Week 14 Free College Football Picks and Spreads: Oklahoma Sooners @ Oklahoma St Cowboys 2011 NCAA Football Vegas Odds, Free Picks, and Expert Predictions on ABC Saturday 12/3/11: Conference realignment forced the Big 12 to abandon its divisional format and championship game, but as luck would have, the conference crown will still be decided in the final week of the season. The 10th-ranked Oklahoma Sooners (9-2) will visit the third-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys (10-1), and the winner will earn an automatic bid to a BCS bowl. For the Cowboys, a win could mean a shot at the national title, but a loss could mean missing out on a BCS bowl all together. Meanwhile, Oklahoma will be trying to salvage a disappointing season by playing spoiler to the rival Cowboys and picking up a Big 12 title in the process.
Offensively, these two programs are mirror images of each other. High-powered, pass-heavy offenses drive both teams, and they are two of the best in the nation at scoring points. The Cowboys rank second nationally, averaging 49.8 points per game. The Sooners aren’t far behind, averaging 43.0 a contest. Oklahoma State and Oklahoma rank second and third in terms of passing yards per game, with both teams averaging more than 375 yards through the air. It is hard to imagine this game developing into anything other than a high-scoring shootout.
At the center of the scoring outburst will be the opposing quarterbacks. Oklahoma quarterback Landry Jones has thrown for more than 4,000 yards and 28 touchdowns this season, while Cowboys’ QB Brandon Weeden has thrown for more than 4,100 yards and 34 scores. Both players have been none to take some chances, logging 12 interceptions each, but Jones is in a more dangerous situation this weekend. While both defenses struggle to defend the pass, the Cowboys also lead the nation in forcing turnovers. Giving either side extra possessions on offense, is a recipe for disaster.
The Sooners’ chances are also hurt by the fact that star receiver Ryan Broyles is out for the year with a knee injury. Oklahoma certainly missed him and his big play ability in a 45-38 loss to Baylor two weeks ago, and the Sooners could use all the firepower they can get to outscore the Cowboys. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State’s star receiver Justin Blackmon is fully healthy and has been a monster lately. In what should be a high-scoring game, Blackmon’s ability to make big play will be crucial.
While the passing game for both teams will be at the forefront, the X-factor could be Oklahoma State running back Joseph Randle. He has run for more than 1,000 yards this season and has scored an impressive 21 touchdowns. Randle gives the Oklahoma State offense a change of pace option that the Sooners lack. More importantly, he gives them another weapon in the red zone when passing lanes become tough to find. With Oklahoma’s defense begin forced to focus on stopping Weeden, Randle could have a big game.
This game is likely going to be a back-and-forth offensive outburst. These two teams don’t like each other to begin with, and the intensity is only going to increase with a Big 12 title and a BCS bowl on the line. The Cowboys have had the more balanced and more effective offense all season, and with the Sooners missing Broyles, Oklahoma will likely come up a few plays short in this one.
Prediction: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-3) Cover the Spread
Free College Football Picks and NCAAF Predictions: Oklahoma St -3 to cover the spread
|College Football: Oklahoma @ Oklahoma St
Time: 8:00 PM EST on ABC
Vegas Odds – Favorite: Oklahoma St -3.5 Total: Over/Under 71
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