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Author Archives | Brian Polking

2017 NFL Mock Draft: First Look at the Top 10 Picks

2017 NFL Mock Draft – First Look at the Top 10 Picks: Another NFL regular season has wrapped up, and while the playoffs are going on right now, there is a big portion of the league that is already turning its attention to next year. Much of that attention will be focused the 2017 NFL Draft, and landing a couple of key pieces can transform a struggling franchise into a contender, almost immediately. Of course, there is a lot of scouting still to come, but in the meantime, here is an early look at the potential top 10 picks. Also, check out NSAwins.com all playoffs for the best NFL picks and predictions against the spread thru the Super Bowl!

  1. Cleveland Browns: Myles Garrett, DE/OLB, Texas A&M

Yes, the Browns desperately need a quarterback, but there is no sure-fire franchise QB in this class. Meanwhile, Garrett shows all the makings of an elite pass-rusher, and Cleveland’s defense is also a mess. With the 12th pick in their back pocket, I expect the Browns to take the best prospect available at No. 1 and play quarterback roulette with their other first-round pick.

  1. San Francisco 49ers: DeShone Kizer, QB, Notre Dame

Unless the 49ers make a move in free agency, the have to try to land a quality starting quarterback with this pick. Kizer has the big body and big arm that teams covet in an NFL QB, and he has and more than enough athleticism to extend plays in and out of the pocket. He has the best tools and most upside of the QB prospects, and I expect the 49ers to pin their hopes of a turnaround on Kizer.

  1. Chicago Bears: Jonathan Allen, DE/DT Alabama Crimson Tide

Chicago is another QB-needy team, but Allen might be the safest pick in this draft. He has been absolutely dominant for Alabama. He can control the line of scrimmage and make plays in the backfield as both a tackle and defensive end. I think he’s simply too good for the Bears to pass up.

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars: Tim Williams, OLB, Alabama

Williams may be a slight reach, but Jacksonville’s defense is one dynamic pass-rusher away from being potentially special. Williams is exactly that. He has already shown he is a terror off the edge, and his improving all-around game gives him huge upside.

  1. Tennessee Titans: Malik Hooker, S, Ohio State

Hooker is drawing comparisons to Ed Reed because of his ability to read quarterbacks and make plays. The arrow is pointing way up for the Titans, and their biggest remaining weakness is the secondary. Hooker is a great first step to fixing the issue.

  1. New York Jets: Leonard Fournette, RB, LSU

I just can’t believe the Jets are going to throw another early-round pick at a quarterback when everyone seems to agree that there isn’t a guaranteed stud, let alone starter, in this draft. Whoever ends up under center in 2017 will benefit from having a workhorse like Fournette to hand the ball to. 

  1. San Diego Chargers: Jamal Adams, S, LSU 

The Chargers still haven’t replaced Eric Weddle, but Adams has the instincts and athleticism to be a star at the position. Whether it is helping out in the run game or dropping back in coverage, Adams is a do-it-all player in the backend. 

  1. Carolina Panthers: Cam Robinson, OT, Alabama

Carolina wants to play physical on both sides of the ball, but that’s tough to do with a mediocre offensive line. Robinson is the best O-line prospect in this class, and he is a mauler in the run game. Upgrading the line is the best way to help Cam Newton and the offense return to form in 2017.

  1. Cincinnati Bengals: Derek Barnett, DE, Tennessee 

The Bengals suddenly looked a little old and slow on defense this year, and for the first time in a while, they didn’t make the playoffs. Improving the pass rush is an absolute must, and Barnett showed throughout his productive collegiate career that he can get in the backfield and make plays.

  1. Buffalo Bills: Mitch Trubisky, QB, North Carolina

With Tyrod Taylor expected to be gone and EJ Manuel a proven bust, the Bills are in the market for a quarterback. It is a lot easier to reach at this point in the first-round, and Trubisky has caught the eye of scouts thanks this his accuracy and quick decision making.

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2017 NFL Playoff Divisional Round Picks and Predictions: Pittsburgh at Kansas City and Green Bay at Dallas

2017-NFL-Picks-and-Predictions2017 NFL Playoff Divisional Round Picks and Predictions: Pittsburgh at Kansas City and Green Bay at Dallas: The NFL playoffs continue this weekend with the Divisional Round, and after Sunday’s matchups, the conference title matchups will be set. The afternoon starts in the AFC with the third-seeded Pittsburgh Steelers visiting the second-seeded Kansas City Chiefs, and it ends with an NFC showdown between the fourth-seeded Green Bay Packers and the top-seeded Dallas Cowboys. Let’s take a closer look at both matchups. Also, check out NSAwins.com all playoffs for the best NFL picks and predictions against the spread thru the Super Bowl!

2017 NFL Playoff Divisional Round Picks and Predictions: Pittsburgh at Kansas City and Green Bay at Dallas

Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs

For the second time this season, the Pittsburgh Steelers will take on the Kansas City Chiefs. The first time around, the Steelers delivered a 43-14 beatdown in Pittsburgh. In that game, Ben Roethlisberger threw for 300 yards and five scores, and Le’Veon Bell ran for 144 yards.

Despite the one-sided affair, there is no guarantee the rematch will yield the same result. For one, there is a lot more at stake this time around. More importantly, Sunday’s game will be played at Arrowhead Stadium. Not only is Arrowhead a tough place for teams to play, but Ben Roethlisberger has been an average quarterback on the road this season. Meanwhile, Kansas City’s defense is loaded with playmakers at all levels.

The Chiefs’ offense shouldn’t be overlooked either. Yes, they rely on the run and the intermediate passing game, but quarterback Alex Smith can extend drives with his legs, and they have found a homerun threat in all-purpose back Tyreek Hill. Whether he is a receiver, running back or returner, Hill is always one touch away from a huge play.

Another potential X-factor is the weather, which could be poor this weekend. Bad weather hurts the Steelers’ big-play passing game more than it hurts Kansas City’s offense, and it makes a close, lower-scoring game even more likely.

Pittsburgh has the best individual players in this matchup, but I think Kansas City has the better overall team. Throw in home-field advantage and Roethlisberger’s struggles on the road, and I like the Chiefs to come out on top.

Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs (-1.5) Cover the Spread

Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys

A spot in the NFC title game will be on the line when the Green Bay Packers go on the road to face the Dallas Cowboys. As has been the case with the other divisional matchups, this game is a rematch of a regular season contest. The first time around, the Cowboys went into Lambeau Field and left with a 30-16 win.

In the regular season meeting, Dallas road rookie running back Ezekiel Elliott all game long. He carried the ball 28 times for 157 yards, and fellow rookie Dak Prescott tossed three scores. On the flip side, Aaron Rodgers had one touchdown and one interception for the Packers.

Of course, a lot has changed since then. Most importantly, Rodgers is on an absolute tear. He has thrown 22 touchdowns and no picks over the last eight games, and the Packers have won seven straight. Last week, he shredded the highly-ranked secondary of the New York Giants for 362 yards and four scores.

Granted, Dallas has been better defensively than anyone could have expected, but with Rodgers on top of his game, no defense is going to shut him down. Meanwhile, I expect the Packers to sell out to stop Elliott this time around, turning this game into a showdown between Prescott and Rodgers. As good as Prescott has been, I’m taking Rodgers against just about anyone right now.

Dallas is the better overall team, but Rodgers is playing on another level right now. I’ll take one of the best quarterbacks of his generation playing at the top of his game, especially when he is getting a handful of points.

Prediction: Green Bay Packers (+4.5) Cover the Spread

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2017 NFL Playoff Divisional Round Picks and Predictions: Seattle at Atlanta & Houston at New England

2017-NFL-Picks-and-Predictions2017 NFL Playoff Divisional Round Picks and Predictions: Seattle at Atlanta & Houston at New England: The march to the Super Bowl continues this weekend, and the Divisional Round kicks off Saturday with a pair of matchups. In the NFC, the third-seeded Seattle Seahawks will take on the second-seeded Atlanta Falcons, and the AFC will take center stage in the night cap, with the fourth-seeded Houston Texans take on the top-seeded New England Patriots. Let’s take a closer look at both matchups. Also, check out NSAwins.com all playoffs for the best NFL picks and predictions against the spread thru the Super Bowl!

2017 NFL Playoff Divisional Round Picks and Predictions: Seattle at Atlanta & Houston at New England

Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons

This game is a rematch of a Week 6 thriller that saw the Atlanta Falcons charge from behind to take the lead, only to watch the Seattle Seahawks grab a 26-24 victory with a field goal in the final minutes. That game was played in Seattle, but the Falcons will have home-field advantage in Saturday’s NFC Divisional matchup.

Although the Seahawks came away with the win earlier this year, they didn’t exactly slow down Atlanta’s powerful offense. Matt Ryan threw for 335 yards and three touchdowns, and Julio Jones torched Seattle’s secondary for 139 yards and a score. Those numbers are even more impressive when you consider that Seattle safety Earl Thomas was healthy for the Week 6 meeting.

Seattle’s secondary hasn’t been elite since Thomas went down, and considering what Ryan and company did when the unit was at full strength, putting points on the board shouldn’t be an issue for the Falcons. Keeping Seattle from scoring points could be a different story for the Falcons. Atlanta’s defense has struggled all year, and the Seahawks looked sharp on offense last week, with Thomas Rawls doing the damage on the ground and Russell Wilson attacking through the air.

In the end, I expect this to be a higher scoring game, but I think a shootout favors the Falcons. Atlanta owns the highest-scoring offense, and the Falcons have already shown they can score on Seattle defense. This time around, the Falcons are at home and Seattle is missing one of its best players in Thomas. I don’t think Wilson and company can keep up.

Prediction: Atlanta Falcons (-5) Cover the Spread

Houston Texans at New England Patriots

It’s important to remember that there is no such thing as a sure thing when it comes to the any professional sport, especially the NFL. That being said, I’m not sure I can envision the scenario where the New England Patriots don’t roll to a comfortable win over the Houston Texans.

Yes, the Texans have a rock solid defense, but the Patriots have one of the most prolific and balanced offenses in the league. Keep in mind that New England stomped Houston 27-0 in Foxboro back in Week 3 and did so with Jacoby Brissett playing quarterback. With Tom Brady back under center, Saturday’s rematch could be even uglier.

The problem the Texans have is that Brock Osweiler simply can’t stretch the field. When he isn’t turning the ball over, Osweiler is dinking and dumping to his tight ends and running backs. Defensive guru Bill Belichick exploited Osweiler’s limitations the first time these teams met, and he is going to do so again this weekend.

Brady and company are going to put points on the board on any defense, and Houston’s anemic offense is going to put even more pressure on the defense. This game is going to get out of hand, probably sooner rather than later, and the Patriots are going to be able to cover a historically large point spread.

Prediction: New England Patriots (-15.5) Cover the Spread

Be sure and open an account with Bovada Sportsbook to bet on week 17 NFL action as well as all the upcoming 2017 NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl 51 action. Good luck!

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2017 College Football Playoff National Championship Game Picks & Predictions: Clemson Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

2016-Free-College-Football-Bowl-Picks2017 College Football Playoff National Championship Game Picks & Predictions: Clemson Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: For the second year in a row, the Alabama Crimson Tide will take on the Clemson Tigers in the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. Last year, the Crimson Tide won a classic, outlasting the Tigers 45-40. This time around, the Crimson Tide are 6.5-point favorites in the championship rematch.

The Tigers survived somewhat of a shaky regular season to reach the College Football Playoff, but they looked sharp in a 31-0 rout of Ohio State in the semifinals. Quarterback Deshaun Watson is the headliner for this team, and when he is dialed in, he is as good as any player in the country. Receiver Mike Williams is a big-play, go-to target, and Wayne Gallman is a solid counterpunch in the backfield. Defensively, Clemson relies on a speedy unit that ranked second in the country in sacks.

Alabama’s paths to another title game included a perfect regular season and a dominant 24-7 win over Washington in the semifinals. The Crimson Tide defense has been historically great, and Jonathan Allen, Reuben Foster and Tim Williams are just a few of stars leading the unit. Offensively, quarterback Jalen Hurts has held his own as a freshman starter, and his scrambling ability has made up for his inconsistencies as a passer. The power ground game is still this team’s bread and butter, and Alabama ran over the Huskies on its way to the rematch with Clemson.

The Tigers Win If:

If Clemson is going to win this game, they have to slow down Alabama’s rushing attack on early downs. If the Crimson Tide are able to line up and run the ball every down, the Tigers have no chance. On the flip side, Hurts has looked shaky at times, and Clemson’s pass rush could cause the freshman major issues, especially if he is forced into obvious passing situations. Offensively, Watson needs to repeat his incredible performance from last year’s game. He is the most talented offensive player on the field, and he needs to play like. It will also help if Clemson’s receivers can consistently to win one-on-one matchups on the outside. If this game comes down to which quarterback can make the most plays, Watson and company should be able to come out on top.

The Crimson Tide Win If:

Since Nick Saban arrived in Tuscaloosa, Alabama’s recipe for success has been winning the battle in the trenches. The formula for success is no different in this game. If Alabama is able to establish its power running game, it is going to allow them to control the clock, wear down Clemson’s defense and put Hurts in position to make comfortable throws. On the defensive side of the ball, the Crimson Tide need to pressure the pocket consistently, forcing the sometimes mistake-prone Watson into a turnover or two. Equally as important, Alabama needs to limit the big plays Watson is able to generate with his legs. If Alabama is able to lean on its running game and can keep Watson uncomfortable, they should methodically power to another national title.

The Bottom Line:

As good as Alabama has been this season, the win over Washington was a reminder of this team’s offensive limitations. Hurts is still only a freshman, and in big games against good defenses, the Crimson Tide have gone conservative, just look at their 10-0 win over LSU. I expect a run-heavy strategy from the Crimson Tide Monday night, especially after an early-than-expected departure from offensive coordinator Lane Kiffin. Meanwhile, Watson showed last year than he can out up points against Alabama, and while I think this year’s defense is even better, Watson is still going to make some plays. Saban is going to try to win this game with his defense and power running game, and although it might certainly work, I’ll take Watson and company with nearly a touchdown’s worth of points. I expect the rematch to go down to the wire.

Prediction: Clemson Tigers (+6.5) Cover the Spread

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2017 NFL Playoff Power Rankings: How the NFC Stacks Up

2017-NFL-Picks-and-Predictions2017 NFL Playoff Power Rankings: How the NFC Stacks Up: The NFL playoffs are about to begin, but power they get underway, it is time to take a look at how the playoff-bound teams stack. The NFC field is particularly stacked, and three of the four teams playing on wild-card weekend will be led by Super Bowl-winning quarterbacks. Let’s take a closer look at all six NFC playoff teams.

2017 NFL Playoff Power Rankings: How the NFC Stacks Up

  1. Dallas Cowboys

It remains to be seen how rookies Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott will handle the bright lights of the postseason, but the Cowboys still seem like the smart pick as the frontrunner in the NFC. Their dominant offensive line isn’t going away, and as long as Dallas is punishing opponents in the trenches, Elliott is going to have room to run, and Prescott is going to have time to throw. The Cowboys are also underrated on the defensive side of the ball, and they quietly allowed the fewest rushing yards in the NFL. Running the ball and stopping the run has always been a recipe for success, and Dallas has done both better than any team in the league this year.

  1. Atlanta Falcons

Led by MVP contender Matt Ryan, the Falcons own the best offense in the NFL this season. While Ryan and receiver Julio Jones get a lot of the love, Atlanta’s two-headed running back monster of Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman makes this offense even tougher to defend. Granted, Atlanta’s defense has given up a lot of points, but they are dangerous when spotted a lead. Vic Beasley Jr. led the NFL in sacks, and the Falcons can turn him loose when opponents are forced to throw to try to keep pace with Ryan and company. The Falcons are going to be in trouble if their offense has a lackluster showing, but slowing down Atlanta’s multi-faceted attack will be easier said than done.

  1. Green Bay Packers

Is there anyone playing better entering the playoffs than Aaron Rodgers? The Packers have reeled off six straight wins, and Rodgers has thrown 15 touchdowns and no interceptions in that span, finishing with an NFL-high 40 passing touchdowns. Jordy Nelson looks fully recovered from a knee injury, and the improved play of Davante Adams has Green Bay’s offense firing on all cylinders. The only problem for the Packers is that Rodgers has to continue to play out of his mind to compensate for an inconsistent running game and a secondary that has been decimated by injuries. Green Bay is not a complete team by any means, but a red hot Rodgers can cover up a lot of other flaws.

  1. New York Giants

Let’s face it. Whenever you see the Giants in the playoffs, you can’ help but think of the two improbable Super Bowl runs engineered by Eli Manning. There is no denying he has been able to flip a switch come playoff time, but at best, the Giants have a puncher’s chance. Offensively, they have no running game, and the Giants haven’t scored more than 28 points in a game all year. Odell Beckham Jr. is a playmaker, but there is no counterpunch. The defense has actually been the strength of this team, and two wins over Dallas are impressive. Still, I just don’t see the Giants scoring enough to make a deep run.

  1. Seattle Seahawks

It’s easy to fall in love with the Seahawks, but the truth is that this just isn’t the same team that has been a Super Bowl contender the last several years. The normally vaunted defense isn’t the same without Earl Thomas patrolling the secondary. Meanwhile, the offense is missing the power ground game that has been Seattle’s bread and butter. The offensive line in particular is a huge issue. It is one of the youngest in the NFL, and several players are converted from other positions. Heck, their left tackle was a basketball player in college. Russell Wilson can be special, but even at his best, he can only carry a team so far.

  1. Detroit Lions

Things couldn’t get much worse for Detroit. The Lions limp into the playoffs after losing three straight games, forcing them to open the postseason with a trip to Seattle. To make matters worse, Matthew Stafford has really struggled since injuring his finger, and the Lions don’t have any type of running game to fall back on. Detroit will be fortunate to escape Wild Card weekend.

Be sure and open an account with Bovada Sportsbook to bet on week 17 NFL action as well as all the upcoming 2017 NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl 51 action. Also, check out the latest 2017 Super Bowl 51 odds and our expert NFL picks for the 2017 playoffs! Good luck!

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2017 NFL Picks & Predictions: Awards Picks and Predictions  

2017-NFL-Picks-and-Predictions2017 NFL Picks & Predictions: Awards Picks and Predictions: Another NFL regular season is in the books, and while the playoffs are about to begin, let’s take a minute to look back on the top players from the 2016 campaign. There weren’t a lot of sure-fire choices for any of the major awards this year, including the MVP, but these are the players I expect to get the nod from voters when all is said and done.

2017 NFL Picks & Predictions: Awards Picks and Predictions

Most Valuable Player: Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons

Tom Brady is the driving force of the best team in the league, and Aaron Rodgers closed the year on an incredible run. However, Ryan’s numbers are impossible to ignore. He led the league in passer rating and yards per attempt by a sizeable margin, and he also ranked in the top three in completion percentage, passing yards and passing touchdowns. He was the driving force of an offense that ranked second in passing and first in points per game despite Julio Jones missing some time with an injury. Ryan was the best quarterback in the NFL from a production and consistency standpoint this season, and I think he will be reward with MVP honors.

Offensive Player of the Year: Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers

It is rare for the same player who wins the MVP Award to also be named Offensive Player of the Year, so with Matt Ryan taking home the biggest prize, I think Rodgers ends up with the de facto runner-up trophy. He ranked fourth in both passing yards and passer rating, and his 40 touchdowns led the NFL. As a bonus, he ran for a career-best 369 yards, helping to compensate for an atrocious running game. Rodgers threw 15 touchdowns and no interceptions during a six-game win streak to close the year that pushed the Packers into the postseason. The furious finish and strong overall numbers will earn him some hardware.

Defensive Player of the Year: Von Miller, OLB, Denver Broncos

My vote would go to Landon Collins of the New York Giants, but safeties rarely get much love when it comes to the DPOY Award. I think the safer bet is Von Miller. Not only is he a household name, but he is easily the most disruptive pass-rusher in the NFL. His 13.5 sacks were the second most in the league, and he puts consistent pressure on the pocket despite commanding constant double teams. Miller’s sack total could have been more impressive had Denver been better offensively, but his impact on every snap was still undeniable. He is a game-changer.

Offensive Rookie of the Year: Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys

You could make a very compelling argument for Elliott’s teammate, Dak Prescott, but you can’t lead the NFL in rushing as a rookie by a wide margin and not be named Rookie of the Year. His 1,631 rushing yards were over 300 more than any other player, and he averaged an impressive 5.1 yards per carry. More importantly, Elliott was a workhorse for the Cowboys, leading the NFL in carries and yards after contact and finishing with 1,964 yards from scrimmage and 16 total scores.

Defensive Player of the Year: Joey Bosa, DE, San Diego Chargers

The start of his season was delayed by a holdout and an injury, but Bosa more than made up for lost time when he got on the field. He finished with 10.5 sacks and 17 tackles for loss, recording at least half a sack in eight of the 12 games he played. Bosa’s production would be impressive for any player, let alone a rookie.

Comeback Player of the Year: Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers

After missing all of last season with a torn ACL, Nelson returned with a bang in 2016, finishing with 97 catches for 1,257 yards and 14 scores. The 14 touchdowns led all receivers, and he also ranked in the top six in yards, receptions, and receptions of 20-plus yards. Talk about not missing a beat.

Coach of the Year: Jason Garrett, Dallas Cowboys

Last year, the Cowboys went 4-12 and appeared headed for a similar fate when Tony Romo went down with another injury. Instead, the Cowboys rode a pair of rookies to a division title and the best record in the NFC. Yes, the players themselves deserve a lot of credit, but Garrett will get his share of credit for leading “America’s Team” back to prominence.

Be sure and open an account with Bovada Sportsbook to bet on week 17 NFL action as well as all the upcoming 2017 NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl 51 action. Also, check out the latest 2017 Super Bowl 51 odds and our expert NFL picks for the 2017 playoffs! Good luck!

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2017 NFL Playoff Power Rankings: How the AFC Stacks Up

2017-NFL-Picks-and-Predictions2017 NFL Playoff Power Rankings: How the AFC Stacks Up: The NFL playoffs are fast approaching, and while there is always parity in the NFL, there are also a few familiar faces lurking in the AFC. The conference in general is shaping up to be much more top heavy than the NFC, and with that in mind, here is how I see all six AFC playoff teams stacking up heading into the postseason.

2017 NFL Playoff Power Rankings: How the AFC Stacks Up

  1. New England Patriots

The Patriots aren’t overflowing with playmakers, but with a razor-sharp Tom Brady under center and one of the best coaches in league history leading the way, they still steamrolled the rest of the AFC. In fact, New England’s 14-2 record was the best in the entire NFL, and the Patriots went 11-1 following Brady’s return from suspension. They can spread teams out with their quick passing attack, and they can pound the ball on the ground when needed. Armed with home-field advantage and an all-around solid roster, the Patriots are the safest bet to reach the Super Bowl.

  1. Kansas City Chiefs

Don’t sleep on the Chiefs. The defense is loaded with playmakers at all levels, and Kansas City actually led the NFL in non-offensive touchdowns this year. Yes, there are question marks on offense, mainly involving the limitations of quarterback Alex Smith, but this team has weapons. Travis Kelce might be the best tight end in football, Jeremy Maclin is finally healthy, and speedster Tyreek Hill is always one touch away from a game-breaking play. Not to mention that their path through the postseason includes a bye and at least one home game.

  1. Pittsburgh Steelers

It’s hard to believe, but the Steelers have never played a postseason game with Ben the trio of Roethlisberger, Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell on the field at the same time. That will change this year, and Pittsburgh’s offense is one of the best in the business when it’s firing on all cylinders. Roethlisberger in particular has been on a different level when he plays at Heinz Field. An argument can be made for Pittsburgh to be ranked in the No. 2 spot, but the defense is a legit concern. Plus, I don’t think the road woes should be ignored.

  1. Houston Texans

If I were ranking the six AFC playoff teams at full strength in a vacuum, the Texans would probably be last out of the six. However, the Texans are at home against the banged-up Oakland Raiders in the first round, so by default, they have a better shot at advancing than some of the other teams. Brock Osweiler’s poor quarterback play severely limits the ceiling of this offense and this team in general, but the defense is one of the better units in the league and running back Lamar Miller should be rested and ready to carry the offense.

  1. Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins have been one of the surprise teams this year. They found a solid running game behind Jay Ajayi, and the defensive front, led by Cameron Wake and Ndamukong Suh, is finally playing up to its potential. However, losing starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill isn’t ideal, and going on the road to face the Pittsburgh Steelers on Wild-Card weekend makes a one-and-done scenario the most likely outcome for Miami. I think the Dolphins would beat both the Houston Texans and Oakland Raiders, but unfortunately for Miami, the Steelers are on tap.

  1. Oakland Raiders

You have to feel bad for the Raiders. A couple of weeks ago they appeared to have the AFC West title and a first-round bye locked up. Instead, they lost starting quarterback Derek Carr, backup quarterback Matt McGloin, the division crown and a bye in the matter of a couple weeks. Talk about a punch in the gut. Now, Oakland opens the playoffs on the road with third-string quarterback Connor Cook under center. The Raiders have some other good pieces, but multiple injuries to the quarterback spot right before the playoffs is too much for any team to overcome.

Be sure and open an account with Bovada Sportsbook to bet on week 17 NFL action as well as all the upcoming 2017 NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl 51 action. Good luck!

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2017 NFL Playoff Wild Card Round Odds, Picks and Predictions: Miami at Pittsburgh and New York at Green Bay

2017-NFL-Picks-and-Predictions2017 NFL Playoff Wild Card Round Odds, Picks and Predictions: Miami at Pittsburgh and New York at Green Bay: The Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs wraps up Sunday with a pair of games that will finalize the matchups for next weekend’s Divisional Round. The action starts with the sixth-seeded Miami Dolphins going on the road to face the third-seeded Pittsburgh Steelers, and it finishes up with the fifth-seeded New York Giants visiting the fourth-seeded Green Bay Packers. Let’s take a closer look at both games. Also, check out NSAwins.com all playoffs for the best NFL picks and predictions against the spread thru the Super Bowl!

2017 NFL Playoff Wild Card Round Odds, Picks and Predictions: Miami at Pittsburgh and New York at Green Bay

Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers

The AFC North champion and third-seeded Steelers will host the sixth-seeded Dolphins in a rematch of a regular season contest. Miami dominated the Week 6 showdown, winning 30-15. Miami running back Jay Ajayi ran for more than 200 yards in the win, and the Dolphins kept Le’Veon Bell and Ben Roethlisberger in check, even knocking Roethlisberger out of action temporarily with what would later be diagnosed as a torn meniscus.

After such a sound beating, the Dolphins certainly have reason to be confident. However, a lot has changed since the Week 6 showdown. For one, the Steelers will be the home team this team around, and they have a veteran, playoff-tested core. More importantly, Miami will likely be without starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill in this one.

Yes, veteran backup Matt Moore has been solid in relief, but Roethlisberger and company have been a different team at home, averaging 27.0 points per game. Roethlisberger has 20 touchdowns and five picks at home compared to nine scores and eight picks on the road. Not to mention that Bell has hit his stride after a slow start following a suspension to start the year. He is averaging 139.2 rushing yards over his last six games.

Armed with home-field advantage and a sizeable edge in offensive firepower, the Steelers should be in good shape. Pittsburgh will make Moore have to beat them, and I’ll take Roethlisberger over Moore any day of the week.

Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers (-10) Cover the Spread

New York Giants at Green Bay Packers

For the second time this year, the New York Giants will visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers. Of course, there is a lot more at stake in this weekend’s wild-card showdown than there was back in Week 5 when Green Bay came away with a 23-16 win.

These teams have taken opposite approaches this season. The Giants own the second-best scoring defense, but they rank just 26th in scoring offense. Meanwhile, the Packers own the fourth-best scoring offense but rank just 21st in scoring defense.

In other words, this game is a strength versus strength matchup, and it’s hard to bet against the red hot Aaron Rodgers. The Packers roll into the playoffs on a six-game winning streak, and Rodgers has thrown 15 touchdowns and no interceptions during the stretch. Not to mention the fact that Green Bay is 10-1 this year when holding opponents to 30 points or less, and the Giants haven’t scored more than 28 points the entire year.

Yes, the Giants have a game-breaker in receiver Odell Beckham Jr., but he has been putting up great numbers all year and it hasn’t translated to big numbers for the Giants’ offense as a whole.

Playing at home with an MVP quarterback who is playing at an MVP level, the Giants just aren’t going to be able to put enough points on the board to keep up with Rodgers, even against a shaky Green Bay defense.

Prediction: Green Bay Packers (-4.5) Cover the Spread

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2017 NFL Playoff Wild Card Round Odds, Picks and Predictions: Oakland at Houston and Detroit at Seattle

2017-NFL-Picks-and-Predictions2017 NFL Playoff Wild Card Round Odds, Picks and Predictions – Oakland at Houston and Detroit at Seattle: The regular season is in the books, but there is still plenty of football to be played. The NFL playoffs begin this weekend with the Wild Card Round. The action starts Saturday with matchups in both conferences. In the AFC, the fifth-seeded Oakland Raiders will take on the fourth-seeded Houston Texans. In the NFC, the third-seeded Seattle Seahawks will host the sixth-seeded Detroit Lions. Let’s take a closer look at both matchups. Also, check out NSAwins.com all playoffs for the best NFL picks and predictions against the spread thru the Super Bowl!

2017 NFL Playoff Wild Card Round Odds, Picks and Predictions: Oakland at Houston and Detroit at Seattle

Oakland Raiders at Houston Texans

Thanks to a rule that rewards division winners with a home playoff game, the 12-4 Oakland Raiders will go on the road to face the AFC South champion Houston Texans, despite the Texans finishing with a 9-7 record.

Of course, playing on the road is the least of Oakland’s concerns these days. In what was a resurgent year for the franchise that seemed destined to end with an AFC West title, Raiders quarterback and MVP candidate Derek Carr broke his leg in the penultimate game. To make matters worse, backup Matt McGloin was injured in the finale, so Oakland is likely heading into the playoffs with third-string quarterback Connor Cook under center.

If there is a silver lining for the Raiders, it is the fact that Houston’s quarterback situation isn’t much better. Brock Osweiler has been a $72 million bust, and after briefly being benched for Tom Savage, it looks like Osweiler will get the nod in the playoff tilt.

Despite a shaky offense, Houston is still going to have the decided egde in this matchup. For one, they still have running back Lamar Miller to lean on. More importantly, the Texans’ defense is one of the better units in the league, ranking first in yards allowed, second against the pass, 12th against the run and 11th in points allowed.

Yes, the Raiders can run the ball with the best of them, but with a third-string quarterback, they aren’t exactly going to be able to keep the Texans honest. Houston is tough to score on in general, and the Texans are going to be able to load up against the run and make Cook try to make enough throws to beat them. As bad as Osweiler has been, I think Houston can grind out a win behind Miller and its defense.

Prediction: Houston Texans (-3.5) Cover the Spread

Detroit Lions at Seattle Seahawks

It has been an up-and-down year for both these teams, but despite an inconsistent offense, the Seahawks grabbed the NFC West title and the No. 3 seed. They will face the sixth-seeded Lions in the Wild Card Round after Detroit backed into the playoffs despite dropping its final three games.

Neither one of these teams has been able to run the ball consistently this year, and Seattle’s leading rusher, Christine Michael, isn’t even on the team anymore. As a result, Russell Wilson and Matthew Stafford will likely have to decide the game, and while Wilson is getting healthier after dealing with a knee injury most of the year, Stafford is dealing with a finger issue. In fact, he has just two touchdowns and three interceptions since the injury, and the Lions have lost all three games.

While I like Wilson over a hobbled Stafford, the X-factor in this matchup is the weather, which is expected to be nasty. In sloppy conditions, passing won’t be easy, and this game could become an ugly, low-scoring affair. The Seahawks are 7-1 at home this year, and they should get the job done. However, eight points is a lot when the conditions aren’t likely to do the offenses any favors. I’ll take the Lions to cover.

Prediction: Detroit Lions (+8) Cover the Spread

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2017 College Football Bowl Game Picks & Predictions: Outback Bowl, Cotton Bowl, Rose Bowl & Sugar Bowl

2016-Free-College-Football-Bowl-Picks2017 College Football Bowl Game Picks & Predictions – Outback Bowl, Cotton Bowl, Rose Bowl & Sugar Bowl: While the College Football Playoff semifinals were no doubt the biggest games of the bowl season thus far, a strong argument can be made that Monday’s slate is the best top to bottom. Three of the six so-called New Year’s Six bowls are on tap, and six of eight teams in action are ranked in the top 15, including four in the top 10. Let’s take a closer look at some of the best matchups of the 2016 College Football season.

Outback Bowl: No. 17 Florida vs. Iowa

In what might be the lowest-scoring bowl game of the season, the Iowa Hawkeyes will take on the Florida Gators. Both teams are defensive-minded with one-dimensional, run-first offenses, and they actually enter this matchup tied for ninth in the country in points allowed.

At full strength, the Gators probably have the stronger defensive unit. However, Florida’s front seven is a little banged up coming into the bowl game, and the Gators allowed more than 200 rushing yards against LSU, Florida State and Alabama to close the year. Iowa boasts two backs, LeShun Daniels Jr. and Akrum Wadley, who have run for more than 900 yards this year, so the Hawkeyes have the weapons to exploit the one crack in Florida’s defense.

Both sides are going to have to earn every yard and every point, but Iowa’s dual-headed monster at running back and stingy defense should allow the Hawkeyes to control the clock and eventually grind out a win.

Prediction: Iowa Hawkeyes (+3) Cover the Spread

Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic: No. 15 Western Michigan vs. No. 8 Wisconsin

It is the classic David versus Goliath matchup as the Western Michigan Broncos, the top-ranked non-Power 5 team, take on the Wisconsin Badgers. Yes, the Broncos enter the matchup undefeated, but the Badgers come from the Big Ten, arguably the best conference in the country this season.

Based purely on talent, the Badgers should be able overpower the Broncos in the trenches on both sides of the ball and win this game. However, we’ve seen this movie before. Everyone remembers Boise State stunning Oklahoma in the Fiesta Bowl, but there have been plenty of major upsets in major bowls. UCF knocked off Baylor, Houston beat Florida State, and TCU knocked off Wisconsin when the Horned Frogs were still in the Mountain West.

The Broncos have absolutely nothing to lose in this one, and they also have one of the best receivers in the country in Corey Davis, who could find some room to work against a Wisconsin secondary that collapsed in a loss to Penn State in the Big Ten title game. Meanwhile, the Badgers are really a one-dimensional offensive team, and as good as the offensive line and running back Corey Clement can be, the Badgers rarely blow out quality opponents. I’ll take the Broncos and the points.

Prediction: Western Michigan Broncos (+8) Cover the Spread

Rose Bowl Game Presented by Northwestern Mutual: No. 9 USC vs. No. 5 Penn State

The paths these teams took to reach the Rose Bowl are eerily similar. Both dropped games early, but the USC Trojans are riding an eight-game winning streak, and the Penn State Nittany Lions won nine straight on their way to capturing the Big Ten crown.

Both teams have balance on the offensive side of the ball. Penn State has developed a potent downfield passing attack thanks to the excellent play of quarterback Trace McSorley, and running back Saquon Barkley is one of the best in the country. Meanwhile, Sam Darnold has stabilized the quarterback spot for USC, and running back Ronald Jones II and receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster are just two of the dynamic weapons at his disposal.

Both sides also boast stout defenses, and while Penn State probably has the better pass rush, The Trojans are stout at all levels, especially in the secondary where Adoree’ Jackson roams. The speedy Jackson could also be an X-factor on special teams.

In the end, I like the Trojans to continue their hot streak. USC will be the most complete, balanced team the Nittany Lions have faced, and the Trojans simply have a few more playmakers on both sides of the ball.

Prediction: USC Trojans (-6.5) Cover the Spread

Allstate Sugar Bowl: No. 14 Auburn vs. No. 7 Oklahoma

 

It will be a classic battle of offense versus defense when the Auburn Tigers take on the Oklahoma Sooners. Carl Lawson and Montravius Adams lead the Tigers’ powerful defensive front, and Auburn ranks fifth in the country in scoring defense. Meanwhile, Oklahoma ranks third in the country in scoring and ranks in the top 20 in both rushing and passing.

The balance of Oklahoma’s offense is what will ultimately make the difference in this matchup. Even if Auburn shuts down the Sooners’ running back tandem of Joe Mixon and Samaje Perine, Oklahoma still has a pair of Heisman finalists who can burn the Tigers through the air in quarterback Baker Mayfield and receiver Dede Westbrook.

Auburn needs this game to be a lower-scoring, defensive battle, and while the Tigers will try to control the clock with their rushing attack, the Sooners simply have too much offensive firepower.

Prediction: Oklahoma Sooners (-3) Cover the Spread

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