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Author Archives | Brian Polking

2017 Federated Auto Parts 400 Odds & Predictions – Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Odds

2017 Federated Auto Parts 400 Odds & Predictions – Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Odds: The 2017 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series heads to Richmond International Raceway this weekend for Saturday night’s Federated Auto Parts 400. The second race of the year at the 0.75-mile short track will also be the final race of the regular season, any driver currently on the outside of the playoff picture will have one final chance to grab a win and secure a spot.

As it stands, there are currently 13 drivers locked in the 16-driver playoff field, and Matt Kenseth, Chase Elliott and Jamie McMurray would make the playoffs based on points. However, there are some quality drivers like Joey Logano, Clint Bowyer and Erik Jones who are lurking outside the cut line who are good enough to win Saturday night.

If any driver currently without a win ends up in victory lane at Richmond, it will shake up the playoff picture. Don’t be surprised if crew chiefs employ some unique strategies to try to steal win. Let’s check out the frontrunners and top contenders for the regular season finale.

2017 Federated Auto Parts 400 Odds & Predictions – Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Odds

The Favorites

He is coming off a win at Darlington, and Denny Hamlin could make it back-to-back victories this weekend. After all, he is the defending winner of this weekend’s race and a three-time winner at the track overall. Hamlin has finished sixth or better in his last four starts, posting a 4.0 average finish.

Among active drivers, no driver has more wins at Richmond than Kyle Busch. In addition to his four wins at the track, he has 15 Top 5s in 25 starts and has led more than 1,000 laps. Busch has four Top 10s in his last six races at RIR, including three finishes of third or better.

Over the last 10 races at Richmond, Kevin Harvick leads all drivers with a 6.9 average finish. He has cracked the Top 15 in every race during that stretch, and he has five Top 5s in the last six races here, including three straight.

He seems to be in the mix for the win every week and every track, and Martin Truex Jr. should be back in contention this weekend. He has four Top 10s in his last five starts at Richmond, including three straight, and in the September race last season, he led a race-high 193 laps on his way to a third-place finish.

The Contenders

He actually won the spring race at Richmond, but violations found after the race prevented the win from counting towards Joey Logano’s eligibility to the playoffs. He has struggled since the race, but a return trip to the short track could be just what the doctor ordered. Logano has seven straight Top 10s at RIR, and he has two wins during that span.

In the last 10 races at Richmond, no driver has led more laps than Brad Keselowski, and he has the third-best average finish during the same stretch. Keselowski finished fourth at the track last September, and he led 110 laps on his way to a runner-up finish in the spring.

Bad luck cost him a shot at the win in the spring race at Richmond, but Matt Kenseth still managed to lead a race-high 164 laps. He has led the second-most laps of any driver in the last 10 races at the track, and he has seven finishes of seventh or better in the same span, including a win.

He was in the mix for the win at Darlington last weekend, and Kurt Busch tends to do his best work at short tracks. He has six straight Top 15s at Richmond, including three straight Top 10s, and he delivered a dominating win in the spring race in 2015.

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2017 Federated Auto Parts 400 – Odds to Win @ Richmond Speedway
Kyle Busch #18 +425
Martin Truex, Jr. #78 +425
Denny Hamlin #11 +500
Matt Kenseth #20 +650
Kevin Harvick #4 +700
Kyle Larson #42 +750
Brad Keselowski #2 +900
Joey Logano #22 +900
Kurt Busch #41 +1200
Erik Jones #77 +2200
Chase Elliott #24 +2300
Jimmie Johnson #48 +2500
Clint Bowyer #14 +2500
Jamie McMurray #1 +3500
Ryan Blaney #21 +4500
Dale Earnhardt, Jr. #88 +6600
Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. #17 +6600
Daniel Suarez #19 +7500
Ryan Newman #31 +12500
Austin Dillon #3 +12500
Kasey Kahne #5 +15000
Paul Menard #27 +30000
Trevor Bayne #6 +30000
Aric Almirola #43 +40000
A. J. Allmendinger #47 +52500
Ty Dillon #13 +52500
Chris Buescher #37 +52500
Danica Patrick #10 +55000
David Ragan #38 +100000
Matt DiBenedetto #32 +150000
Michael McDowell #95 +200000
Landon Cassill #34 +200000
Cole Whitt #72 +250000
Corey LaJoie #83 +250000
Gray Gaulding #23 +250000
Jeffrey Earnhardt #33 +250000
Derrick Cope #15 +250000
BJ McLeod #51 +250000
Reed Sorenson #55 +250000

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2017 Virginia 529 College Savings 250 Odds & Predictions – XFINITY Series Betting Picks

2017 Virginia 529 College Savings 250 Odds and Predictions – XFINITY Series Betting Picks: It’s time for a little short track action under the lights when the XFINITY Series heads to Richmond Raceway this weekend. The 0.75-mile track will host Friday night’s Virginia College Savings 250, and with the Cup Series also in town, there are several big names in the field.

Among the drivers pulling double duty are Kyle Busch and Brad Keselowski, and Dale Earnhardt Jr. is also in the field. The three of them have accounted for 13 wins at Richmond, so the series regulars are going to have their work cut out for them if they plan on reaching victory lane.

Let’s get ready for Friday night’s race with a closer look at all the favorites, as well as some of the top contenders and underdogs.

2017 Virginia 529 College Savings 250 Odds & Predictions – XFINITY Series Betting Picks

The Favorites

He is pretty much the man to beat whenever he races in the XFINITY Series, and that is especially true for Kyle Busch at Richmond. He won in his first-ever start at the short track and hasn’t looked back. In 21 starts, he has a six wins, 18 Top 10s and a 5.5 average finish, and he has a 2.3 average finish in the last 10 races.

He is a three-time winner at Richmond in the XFINITY Series, and Brad Keselowski will try to add to his resume this weekend. He has made four starts at the track since 2013, winning twice and compiling a 3.5 average finish. This season, Keselowski has cracked the Top 10 in all eight of his XFINITY starts, picking up a win and logging a 4.4 average finish.

The Contenders

Although he hasn’t been running well enough at the Cup level to win a race this year, Dale Earnhardt Jr. may be able to make some noise in the XFINITY race this weekend. After all, he has an incredible record at Richmond that includes four wins in six starts, including a victory last spring. In fact, Junior has finished either first or second in all but one of his starts at the track, leading at least 128 laps four times.

If you aren’t familiar with Christopher Bell, you should get used to hearing his name. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver will make his fourth career XFINITY start this weekend, and he has already shown he can make plenty of noise. He finished fourth at Charlotte in his series debut, and he led a race-high 157 laps at Iowa in his second start. Bell has loads of talent and excellent equipment, and should be a factor at a Richmond track where JGR has always performed well.

A series of late restarts ultimately cost Justin Allgaier a win at Richmond in the spring, but he was the class of the field, leading 157 laps on his way to a runner-up finish. He has now cracked the Top 5 in his last two starts at the short track, so it’s clear that he has a setup that’s working for him right now. Among the series regulars, Allgaier looks like the best bet to reach victory lane.

Veteran Elliott Sadler always seems to put himself in the mix when all is said and done, and he has been the model of consistency at Richmond. He has cracked the Top 10 in seven of his last nine starts here, including three straight. In fact, Sadler has two Top 5s in his last three starts at Richmond. His ability to always hang close to the front gives him a puncher’s chance.

After a bit of a slow start to the year, Ty Dillon finally seems to have found his groove in the XFINITY Series. He has reeled off six straight Top 10s heading into Richmond, and he has five Top 10s in his last six XFINITY starts at the short track, including a second-place run in the spring of 2016.

The Sleeper

One of the biggest surprises this season has been the performance of Daniel Hemric. The rookie has exceeded expectations all year, and he keeps getting better. He finished third in his Richmond debut this spring, so Friday night’s race could be his best opportunity to date to sneak up and grab a win.

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Virginia 529 College Savings 250 – Odds to Win @ Richmond Speedway
Moneyline Odds
Kyle Busch +125
Brad Keselowski +425
William Byron +625
Dale Earnhardt Jr. +1000
Elliott Sadler +1500
Justin Allgaier +1500
Paul Menard +2200
Christopher Bell +2200
Matt Tifft +2200
Cole Custer +2800
Ty Dillon +2800
Daniel Hemric +3300
Tyler Reddick +3300
Brennan Poole +4400
Brendan Gaughan +6000
Field +950

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2017 Lilly Diabetes 250 Odds & Preview – XFINITY Series Picks & Predictions

2017 Lilly Diabetes 250 Odds & Preview – XFINITY Series Picks & Predictions: Indianapolis Motor Speedway is one of the most famous tracks in all of auto racing, and for just the sixth time ever, the NASCAR XFINITY Series will visit the 2.5-mile oval know by many the Brickyard.

The track has been dominated by some of the best in NASCAR, and four of the five races have been won by drivers who were already Cup regulars. Since this weekend’s race is a companion event, there is a good chance that trend continues this weekend.

One potential wild card could be NASCAR’s decision to use a type of restrictor-plate to try to control speeds and increase passing. It remains to be seen what kind of impact that change will have on the racing, if any, but it could lead to a surprise or two.

Get ready for the Lilly Diabetes 250 at Indianapolis with a closer look at my favorites and other contenders.

2017 Lilly Diabetes 250 Odds & Preview – XFINITY Series Picks & Predictions

The Favorites

He has made Indianapolis his personal playground in the XFINITY Series, and in five races here, Kyle Busch has three wins and a second-place finish to go along with a 5.4 average finish. Busch has led at least 10 laps in all five races here, leading the most laps four times and leading 62 of the 63 laps in his win here last year. Busch is the clear frontrunner this weekend.

Although he hasn’t won at Indy, Joey Logano does own a 5.8 average finish at the track and has finished in the top 10 in all four starts. Logano also has two top-five finishes in his last three starts, leading 21 laps in the 2014 event. Logano has the equipment, talent and history to kiss the bricks this weekend, and he is one of the most accomplished drivers in the field this weekend.

The Contenders

He might be the most underrated performer at Indianapolis, and Paul Menard boasts a 5.4 average finish in five career XFINITY starts at the track. He has actually finished eighth or better in all five of his starts here, and he has cracked the top five in the last two races. Menard has proven he can put himself in the thick of things at the Brickyard.

His luck hasn’t been great, but Erik Jones has shown plenty of speed at Indy, and he has qualified in the top three in both of his starts here. Jones will be driving a Joe Gibbs Racing entry this weekend, and in his nine XFINITY starts this year, he has six top-five finishes, including a pair of wins. Jones is a threat to win whenever he gets behind the wheel.

Outside of Kyle Busch, there is only one other former winner at Indianapolis in the field this weekend, and that is Ty Dillon. He won the 2014 event, holding off Busch, and Dillon has cracked the top 10 in all four of his starts here, compiling a 5.5 average finish. This is one track where Dillon always seems to contend.

He has been a steady performer at Indianapolis, and Elliott Sadler seems to keep getting better at the track. The veteran has cracked the top 15 in all five races here, and he has finished sixth and fifth in his last two starts. Sadler is a safe bet to put himself within striking distance.

He has wasted no time establishing himself as a star in the XFINITY Series, and rookie William Byron is the only series regular with multiple wins. He enters Sunday’s race with four top-three finishes in the last five races, and he could ride the momentum to a big win in his Indy debut.

The Sleeper

He is a developmental driver for Chip Ganassi Racing, and Tyler Reddick is starting to come into his own. He has made nine XFINITY starts this year, and he has three top-10s in his last five, including a third-place finish at Iowa. Ganassi has had plenty of success at Indianapolis, and Reddick could be hitting his comfort zone just in time to spring an upset at the Brickyard.

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LILLY DIABETES 250 – Matchups
3:30 PM @ Indianapolis Motor Speedway – Indianapolis, IN
7601 Kyle Busch – – -270
7602 Joey Logano – – +210
3:30 PM
7603 Joey Logano – – -130
7604 Erik Jones – – EV
3:30 PM
7605 Erik Jones – – -170
7606 William Byron – – +140
3:30 PM
7607 William Byron – – -155
7608 Paul Menard – – +125
3:30 PM
7609 Paul Menard – – EV
7610 Elliott Sadler – – -130
3:30 PM
7611 Elliott Sadler – – -120
7612 Justin Allgaier – – -110
3:30 PM
7613 Ty Dillon – – -150
7614 Cole Custer – – +120
3:30 PM
7615 Matt Tifft – – -145
7616 Daniel Hemric – – +115
3:30 PM
7617 Tyler Reddick – – EV
7618 Brennan Poole – – -130

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2017 Heisman Trophy Odds & Predictions – Favorites & Contenders to Win Heisman Trophy

2017 Heisman Trophy Odds & Predictions – Favorites & Contenders to Win Heisman Trophy: The 2017 college football season is fast approaching, and while making the College Football Playoff and winning a national title is the ultimate team goal, the ultimate individual goal for a player is capturing the Heisman Trophy.

Whether the award goes to the best player on the best team, the player with the best overall numbers or just the most valuable player can depend on the year, but in recent years, quarterbacks have owned the Heisman Trophy.

Since 2000, quarterbacks have taken home the honor in all but three seasons, with running backs claiming the other three awards. The last time a defensive player took home the Heisman was Charles Woodson in 1997, and the last receiver to win the award was Desmond Howard in 1991. Even then, both players also contributed on special teams.

Needless to say, there will be plenty of quarterbacks among this year’s favorites. With that in mind, let’s take a closer look at the frontrunners for the 2017 Heisman Memorial Trophy. Check the latest 2017 Heisman Trophy odds all season long at NSAwins.com.

2017 Heisman Trophy Odds & Predictions – Favorites & Contenders to Win Heisman Trophy

The Favorites

Once he got a chance to be the starter last season, USC quarterback Sam Darnold didn’t look back. The Trojans closed the year with nine straight victories, including an epic Rose Bowl win over Penn State that saw Darnold throw for 453 yards and five scores. With a full year under center, Darnold should have USC in the mix for a national title and himself at the forefront of the Heisman conversation.

An unbelievable start to last season helped Louisville quarterback Lamar Jackson build an insurmountable lead in the Heisman race despite a lackluster close to the season. The final numbers were staggering. Jackson threw for more than 3,500 and 30 scores, and he ran for more than 1,500 yards and 21 more touchdowns. Repeating as the Heisman winner has been nearly impossible, but the video game-like numbers likely on tap again for Jackson, he has a strong chance.

He was the most efficient passer in the country last season, and Oklahoma quarterback Baker Mayfield is back to lead what should again be one of the country’s most explosive offenses. He can carve up defenses with his arm, and his ability to extend plays with his legs makes him tough to stop. Big offensive numbers have been the norm for Mayfield, and his leadership has helped the Sooners re-enter the national title picture the last two years. It should be more of the same in 2017.

The Contenders

After finishing fifth in the Heisman voting as a freshman, Ohio State quarterback J.T. Barrett figured to be a perennial contender for the award. It hasn’t exactly been a smooth ride, but the dual-threat weapon will once again headline an Buckeye squad that has national title expectations. Big plays eluded Barrett and company last year, but if he can resurrect the downfield passing attack, his numbers should look a lot more like they did when he was a frontrunner for the Heisman as a freshman.

He is already being touted as the best running back prospect at the collegiate level, and Penn State’s Saquon Barkley figures to be the centerpiece of the Nittany Lions’ offense in 2017. He ran for almost 1,500 yards and 18 scores last season, and he also chipped in more than 400 receiving yards. Barkley averaged 5.5 yards per carry, and his combination of power and speed makes him both a workhorse and a big-play weapon. If he puts up around 2,000 yards from scrimmage and Penn State remains relevant, Barkley could emerge from the sea of quarterbacks to capture the Heisman.

2017 Heisman Trophy Prediction: Lamar Jackson to win at +800 odds

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Odds to Win the 2017 Heisman Trophy
Sam Darnold (QB USC) +275
Baker Mayfield (QB Oklahoma) +750
Lamar Jackson (QB Louisville) +800
JT Barrett (QB Ohio State) +900
Saquon Barkley (RB Penn State) +900
Bo Scarbrough (RB Alabama) +1400
Derrius Grice (RB LSU) +1400
Jalen Hurts (QB Alabama) +1600
Deondre Francois (QB Florida State) +1800
Jake Browning (QB Washington) +1800
Nick Chubb (RB Georgia) +1800
Mason Rudolph (QB Oklahoma State) +2000
Josh Rosen (QB UCLA) +2000
Trace McSorley (QB Penn State) +3300
Nick Fitzgerald (QB Mississippi State) +3300
Kamryn Pettway (RB Auburn) +3300
Luke Falk (QB Washington State) +3300
Shane Buechele (QB Texas) +3300
Cam Akers (RB FSU) +5000

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2017 College Football Picks & Predictions: Heisman Trophy Sleepers to Bet On

2017 College Football Picks & Predictions – Heisman Trophy Sleepers to Bet On: The Heisman Memorial Trophy is one of the most prestigious awards in sports and the top individual honor in college football. Heading into the 2017 season, there are already several players being tabbed as Heisman frontrunners, and while the notoriety definitely helps, it doesn’t mean everything.

Recently, there have been several unexpected winners of the award, including last year’s winner, Louisville quarterback Lamar Jackson, who won the first Heisman in program history. Cam Newton winning as a junior college transfer and Johnny Manziel and Jameis Winston winning in their freshmen seasons are a couple of other recent examples of a player making a surprise run.

Historically, the award has been dominated by offensive players, especially quarterbacks. With that in mind, you should still limit most of your Heisman bets to that position, even if when looking for longshots. If not a quarterback, running back is the smartest position to target. Any other position is a complete shot-in-the-dark bet.

To help you get ready for the 2017 college football season, here is a closer look at some of my top Heisman Trophy sleepers. You can get more college football picks for the 2017 season from NSAwins.com’s top college football handicappers.

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2017 College Football Picks & Predictions: Heisman Trophy Sleepers to Bet On

The Sleepers

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are dark horse contenders for a spot in the College Football Playoff, and quarterback Mason Rudolph will be the player leading the charge. He threw for more than 4,000 yards last year to go along with 28 touchdowns and just four interceptions. Surrounded by plenty of playmakers in a quarterback-friendly offense, Rudolph has a chance to put up even better numbers this season. Another 4,000-yard season seems likely, and if Rudolph can boost his touchdown total, he could find himself in the thick of the Heisman hunt.

Despite splitting time with star running back Leonard Fournette, LSU’s Derrius Guice managed to run for 1,387 yards and 15 touchdowns while averaging an incredible 7.6 yards per carry. With Fournette off to the NFL, Guice should have the backfield to himself in 2017. It is a little unrealistic to expect his efficiency to continue as the lead back, but if Guice approaches 300 carries, you can imagine what his numbers will look like. A 2,000-yard season and a run at the Heisman Trophy aren’t out of the question.

I mentioned in the introduction that quarterbacks have dominated the Heisman Trophy, but the last two running backs to break through and win the award have had one thing in common – playing for the Alabama Crimson Tide. This year, Nick Saban’s workhorse back is expected to be Bo Scarbrough, and like Mark Ingram and Derrick Henry, he is big, punishing back who can wear down defenses and run out the clock when Alabama is leading in the second half of games. Needless to say, Scarbrough is in prime position to be a player in the Heisman race.

He was thrown to the fire and took a beating as a freshman, but Florida State quarterback Deondre Francois took a beating and managed to keep the Seminoles afloat. A year of experience should only make him a better player, and FSU still has plenty of talent on both sides of the ball. If the Seminoles can protect Francois better than they did last season, his numbers could take a big leap. Meanwhile, being the quarterback on one of the country’s best teams has always been a recipe for Heisman buzz.

He battled a myriad of injuries last season, but Auburn running back Kamryn Pettway still ran for 1,224 yards on 5.9 yards per carry. In fact, he topped 100 yards in seven of the nine games he played last season, topping 150 yards five times. Auburn’s rushing attack is always one of the most potent in the country, and if Pettway can stay healthy, he can be one of the most prolific in the country.

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2017 NASCAR Cup Series Overton’s 301 Odds & Predictions – Favorites and Contenders

2017 NASCAR Cup Series Overton’s 301 Odds & Predictions – Favorites and Contenders: The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series heads to New Hampshire Motor Speedway this weekend, and the flat, 1.0-mile track will play host to Sunday’s Overton’s 301.

Known as “The Magic Mile,” New Hampshire has often been referred to as Martinsville on steroids, but while the tracks have similar flat corners, the longer straightaways and higher speeds make NHMS a much different challenge. Brakes will be pushed to the limit, and completing passes is very difficult.

As a result, track position becomes crucial, and crew chiefs will employ a variety of tire and fuel strategies to try to get their drivers out front and ultimately into victory lane. With that in mind, it’s time to take a closer look at my top picks for Sunday’s Overton’s 301 at New Hampshire.

2017 NASCAR Cup Series Overton’s 301 Odds & Predictions – Favorites and Contenders

The Favorites

Few drivers have been as locked in at New Hampshire in recent years as Kyle Busch. Over the last eight races at the track, he has seven top-10s, including five finishes of third or better. Busch has been particularly dominant in the July race. He has led more than 50 laps in the event in each of the last five seasons, winning the 2015 race and leading a race-high 133 laps last year. Since 2012, no driver has led more laps at NHMS.

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He picked up a win at New Hampshire last September, and Kevin Harvick has been one of the best in the business at the track since joining Stewart-Haas Racing. He has four top-five finishes in the last five races, and his 387 laps led in that stretch are the most of any driver. For his career, Harvick ranks second in both laps led and fastest laps run at NHMS.

Over the last 10 races at New Hampshire, Brad Keselowski leads all drivers with a 6.7 average finish. He has finished in the top 15 in every race during that span, finishing seventh or better seven times. Keselowski is also a former winner here, and he has led 70-plus laps in three of his last six starts here.

The Contenders

It has been an up-and-down season for Matt Kenseth, but a trip to New Hampshire could be just what the doctor ordered. Since joining Joe Gibbs Racing, he has seven top-10s in eight starts at the track and has led over 300 laps in that span. More importantly, he has three wins here with JGR, including two in his last three starts.

New Hampshire hasn’t always been kind to him, and Martin Truex Jr. hasn’t had a top-five finish here since 2008. However, he has been by far the best driver in the series this year, and he led more than 100 laps in both races at the track a year ago, leading the most laps in the September race. Truex has to be on the short list of top contenders at any track.

He has been stuck in a bit of a summer slump, but Joey Logano has an excellent record at New Hampshire. He has a 4.5 average finish in the last five races here, winning once and cracking the top five on four occasions. Logano is a two-time winner at NHMS for his career, and he has become one of the best flat track drivers in the series since joining Team Penske.

It has been a while since he had a dominant performance at New Hampshire, but Denny Hamlin remains one of the better drivers at the track. He has eight top-15s in his last 10 starts here, including four straight, and he has led the second-most laps of any driver in that span. For his career, Hamlin is a two-time winner at NHMS, and he owns the top driver rating at the track.

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2017 Overtons 301 Odds
Kyle Busch +500
Kevin Harvick +500
Martin Truex Jr +600
Denny Hamlin +600
Brad Keselowski +800
Jimmie Johnson +800
Matt Kenseth +1000
Kyle Larson +1000
Chase Elliott +1200
Joey Logano +1500
Clint Bowyer +2000
Jamie McMurray +2500
Ryan Blaney +3000
Erik Jones +5000
Kurt Busch +5000
Dale Earnhardt Jr +6000
Ryan Newman +8000
Kasey Kahne +8000
Field +2000

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2017 XFINITY Series Overton’s 200 Odds & Predictions – Favorites, Dark Horses & Sleepers

2017 XFINITY Series Overton’s 200 Odds – Favorites, Dark Horses and Sleepers: The XFINITY Series heads to New Hampshire Motor Speedway this weekend for its only trip to “The Magic Mile” in 2017. The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series will make a return trip in September, but in the meantime, we have a companion event to deal this weekend.

As is usually the case with companion races, there are a few Cup regulars who will be pulling double duty and racing in Saturday’s Overton’s 200. For the most part, the Cup drivers have had a strangehold on victory lane in the XFINITY Series, and I don’t expect that to change at NHMS. If your betting, I’d recommend putting most of your money on the drivers listed among my favorites.

Of course, anything can happen, and pit strategy has been known to play a big role at New Hampshire. With that in mind, I’ve included a few potential sleepers you may want to throw a dart at Saturday. However, I don’t expect things to get to cray this weekend.

2017 XFINITY Series Overton’s 200 Odds & Predictions – Favorites, Dark Horses & Sleepers

The Favorites

He is the defending winner of this weekend’s race, and Kyle Busch has won at New Hampshire a record five times in the XFINITY Series. In fact, he has eight top-five finishes in his last nine starts at the track, and all five wins have come during that span.

In eight career XFINITY starts at New Hampshire, Brad Keselowski has never finished outside the top 10. He owns a series-leading 3.9 average finish at the track overall, and he has four straight finishes of third or better here, picking up a pair of wins. Keselowski is one of two drivers in the field this weekend with multiple wins at NHMS.

His best finish at New Hampshire in the XFINITY Series is fourth in two tries, but since his last start in 2014, Kyle Larson has become pretty good at this whole NASCAR thing. He enters this weekend as the point leader in the Cup Series, and he has a 2.6 average finish and three wins in seven XFINITY starts this season.

The Dark Horses

Nothing is a guarantee in NASCAR, but William Byron sure seems destined to be a star. He leads all XFINITY regulars with two wins, and he has climbed to second in the season standings thanks to a great stretch of racing. He has reeled of seven straight top-15s, and he has a 2.8 average finish in his last four starts. Byron will be making his first XFINITY start at New Hampshire this weekend, but his inexperience hasn’t stopped him yet.

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The top XFINITY regular haven’t exactly dominated at New Hampshire, but Justin Allgaier has been consistent at the track. He has a 9.5 average finish in six starts and has never finished outside the top 15. More importantly, Allgaier has four top-10s here, including a seventh-place run last year. He is at least a safe bet to be within striking distance.

His numbers at New Hampshire are good but not great, but Elliott Sadler has been the model of consistency all year. He enters Saturday’s race as the point leader, and he has finished outside the top 12 only twice all season. The veteran is by far the most experienced series regular, and he should put himself close enough to the front to have a puncher’s chance.

The Sleeper

He doesn’t get a lot of hype, but Brennan Poole has quietly climbed to fifth in the series standings, and he has been impressive at New Hampshire in his brief career. Poole has cracked the top 10 in both of his starts here, finishing sixth in last year’s race. All five drivers who finished ahead of him are now full-timers in the Cup Series, and only two of them will be in the field this weekend. This could be Poole’s chance to make a name for himself.

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2017 Overtons 200 Odds
Kyle Busch +175
Brad Keselowski +250
Kyle Larson +300
William Byron +800
Elliott Sadler +1200
Justin Allgaier +1500
Ty Dillon +2500
Cole Custer +3000
Matt Tifft +3000
Daniel Hemric +4000
Ben Kennedy +4000
Brennan Poole +4000
Brendan Gaughan +5000
Brandon Jones +6000
Field +1500

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2017 Quaker State 400 Picks and Predictions: Quaker State 400 Sleeper Bets

2017 Quaker State 400 Picks and Predictions – Quaker State 400 Sleeper Bets: The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series visits Kentucky Speedway this weekend, and the 1.5-mile oval hasn’t exactly produced a lot of upsets since joining the schedule in 2011. Brad Keselowski and Kyle Busch have combined to win five of the six races, and Matt Kenseth is the other driver to visit victory lane.

With three former champions combining to win all the races here, there is a good chance that one of the favorites will come out on top. That being said, nothing is a given in NASCAR, and we have already seen three first-time winners in 2017. Surprises have been the norm this year, so in case the trend continues at Kentucky, I’ve highlighted a few of my favorite longshot bets for Saturday’s Quaker State 400 at Kentucky.

2017 Quaker State 400 Picks and Predictions: Quaker State 400 Sleeper Bets

Ryan Blaney (25/1)

The sophomore made it pretty clear that he is going to be a force in this sport when he outdueled Kyle Busch and Kevin Harvick at Pocono a couple of weeks ago to win his first career Cup race. He has also been impressive at the 1.5-mile ovals this year. He has led the third-most laps in the five races at these tracks, leading 148 laps at Texas and 83 laps at Kansas. Blaney has shown he can contend for wins at tracks like Kentucky, and he has led way more laps at these tracks than a lot of drivers being favored ahead of him Saturday night. There is some good value here.

Jamie McMurray (30/1)

He has put up solid numbers at Kentucky, and he has actually finished as high as second at the track. More importantly, McMurray has shown a ton of speed at the 1.5-mile tracks this season. He has logged four top-10s in five races at mile-and-a-half ovals, compiling a 9.0 average finish and scoring the fourth-most driver points. There is no reason that speed shouldn’t carry over to Kentucky, making McMurray a potential steal at these odds.

Kurt Busch (40/1)

It has been a quiet year for Busch since winning the Daytona 500, and heading into Sunday’s race, he has just two top-five finishes in 17 races. However, he recently said that Stewart-Haas Racing found a little extra speed during testing, and he has six finishes of 12th or better in the last nine races, including five finishes of eighth or better. Busch has also enjoyed some success at Kentucky. His 10.0 average finish at the track ranks fourth in the series, and he is coming off a career-best fourth-place finish here last season. All signs point to Busch running in the top 10 this weekend, and at 40/1, I’ll take a chance on a guy who is almost guaranteed to be within striking distance of the front.

Ryan Newman (100/1)

Newman has been hit and miss at Kentucky, but he has intriguing upside for a driver getting such long odds. His three top-five finishes at the track are tied for the second most, and Newman has finished third in two of his last three starts here. Granted, Newman doesn’t win a ton of races these days, but he showed with his victory at Phoenix early in the year that he can still get the job done. The bottom line is that you won’t find another driver getting these odds that has shown the ability to run up front at Kentucky.

Trevor Bayne (300/1)

I was shocked when I saw Bayne listed as a 300/1 longshot this weekend. I know his only career Cup win came in the Daytona 500 in just his second start, but he has been rock solid at Kentucky and at 1.5-mile tracks in general this year. He has finished 11th and 13th in two starts at Kentucky, and he has finished 16th or better in all five starts at mile-and-a-half tracks in 2017. At worst, he should be close enough to the front to be able to try to steal a win with pit strategy. There is also a chance he could field a pretty strong car. Since a repave before 2016, Kentucky has been compared to Texas Motor Speedway. When the Cup Series visited Texas a few months back, Bayne said he had the best car he has ever had at the Cup level. If that speed translates, he could have bettors smiling this weekend.

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2017 Quaker State 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Favorites to Win Quaker State 400

2017 Quaker State 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions – Favorites to Win Quaker State 400: 2017 Quaker State 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Favorites to Win Quaker State 400After a wild-card race at Daytona last weekend, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series gets back to its bread and butter with a trip to Kentucky Speedway. Saturday night’s Quaker State 400 will already be the sixth race of the season at a 1.5-mile oval, and we are just hitting the halfway point of the season.

Kentucky is actually the newest addition to the Cup Series schedule, and while Saturday’s race will be just the seventh event held at the track, the fact that it has the most common layout on the schedule greatly reduces the learning curve for drivers and race teams.

With that in mind, let’s take a closer look at the frontrunners and top contenders for the win in Saturday’s Quaker State 400 at Kentucky Speedway.

2017 Quaker State 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Favorites to Win Quaker State 400

The Favorites

Top say that Brad Keselowski has performed well at Kentucky would be a bit of an understatement. The defending race winner has won three of the six Cup races held at the track, leading a series-high 483 laps and leading more than 60 laps in five of the six races. He has this place figured out.

The other driver with multiple wins at Kentucky Speedway is Kyle Busch. In addition to his two wins, he leads all drivers with five top-five finishes at the track, and his 5.2 average finish here is tied for the best in the series. His 437 laps led at Kentucky rank second, and Busch has led more than 100 laps in three of the six races.

Fuel mileage cost him a golden opportunity at a win at Kentucky last year, but Martin Truex Jr. has been the best driver at 1.5-mile ovals in 2017. He has finished in the top 10 in all five races at mile-and-a-half tracks this year, winning twice and compiling a series-best 4.2 average finish. Truex has also led the most laps of any driver at the 1.5-mile tracks. He should feel right at home at Kentucky.

The Contenders

Although he doesn’t have a win at Kentucky, Kevin Harvick came close last year, leading a race-high 128 laps before coming up on the short end of the fuel mileage game. This season, he has been one of the best in the sport at the 1.5-mile ovals, logging four top-10s in five starts and leading the second-most laps.

Kentucky is one of the few tracks where seven-time champ Jimmie Johnson hasn’t won a race, but that doesn’t mean he has struggled here. He has notched five top-10s in six starts, and he has led the third-most laps of any driver at the track. Johnson’s three wins this year are also the most in the series, so he is capable of winning at any track.

There have been six Cup races held at Kentucky, and Matt Kenseth is the only driver who has finished in the top 10 in all six of them. His 5.2 average finish at the track is tied for the best in the series, and he has three top-five finishes in his last four starts here, including a win in 2013.

While he has had some bad luck at Kentucky in his first three starts, Kyle Larson enters this weekend’s race as the point leader, and he is running better than he ever has as a Cup driver. He has been particularly impressive at the 1.5-mile ovals, finishing sixth or better in four of the five races at mile-and-a-half tracks and notching three runner-up finishes.

Since joining Team Penkse, Joey Logano has been locked in at Kentucky. He has three top-10s in four starts with the organization, finishing as high as second. He also has a strong history of success at the track in other series, winning three of his four XFINITY starts here. It seems like only a matter of time before he picks up a Cup win at Kentucky.

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2017 XFINITY Series Picks & Predictions: Alsco 300 Odds, Favorites and Sleepers

2017 XFINITY Series Picks & Predictions – Alsco 300 Odds, Favorites and Sleepers: The XFINITY Series heads to Kentucky Speedway this weekend, and while Friday night’s Alsco 300 is the first of two trips to the 1.5-mile oval for the XFINITY Series, this is the only race that will be a companion event with the Cup Series.

As a result, this weekend’s field is predictably loaded. Kyle Busch and Kevin Harvick are among the big names set to race, and Team Penske is fielding cars for both Joey Logano and Ryan Blaney. Meanwhile, the hottest driver in the series happens to be rookie William Byron.

For a closer look at all the drivers to watch Friday night, check out my preview for the Alsco 300 at Kentucky Speedway.

2017 XFINITY Series Picks & Predictions: Alsco 300 Odds, Favorites and Sleepers

The Favorites

When he gets behind the wheel at Kentucky in an XFINITY race, Joey Logano usually ends up in victory lane. He has made four XFINITY starts at the track, winning three times, all from the pole, and compiling a 3.3 average finish overall.

He will pilot a second Stewart-Haas Racing this weekend, and Kevin Harvick has one of the most impressive resumes at Kentucky in the XFINITY Series. In five starts, he has picked up a couple of wins while compiling a 2.6 average finish. The last time he raced an XFINITY event at Kentucky, Harvick ended the night in victory lane.

He is the defending winner of this weekend’s race, and Kyle Busch will try to defend his victory at Kentucky this weekend. He is a two-time winner at the track at the XFINITY level, and he has a 6.8 average finish in nine career starts. Since 2012, Busch’s average finish at the track improves to 3.0.

While he is busy becoming a star at the Cup level, Ryan Blaney can still get the job done at when he returns to the XFINITY Series. He has cracked the Top 5 in all six of his XFINITY starts this year, winning once and finishing second four times. He also has two wins and a 6.0 average finish in seven previous starts at Kentucky.

The Contenders

He has three Top 10s in four XFINITY starts at Kentucky, and Erik Jones has finished as high as second at the track. He also happens to be one of the brightest young stars in NASCAR, and he just seems to keep getting better. In eight XFINITY starts this season, Jones has five top-five finishes, including a pair of wins.

He put an exclamation point on what has been a stellar career at Kentucky with a win last September, and Elliott Sadler has a 7.4 average finish in 11 career XFINITY starts at the track. The veteran also has three finishes of sixth or better in his last four starts here, and he has never finished outside the top 15.

Although he will be making his first start at Kentucky in the XFINITY Series, but it is safe to say that a lack of experience isn’t holding back rookie William Byron. In his last three starts, he has finished second, first and first, and no driver brings more momentum into Friday night’s race.

While he hasn’t won at Kentucky, Ty Dillon has had several close calls. He has finished seventh or better in four of his six starts, notching a couple of top-three finishes. Dillon has been enduring a so-so year at the XFINITY level, but this could be the track where he breaks out.

Sleeper 

It has been somewhat of a disappointing season for Matt Tifft, but unlike a lot of the tracks he has been visiting, he actually has a little experience at Kentucky. He has made two XFINITY Series starts at the track, finishing 10th and fifth. Driving for Joe Gibbs Racing, Tifft certainly has the equipment to win. This could be his chance for a breakout performance.

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Xfinity Alsco 300 Odds
Kyle Busch +250
Joey Logano +400
Kevin Harvick +450
Ryan Blaney +600
Erik Jones +1000
William Byron +1000
Paul Menard +1200
Elliott Sadler +1500
Justin Allgaier +1500
Ty Dillon +3000
Daniel Hemric +3000
Tyler Reddick +4000
Matt Tifft +4000
Cole Custer +4000
Brennan Poole +5000
Casey Mears +5000
Brendan Gaughan +6000

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