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Author Archives | Brian Polking

2016 Food City 300 Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites, Contenders & Sleepers

2016-Xfinity-Series-Odds-Free-Picks-Predictions2016 Food City 300 Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites, Contenders & Sleepers: The XFINITY Series will take a break from its heavy stretch of road course events with a trip to Bristol Motor Speedway this weekend. Friday night’s Food City 300 will be a companion race with the Cup Series, and as one of the most popular tracks, it is no surprise that several big names are pulling double duty. A loaded field at the high-banked short track should lead to an entertaining affair. Check out a closer look at the drivers to watch.

2016 Food City 300 Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites, Contenders & Sleepers

The Favorites

To say that Kyle Busch has dominated at Bristol would be a major understatement. He is an eight-time winner at the track, and seven of those wins have come in his last 11 starts here. Busch is also the defending winner of this weekend’s race, and he has finished third or better in seven straight starts at Bristol.

While it has been a few years since Brad Keselowski has made an XFINITY Series start at Bristol, he should return with a bang this weekend. He is a former winner at the track, and he has finished fourth or better in six of his 13 XFINITY starts here. Keselowski was the runner-up in his most-recent start at Bristol, and he should be back in the mix for the win Friday night.

He is still looking for his first win at Bristol, but Kyle Larson has already come close to winning on several occasions. He has cracked the top five in five of his six starts at the track, and more importantly, Larson has finished second three times.

The Contenders

After winning the spring race at Bristol, Erik Jones will try for a season sweep at the short track Friday night. His 4.3 average finish here is tied for the best in the series, and in three starts, he has never finished outside the top 10. Jones leads all series regulars in wins and top-five finishes, and he could add to both totals this weekend.

The other driver with a series-best 4.3 average finish at Bristol is Daniel Suarez. He has finished sixth or better in all three of his starts at the track, and he has finished as high as second. He has been in contention in every start he has made at Bristol, and there is no reason to expect that to change this weekend.

He has been rock solid at Bristol throughout his career, and in six starts here in the XFINITY Series, Ty Dillon has never finished worse than seventh. More importantly, he has cracked the top five in three of his last four starts. It is only a matter of time before Dillon breaks through and wins at Bristol.

He is a former winner at Bristol, and Justin Allgaier showed he hasn’t lost the feel for the track with his performance here in April. In his first start at Bristol since a fourth-place finish in 2013, he logged a top-five finish. Allgaier could be even better this weekend in his second start back since returning to the XFINTIY Series.

Although he has been in a slump at Bristol, Elliott Sadler is a former winner at the track at both the XFINITY and Cup level. He also enters Friday’s race as the point leader, so consistency has been his strength. Sadler could recapture his former Bristol magic this weekend.

The Sleeper

While Jeff Gordon has been subbing for Dale Earnhardt Jr. at the Cup level, Regan Smith will step in for Junior in the XFINITY Series event this weekend. The former JR Motorsports driver should know his equipment well, and he finished in the top 10 in three of his last four starts at Bristol. Smith’s unexpected return could end in impressive fashion.

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2016 Mid-Ohio 200 Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites, Contenders & Sleepers

2016-Xfinity-Series-Odds-Free-Picks-Predictions2016 Mid-Ohio 200 Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites, Contenders & Sleepers: There are certain races on the schedule that you just know are going to be wild affairs, and Saturday’s Mid-Ohio 200 is one of those races. For one, it is a road course event, and not many drivers have a lot of road course experience. Not to mention the fact that the Mid-Ohio Sports Car Course will be hosting an XFINITY Series race for just the fourth time, so no one has much experience at the track. Throw in the fact that the Sprint Cup Series has an off week, and the series is void of the typical big names who tend to dominate. With that in mind, here is a closer look at the drivers to watch.

2016 Mid-Ohio 200 Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites, Contenders & Sleepers

The Favorites

His starts in the XFINITY Series have been sporadic recently, but Sam Hornish Jr. already has one win under his belt as a part-time driver this season, and he could get another this weekend. He has three top-five finishes in his last five road course, including a third-place run at Mid-Ohio in 2013. Hornish has also led laps in all five races during the stretch, so there is no doubt he can run at the front of the field.

While he has only made one road course starts at the XFINITY level, Ryan Blaney left little doubt he is able to compete at a high level. He started third and finished second in a road course race last year, and he will be one of the most accomplished drivers in the field this weekend, driving one of the top cars, the Team Penske No. 22. Raw talent and elite equipment will go a long way.

 

His 6.3 average finish at Mid-Ohio is the best of any driver in the field this weekend, and Elliott Sadler has cracked the top 10 in all three of his starts at the track. The veteran is also one of the best road racers in the series, and he has finished in the top 10 in nine of his last 10 road course starts. In a weaker field, Sadler’s experience should put him in the hunt for the win.

The Contenders

He is a former road course winner, and Justin Allgaier has established himself as one of the better road course performers among the XFINITY regulars. He has four top-10s in four road course starts since 2013, and he finished eighth in his only start at Mid-Ohio. Given the field this weekend, Allgaier should have a good shot at his second road course win.

His aggressive style can ruffle some feathers, but it has also allowed Ty Dillon to compile a solid road racing resume. He has four top-10s in his last seven road course races, including a third-place run at Mid-Ohio last year. Dillon also led his most laps ever in a road course event at Watkins Glen earlier this year. A win should only be a matter of time.

Point leader Daniel Suarez doesn’t have a ton of road racing experience, but he appears to be a fast learner. He has three top-15 finishes in four road course starts, logging an 11th-place finish in his first start at Mid-Ohio last year and a fourth-place finish at Watkins Glen last weekend. With an even weaker field this weekend, his top-five finish could become a win.

The Sleepers

While he doesn’t driver for a powerhouse team, Brendan Gaughan has more than held his own in road course events in recent years. He actually picked up a road course win in 2014, and he logged a top-10 finish at the first road course event of the season last weekend at Watkins Glen. Gaughan has plenty of experience on his side, and he has shown can pull off an upset on a road course.

It has been a few years since he has made a start in the XFINITY Series, but Nelson Piquet Jr.’s extensive background in road course racing should serve him well. After all, he already has an XFINITY win at a road course under his belt from back in 2013. In a field lacking Cup regulars, Piquet’s road racing skill could make him a surprise factor despite the layoff.

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2016 Sprint Cup Series Power Rankings: Top 10 Championship Contenders

2016-Sprint-Cup-Series-Power-Rankings2016 Sprint Cup Series Power Rankings – Top 10 Championship Contenders: The start of NASCAR’s playoffs, also known as the Chase for the Sprint Cup championship, is just four races away, but before the regular season comes to an end, teams will enjoy one last off weekend. While the drivers and crews prepare for the stretch run, let’s take a closer look at the drivers that appear poised to contend for the crown.

2016 Sprint Cup Series Power Rankings: Top 10 Championship Contenders

  1. Brad Keselowski: Keselowski and his team have been the total package this season. His 10 top-five finishes are the second most in the series, and he is tied for the most wins. He heads into the off week as the point leader, and not only has he shown excellent speed week in and week out, but his crew chief always seems to be on the mark with pit strategy. If this team keeps firing on all cylinders, Keselowski could be a two-time champ by the end of the year.
  1. Kyle Busch: His four DNFs are a concern, but when he is dialed in, no driver has more upside than the defending champ. His four wins are tied for the most in the series, and his 11 top-five finishes lead all drivers. Busch also ranks second in laps led. If he makes it back to the final race in title contention, it is hard to see anyone outrunning Busch in a must-win race.
  1. Kevin Harvick: He won the title the first year the championship formula changed, and Harvick was the runner-up last year. No driver shows a more consistent blend of reliability and upside, and nothing has changed in 2016. His 17 top-10s are the most of any driver, and Harvick has led the third-most laps. If his pit crew can get its act together, he would probably have several more wins and be at the top of the power rankings.
  1. Martin Truex Jr.: I’m not sure if he broke a mirror or walked under a ladder, but no driver has shown more speed but had worse luck than Truex this year. His 990 laps led are the most in the series, but his three top-five finishes are the fewest of any driver in the top 10 in points. Still, Truex made the final race last year with a shot at the title, and he has shown an even higher ceiling this year. He will need his luck to change, but Truex has title-winning speed.
  1. Joey Logano: He has caught fire since the All-Star Race, and Logano is starting to look like the title contender he was expected to be. He has eight top-10s in 10 races since the All-Star Race, and he has six of his nine top-five finishes during the same stretch. Logano has also led laps in seven of those 10 races, so he is starting to flex some serious muscle.
  1. Kurt Busch: Busch deserves a ton of credit for the consistency he has displayed this season. His 16 top-10s are the second most of any driver, and he has managed to complete every lap through the first 22 races of the season, setting a new record. That being said, he has just one top-five finish in the right races since his win at Pocono, and while consistency could get him to the championship finale, it won’t be enough to net him a title.
  1. Carl Edwards: He looked like one of the drivers to beat for the title after winning back-to-back races at Bristol and Richmond in April, but Edwards has slipped a bit since. He has still delivered plenty of top-10 runs, but he has also sprinkled in a few DNFs and just hasn’t shown the consistent high-end speed. I’m not counting Edwards out, but other drivers are starting to peak while Edwards may have already shown his best hand.
  1. Matt Kenseth: Speed hasn’t been an issue for Kenseth. After all, he has two wins and ranks fifth in laps led this year. Unfortunately, luck hasn’t been on his side, and he has managed just four top-five finishes despite having strong cars on a routine basis. He could easily go on a hot streak and win the title, but he can’t seem to stay out of trouble for more than a few races in a row.
  1. Denny Hamlin: He picked up his second win of the year heading into the off week, and while Hamlin ran hot and cold at the beginning of the year, he could be catching fire at the right time. He has cracked the top 15 in nine of his last 11 starts, and he has logged four straight top-10s. Hamlin has twice gone into the final race with a chance to win the title. He just needs to seal the deal.
  1. Jimmie Johnson: It’s hard to believe the six-time champ is this low on the list, but like the rest of the Hendrick Motorsports team, Johnson has been off the mark recently. Yes, he grabbed two wins early in the year, but his eight top-10s are the fewest of any driver in the top 10 in points, and he has just one top 10 in nine races since the start of June. This team is running out of time to figure things out.

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2016 Cheez-It 355 at The Glen Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites and Contenders

2016-Xfinity-Series-Odds-Free-Picks-Predictions2016 Cheez-It 355 at The Glen Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites and Contenders: The Sprint Cup Series heads to Watkins Glen International for the second and final road course race of the 2016 season. The track is faster than the other road course on the schedule, Sonoma, but The Glen still requires drivers to possess an excellent combination of skills to handle the twisting corners and elevation changes. Some of the best names in the sport never master road racing while it seems to bring out the best in some surprising names. With that in mind, let’s take a closer look at the drivers to watch in Sunday’s Cheez-It 355 at The Glen.

2016 Cheez-It 355 at The Glen Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites and Contenders

The Favorites

He is a two-time winner at Watkins Glen, and Kyle Busch has nine top-10s in 11 career starts at the track. He finished second at the track last season, and no driver has led more laps in the last 10 road course races, leading at least 29 laps in three of the last five races at The Glen.

His 8.4 average finish at Watkins Glen is the best among active drivers, and in 10 career starts at the track, Carl Edwards has never finished outside the top 20. More importantly, he has nine straight top 15 finishes at the track, and he has five top-five finishes during that stretch, including two in his last three starts.

Road racing ace A.J. Allmendinger won at Watkins Glen in 2014, and the track has easily been his best on the schedule. In seven career starts, he has six top-15 finishes, and his 10.1 average finish ranks second among drivers in the field. To top it off, Allmendinger has led 20 or more laps in four of the last five road course events.

He is one of the most underrated road course racers in the series, and his seven top-10s in the last 10 road course events are the second most of any drivers. At Watkins Glen, he has six top-10s in his last eight starts, including three straight. Perhaps most importantly, Busch has back-to-back top-five finishes at The Glen since joining Stewart-Haas Racing.

The Contenders

He used fuel mileage to win at Watkins Glen last year, but even before the pit strategy came into play, Joey Logano was on his way to a top-five finish. Since joining Team Penske, he has been on an upswing at the track, finishing in the top 10 in all three starts and compiling a 4.8 average finish.

Although he has never won at Watkins Glen, Brad Keselowski has certainly come close on numerous occasions. He has four top-10s in six starts here, and he has finished second on three separate occasions. Keselowski has led the fifth-most laps in the last 10 road course events, and he led 27 at The Glen last season.

He is a former winner at Watkins Glen, and Kevin Harvick led a race-high 29 laps here last year before running out of gas while leading coming to the finish line. He has six straight top-15 finishes at The Glen, and he has back-to-back top-10s here since joining Stewart-Haas Racing.

While he needed the help of pit strategy to win at Sonoma earlier this year, Tony Stewart still showed that his road course skills haven’t completely deteriorated. His eight road course wins are the second most in series history, and his five wins at Watkins Glen are the most in track history. Stewart is on fire heading into Sunday’s race, and a road course sweep isn’t out of the question.

He has always been an underrated road racer, and Martin Truex Jr. has delivered three top-10s in his last five starts at Watkins Glen, picking up a pair of top-five finishes in that stretch. Most importantly, Truex looked particularly strong at Sonoma earlier this year in his first road course race since his team formed an alliance with Joe Gibbs Racing. Truex started third and finished fifth at Sonoma, and he could be a contender again Sunday at The Glen.

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2016 Zippo 200 Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites and Contenders

2016-Xfinity-Series-Odds-Free-Picks-Predictions2016 Zippo 200 Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites and Contenders: The XFINITY Series heads to Watkins Glen International this weekend, and Saturday’s Zippo 200 will be the first of three road courses events in the next four races. Unlike the next two road course races, Saturday’s race at The Glen will also be a companion event with the Cup Series, so the field is loaded with big names pulling double duty. In fact, Team Penske is fielding an extra car for the race so that both Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano can be in the field. For a close look at the teammates, along with the rest of the drivers to watch, check out my Zippo 200 preview.

2016 Zippo 200 Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites and Contenders

The Favorites

His 4.0 average finish at Watkins Glen in the XFINITY Series is the best of any driver in the field this weekend, and in seven starts, he has never finished outside the top 10. He also has five straight finishes of fourth or better at the track, winning in 2013 and finishing second in last year’s event.

Although he has never won an XFINITY event at Watkins Glen, Kyle Busch has finished sixth or better in six of his eight starts, and he has three second-place finishes at the track. Busch is also a two-time winner at The Glen at the Cup level, so he can clearly seal the deal here.

He is the defending winner of this weekend’s race, and Joey Logano has finished in the top 10 in five of his eight XFINITY races at the track. More importantly, he has finished in the top three four times here, including in each of the last two races.

The Contenders

While he has struggled in his XFINITY Series starts at Watkins Glen, Kyle Larson is still one of the most talented drivers in the field this weekend. He has a 24.3 average finish in his three starts here at the XFINITY level, but he has been rock solid at the track in the Cup Series. At some point, talent will catch up with the results. Don’t forget about Larson this weekend.

He has six top-10s in nine XFINITY Series starts at Watkins Glen, and Paul Menard has actually reeled off four straight top-10s here. Granted, he only has one top-five finish here, but the fact that he is always running near the front isn’t a fluke. The fact that he is one of the more experienced drivers in the field won’t hurt his chance either.

Veteran Elliott Sadler is one of the most accomplished XFINITY regulars when it comes to road course racing, and his numbers at Watkins Glen back that up. He has an 8.4 average finish in five starts at the track, and he has cracked the top 10 in four of his starts, including three straight. Sadler is basically a lock to be in the mix.

The sample size is small, but Ty Dillon has shown the skill and aggressive style needed to succeed at road course racing. In two starts at Watkins Glen, he has a pair of top-10s to his credit, including a fifth-place finish last year. Another year of experience should only help his chance of competing for the win.

He will be making his first start at Watkins Glen, but Erik Jones has shown all season that no XFINITY Series regular has more upside. His three wins and 11 top-five finishes are both the most among non-Cup drivers, so his track debut could be something special.

The Sleeper

He has had success at road racing all over the world, and Kenny Habul will try to make some noise in the XFINITY Series this weekend. He has shown some potential in previous years in a few starts with Joe Gibbs Racing, and he will once again have excellent equipment to work with when he pilots the JR Motorsports No. 88.

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2016 U.S. Cellular 250 Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites and Contenders

2016-Xfinity-Series-Odds-Free-Picks-Predictions2016 U.S. Cellular 250 Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites and Contenders: While the Sprint Cup Series is back at Pocono Raceway this weekend, the XFINITY Series teams will head back to Iowa Speedway. The short track will host Saturday night’s U.S. Cellular 250, and the non-companion event is a golden opportunity for an XFINITY regular to pick up a win. More importantly, it is a great chance for a driver that has yet to win a race in 2016 to reach victory lane and clinch an automatic spot in the inaugural playoff format being used to decide the title this season.

2016 U.S. Cellular 250 Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites and Contenders

The Favorites

While most of the Sprint Cup drivers are going to being staying at Pocono Raceway, Brad Keselowski is going to be making the trip to Iowa. Not only is he the most accomplished driver the field, but he has a 2.2 average finish in six starts at Iowa. Keselowski has finished fourth or better in all six of his starts here, winning three times.

He had to make an emergency start at Iowa earlier this year, and despite a layoff of more than 200 days, Sam Hornish Jr. drove his Joe Gibbs Racing car to victory lane. He will try for a season sweep this weekend, getting behind the wheel of the Richard Childress Racing No. 2. Hornish has a 6.4 average finish here overall, and he has reeled off six straight top-five finishes here, picking up a pair of wins.

The Contenders

Few drivers have more experience at Iowa than Elliott Sadler, and in 11 starts at the track, he has a 5.5 average finish and has never finished outside the top 10. More importantly, he has six top-five finishes at Iowa, including a win. In a weaker field, Sadler’s success and experience could shine through.

He has two top-10s in three career starts at Iowa, but more importantly, Erik Jones has consistently shown the most upside of any series regular. His two wins and 10 top-five finishes lead all XFINITY drivers, and considering he has been able to contend for wins in races loaded with Cup Series regulars, Jones should have no problem challenging for the victory this weekend.

He has been rock solid at Iowa throughout his career, and Ty Dillon seems to keep getting better at the track. He has a 6.6 average finish here, cracking the top 15 in all five starts. Dillon finished fourth at Iowa last summer, and he logged a career-best second-place finish at the track earlier this year. If the trend continues, Dillon is going to end up in victory lane this weekend.

Point leader Daniel Suarez continues to display incredible week-to-week consistency, and he has also been trending in the right direction at Iowa. He followed a mediocre debut at the track with a sixth-place run last summer and a career-best fourth-place finish earlier this year. Suarez is one of the safest bets to run in the top five and have a shot at the win.

Although he is still waiting for a breakout performance, Darrell Wallace Jr. has enjoyed steady success at Iowa. He has finished 11th or better in all five starts at the track, compiling an 8.4 average finish. Wallace cracked the top 10 at Iowa earlier this year, and with a watered-down field and a history of success, it could be his time to shine.

The Sleeper

It has been a quiet year for Dakota Armstrong, but that could change in a big way this weekend. He will get a chance to pilot the No. 18 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota at Iowa, and that race team has notched nine wins between three different drivers this season. While it remains to be seen what Armstrong can do in elite equipment, the success of the No. 18 JGR team makes him an intriguing sleeper.

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2016 Crown Royal 400 Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites and Contenders

2016-Crown-Royal-400-Odds-and-Predictions2016 Crown Royal 400 Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites and Contenders: The Sprint Cup Series teams will have a chance to win one of the sport’s crown jewel events this weekend when they travel to Indianapolis Motor Speedway for the Crown Royal 400. The track is one of the most famous in all of auto racing, and over the last century, some of the best drivers in the world have traveled to Indianapolis to try to conquer The Brickyard.

Given the track’s history and prestige, it is no surprise that the top drivers from the top teams always seem to come up with big performances at Indianapolis. Of the 22 Cup races that have been held at Indy, 18 of them have been won by drivers that are former champions.

2016 Crown Royal 400 Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites and Contenders

The Favorites

He won at Indianapolis last year, and Kyle Busch has consistently been in the mix at the track for the last several years. He is the only driver that has cracked the top 10 in each of the last 10 races here, and he has finished either first or second in three of his last four starts. Don’t be surprised if the defending series champ ends up kissing the bricks again this weekend.

Former Indianapolis winner Kevin Harvick nearly went back to victory lane at the track last season, leading a race-high 75 laps and finishing third. He has cracked the top 10 in both of his starts here since joining Stewart-Haas Racing, spending a combined 89 laps out front. Throw in his reputation for being at his best in the biggest races, and you can expect Harvick to be a big factor Sunday.

Although he has been all or nothing at Indianapolis, Jimmie Johnson can flat out dominate at the track when he is dialed in. His four wins here are the second most in track history, and since 2005, he owns the best driver rating and has led the most laps at the track. Johnson has proven he can seal the deal at Indy, and he could do so in dominant fashion this weekend.

The Contenders

He has momentum on his side after a win at New Hampshire last weekend, and Matt Kenseth could grab an elusive Indy win this weekend. In 16 starts here, he has seven top-five finishes, including three in his last five starts. Perhaps most importantly, Kenseth has a 5.3 average finish at the track in three starts since joining Joe Gibbs Racing.

Since signing with Team Penske in 2013, Joey Logano has been flirting with a win at Indianapolis. He has a 5.0 average finish in his three starts with the organization, leading double-digit laps in all three races. Logano finished a career-best second at the track last year, and he was leading on the final restart.

Joe Gibbs Racing has been on a roll at Indianapolis, and not surprisingly, Denny Hamlin has shown plenty of muscle at the track. He has three finishes of sixth or better in his last four starts here, finishing third and fifth in his last two starts. Hamlin picked up a signature win in the Daytona 500 in February, and he could add another statement win this weekend.

Last year, Martin Truex Jr. delivered a breakout performance at Indianapolis, finishing a career-best fourth. This year, he has been arguably the most dominant driver in the series, leading more laps than any other driver. You can expect Truex and his team to be on top of their game again this weekend for one of the biggest races of the year.

With Dale Earnhardt Jr. sidelined with a concussion, Jeff Gordon will come out of retirement to drive the No. 88 Hendrick Motorsports car this weekend. By the way, his five wins at Indianapolis are the most in series history, so his surprise return could end with a bang.

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2016 Lilly Diabetes 250 Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites and Contenders

2016-Xfinity-Series-Odds-Free-Picks-Predictions2016 Lilly Diabetes 250 Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites and Contenders: The XFINITY teams visit world-famous Indianapolis Motor Speedway this weekend, and Saturday’s Lilly Diabetes 250 will be just the fifth time the series has visited the track. The race is a companion event with the Cup Series, and considering a win at Indianapolis is something that every racer dreams about, it should come as no surprise that the field is absolutely loaded. Whoever comes out on top and gets to kiss the brick is going to have to earn it.

2016 Lilly Diabetes 250 Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites and Contenders

The Favorites

Since the XFINITY Series has been coming to Indianapolis, Kyle Busch has been contending for wins. He has a 6.5 average finish in four starts, winning twice and logging a runner-up finish. He has also led the most laps in three of the four races here, and his 206 laps led overall are 173 more than any other driver.

In three starts at Indianapolis in the XFINTIY Series, Joey Logano has compiled a 5.0 average finish. He has finished seventh or better in all three races, and he has cracked the top five in his last two starts here. More importantly, Logano led 21 laps in his most-recent start at Indianapolis, and he continues to inch closer to a win at the track.

He is a former winner at Indianapolis in the Cup Series, and Kevin Harvick will try to pick up a win in the XFINITY event at the track this weekend. In three previous starts at the track in the series, he has logged three finishes of sixth or better. Harvick also led the most laps in the 2014 event.

The Contenders

He has been in the field for all four XFINITY races at Indianapolis, and Paul Menard has compiled a 6.0 average finish and has cracked the top 10 in all four starts. More importantly, he has three straight finishes of sixth or better here, including a career-best fourth-place run last year. The upward trend bodes well for Menard’s chance this weekend.

While he has yet to have a breakout performance at Indianapolis, Kyle Larson has been making steady progress at the track. Since finishing 11th in his track debut in 2013, he has finished eighth and seventh the last two years. Another year of experience could transform Larson from a top 10 driver into a serious threat for the win.

Believe it or not, series regular Ty Dillon’s 4.3 average finish at Indianapolis is the best of any driver in the loaded field this weekend that has made more than one start. In three starts here, he has never finished worse than ninth. More importantly, he has a pair of top-three finishes, including a win in 2014. Dillon has already shown he is capable of springing a big upset.

Although he crashed in his Indianapolis debut last season, Erik Jones has left little doubt that he is one of the top series regulars. After all, his two wins and 10 top-five finishes are both the most among XFINITY drivers. Jones has also qualified in the top five in all 17 races this year, so he should have a great track position at a place where clean air is always crucial.

He made his Indianapolis debut last year, and Daniel Suarez made quite a first impression. His third-place finish made him the highest-finishing series regular, and considering he enters this weekend’s race as the point leader, it is safe to say that he has only improved since last season.

The Sleeper

When the XFINITY Series first came to Indianapolis in 2012, Elliott Sadler was in the mix for the win until a controversial penalty on a late restart forced him to pit from the lead. A couple of lackluster runs followed, but Sadler delivered a career-best fifth-place performance here last season. If anyone is owned some luck at Indianapolis, it’s Sadler. After last year’s performance, a win doesn’t see out of the question.

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2016 College Football Picks & Predictions: Top Non-Conference Games

2016-College-Football-Picks-and-Predictions2016 College Football Picks & Predictions: Top Non-Conference Games: While a majority of the top rivalries in college football are between conference opponents, out-of-conference battles between top teams can be just as exciting. The need for a signature out-of-conference win has only become more important with the advent of the College Football Playoff, and if two conference champs are both vying for one spot, a big win against a power team from another conference can often tip the scales. With that in mind, here is a closer look at the top non-conference games on tap for the 2016 college football season. Don’t forget to check out NSAwins.com all season long for the nation’s best 2016 college football picks and expert college football predictions against the spread.

2016 College Football Picks and Predictions: Top Non-Conference Games

  1. Alabama Crimson Tide vs. USC Trojans

The defending champs will take on a traditional power September 3 in Arlington, Texas, and believe it or not, this will be the first time the Crimson Tide have faced a Pac-12 team since 2001. Former USC coach turned Alabama offensive coordinator Lane Kiffin adds some extra drama, but this game is all about which side opens the year with a statement win. Alabama will be favored, but the Trojans will be playing with nothing to lose, and an upset could fuel a USC resurgence while an Alabama loss would all but force Nick Saban and company to run the table in the vaunted SEC in order to reach the College Football Playoff.

  1. Ohio State Buckeyes at Oklahoma Sooners

This September 17 showdown between national title hopefuls could have major playoff implications down the road, especially if both sides slip up once in conference play. Bottom line, a win will be a huge resume booster for whichever side comes out on top. Oklahoma will be playing at home with a ton of firepower back from last year’s playoff team, but despite losing a ton of talent to the NFL Draft, underestimating the retooled Buckeyes would be a huge mistake. Digging deeper, Oklahoma QB Baker Mayfield and OSU QB J.T. Barrett could also use the game to jumpstart a serious Heisman push.

  1. Ole Miss Rebels vs. Florida State Seminoles

In another opening weekend battle of juggernauts, the Rebels and Seminoles will meet September 5, in Orlando, Florida. Both teams are in similar spots this year with FSU looking up at Clemson in their division and Ole Miss stuck in the brutal SEC West. However, a big out-of-conference win could give both sides some wiggle room to make the playoffs with one loss, particularly the Rebels. Plus, Florida State RB Dalvin Cook and Ole Miss QB Chad Kelly should put on a show as they try to bolster their own Heisman resumes while helping their teams notch a huge statement win.

  1. Clemson Tigers at Auburn Tigers

The last time Clemson took the field, the Tigers fell short of defeating Alabama for the national title. When Clemson opens this season, they will again face an SEC West foe. Of course, the Auburn Tigers aren’t exactly the Crimson Tide, and Clemson should and will be favored in this game. The question is can Deshaun Watson and company take care of business on September 3, or will Auburn use home-field advantage to fuel a massive upset and potentially derail Clemson’s title hopes before it begins. Watson and Clemson better come ready to play.

  1. Oklahoma Sooners vs. Houston Cougars

The Sooners are coming off an appearance in the College Football Playoff, and they have the pieces in place to make a return trip. However, the Houston Cougars represent a potentially tricky opponent in a September 3 opener. Keep in mind that Houston went 13-1 last year, knocking off Florida State in a bowl game. Of course, Oklahoma has better athletes, but if an underdog is going to spring an upset, the first game of the year is the perfect time to do it. Houston could easily run the table in the AAC, and if they also have a win over the Sooners on their resume, a playoff spot is a real possibility.

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2016 College Football Predictions: Ohio State Buckeyes 2016 Football Team Preview

2016-College-Football-Picks-and-Predictions2016 College Football Predictions: Ohio State Buckeyes 2016 Football Team Preview: The Buckeyes entered the 2015 season with visions of back-to-back national titles. However, a slip up against Michigan State ultimately kept them out of the Big Ten title game and out of College Football Playoff. An impressive win over Notre Dame in the Fiesta Bowl validated the Buckeyes as one of the best teams in the country, but given the expectations, last season was a bit of a letdown for Urban Meyer’s bunch.

The situation is different heading into 2016. There were a lot of Buckeyes that heard their names called during this year’s NFL Draft, so after returning nearly everyone last year, there will be a lot of new faces starting on both sides of the ball. The question for Ohio State is whether the lack of experience will keep this group from being in contention for both the Big Ten and a national championship.

2016 College Football Predictions: Ohio State Buckeyes 2016 Football Team Preview

The Good News

A quarterback controversy hovered over the Buckeyes throughout last season, and it likely had a lot to do with why the offense never seemed to click. This time around, dual-threat weapon J.T. Barrett is the unquestioned starter, and the last time he had the reins of the offense, he finished fifth in the Heisman voting. While Barrett will lead the offense, linebacker Raekwon McMillan will provide will serve as a playmaker and leader for a revamped defense. Perhaps most importantly, Meyer has been accumulating a wealth of talent in Columbus, so while the Buckeyes will have a lot of new starters, they also have as much natural talent and athleticism as any team out there.

The Bad News

The Buckeyes didn’t just lose a bunch of starters. The lost a lot of high-end talent. Ohio State sent 14 players to the NFL, including five in the first round. Losing running back Ezekiel Elliott and defensive end Joey Bosa leaves the Buckeyes without their biggest playmakers on both sides of the ball, and perhaps more concerning, the secondary was absolutely gutted. For a team looking to break in new pieces, Ohio State’s schedule doesn’t do any favors. The Buckeyes will go on the road to face Oklahoma in a huge out-of-conference matchup, and they also travel to Wisconsin and Penn State before November. Meanwhile, rivals Michigan State and Michigan are waiting to close the regular season.

Bottom Line

It is never easy to overcome massive personnel losses, but Ohio State is one of the few teams that has the talent to remain competitive while rebuilding. Barrett should shine as the leader of the offense, and the team as a whole should only improve as the year goes on. Unfortunately, the Buckeyes don’t have a lot of time to improve before facing some tough tests, and the lack of experience on the offensive line and in the secondary could be particularly troublesome. Going on the road and beating Oklahoma in the first month of the season seems like a longshot, and back-to-back road games against the Badgers and Nittany Lions could result in another defeat. A still expect Ohio State to reach double-digit wins, but I think a run at a title will have to wait until 2017.

Prediction: 10-2, 2nd in Big Ten East Division

Get updated 2016 College Football odds for the 2016 season daily on NSAwins.com including updated odds to win the 2017 National Championship. NSAwins.com’s is America’s premier website for the best college football picks from the best football handicappers.

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