmie Johnson should have no problem figuring out a newer track like Kentucky quicker than most of the competition. Of course, it certainly doesn’t hurt his stock that he has compiled a 4.5 average finish in the two races at the 1.5-mile oval. Throw in the fact that he is the only driver in the series to have finished sixth or better in both races at Kentucky, and Johnson is a safe bet to be in the mix for the win this weekend.
He has been rock solid in the two races at Kentucky, and Matt Kenseth has been even better at 1.5-mile tracks lately. In addition to finishing sixth and seventh in his two starts at Kentucky, he has scored the second-most points in the series in the last 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks. More importantly, he leads all drivers with three wins during the stretch and is the only driver with multiple victories.
When Kentucky Speedway held its inaugural Cup Series event in 2011, Kyle Busch sat on the pole, led the most and went to victory lane. Last year, he again led the most laps before settling for a top-10 finish. Not to mention the fact that Busch has led a series-high 600 laps in the last 10 races ta 1.5-mile tracks. In other words, Busch knows how to run fast at Kentucky and just about any track with a similar layout. He should be a serious contender to become win at the track for the second time in three races this weekend.
The Dark Horses
Although he hasn’t had the most-consistent year, Brad Keselowski is the defending winner of this weekend’s race at Kentucky. His 4.0 average finish at the track in two starts is also the best in the series so he certainly seems to be ahead of the learning curve. Keselowski has led more than 60 laps in both starts at Kentucky, and he has a great chance to notch his first victory of 2013 this weekend.
Coming off a surprise win at Sonoma last weekend that snapped a six-year winless drought, Martin Truex Jr. could head right back to victory lane Saturday night at Kentucky. After all, he finished in the top 10 at the track last year, and no driver has been better at 1.5-mile ovals over the past year. Truex owns a series-best 6.7 average finish in the last 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks and has tallied a series-high nine top-10 finishes during the stretch.
After finishing second at Kentucky last year, Kasey Kahne should be right back in the mix for a win at the track this weekend. Keep in mind that seven of his 15 Cup Series wins have come at 1.5-mile tracks. Meanwhile, he has already notched three runner-up efforts at the 1.5-mile ovals in 2013. Kahne nearly won at Kentucky last season and has been within one spot of winning at similar tracks three times already this year. It’s safe to say a victory is coming sooner rather than later.
Sleeper Special
He has run hot and cold in his first season with Penske Racing, but Joey Logano has hit his stride at the 1.5-mile tracks lately, finishing in the top five in the last two races. In addition, he is now teammates with defending race winner Brad Keselowski so he should have access to some solid setup information. Add it up, and Logano could emerge as a surprise contender this weekend.
Big Name to Avoid
Although he has actually won his share of races at 1.5-mile tracks throughout his career, but Greg Biffle has been off his game lately. In the last 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks, he hasn’t even been a top-10 driver. Meanwhile, he has finished outside the top 20 in both starts at Kentucky.
Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2013 Quaker State 400 odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2013 Quaker State 400 Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!
Odds to win the Nascar 2013 Quaker State 400
Kyle Busch 6/1
Jimmie Johnson 6/1
Matt Kenseth 7/1
Kasey Kahne 8/1
Denny Hamlin 8/1
Carl Edwards 12/1
Clint Bowyer 12/1
Kevin Harvick 12/1
Brad Keselowski 12/1
Jeff Gordon 15/1
Martin Truex Jr 15/1
Kurt Busch 15/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr 15/1
Greg Biffle 20/1
Tony Stewart 20/1
Joey Logano 30/1
Brian Vickers 40/1
Juan Montoya 40/1
Jamie McMurray 50/1
Ryan Newman 100/1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr 100/1
Paul Menard 100/1
David Ragan 200/1
Jeff Burton 200/1
Aric Almirola 200/1
AJ Allmendinger 200/1
Marcos Ambrose 200/1
Austin Dillon 200/1
Danica Patrick 200/1
Field (Any Other Driver) 150/1
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