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Author Archives | Brian Polking

2017 College Football Bowl Game Picks: Boca Raton, Frisco, Gasparilla, Bahamas & Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

2017 College Football Bowl Game Picks: Boca Raton, Frisco, Gasparilla, Bahamas & Famous Idaho Potato Bowls: After a big opening wave of games, college football bowl season continues Monday, Dec. 19, and sprinkles in a game or two each day over the next week. While the top teams in the country won’t be in action just yet, the upcoming bowl games can still be a nice appetizer to the upcoming main course. They can also be a way to make some money.

The Cheribundi Tart Cherry Bowl gets the action started, and the following day the DXL Frisco Bowl takes center stage. The Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl will be held Dec. 21, and the Bahamas Bowl and Famous Idaho Potato Bowl will help usher in the weekend.

I’ve got you covered for the week-long slate of games with a closer look at each of the five matchups.

2017 College Football Bowl Game Picks: Boca Raton, Frisco, Gasparilla, Bahamas & Famous Idaho Potato Bowls

Cheribundi Tart Cherry Boca Raton Bowl: Florida Atlantic vs. Akron

Lane Kiffin has Florida Atlantic rolling, and the Owls enter this matchup with a 10-3 record and an offense that is averaging nearly 40 points per game. Florida Atlantic running back Devin Singletary has run for nearly 1,800 yards and scored 29 times, and the Zips are allowing nearly 200 yards per game to opponents on the ground. Akron is fresh off a loss to Toledo when they Rockets topped 40 points for the second time this year against the Zips. Look for the Owls to exploit Akron’s leaky defense and win easily. If you are playing a confidence point bowl betting challenge, you might want to bet the house on Kiffin’s team.

Prediction: Florida Atlantic Owls (-23) Cover the Spread

DXL Frisco Bowl: SMU vs. Louisiana Tech

Consistency hasn’t been the strong suit of either of these teams, and the Mustangs enter the matchup at 7-5 while the Bulldogs sit at 6-6. In terms of offensive firepower, the Mustangs have an enormous edge. Led by dynamic receivers Courtland Sutton and Trey Quinn. However, SMU’s defense is allowing over 35 points per game and almost 500 yards. The Bulldogs should be able to put up some points of their own, but in the end, I think the Mustangs’ scoring ability and playmaking receivers will be the difference.

Prediction: SMU Mustangs (-5) Cover the Spread

Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl: Temple vs. Florida International

These teams are remarkably even across the board, and while the Panthers’ 8-4 record is better than the Owls’ 6-6 mark, their offensive and defensive numbers are practically identical. Yes, Temple plays in the stronger conference overall, but the Owls weren’t really competitive on either side of the ball against top competition. Temple was blown out by Notre Dame, South Florida and UCF. Of course, Florida International isn’t on par with those teams, but I think the Panthers are good enough to keep things close. I’ll take FIU and the points.

Prediction: Florida International Panthers (+7.5) Cover the Spread

Bahamas Bowl: UAB vs. Ohio

Hats off to the Blazers for resurrecting their program and earning a bowl bid, but I think the Bobcats will be too much in this one. Yes, the Bobcats have been a little shaky in the secondary, but the Blazers aren’t even averaging 200 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, Ohio is averaging 38.9 points per game thanks in large part to a versatile running back group that has accounted for 40 touchdowns and more than 240 yards per game. Granted, UAB has been no pushover on defense, but the Bobcats should be able to ride their potent rushing attack and wear down the Blazers and eventually pull away.

Prediction: Ohio Bobcats (-7.5) Cover the Spread

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Wyoming vs. Central Michigan

The Chippewas have been hot of late, and they bring a five-game winning streak into this one. Even with a potential Top 5 pick in the NFL Draft under center in Josh Allen, Wyoming had been struggling to score points with a lackluster supporting cast. Now, Allen might not even play in this game because of an injury. With Allen, the Cowboys have a chance to keep pace against a shaky Chippewas defense. Without Allen, I don’t see how they keep up with quarterback Shane Morris and a decent Central Michigan offense. Not surprisingly, the is no spread up yet for this one as oddsmakers wait on Allen’s status, but even if he does suit up, I’ll take the Chippewas straight up.

Prediction: Central Michigan Chippewas Win the Game

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2017 College Football Bowl Picks: Celebration, New Orleans, AutoNation Cure, Las Vegas, New Mexico & Camellia Bowls

2017 College Football Bowl Picks & Predictions: Celebration, New Orleans, AutoNation Cure, Las Vegas, New Mexico & Camellia Bowls: If you are a fan of college football, the most wonderful time of year is about to begin. With the conference championship games in the books and the College Football Playoff set, it is officially time to kick off bowl season.

The action begins Saturday, Dec. 16, with a full slate of games. There are six games on the schedule, and while only one ranked team is in action, you don’t need a bunch of powerhouses in action to make some money.

With that in mind, here is a closer look at the matchups for the Celebration Bowl, New Orleans Bowl, AutoNation Cure Bowl, Las Vegas Bowl, New Mexico Bowl and Camellia Bowl and my picks to win the first wave of bowl games.

2017 College Football Bowl Picks: Celebration, New Orleans, AutoNation Cure, Las Vegas, New Mexico & Camellia Bowls

Celebration Bowl: North Carolina A&T vs. Grambling

This is actually a bowl game rematch for these two teams, and while Grambling won a 10-9 defensive battle last year, an offense shootout could be on tap this time around. Both teams are averaging more than 32 points per game, dominating lesser conferences on both sides of the ball. North Carolina A&T went 11-0 and won the MEAC, and quarterback Lamar Raynard took home conference player of the year honors. Grambling went 11-1 on the way to a SWAC title. I think Raynard is the best player on the field in this one and will lead North Carolina A&T to a win.

Prediction: North Carolina A&T Aggies Win

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl: Troy vs. North Texas

North Texas looks better on paper, but the Mean Green have definitely padded their numbers against weaker competition while struggling against decent opponents. Meanwhile, the Trojans bring a six-game winning streak and the momentum into this matchup, and they also boast a win over LSU. I think Troy has the superior athletes on both sides of the ball and ends up winning a lower-scoring game.

Prediction: Troy Trojans (-6) Cover the Spread

AutoNation Cure Bowl: Western Kentucky vs. Georgia State

When you hear arguments about their being too many bowl games, matchups like this come to mind. Georgia State has an anemic offense that is averaging less than 20 points per game, and Western Kentucky has been falling apart down the stretch, losing four of its last five games. Of course, somebody has to win, and the Hilltoppers can at least score some points once and a while. Western Kentucky quarterback Mike White has thrown for nearly 4,000 yards, and he will be the difference in this one.

Prediction: Western Kentucky (+4.5) Cover the Spread

Las Vegas Bowl: Oregon vs. No. 25 Boise State

The Broncos are the ranked team in this matchup and boast a stingy defense, but while it has been a hard fall the last couple of years for Oregon, the Ducks have shown some muscle since quarterback Justin Herbert got back under center. Overall, Oregon is 6-1 when Herbert starts, and the Ducks scored 48 and 69 points, respectively, when he returned for the last two games. With Herbert and workhorse running back Royce Freeman leading the offense, I think the Broncos’ highly-ranked defense is going to be in for a rude awakening.

Prediction: Oregon Ducks (-7) Cover the Spread

GILDAN New Mexico Bowl: Marshall vs. Colorado State

Marshall has been scuffling to the finish line, dropping four of its last five. More importantly, the Rams have a potent offense, averaging over 500 yards per game. They also have the best player on the field in receiver Michael Gallup. He has 94 catches for 1,345 yards, and he might earn himself the Biletnikoff Award. Whether Gallup does the damage himself or draws enough attention to make life easier for 1,300-yard back Dalyn Dawkins, I expect the Colorado State offense to overwhelm Marshall.

Prediction: Colorado State Rams (-5.5) Cover the Spread

Raycom Media Camellia Bowl: Middle Tennessee vs. Arkansas State

Arkansas State boasts a powerful offense and a shaky defense, but Middle Tennessee just isn’t built to exploit this matchup. The Blue Raiders are averaging just 24.8 points per game, so there is no guarantee they will be able to put up a lot of points. More concerning, Middle Tennessee is allowing almost 300 passing yards per game and doesn’t force many turnovers, so Arkansas State quarterback Justice Hansen and his 34 passing touchdowns should light up the scoreboard. I think the Red Wolves win comfortably.

Prediction: Arkansas State Red Wolves (-4) Cover the Spread

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2017 College Football Picks and Predictions: Ranking the Heisman Trophy Finalists

2017 College Football Picks and Predictions – Ranking the Heisman Trophy Finalists: Another college football regular season has come and gone, but before the 40-plus bowl games will be played, one player will add their name to the prestigious list of Heisman Trophy winners.

The finalists have been announced, and three players will make the trip to New York. Oklahoma Sooners quarterback Baker Mayfield will make yet another appearance as a finalist, and he will be joined by the defending winner, Louisville Cardinals quarterback Lamar Jackson. The newcomer to the table will be Stanford running back Bryce Love.

The fact that only three players were invited to New York tells you how far these three players have separated themselves from the pack, and Mayfield has to be considered the overwhelming favorite. With that in mind, here is a closer look at each finalist and how I see the final votes playing out for the 2017 Heisman Memorial Trophy.

2017 College Football Picks and Predictions: Ranking the Heisman Trophy Finalists

  1. Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma Sooners

The Oklahoma quarterback seized command of the Heisman race as conference play heated up, and he never really relinquished the lead. In fact, he is basically a lock to take home the award. The lone knock would be his occasional immature antics, but other recent winners have done far worse and still hoisted the trophy. Mayfield’s numbers include 4,340 passing yards, 41 passing touchdowns to just five interceptions and five rushing touchdowns. He is also the engine that drives one of the best offenses in the country for the No. 2 team. He even had a couple of Heisman “moments, tossing three scores to knock off the Ohio State Buckeyes in Columbus and throwing for 598 yards and soring six times in a shootout win over rival Oklahoma State.

  1. Bryce Love, RB, Stanford Cardinal 

Love is sitting just 27 rushing yards short of 2,000 on the year, and that total becomes far more impressive when you consider he played most of the year with an ankle sprain and missed a game against Pac-12 doormat Oregon State because of the injury. He has scored 17 times while averaging 8.3 yards per carry, and that was with every defense knowing he was Stanford’s only dependable offensive weapon. He ran for 301 yards against Arizona State, and although Stanford lost the Pac-12 title game to USC, voters watched him limp off the field time and time again, only to return to rip off big runs to keep the Cardinal afloat. HGis consistent, high-end production despite an ankle injury and a mediocre supporting cast and his overall value to his team will be reward with a runner-up finish in the Heisman voting.

  1. Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville Cardinals

Repeating as the Heisman winner is darn near impossible, and whether they admit it or not, voters will look for any reason to prevent a player from repeating. Jackson’s numbers this year are practically identical to last year’s numbers, and he has thrown for nearly 3.500 yards and rushing for more than 1,400. He has also combined to score 42 touchdowns. Unfortunately, the Cardinals just didn’t have the team success, finishing 8-4. An uncompetitive loss to Clemson was forgivable, but losses to Syracuse, Boston College and Wake Forest won’t sit well with voters, even if Jackson put up excellent numbers in those games. Jackson was probably a better player this year than last, but he is going to have to settle for a return trip to New York and not back-to-back Heisman trophies.

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2017 NFL Power Rankings: Top 5 MVP Candidates

2017 NFL Power Rankings – Top 5 MVP Candidates: The 2017-18 NFL season is already hitting its home stretch, and while the playoff race is still wide open, the battle for Most Valuable Player honors has already narrowed. While it is never too late for a great player to make a push for the award, heading into Week 13 of the season, it looks like a two-horse race between Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz and New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady.

Of course, there are plenty of big games remaining over the final month of the season that could allow someone else to sneak in and steal MVP honors. For a closer look at how the frontrunners stack up and who is waiting in the wings, check out my Week 13 NFL MVP Power Rankings.

2017 NFL Power Rankings: Top 5 MVP Candidates

  1. Carson Wentz, QB, Philadelphia Eagles

When you are the statistically the best quarterback on the team with the best record in the NFL, you are always going to be at the forefront of the MVP discussion. His 28 passing touchdowns are tops in the NFL, and he has propelled the Eagles to a 10-1 record thus far. Yes, the Eagles made some upgrades on offense in the offseason, but it is the play of Wentz that has taken this team to the next level. He has a tough stretch coming up, but if he and the Eagles come out still looking strong, Wentz could be looking at his first MVP in just his second season.

  1. Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots

Brady is one of those all-time great players who tend to get overlooked simply because they have set the bar so high, but he is playing at such a high level this year that MVP honors could be inevitable. Despite a laundry list of injuries to his supporting cast, Brady leads the NFL in passing yards and QB rating by a sizeable margin, and he ranks second in touchdown passes. Meanwhile, the Patriots are clipping along at a 9-2 pace, putting them in position to claim the top seed in the AFC. If Carson Wenz falters at all, Brady will be waiting.

  1. Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks

He might not have the prettiest stats, but I’m not sure any player is asked to do more on a game-to-game basis than Wilson. The Seahawks have no running game, no offensive line, and the defense is banged up. Wilson has still managed to lead Seattle to a 7-4 record, and he currently ranks third in the NFL in both passing yards and passing touchdowns. He has also rushed for more than 400 yards, and his 6.2 yards per carry are the second-best average of his career. The Seahawks have saddled Wilson with their playoff hopes, and so far, he is keeping them in contention.

  1. Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers 

Remember when the Steelers were in disarray as a team and quarterback Ben Roethlisberger needed to be benched? Pittsburgh is now 9-2 and are tied for the best record in the AFC. Meanwhile, Brown leads the NFL with 80 receptions, and his 1,195 receiving yards are also tops in the NFL. His eight scores are just one behind the league leader, and it is no coincidence that the Steelers’ season got back on track when Roethlisberger went back to feeding Brown early and often.

  1. Todd Gurley, RB, Los Angeles Rams

While the improvement of quarterback Jared Goff has certainly helped the cause, head coach Sean McVay’s decision to feature Gurley as an every-down back has helped transform the Rams offense from arguably the worst in the league to one of the best. The Rams are on top of the NFC West with an 8-3 record, and Gurley leads the conference with 856 rushing yards, putting him third in the NFL. He is also tied for the league lead with eight rushing scores, and he has added 42 catches for 479 yards and three more scores. Gurley has been unleashed, and he is proving to be one of the most versatile weapons in the entire NFL.

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2017 ACC Championship Game Odds and Prediction – Miami-Fl vs Clemson Free Pick

2017 ACC Championship Game Odds and Prediction – Miami-Fl vs Clemson Free Pick: A spot in the College Football Playoff is likely on the line when the top-ranked Clemson Tigers (11-1) take on the No. 7 Miami Hurricanes (10-1) in the ACC Championship Game Saturday. Clemson could still conceivably make the playoffs with a loss, but whichever side emerges with the conference crown can rest assured that it will have a shot at a national title. Both teams have just one blemish on their resumes, but the Tigers are the heavy favorites in this one, giving 9.5 points to the Hurricanes. You can bet on this game by opening up a sports betting account atBovada Sportsbook. You will receive a 50% bonus upto $250 FREE on your 1st deposit.

It has been a resurgent year for Miami, but if the Hurricanes really want to make a statement, they need to dethrone Clemson. Quarterback Malik Rosier has stabilized the offense, and the defense has been feasting on turnovers. Miami has had a nasty habit of playing down to its competition all year, but the Hurricanes routed Virginia Tech and Notre Dame, so their resume has some substance.

While it hasn’t all been smooth sailing for the defending national champions, the Tigers are in position to defend both their conference title and national title if they keep winning. They own an out-of-conference win over Auburn that looks more impressive by the week, and they have won every game by a touchdown or more. Granted, the offense hasn’t been as explosive as it was when Deshaun Watson was under center, but Clemson’s lone loss came when starter Kelly Bryant left with an injury. Meanwhile, the defense has been as stout as ever, and the Tigers are currently ranked fourth in the country in scoring defense, allowing just 13.5 points per game.

2017 ACC Championship Game Odds and Prediction – Miami-Fl vs Clemson Free Pick

The Hurricanes Win If:

The “Turnover Chain” has grabbed headlines all year, and the fast, opportunistic Miami defense is going to have to do the heavy lifting in this one. Turnovers have keyed the Miami offense all year, and Rosier and company aren’t going to be able to go the length of the field against this Clemson defense with any type of consistency. The Hurricanes need to force multiple turnovers and capitalize on them while taking care of the ball on offense. If the Tigers control the clock and field position, Miami simply doesn’t have the firepower to keep pace. If the “Turnover Chain” is a frequent site on the sidelines, Miami is going to be in prime position toe win this one.

The Tigers Win If:

While the Tigers’ defense might not be a turnover-forcing machine, Clemson is ferocious along the defensive line and doesn’t give up yards easy. As long as the Clemson offense takes care of the ball and doesn’t give the Hurricanes a short field, Miami should have a tough time scoring. Offensively, Bryant needs to make smart throws and extend drives with his legs, but more importantly, he needs to make sure Clemson’s superior playmakers touch the ball as often as possible. There is a reason that Clemson more than a touchdown favorite in this one. Top to bottom, they are the more talented team. They just can’t make mistake to make Miami’s job easier and give the Hurricanes the momentum wave they have been riding all year.

Bottom Line:

The cast of characters isn’t exactly the same, and while I’m not sure the Tigers can win another national title without the X-factor that was Deshaun Watson, they still have more than enough firepower to win this game. You can’t take away from what Miami has been able to do this year, but the Hurricanes live and die with turnovers, and I don’t see Clemson making that many mistakes in this one. The bigger issue for Miami will be putting points on the board. This is an offense that has scored under 30 points in six of its last eight games, and now the Hurricanes have to try to score against one of the stingiest defenses in the country. It isn’t a recipe for success, and I think the Tigers’ overall balance will allow them to take command of this game when all is said and done.

Prediction: Clemson Tigers (-9.5) Cover the Spread

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2017 SEC Championship Game Odds and Prediction – Auburn vs Georgia Free Pick

2017 SEC Championship Game Odds and Prediction – Auburn vs Georgia Free Pick: If you like high stakes, then you will love the SEC Championship Game. The No. 6 Georgia Bulldogs (11-1) will take on the No. 2 Auburn Tigers (10-2) with the conference crown and a spot in the College Football Playoff up for grabs. These two teams met just a few weeks, with the Tigers crushing the then No. 1 Bulldogs 40-17, but that game was in Auburn’s backyard. The oddsmakers don’t expect the rematch to be as one sided, and the Tigers enter the matchup as two-point favorites. You can bet on this game by opening up a sports betting account atBovada Sportsbook. You will receive a 50% bonus upto $250 FREE on your 1st deposit.

Other than the roadblock that was Auburn, Georgia tore through most of its schedule thanks to dominant run game and stingy defense. The duo of Nick Chubb and Sony Michel give the Bulldogs an incredible 1-2 punch in the backfield, and Jake Fromm has stabilized the quarterback spot. Defensively, Georgia is allowing less than 14 points per game and just 112 yards on the ground.

For the Tigers, close losses to Clemson and LSU early in the year were erased thanks to knocking off No. 1 Georgia and No. 1 Alabama in the Iron Bowl in the span of three weeks to win the SEC West. Running back Kerryon Johnson has been a workhorse, but he suffered a shoulder injury against the Crimson Tide. He is expected to play, but it is definitely something to keep in mind. Quarterback Jarrett Stidham has come into his own down the stretch, making plays with his arm and his legs. Overall, the Tigers can hold their own in the trenches with any team in the country.

2017 SEC Championship Game Odds and Prediction – Auburn vs Georgia Free Pick

The Bulldogs Win If:

For the Bulldogs to flip the script this time around, they have to do a better job at winning the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. The first time around, Johnson ran for 167 yards. Meanwhile, Chubb led the Bulldogs with just 27 rushing yards. If the rushing numbers are anywhere near that this Saturday, this game will be just as ugly. It’s a simple concept, and while it might be difficult to execute, Georgia has to find a way to run the ball efficiently and stop Auburn from doing the same to have a chance.

The Tigers Win If:

Auburn needs Johnson to be at least 80 percent of himself in this one, and if the Tigers establish their power ground game, it allows everything else to fall into place. Stidham needs to continue to extend drives with his legs, and if he takes advantage of the big-play passing opportunities that develop off the run game, it’s almost unfair. Defensively, Auburn already knows the recipe for success. Fromm has been solid, but he is a counterpunch to Chub and Michel. If the Tigers limit Georgia’s ground game on early downs and force Fromm to beat the, the rematch could get as ugly as the original.

Bottom Line:

The Bulldogs were completely overwhelmed the first time these teams squared off, and while I expect them to be better prepared this time around, I don’t think the end result is going to be much different. Both teams are going to be doing everything in their power to slow their opponent’s ground attack, and even if both succeed, Auburn has the more experienced and more versatile Stidham to turn to. Fromm’s chances of throwing the Bulldogs to the win are slim, and the Tigers know this. An early exit from Johnson if his injury flares up could be a game changer, but I think Auburn is the more balanced team and is simply firing on all cylinders at the right time.

Prediction: Auburn Tigers (-2) Cover the Spread

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2017 Big 12 Championship Game Odds and Prediction – TCU vs Oklahoma Free Pick

2017 Big 12 Championship Game Odds and Prediction – TCU vs Oklahoma Free Pick: It will be a rematch of a regular season meeting when the No. 11 TCU Horned Frogs (10-2) face the No. 3 Oklahoma Sooners (11-1) in the Big 12 Championship Game. For the Sooners, the game is also a chance to wrap up a spot in the College Football Playoff for the second year in a row and a chance for quarterback Baker Mayfield to secure himself the Heisman Trophy. You can bet on this game by opening up a sports betting account atBovada Sportsbook. You will receive a 50% bonus upto $250 FREE on your 1st deposit.

The first time around, TCU simply couldn’t keep pace with the Sooners. Mayfield threw for 333 yards and three scores, and running back Rodney Anderson ran for 151 yards and two scores and added 139 yards receiving and two more scores in a 38-20 win. Not surprisingly, Oklahoma is a touchdown favorite in the rematch.

Of course, the Sooners are used to piling up gaudy offensive numbers. Mayfield and company are averaging 45.3 points per game, and their balanced assault is piling up nearly 600 yards per game. The Horned Frogs aren’t exactly slouches offensively, but they are the contrarians in the conference, leaning more on their defense to take care of business. Entering the title game, TCU is allowing just 15.7 points per game.

2017 Big 12 Championship Game Odds and Prediction – TCU vs Oklahoma Free Pick

The Horned Frogs Win If:

If TCU is going to pull off the upset, the Horned Frogs have to limit Oklahoma big plays. Shutting down the Sooners completely isn’t realistic, but if TCU can at least make Mayfield and company earn their points, the score can remain manageable. Offensively, TCU needs a great game from quarterback Kenny Hill. Sustained drives that end in points are ideal, and avoiding turnovers are an absolute must. Wasting possessions and giving the Sooners a short field is a recipe for a blowout. If TCU can take the air out of the ball to a degree and create a more methodical pace, the Horned Frogs have a chance.

The Sooners Win If:

When the Oklahoma offense is humming on all cylinders, there aren’t many teams that can keep pace, especially a defensive-minded team like the Horned Frogs. The Sooners need to jump on top early and turn this game into a track meet, and they need to avoid giving away points with dumb mistakes and turnovers. Defensively, the Sooners need to get off the field when they have a chance. If TCU is able to control the clock, it only helps the Horned Frogs solid defense while simultaneously taking the ball out of the hands of Oklahoma’s biggest weapon. These two teams have contrasting styles. The Sooners need to make sure TCU has to play at an up-tempo pace and not vice versa.

Bottom Line:

The Horned Frogs deserve a lot of credit for exceeding expectations and using their defense to challenge for a conference title in a league that is built around offensive juggernauts. However, the Sooners are more than just a product of the offensive-minded Big 12. Oklahoma has talent on the defensive side of the ball, and their offense stacks up with any team in the country. Meanwhile, the Horned Frogs have scored less than 30 points in four of their last five games, including a 14-7 loss to Iowa State. Unless Mayfield and company come out and lay an absolute egg, I don’t see anyway that TCU can put enough points on the board to hang in this one. Oklahoma pulled away the first time these teams met, and I expect the exact same scenario to unfold Saturday.

Prediction: Oklahoma Sooners (-7) Cover the Spread

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2017 PAC 12 Championship Game Odds and Prediction – Stanford vs USC Free Pick

2017 PAC 12 Championship Game Odds and Prediction – Stanford vs USC Free Pick: While most of the Power 5 conference title game will be de facto play-in games for the College Football Playoff, the Pac-12 Championship Game will be a different story. The No. 12 Stanford Cardinal (9-3) will take on the No. 10 USC Trojans (10-2) with a winner earning a spot in one of the prestigious New Year’s Six bowl games. The game is a rematch of an earlier meeting, which USC won 42-24 at home. The Trojans are favored to win again at Bovada Sportsbook, but they are only three-point favorites in Friday’s showdown. You can bet on this game by opening up a sports betting account at Bovada. You will receive a 50% bonus upto $250 FREE on your 1st deposit.

Stanford has been a tough team to predict this year. In addition to their ugly loss to USC, the Cardinal lost to San Diego State and barely squeaked by an awful Oregon State team. On the flip side, Stanford knocked off a strong Washington team and completely dismantled the same Notre Dame team that crushed the Trojans. Running back Bryce Love is the heart and soul of the offense, but the explosive back has been bothered by a nagging ankle injury for the last several weeks. The Cardinal have run hot and cold defensively, as well, but they have been pretty stout down the stretch.

The Trojans started the year among the national title favorites, and quarterback Sam Darnold was the Heisman Trophy frontrunner. That quickly changed on both accounts with a road loss to Washington State and an embarrassing loss to Notre Dame. Darnold has turned the ball over more than expected this year, and while the offense is still loaded with explosive weapons, USC has had trouble living up to its talent level on both sides of the ball.

2017 PAC 12 Championship Game Odds and Prediction – Stanford vs USC Free Pick

The Cardinal Win If:

If Stanford is going to prevent history from repeating itself, the Cardinal have to limit USC’s big plays. Not only did Darnold carve them up the first time around, but the Trojans also had two players rush for more than 100 yards. Stanford isn’t going to win a shootout with Darnold and company, so the Cardinal can’t afford to let USC move the ball up and down the field at will. Offensively, Stanford needs Love’s ankle to hold up, and the Cardinal need to control the line of scrimmage and the pace of the game. USC has the edge in speed and athleticism, but if Stanford establishes a physical style early, the Trojans could wear down late in the game.

The Trojans Win If:

While it’s easier said than done, the Trojans really just need to repeat their performance from the first time around, and Stanford isn’t going to have an answer. A quick start offensively from USC will prevent Stanford from turning the game into a smash-mouth affair, and it will eventually force the Cardinal to try to match Darnold and company point for point in a fast-pace shootout. The Trojans are going to win that style of game almost every time, and they should certainly win it against a Stanford team built to punish and wear down teams. Last but not least, Darnold has to avoid sloppy turnovers. The Trojans don’t want to give away chances to put points on the board while also giving Stanford more time to control the pace.

Bottom Line:

This matchup is a clash of styles at its best, and the first time around, it was the speed and explosiveness of USC reigning supreme. Stanford has improved a lot since then, and few teams will beat you up as consistently as the Cardinal. Unfortunately for Stanford, the Trojans still have one of the best quarterbacks in the country leading their offense, and the Cardinal’s potential equalizer, Love, is not going to be 100 percent. I expect Love to give another gritty performance, but in the end, I think USC’s superior offensive firepower will rule the day once again.

Prediction: USC Trojans (-3) Cover the Spread

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2017 Big Ten Championship Odds and Prediction – Wisconsin vs Ohio State Free Pick

2017 Big Ten Championship Odds and Prediction – Wisconsin vs Ohio State Free Pick: A spot in the College Football Playoff could be on the line for both teams when the No. 8 Ohio State Buckeyes (10-2) take on the No. 3 Wisconsin Badgers (12-0) in the Big Ten Championship Game. For the Badgers, a win would continue an undefeated season and cement their status as one of the four playoffs teams. If the Buckeyes win, they will give themselves a fighting chance to sneak into playoffs while essentially eliminating Wisconsin from consideration in the process. The Badgers may be undefeated, but it is the Buckeyes favored by six points in this matchup at Bovada Sportsbook. You can bet on this game by opening up a sports betting account at Bovada. You will receive a 50% bonus upto $250 FREE on your 1st deposit.

It has been a rollercoaster year for the Buckeyes, who have looked like an unstoppable offensive juggernaut at times but completely collapsed in the second half of losses to Oklahoma and Iowa. Quarterback J.T. Barrett leads a balanced offense that is averaging 43.8 points per game and is piling up more than 250 yards rushing and passing per game. The Buckeyes aren’t too shabby defensively either, and the unit is allowing less than 20 points per game thanks in large part to one of the deepest defensive fronts in the country.

The Badgers have powered their way to a perfect 12-0 record thanks to a dominant running game and one of the stingiest defenses in the country. Running back Jonathan Taylor has more than 1,800 yards entering the conference titles game, and quarterback Alex Hornibrook has made the throws when he has need to. Defensively, Wisconsin is allowing just 12.0 points per game and just 236 yards. In fact, Wisconsin has allowed just one opponent to score more than 17 points in a game this year.

2017 Big Ten Championship Odds and Prediction – Wisconsin vs Ohio State Free Pick

The Buckeyes Win If:

For as dominant as the Ohio State offense looks at times, the Buckeyes tend to lose their rhythm when they can’t control the tempo with their ground game. Barrett has been mediocre, at best, when it comes to pushing the ball down the field, and the Buckeyes aren’t going to be able to put up many points on Wisconsin by dinking and dumping passes underneath. If Ohio State gets Mike Webber Jr. and J.K. Dobbins rolling early, everything else will fall into place offensively. On the defensive side of the ball, the Buckeyes have to make the Badgers beat them with the pass. If the Buckeyes can force Wisconsin into obvious passing downs, they can turn loose their array of excellent pass-rushers and make life miserable for Hornibrook.

The Badgers Win If:

If Wisconsin is going to keep its undefeated season alive, the Badgers need to make sure this game is a defensive battle and not a high-scoring shootout. In order to do that, they need to control the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball, making the Ohio State offense one dimensional and preventing the Ohio State defense from pinning its ears back and attacking the quarterback. Barrett is an accomplished quarterback, and he has made his share of big plays. However, there is no doubt that the Ohio State offense is better when Barrett doesn’t have to be a one-man show. If Wisconsin is the more physical team running the ball, the Badgers are going to be in great shape.

Bottom Line:

Everyone seems to be assuming the Buckeyes will roll in this one and are looking ahead to the College Football Playoff scenarios that will unfold. However, the Badgers match up pretty well with the presumed conference champs. It’s not just that Wisconsin is allowing a mere 12.0 points per game. The Badgers are only allowing 80.5 rushing yards per game, and when Ohio State can’t establish a consistent running game, the powerful offense becomes predictable and defendable. Wisconsin also has the muscle in the trenches and a workhorse back in Taylor to take the air out of Ohio State’s vaunted pass rush. I expect this to be an ugly, low-scoring affair. I wouldn’t hesitate to take the Badgers straight up in this one, and I’ll definitely take them with six points.

Prediction: Wisconsin Badgers (+6) Cover the Spread

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2017 College Football Power Rankings: Top 5 Heisman Trophy Candidates

2017 College Football Power Rankings: Top 5 Heisman Trophy Candidates: Rivalry week is ready to descend on the college football universe, and with just a couple of weeks left before bowl selection begins, it is time for the Heisman hopefuls to make their final push.

In recent weeks, we have seen Ohio State quarterback J.T. Barrett and Notre Dame running back Josh Adams all but fall out of the mix, and Arizona quarterback Khalil Tate is coming off an ugly performance that likely derailed his late season push.

With that in mind, the list of potential Heisman winners has dwindled, and a clear frontrunner has emerged. For a closer look at the all the top candidates, including the favorite, check out my Heisman Trophy rankings heading into Week 13 of the college football season.

2017 College Football Power Rankings: Top 5 Heisman Trophy Candidates

  1. Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma Sooners

Mayfield and company overwhelmed a hapless Kansas team, and he is turning the Heisman race into a lopsided affair as the Sooners steamroll towards a Big 12 title and a spot in the College Football Playoff. He is up to 34 passing touchdowns, and he is completing passes at a 70.8 percent clip. He won’t start his final home game because of some questionable gestures he made against the Jayhawks, but while immature, his behavior probably wasn’t bad enough to have any impact on his Heisman stock. Voters still picked Johnny Manziel after all. Mayfield will have to fall on his face in the final couple of games to blow this.

  1. Bryce Love, RB, Stanford Cardinal

His numbers are still impressive, but Love’s nagging ankle injury has cost him one game and forced him in and out of the lineup in several others. He still has nine 100-yard games and more than 1,700 rushing yards on the year, and his 8.8 yards per carry are pretty incredible considering Stanford’s one-dimensional offense. If Love’s ankle holds up and he has an epic game against Notre Dame, he might have a puncher’s chance at the Heisman just because of all the eyes the Fighting Irish bring to the table. However, he would probably still need Baker Mayfield to stumble to overtake the Oklahoma quarterback.

  1. Saquon Barkley, RB, Penn State Nittany Lions

The do-it-all back for the Nittany Lions continues to pile up accolades, and he now holds the Penn State record for career rushing touchdowns. His numbers are still worthy of a trip to New York City, but his Heisman hopes disappeared, along with Penn State’s playoff hopes, with a couple of mediocre efforts in the middle of conference play. Barkley will likely be a Heisman finalist, but he’s not hosting the trophy.

  1. Jonathan Taylor, RB, Wisconsin Badgers

He piled up 132 rushing yards against Michigan to put him over 1,600 yards for the year, and Taylor is the workhorse of the offense of the undefeated Badgers. The competition has been questionable, but the fact remains that Wisconsin controls its own destiny in the Big Ten and in the College Football Playoff race. If the Badgers face Ohio State in the conference title game and Taylor runs wild in a win, he could vault himself all the way into the No. 2 spot. He needs everything to break right, but helping his team to an undefeated season would carry a lot of weight with voters, and there is no other player in the Heisman conversation that could boast the same accomplishment.

  1. Lamar Jackson, QB Louisville Cardinals

Louisville’s struggles as a team this year have eliminated Jackson from seriously contending for the Heisman, especially after setting the bar so high last year. That being said, he has quietly amassed video game-like numbers once again, and you will be hard pressed to find a more dynamic player in college football. He is a one-man wrecking crew for the Cardinals, and without his arm and his legs making plays, this team wouldn’t even be competitive. I think Jackson has done enough to be a finalist for the Heisman, but Archie Griffin’s status as the only two-time winner is still safe.

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